RDDT is a textbook example of “good news, bad reaction.” Q4 2025 prints were strong (EPS $1.24 vs. $0.96, revenue $725.61M +69.7% YoY), paired with a $1B buyback and upbeat Q1 2026 guidance—yet price is still unwinding hard after the run-up, suggesting a sell-the-news reset rather than a fundamental collapse.
Technically, the dominant pressure remains bearish across the 1D and 1W. The daily “waterfall” has pushed price to ~$141.32, well under MA20 ($199.24) and MA60 ($214.40), with the 1D SuperTrend capping rallies near $169.54. The double top near ~$270 is already confirmed (neckline ~ $230), so until structure improves, rallies are still suspect.
The key inflection is the 4W SuperTrend at $130.21. A daily close below $130 turns this into a continuation breakdown setup, with the next magnet being psychological $100 (and an intermediate risk zone around $118–$120). If buyers defend $130 and price can reclaim $145 on a daily close, the higher-probability “relief” path opens toward $155–$160 first, then potentially $169.54 and $180 if momentum flips
Technically, the dominant pressure remains bearish across the 1D and 1W. The daily “waterfall” has pushed price to ~$141.32, well under MA20 ($199.24) and MA60 ($214.40), with the 1D SuperTrend capping rallies near $169.54. The double top near ~$270 is already confirmed (neckline ~ $230), so until structure improves, rallies are still suspect.
The key inflection is the 4W SuperTrend at $130.21. A daily close below $130 turns this into a continuation breakdown setup, with the next magnet being psychological $100 (and an intermediate risk zone around $118–$120). If buyers defend $130 and price can reclaim $145 on a daily close, the higher-probability “relief” path opens toward $155–$160 first, then potentially $169.54 and $180 if momentum flips
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