Economic Cycles

How does the Fed Rate (Past & Preset) affect Indexes/Securities?Take a look at Hydra FOMC v1.00 Hydra FOMC v1.00 Use this color-coded indicator to analyze both present and past Fed Rate changes on indexes and securities performances. Want to know what a Fed Rate hike or rate decrease did to the performance of the market/security, then you might want to take a look at this newest indicator. Highly flexible and customizable with additional pop-up information on inputs, table and labels. There are presets (for multiple Short to Long time periods) t

Bitcoin Daily | The Structure Is Still the Story ⏱️ Reading time: About 3 minutes On the Bitcoin Daily chart, the main question for us is not simply whether price is going up or down. The more important question is: What is the current structure telling us? From the major low marked on the chart, Bitcoin has developed a significant upward move. Now, we are watching one of the most important structural decision points in the market. Scenario 1: Bullish Case In the bullish scenario, the current upward move could be part of a larger impulsi

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

XMR 3 Month Heikin Ashi Trend Chart We have here a trend outlook chart for Monero on a 3 monthly timeframe (Heikin Ashi candlestick chart). XMR is one of a handful of high market cap coins which have showed signs of strength on a variety of indicators (despite high volatility with various other high market cap coins), including the positive MACD and RSI indicators as shown in this chart. In addition, there has been significant buy volume in the 170 - 277 price range, as can be seen in the Price-Volume indicator to the right of th

by PurpleCrypto

Hyperliquid (HYPE): Is Another Major Cycle Still Ahead?Hyperliquid is one of the few crypto projects where I believe the technical structure and the underlying protocol economics are worth studying together. On the daily logarithmic chart, HYPE appears to be moving inside a clearly defined long-term ascending channel. The structure has respected this channel through multiple major market phases, and the current price action is again approaching the upper half of that structure. I will also publish the same chart in regular scale, because I

by pullbacksignal

4H chart. 400MA Ground support on the 4H chart with the 400MA. Reasonably, as we see the market transition from bear to bull, the 400MA will serve as a floor of support. We will not likely see current prices suddenly unwind and drop below the 400MA as we are in the transition to the bull market. The 200MA (red, thick, solid) just popped over the 400MA. This is a good sign. And this always happens before a bull market, following a bear market. You know, that just might be what a transition is. If we see curren

1HR Chart view: the 400MA Observe the 400MA (white, thin solid) on the 1H chart. Consider how it has become the the floor. This is a typical arrangement for gaining upward momentum into the larger, bigger picture. This is a show of strength building towards price increases. Seems like the prices of everything has been going up lately (surely unrelated). Let's see how things progress over the next 30-90 days. The 400MA isnt too long for consideration, because the 400MA on the 1H chart is the 100MA on the 4H chart. I

EUR/USD — Larger Correction or the Continuation of the Bullish T ⏱️ Reading Time: ~4 minutes On the EUR/USD chart, price is currently at an important point within the larger-term structure. From the 1.60360 peak, a major bearish structure developed into the 0.95356 low. Since then, EUR/USD has produced a significant recovery. The key question now is whether this recovery is still part of a larger correction, or whether it is developing into the beginning of a larger bullish trend. 🟦 Bullish Scenario — A Larger Uptrend In the turquoise scenario, the advan

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

AMD and Daily Cycles Overview The following video includes a detailed breakdown of AMD and their applications on market assets. Including: What AMD is; How to recognise it; The difference between Daily Cycle One and Daily Cycle Two; Application of AMD to the Five Minute Time Frame.

20:00

by JamesDickinson

Crude Oil | Is Wave 3 Expanding?⏱️ Reading time: about 2 minutes In the previous Crude Oil analysis, the main question was: What kind of structure is the market building? On this 2-hour chart, the move up from the major low still shows characteristics of an impulsive structure. In the bullish scenario, this move could be part of a higher-degree Wave 3, and its internal structure is now giving us more clues. Price is developing a five-wave structure. If this structure continues to unfold as expected and the internal Wave 4

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Brent Crude Oil | Is Wave III Expanding?⏱️ Reading time: About 2 minutes In our previous oil analyses, the focus has always been on one simple question: What structure is the market building? On the 2H Brent chart, the move developing from the major low continues to show an impulsive character. Price has now reached an area where the structure may provide much more information about the higher-degree wave. In the bullish scenario, the current advance could be part of a higher-degree Wave III. If so, the internal structures should

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Silver | When Structure Speaks, We Listen ⏱️ Reading time: about 3 minutes In our previous Silver analyses, we focused on identifying the first motive wave to the upside from the recent low — a structure that could develop into a five-wave impulse. After the latest movement, the main question is no longer simply “up or down?” but rather what degree does the current correction belong to, and is it still developing or already complete? 🟦 Scenario 1 | Bullish Case In this view, the initial bullish structure remains important. The recent

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Swing Dates for Bitcoin Geometrically calculated key dates for swings, breakouts, and gaps. Best to use with support and resistance levels: the price has to be pivoting or breaking a S&R level exactly on the dashed vertical line.

DXY 2H | The Next Structure Will Define the Larger Path ⏱️ Estimated Reading Time: About 2 Minutes Following our daily DXY analysis, we are now moving down to the 2-hour chart to examine what the current movement may be building at the lower degree. In the bullish scenario, if the recent correction has already completed, the market should now be developing a new Wave 1. Therefore, simply seeing price move higher is not enough. Price needs to break decisively out of the marked black boxes and then develop a valid motive structure. If that happens,

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

DXY | When Structure Reveals the Dollar’s Next Path ⏱️ Estimated Reading Time: About 2 Minutes In this update, our focus is on the current DXY structure on the daily chart, where the market is still revealing the pattern following the recent decline. From the higher-degree perspective, we continue to monitor two scenarios. 🟢 Bullish Scenario If the current structure completes as a corrective pattern and the market then develops a valid motive structure, the probability of further DXY strength will increase. A break of the marked levels could

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Temporal Aspect of Fractality In this publication, I would like to bring some clarity to the series of my unconventional analysis. At this stage of my research I have no doubt that market's natural growth patterns can be defined by historic range and power exponents of Phi. Essentially, it's just two overall fib channels that cover structural boundaries of bullruns from ATH to new ATH mapped to bottom as 3rd coordinate. When we have angle of fibs derived from chronological highs, the ratios would cover the levels of oscillat

nds long time Hello to all my friends who trade gold, this is my personal opinion on gold this week.

nds Hello to all my friends who trade gold, this is my personal opinion on gold this week.

$MSTR: Weekly Crossback + Daily BNB1 + 65m 3 Bar Play ⚛️HTF Context 🔭 NASDAQ:MSTR is building constructive multi-timeframe continuation structure. On the Weekly chart, price has put in a Wedge Pop and is now working through a Crossback. That is the first meaningful pullback and retest phase after the impulsive move, and it can create a strong continuation location if support holds. The Daily is beginning to form a BNB1, showing that price is consolidating rather than immediately giving back the prior expansion. LTF Structure 🧱 On the 65m,

by QuantumEdge_QTG

Gold 1H | Let the Structure Reveal the Next Wave ⏱️ Reading time: ~3 minutes 🟦 Scenario 1: Bullish Case The bullish case does not necessarily require price to move straight higher. After the recent move, the market may develop a sideways corrective structure and continue moving within the projected range. This would allow the correction to become more complex or time-consuming without necessarily invalidating the larger bullish structure. Here, time, degree, and the character of the correction are important. ⬛ Scenario 2: Bearish Case The

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Crude Oil | When Structure Speaks Before the Move ⏱️ Reading Time: About 2 Minutes In our previous crude oil analyses, the goal was never to predict price or choose a fixed direction. Instead, we focused on understanding the structure the market was building. One of the key possibilities we were tracking was the potential completion of a larger-degree Wave (II). Rather than simply taking a bullish or bearish stance, we waited for the market to reveal the character of its next move. As the new movement developed, lower timeframes began showin

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

S&P 500 | Wave III: More Upside or a Major Pause?Reading time: about 2 minutes This chart analyzes the long-term behavior of the S&P 500 through the lens of the Elliott Wave Principle. In this count, the larger market advance from the 2009 low is viewed as an impulsive structure. The 2020 correction is labeled as Wave II, followed by the development of Wave III — a wave that often represents the strongest part of an impulsive sequence. Bullish Scenario In the bullish scenario, Wave III may not be complete yet, and its internal structure co

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

NQ Weekly Outlook: Mixed Again? | 14–18 Sep 2026 The Fringe Cycles model read for 14–18 September suggests another mixed weekly structure for NQ, with weakness early in the week, a positive mid-week phase, and a return to negative bias into Thursday and Friday. This outlook is based on the NQ Globex session, not just regular cash-session price action. Each daily bias applies approximately from 18:30 Eastern on the previous evening through 15:30 Eastern on the stated trading day. Daily Model Expectations: Monday, 14 Sep: Negative Monday star

by thefringetrader

Episode 07 — The Moment the Market Revealed Its Language 🎬 Mr. Nobody’s Chronicle Season I — The History of Elliott Wave Principle Episode 07 — The Moment the Market Revealed Its Language ⏱️ Reading time: ~3 minutes “Sometimes, the greatest discoveries do not begin with an answer... but with the right question.” After years of studying market charts, one question continued to occupy Ralph Nelson Elliott’s mind: Why do certain market movements, despite appearing at different times and price levels, seem to share a remarkable similarity? For many pe

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin Weekly | Two Macro Paths ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes Hey everyone, This weekly analysis takes a long-term look at Bitcoin’s structure. At this stage, I think it’s better to keep more than one interpretation open and let the market reveal more of its internal structure before choosing one count with confidence. 🟦 Scenario 1 | Leading Expanding Diagonal One possible long-term interpretation is that Bitcoin’s entire macro structure could eventually be viewed as a Leading Expanding Diagonal on the linear chart. If this

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP