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XAUUSD - Gold breakout alert! Can bulls reclaim 4200?Gold prices rebounded strongly today, breaking through the downtrend line—the key resistance zone of 4020-4040—preliminarily confirming the bullish breakout and boosting market confidence. Gold may still have some room for further upward movement.
After the upward breakout, the 4040-4020 area, which was the upper edge of the hourly downtrend channel, has shifted from resistance to support, forming an important short-term defense line for the bulls.
However, it's worth noting that while the bulls have achieved a significant breakthrough, the market is not entirely bullish. The bulls and bears are still fiercely battling it out. In the short term, the 4100-4120 area will be the primary resistance zone, followed by the 4160-4180 area.
Trading Logic:
Since gold bulls have made a significant breakthrough in the short term, gold prices may have some sustainability. Therefore, we can wait for a pullback in gold prices before going long, but we must be cautious about chasing the price directly at a high point.
Trading Strategy:
Primary strategy: Entry - Focus on the 4045-4025 range, with a bullish bias.
Alternative Strategy: Entry - Focus on the 4090-4110range,with a bearish bias.
The above is not investment advice, but for learning and discussion purposes only! 
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Canadian Dollar Stuck Between Tariffs and OilUSD/CAD traded with a firmer tone on Tuesday as the Canadian Dollar remained under pressure from the latest U.S. tariff escalation. The U.S. imposed a 50% tariff on a range of Canadian goods tied to disputes over cars, alcohol, and dairy, which immediately complicates Canada’s trade outlook. Normally, elevated oil prices would give the Canadian Dollar a cleaner tailwind, but tariff risk and weaker domestic momentum are making that support less powerful.
For the BOC, the rate path remains a hold story. The central bank kept rates at 2.25% last week and continues to balance elevated inflation against soft growth and trade uncertainty. Canadian inflation already surprised to the downside this week and is expected to ease if oil and gasoline pressures fade, but that forecast now sits against a more complicated trade backdrop. The Canadian Dollar is stuck between two forces: oil supporting Canada’s terms of trade and tariff risk undermining confidence in the growth outlook.
In the above chart, USD/CAD has found follow through in recent weeks after finally breaking out of a multiyear triangle that originated in 2023. In June it was noted that “the first hurdle to validate the bullish breakout is the band of resistance formed by the highs in January, March, and April of this year around 1.3929/66. Through these levels, USD/CAD may have offered the strongest confirmation yet that the near three-year triangle has ceded way to a new bullish trading regime.” Along these lines, USD/CAD’s recent turn higher through its 50-day EMA (exponential moving average) ahead of 1.3929/66 suggests that a series of higher highs and higher lows is emerging. The low carved out by the bullish engulfing bar on July 20 just above 1.4000 may be respected as a turning point in the near-term. That said, a resolution of the fundamental disputes, particularly on tariffs, could override this technical turning point and shift the near-term focus back to the downside. 
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XAU/USD | More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that after the previous update, price first dropped toward $3959 and swept the liquidity resting below $3969.
After this liquidity sweep, buyers stepped in and pushed Gold higher toward the important $4040 supply zone. Once price reached this area, sellers became active again and pushed Gold back down toward $3999.
Currently, Gold is trading around $4020. In my view, this bullish move is more likely to remain a temporary correction rather than the beginning of a larger recovery.
The nearest supply zones are located around $4023 – $4040, followed by the stronger resistance area between $4060 – $4080. On the downside, the closest demand zones are around $3990 – $4000, followed by $3958 – $3970 and deeper support between $3935 – $3950.
I still expect another stronger bearish wave to begin soon. A clear stabilization below the psychological $4000 level would increase the probability of further downside toward the lower demand and liquidity zones.
Gold’s recent price action has become extremely unstable and difficult to trade. However, our approach remains unchanged: focus on the important levels, manage risk properly, and always use a clear stop-loss. For now, my main bias remains bearish.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban Short 
BTC/USD | Bitcoin Keeps Returning To Higher Prices,Is $69K Next?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that price continues to show strong retention at higher levels. Over the past few days, Bitcoin was pushed lower several times, but buyers stepped in quickly each time and drove price back up. BTC is currently trading around $64,300, confirming that demand remains active and sellers are still struggling to keep price down.
In my view, if this buying pressure continues and Bitcoin holds above the key $62,000 – $63,000 area, we could soon see another bullish move toward higher levels. The first major upside target is $69,000. After that, the next targets to monitor are $72,000 and $74,000 if bullish momentum continues.
For now, Bitcoin is still showing strong price retention, and the broader short-term and medium-term outlook remains bullish.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban 
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UKOIL | Brent Oil Breaks $90, Are Triple Digits Next?By analyzing the #BrentOil chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that price continued to follow the expected bullish scenario and finally broke above the psychological $90 level, reaching as high as $91.5.
Currently, Brent Oil is trading around $88 after a minor correction. In my view, this pullback may remain temporary, and if buyers step in again, we could see another bullish move toward higher levels.
The nearest demand zones are located around $86 – $88, followed by stronger support between $82 – $84. On the upside, the next targets to monitor are $92, followed by $95, $98, and then the major psychological level at $100.
If geopolitical tensions continue and supply risks remain elevated, targets above $100 may not be far out of reach. For now, my broader bias remains bullish after this short-term correction.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban 
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