Oracle (ORCL) printed a large Head & Shoulders top after the 2024-2025 rally. Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clear. The neckline is broken, and the price is accelerating lower.
Worst-case technical scenario
The measured move from the head targets the long-term rising trendline.
If the breakdown holds, the pattern projects significant further downside from current levels.
Statistics
According to Thomas Bulkowski’s research, Head & Shoulders tops reach their full measured move target roughly 63-71% of the time after a confirmed neckline break. That means they fail or fall short about 29-37% of the time.
Additional
This remains a pure technical worst-case view.
This is not financial advice — just a speculative chart setup and surrounding context as drawn.
Worst-case technical scenario
The measured move from the head targets the long-term rising trendline.
If the breakdown holds, the pattern projects significant further downside from current levels.
Statistics
According to Thomas Bulkowski’s research, Head & Shoulders tops reach their full measured move target roughly 63-71% of the time after a confirmed neckline break. That means they fail or fall short about 29-37% of the time.
Additional
- Bennett cycles are also pointing to pressure in this timeframe, adding weight to the bearish technical setup.
- At the same time, big short ideas on NVDA and PLTR are circulating and pushing tech names lower — Oracle is moving in sympathy with the broader AI/tech complex.
This remains a pure technical worst-case view.
- If volume supports the breakdown and price stays below the neckline, the measured move becomes the higher-probability path.
- Oracle still shows strong cloud growth and backlog numbers, so the pattern could fail if fundamentals reassert themselves. Strong fundamentals can easily invalidate or repair the pattern.
This is not financial advice — just a speculative chart setup and surrounding context as drawn.
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Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.