Bitcoin / Tether

BTC Short-Term 1H

193
🔹 General Context

On the chart, we see that Bitcoin:

Has broken the local downtrend line (yellow line), suggesting an attempt to change the short-term trend.

It is currently consolidating just above the 50/200 EMA, which is a positive sign for bulls.

We also see a MACD crossover in the positive zone and an RSI rising, but not yet overloaded (around 52–60).

🔸 Key Technical Levels

Support:

122.460 USDT – strong local support, aligned with previous lows and the 200 EMA.

121.900 USDT – next support, also marked by the blue 200 EMA.

120.600 USDT – deeper support, recent significant low.

Resistance:

123,700 – 123,900 USDT – resistance zone where the price is currently stalling (there was a reaction after the trendline breakout).

124,700 USDT – next resistance level (local high).

125,700 USDT – strong resistance resulting from previous swing highs.

🔸 Technical Indicators

📈 EMA 50/200 (golden cross on 1 hour):

The 50 EMA is breaking below the 200 EMA – a classic bullish signal (Golden Cross).

Confirmation requires the price to stay above 122,800 USDT for several H1 candles.

📊 MACD:

The histogram has turned positive, the MACD line is breaking above the signal line – momentum is increasing.

There is no strong negative divergence yet, so the signal is clear.

💪 RSI:

Value ~52–60 – moderately bullish.

It is not overbought yet, so there is potential for further upward movement.

🔹 Scenarios

✅ Bullish Scenario:

Sustainability above 122,800 USDT.

A breakout and retest of the 123,700–123,900 USDT resistance could open the way to 124,700 USDT and then 125,700 USDT.

The MACD and RSI support this scenario.

❌ Bearish Scenario:

A reversal from the current level and a decline below 122,400 USDT.

A retest of 121,900 USDT and a possible deepening correction to 120,600 USDT is possible.

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