█ SETUP
Comcast ·
CMCSA · 4H · long only.
ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1 bar to add / 1 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (CMCSA 4H · OV7887):
Win rate 78% · profit factor 1.7 · max drawdown 29%
Typical hold ~58 bars on winners · cable / media mean-reversion sleeve
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█ WHY NOW
Comcast is a low-volatility media name — the book scaled in across three US sessions before adding again on Tuesday's cash open.
Three 4H ALMA long lots on OV7887:
· 22 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.41
· 22 Jun 17:30 UTC ~$22.33
· 23 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.31 — fresh bell add
Working average near $22.35; hard stop zone −10% ~$20.1. Exits follow Pine ALMA rules or the hard stop.
Price is essentially flat across the pyramid — this is averaging a sideways tape, not chasing a breakout.
═
█ MACRO
Sector: CMCSA = US cable / broadband cash cow — defensive-ish media, not a megacap AI beta name.
Calendar: PCE week — consumer-facing staples and media can chop with real yields; 4H ALMA is built for that grind.
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Base case: 4H ALMA holds the ~$22.3 cluster · slow mean-reversion while the book carries the media sleeve into PCE.
Bear case: yields spike · lose 4H ALMA · −10% from ~$22.35 average toward ~$20.1.
Comcast ·
CMCSA · 4H · long only.ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1 bar to add / 1 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (CMCSA 4H · OV7887):
Win rate 78% · profit factor 1.7 · max drawdown 29%
Typical hold ~58 bars on winners · cable / media mean-reversion sleeve
═
█ WHY NOW
Comcast is a low-volatility media name — the book scaled in across three US sessions before adding again on Tuesday's cash open.
Three 4H ALMA long lots on OV7887:
· 22 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.41
· 22 Jun 17:30 UTC ~$22.33
· 23 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.31 — fresh bell add
Working average near $22.35; hard stop zone −10% ~$20.1. Exits follow Pine ALMA rules or the hard stop.
Price is essentially flat across the pyramid — this is averaging a sideways tape, not chasing a breakout.
═
█ MACRO
Sector: CMCSA = US cable / broadband cash cow — defensive-ish media, not a megacap AI beta name.
Calendar: PCE week — consumer-facing staples and media can chop with real yields; 4H ALMA is built for that grind.
═
Base case: 4H ALMA holds the ~$22.3 cluster · slow mean-reversion while the book carries the media sleeve into PCE.
Bear case: yields spike · lose 4H ALMA · −10% from ~$22.35 average toward ~$20.1.
Giao dịch đang hoạt động
Two sister lots closed on the same 4h template within 24h:· 30 Jun 17:30 UTC — +8.7%
· 1 Jul 13:30 UTC — +9.9%
~+18.6% summed on those two exits — cable/media sleeve, not Mag7 beta.
Entries 22 Jun (two US bell adds) · exits on strategy bar close — not a headline trade.
Educational recap. Past backtest ≠ future results. NFA.
Đóng lệnh: đạt mục tiêu
BoaBias / Goldfinch_song
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.
BoaBias / Goldfinch_song
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.