OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
BTC Cycle Anchors Power Law Channel with SELL & BUY Zones
A clean, decisive Bitcoin power-law channel that draws a SELL zone through every cycle top (Dec 2013, Dec 2017, Nov 2021, Oct 2025) and a BUY zone through every cycle bottom (Jan 2015, Dec 2018, Nov 2022). No fuzzy "maybe" zones — when price enters the red, take profits. When it enters the green, accumulate.
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HOW IT WORKS
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Unlike traditional log-regression bands that use hardcoded coefficients (and go stale within 1–2 cycles), this indicator uses USER-EDITABLE ANCHOR POINTS. You tell it where the historical cycle tops and bottoms occurred, and the script fits two power-law lines (log10(price) vs log10(days)) directly through those points.
The red zone = power-law line through the cycle peaks with 3 gradient sub-bands.
The green zone = power-law line through the cycle bottoms with 3 gradient sub-bands.
The middle = intentionally empty so price action is fully readable.
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DEFAULT ANCHOR POINTS
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CYCLE TOPS
• Dec 2013 — $1,163
• Dec 2017 — $19,783
• Nov 2021 — $69,000
• Oct 2025 — $125,000
CYCLE BOTTOMS
• Jan 2015 — $172
• Dec 2018 — $3,122
• Nov 2022 — $15,479
• (BOT 4 placeholder ready for next cycle bottom — enable in settings when it prints)
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HOW TO USE
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SETUP
• Symbol: INDEX:BTCUSD (full history back to 2010)
• Timeframe: Weekly (1W) or Monthly (1M)
• Price axis: Right-click → Logarithmic (REQUIRED — power-law curves only render correctly on log scale)
SIGNAL ZONES (from top to bottom of chart):
• EXTREME SELL — Price above red ceiling (historical bubble territory)
• STRONG SELL — Price in deeper red zone (distribution / take profits)
• SELL ZONE — Price at red inner edge (start reducing exposure)
• NEUTRAL — Price in empty middle (hold, no action)
• BUY ZONE — Price at green inner edge (start accumulating)
• STRONG BUY — Price in deeper green zone (capitulation / aggressive buy)
• EXTREME BUY — Price below green floor (generational opportunity)
A status label on the right edge of the chart shows your exact zone, current price, and distance to SELL/BUY edges.
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WHEN A NEW CYCLE TOP/BOTTOM PRINTS
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Open settings → update the relevant anchor's date and price. The entire channel recalibrates instantly. No need to wait for an update from the author. For the next cycle bottom (expected late 2026 / early 2027), enable "BOT 4" in settings once it prints.
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TUNING
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• Zone depth — How thick the SELL/BUY zones are (default 35% of channel)
• Anchor dots — Toggle the visual markers at each historical cycle extreme
• Custom colors and line widths
═══════════════════════════════════════
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
═══════════════════════════════════════
This is a visualization tool grounded in Bitcoin's empirical power-law behavior (Santostasi, 2024). Past cycles do not guarantee future cycles. Adoption curve, macro conditions, and regulation can break historical patterns. Use as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.
Built with Pine Script v6.
═══════════════════════════════════════
HOW IT WORKS
═══════════════════════════════════════
Unlike traditional log-regression bands that use hardcoded coefficients (and go stale within 1–2 cycles), this indicator uses USER-EDITABLE ANCHOR POINTS. You tell it where the historical cycle tops and bottoms occurred, and the script fits two power-law lines (log10(price) vs log10(days)) directly through those points.
The red zone = power-law line through the cycle peaks with 3 gradient sub-bands.
The green zone = power-law line through the cycle bottoms with 3 gradient sub-bands.
The middle = intentionally empty so price action is fully readable.
═══════════════════════════════════════
DEFAULT ANCHOR POINTS
═══════════════════════════════════════
CYCLE TOPS
• Dec 2013 — $1,163
• Dec 2017 — $19,783
• Nov 2021 — $69,000
• Oct 2025 — $125,000
CYCLE BOTTOMS
• Jan 2015 — $172
• Dec 2018 — $3,122
• Nov 2022 — $15,479
• (BOT 4 placeholder ready for next cycle bottom — enable in settings when it prints)
═══════════════════════════════════════
HOW TO USE
═══════════════════════════════════════
SETUP
• Symbol: INDEX:BTCUSD (full history back to 2010)
• Timeframe: Weekly (1W) or Monthly (1M)
• Price axis: Right-click → Logarithmic (REQUIRED — power-law curves only render correctly on log scale)
SIGNAL ZONES (from top to bottom of chart):
• EXTREME SELL — Price above red ceiling (historical bubble territory)
• STRONG SELL — Price in deeper red zone (distribution / take profits)
• SELL ZONE — Price at red inner edge (start reducing exposure)
• NEUTRAL — Price in empty middle (hold, no action)
• BUY ZONE — Price at green inner edge (start accumulating)
• STRONG BUY — Price in deeper green zone (capitulation / aggressive buy)
• EXTREME BUY — Price below green floor (generational opportunity)
A status label on the right edge of the chart shows your exact zone, current price, and distance to SELL/BUY edges.
═══════════════════════════════════════
WHEN A NEW CYCLE TOP/BOTTOM PRINTS
═══════════════════════════════════════
Open settings → update the relevant anchor's date and price. The entire channel recalibrates instantly. No need to wait for an update from the author. For the next cycle bottom (expected late 2026 / early 2027), enable "BOT 4" in settings once it prints.
═══════════════════════════════════════
TUNING
═══════════════════════════════════════
• Zone depth — How thick the SELL/BUY zones are (default 35% of channel)
• Anchor dots — Toggle the visual markers at each historical cycle extreme
• Custom colors and line widths
═══════════════════════════════════════
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
═══════════════════════════════════════
This is a visualization tool grounded in Bitcoin's empirical power-law behavior (Santostasi, 2024). Past cycles do not guarantee future cycles. Adoption curve, macro conditions, and regulation can break historical patterns. Use as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.
Built with Pine Script v6.
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供，也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。