$SPCX Crash or Manipulation of the Century?BINANCE:SPCXUSDT.P
As I noted in the June 26 review: the IPO of the century turned into the manipulation of the century.
NASDAQ:SPCX dropped from $228 to $143 (−38%) after IPO. All support levels broken, no trading history below $135. On the chart — a picture that looks like a collapse.
But if you look deeper, through the Integrated Market Analysis (IMA) system, a different story emerges.
What the data says, in plain terms:
• 🐋 Whales aren't exiting: According to IMA, positions of the largest players have been stable since June 30. Despite the drop, they're not selling — meaning they either believe in a recovery, or are quietly accumulating.
• 👥 Retail and mid-tier traders are leaving: The number of mid-level top-trader accounts is shrinking. Small players are cutting losses and exiting — classic "washout" behavior.
• 🔄 Washout scenario: When weak hands exit and strong hands hold — it often precedes a sharp bounce. Not a guarantee, but a pattern worth watching.
My plan:
• 🟡 Watching the 📊 IVZ level at $147: a breakout above this level + rising whale position in IMA = first signal of a reversal
• 🟡 Breakout and hold above 📊 IVZ $153 with stable whale positioning = confirmation: large players have built their position
• 🟡 Important to note: in moments of obvious manipulation and limited trading history, the risk of false moves remains high
In situations like this, it's more important not to guess the bottom — but to wait for institutional capital to show its hand.
Analysis from me — execution from you 🚀
Platform guidelines restrict sharing proprietary indicators, so I display only the 📊 IVZ algorithm output — institutional interest zones.
Pivot Points
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 13, 2026 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 13, 2026 – Monday 🔴
Bear Trap: Bulls Recover and Test the 24,250 Fortress
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty gapped down 185 points on geopolitical tension, opening right at the 24,040 support. The first tick found its base at the exact 24,000 level, and from there the index gave a steady recovery of 158 points within the first hour.
After reaching 24,150, Nifty got trapped inside a narrow range of about 35 points between the PDL and 24,150 for almost an hour and 45 minutes. Around 12 PM, it finally exited this range and broke the CPR, PDC, PDH, and R1, pushing up to test 24,250 — which is almost the previous month’s high too.
By the end, the day closed at 24,208.60 on an intraday basis, 51 points below the day’s high. Adjusted closing came in at 24,211.
Today’s close is exactly at the previous session’s intraday close. Today’s range extended on both sides of the previous session, forming a daily engulfing candlestick pattern, which may point to highly volatile sessions in the coming days. The day opened at the previous day’s low and broke the previous day’s high, but couldn’t close above the PDH — so we can still categorise it as a kind of bear trap session too.
For tomorrow, the opening is the most important factor for the directional view. We are sitting very close to the 24,250 resistance. If Nifty gaps up above this level and holds it, then we can expect the bullish sentiment to continue. But if it opens inside the range, then we have to wait for a directional view, because there is a clear sign of selling pressure at this level. Tomorrow also has a weekly expiry, and call writers don’t let go easily — so be ready for a strong fight and some volatility.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,039.40
High: 24,259.80
Low: 24,000.20
Close: 24,211.00
Change: +4.10 (+0.02%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish candle with a long lower wick — buyers took control after an early scare
Range: ≈ 260 points — high volatility
Body: ≈ 172 points — steady buying pressure once the base held
Upper Wick: ≈ 49 points — some rejection near the highs, sellers active around 24,250
Lower Wick: ≈ 39 points — demand showed up quickly at the 24,000 base
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 261.82
IB Range: 128.60 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
09:32 Long Trade: Trailing Target Hit (R:R 1:3.28)
10:53 Short Trade: SL Hit
11:39 Short Trade: SL Hit
13:00 Short Trade: Trailing SL Hit
Trade Summary: The early long worked out well — trailing into a 1:3.28 was the trade of the day. The two shorts after that both hit SL, which in hindsight makes sense; I was fighting a market that had already decided to recover. The 1 PM short at least trailed out instead of a full stop. A reminder for me that shorting into a steady recovery rarely pays, and patience for the right side would have kept things cleaner.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones: 24250 | 24300 | 24360~24380 | 24460
Support Zones: 24160 | 24080 ~ 24030 | 23900 | 23785
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The day was won at the base and paused at the wall — both edges left something unsaid.”
The one thing that stood out today was how quickly demand showed up at the 24,000 level. The gap down looked scary on the open, but the base held on the very first tick and never really got tested again — that early recovery told most of the story.
For tomorrow, everything hinges on 24,250. If we gap above it and hold, the bullish push could keep going toward 24,300 and beyond. But if we open back inside the range, that rejection near the highs today is a sign to stay patient — the selling pressure there is real, and the engulfing candle suggests both sides still have something to prove.
My focus tomorrow is simple: respect the open, and don’t force a direction the market hasn’t confirmed yet. With weekly expiry in play, it’s better to wait for the level to resolve than to guess ahead of it.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is my personal digital diary and represents my own analysis and point of view. It is not financial advice; please consult a professional advisor before making any trading decisions.
4× the backtest profit — and no more trustworthy.I took a well-known free strategy for this market — Pivot Point SuperTrend by LonesomeTheBlue — and deliberately over-fit it, to show how little a big backtest number proves on its own.
I nudged a few inputs and switched it to long-only. On ~9 years of 1-hour BTCUSDT data, published defaults → my tuned version:
• Net profit: $19,674 → $83,077 (4.2×)
• Profit factor: 1.03 → 1.44
• Win rate: 36% → 44%
• Max drawdown: 122% → 31%
Looks like a decisive upgrade. It isn't. Stress-test the two versions and the things that decide whether an edge is real barely moved:
1. Walk-forward (out-of-sample): efficiency 0.79 → 0.80. I made the backtest 4× more profitable and out-of-sample generalization didn't budge — the fingerprint of fitting to this exact history.
2. Trade concentration: remove the top 11 winning trades (of 207) and the "improved" version loses ~$60,800. Fifty-three percent of the gross profit comes from 11 trades. A durable edge is spread across hundreds.
3. Risk-rule survival (prop-firm-style drawdown limits): 0% pass rate — same as before. The equity path still breaks the rules that protect real capital.
And the quiet one: long-only through a multi-year BTC uptrend. The best years are 2020 and 2024 — the obvious ones. A chunk of that 4× isn't edge, it's beta.
Takeaway: a bigger backtest number is easy to manufacture; durability is not. Before you trust a curve, ask what happens out-of-sample, whether the profit survives removing a few trades, and whether it holds under real drawdown limits.
Educational only. Not financial advice.
BTCUSDT Buy / Long SetupEntry from 63240, 2nd entry 63080 SL 62860
TP 64800
If tp achieves first then don't take the trade, not bullish on BTC, but this setup is based on current momentum, Will take short entry from above if see any shift in momentum and if BTC takes major zones from upside, and my target will be mentioned major liquidation cluster, price will chop much more till next week, cause there is a lot of liquidation in internal structure, So market will hold weekly swing high & Lows, and will keep moving up & down chop chop. Use tigh sl. Best Of Luck.
$BTC - Market Update (7/13)CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to cap at the 64.5k resistance, with price struggling to find acceptance above the area.
The 61k level remains the critical support to watch. As long as this holds, price can continue to chop within the range and attempt another rotation higher.
However, if 61k fails to hold, I'd expect price to retest the 60k level, which remains the next key support below.
Stop Looking for Entries. Start Looking for (Location).Most traders spend their entire trading journey searching for the “perfect entry.”
In my opinion, that’s the wrong question.
The better question is:
“Am I in the right location?”
⸻
Think about it.
An order block sitting in the middle of nowhere isn’t suddenly high probability because price touched it.
🔥 Location gives an order block meaning.
Without higher time frame context, an order block is just another candle on your chart.
⸻
Here’s how I approach the market.
I don’t wake up asking,
“Where can I buy?”
or
“Where can I sell?”
🔥 I ask:
“Where are institutions most likely interested in doing business?”
📍 Institutional Interest Zone or 💎 High-Probability Auction Area
That’s a completely different mindset.
⸻
Higher time frame structure builds the map.
It tells me:
• Which side currently controls order flow.
• Where liquidity is building.
• Where premium and discount become important.
• Which pullbacks are healthy.
• Which reversals deserve skepticism.
🔥 Structure isn’t just another confirmation. Structure is the foundation.
⸻
Once I know the trend, I don’t chase price.
I let price come back to me.
That’s where location comes in.
A pullback into a meaningful higher time frame area carries far more weight than forcing an entry after an impulsive move has already happened.
🔥 Good traders find entries. Great traders wait for location.
⸻
This is where many traders get trapped.
They see a lower time frame CHoCH…
A BOS…
An order block…
A fair value gap…
…and they immediately believe it’s time to trade.
Maybe.
Maybe not.
Without higher time frame location, those confirmations lose a lot of value.
Context always comes first.
⸻
Here’s my process.
1️⃣ Define higher time frame order flow.
2️⃣ Identify the areas where I actually want to participate.
3️⃣ Let price travel into those locations.
4️⃣ Wait for lower time frame confirmation.
5️⃣ Execute only after the market proves my idea—not before.
🔥 Confirmation is earned. It isn’t assumed.
⸻
One of the biggest lessons I’ve learned is this:
Not every order block deserves my attention.
Not every liquidity sweep deserves a trade.
Not every CHoCH changes the trend.
The market prints these every single day.
The question isn’t whether they exist.
The question is whether they occurred in the right location.
🔥 The same pattern can be low probability in one area and high probability in another. Location changes everything.
⸻
Patience isn’t doing nothing.
Patience is protecting capital until the probabilities shift in your favor.
Every candle that doesn’t meet my criteria saves me from unnecessary risk.
That’s part of the job.
⸻
My charts don’t tell me what to do.
They tell me what I’m willing to wait for.
That’s a huge difference.
🔥 The market pays traders who can wait longer than everyone else.
⸻
So the next time you’re about to force an entry…
Pause and ask yourself:
“Is this a great entry… or is this actually a great location?”
Because entries come and go every day.
🔥 High-probability locations don’t.
Patience. Process. Location.
— Juice Man 🧃
USDJPY | Mid-Term Market PerspectiveHigher time frame structure remains bullish. Price has rallied into the highs, but from my perspective, it hasn’t done enough on the lower time frame to completely reverse the overall bullish order flow.
With that in mind, I’m anticipating a bearish pullback when the market opens. Ideally, I’d like to see sellers step in and drive price lower into the deeper mid-term order block (orange auction area), allowing for deeper higher time frame candle acceptance.
If price reaches that area, that’s where my focus shifts. I’ll begin monitoring for lower time frame confirmation that buyers are stepping back in to continue the higher time frame bullish trend.
Until then, I’m staying patient. No predictions—just following my process, tracking my edge, and letting price reveal its intentions once the market opens.
Let’s see what the market delivers.
CADJPY Trade Journal| Bullish Delivery After HTF RebalanceHigher-timeframe structure remains bullish, with higher lows still intact within the current bullish order flow.
Price mitigated the internal structure order block (blue zone) through a liquidity wick, creating a liquidity event that produced a strong reaction. This reaction supported buy pressure and delivered aggressive bullish expansion on the lower timeframes.
From there, price remained within the previous weeks’ range and confirmed the bullish shift by mitigating the orange level, flipping lower-timeframe structure back bullish and breaking the previous lower high.
The trade is currently active, with my buy positions placed from the higher-timeframe rebalance fill.
Since then, price has continued to deliver from this area, breaking previous highs with candle-body acceptance after coming from a distribution phase. Price is currently correcting to extend delivery while filling inefficiencies around the 50% area of the discounted range.
If price fails to hold this area, I expect the market to potentially engineer further liquidity and seek deeper order blocks underneath the current engineered liquidity. However, that scenario depends on price failing to maintain its current bullish progression.
Until then, I’m following the footprints, tracking price behavior, and allowing the market to continue developing.
Patience is key.
Tracking remains the edge.
Let’s go.
GBPJPY Midterm Outlook| Tracking Bullish DeliveryHigher-timeframe structure remains bullish on GBPJPY. From a midterm perspective, I’m waiting for sell-side liquidity to be taken and price to deliver into my midterm order block, which is the main POI I’m monitoring.
Currently, I’m tracking the first order block and observing the footprint behavior as price approaches the zone. The reaction and acceptance around this area will determine the next phase of delivery.
If that area fails to hold, I expect price to engineer the full leg and seek the point of origin of the range, potentially mitigating an extreme area within discounted territory.
Until then, I’m continuing to monitor the footprints and allowing price to reveal the next opportunity.
Patience is key
Tracking remains the edge.
Let’s go.
GBPUSD| Will Fresh Demand Hold The Current Momentum?GBPUSD has built bullish momentum into this week’s range, and I’m tracking how price responds around these current fresh POIs.
My main focus is seeing whether these areas can hold and provide continued acceptance toward the highs. I’m not interested in forcing a reaction from the first zone alone; I’m looking for higher-timeframe acceptance or lower-timeframe confirmation before considering any opportunity.
If the first green POI fails to hold, I expect price to potentially engineer additional liquidity and seek deeper into the range to mitigate the point of origin. This doesn’t necessarily mean a full liquidity sweep of the larger pool, but it could create a stronger corrective move into deeper discounted territory.
For now, the current zones are showing potential to support continuation. I’ll continue tracking the bullish footprints and allowing price to reveal the next delivery.
Patience is key. Tracking remains the edge.
AUDCAD | Bullish Delivery Still in ProgressHigher-timeframe structure remains bullish, so I’m maintaining the same bias from previous week’s outlook.
Price engineered internal liquidity, swept a larger liquidity pool for fuel, and mitigated the last point of interest within the lower-timeframe main external range. That area held, and we’ve since seen bullish delivery.
I’m expecting price to continue delivering and break through the internal highs. If price retraces to seek additional liquidity before continuing higher, I’ll be watching for the current internal inducement leg to be taken, with price rotating into my freshly unmitigated green box below. Until then, I’m staying patient, tracking the delivery, and letting price reveal the next opportunity.
Patience is key
Tracking remains the edge.
Let’s go.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports & resistances
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my updated support & resistance analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 4122 - 4140 area
Resistance 2: 4191 - 4221 area
Resistance 3: 4329 - 4435 area
Support 1: 4020 - 4076 area
Support 2: 4393 - 4000 area
Support 3: 3886 - 3932 area
Consider these structures for pullback and breakout trading.
I think that the price will likely break Resistance 1 and reach Resistance 2.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Outlook: Market Structure Shift Signals RecoveryGold is showing early signs of a bullish recovery after forming a Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the 4H timeframe. If buyers maintain control, price could continue targeting the resting liquidity above previous swing highs before reaching the major resistance zone.
The overall bias remains bullish as long as higher lows continue to form. However, traders should wait for confirmation at each liquidity level before expecting further upside.
Key Levels
* 🟢 Bias: Bullish
* 🎯 Intermediate Targets: Previous liquidity highs
* 🔥 Major Target: 5000 Strong Resistance Area
* 📊 Watch for bullish confirmations and liquidity sweeps.
⚠️ Not Financial Advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade with proper risk management.
$ZEC: Is the Bottom In After the Crash? 544 DecidesAfter a critical vulnerability was found, CRYPTOCAP:ZEC dropped to $250 and got bought back pretty fast.
It came right back up to the local volume zone at 544. After that we had a good correction and buyers quickly scooped up the discount zone below 0.5.
Right now there are hints of an uptrend forming since we set a higher low. The trend change confirms on a break of structure and holding above 544.
Locally this could just be a sweep of 544 first and a pullback. In the sweep scenario that's not confirmation. For a trend change I need either a slow move out and a hold above, or a break of the level on a strong impulse and then holding above.
While structure holds like this (a bit range-ish) I'd only take quick local trades or play the range edges.
Nearest target on a break of structure up is the 600-630 zone (POC of the downside impulse).
NFA!
OMAB | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 115.57
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 110.47 (-4.40 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
QBTS | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 24.73
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 22.30 (-9.80 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
CX | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 12.55
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 11.84 (-5.60 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2026 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2026 – Friday 🔴
Full Circle: Grinds Back to 24,200 Panic-Selling Level
🗞 Nifty Summary
Another range-bound day, and this time with a smaller range than yesterday’s.
Nifty opened with a 162-point gap up, trading with bullish sentiment above R1 and PDH. From the first tick, the index pushed further north, adding another 105 points to form the IB at 105 points.
The rest of the day mostly stayed within this range, though mid-session activity got denser inside the 30-point band of 24,150 ~ 24,180. By the close, Nifty settled at 24,211.65, near the day’s high, with an adjusted close of 24,206.90.
Today’s move also stayed inside 8th July’s big candle range, but held above yesterday’s high. The chart shows some selling pressure near 24,200, yet closing right at this level puts us in a bit of a dilemma.
Today’s close lands at the exact spot where the 8th July panic selling started — so what do we make of that? Was that fear gone, or was that whole situation actually resolved? The geopolitical situation hasn’t thrown up anything fresh either way. Let’s see where we open on Monday; that should define the short-term trend bias from here.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,124.70
High: 24,228.45
Low: 24,120.35
Close: 24,206.90
Change: +244.10 (+1.02%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Strong Bullish — buyers stayed in control right through the session
Range: ≈ 108 points — low volatility
Body: ≈ 82 points — reflects steady buying pressure holding up through the day
Upper Wick: ≈ 22 points — some rejection near the high, minor supply showing up
Lower Wick: ≈ 4 points — barely any selling at the low, sellers didn’t get much room
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 262.07
IB Range: 105.70 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
09:31 Long Trade: Trailing Target Hit (R:R 1:1.19)
10:29 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.81)
11:53 Short Trade: SL Hit
12:45 Long Trade: SL Hit
Trade Summary: I got trapped in a couple of fakeouts, so I decided to stay out and wait for an IB breakout, which kept me from getting caught in any more whipsaws.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones: 24,250 | 24,360 | 24,500
Support Zones: 24,110 | 24,040 | 23,960 | 23,865 ~ 23,785
🧠 Final Thoughts
“Price can return to the same number twice and still be telling two different stories”
Today felt like the market took yesterday’s gap and just sat on it. 162 points up at the open, another 105 points added early, and then most of the day just chopped around inside the IB range.
If 24,200 holds through Monday’s open, this range might slowly build into something bigger. A break below 24,110 could bring the 24,040 ~ 23,960 zone back into play, and losing 23,865 ~ 23,785 opens the door to revisit lower levels. On the upside, 24,250 and then 24,360 are the zones worth watching if buyers stay in charge.
Not going to read too much into the closing print at 24,200 — it’s just one more data point until Monday’s open gives us more to work with. Staying patient with the IB breakout approach worked today, and that’s probably the right way to walk into next week too.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is my personal digital diary and represents my own analysis and point of view. It is not financial advice; please consult a professional advisor before making any trading decisions.
NAS100 | Watch Zone for potential short trade | 10 July 2026In 10 years on TradingView I don't think I've ever posted a NAS100 analysis, so this one better be a winner lol. 🤣
I exclusively trade Gold but I've been testing my framework across other markets to see if the same principles hold up. So here's a free one for you.
H4 view. Structure is clear, price swept the liquidity and is now retracing. The Watch Zone sitting around 30,400-30,600 is where I'll be paying close attention. Multiple factors converging there.
The yellow path is the probability I'm monitoring. Not a prediction, just the scenario I'm prepared for so the plan is simple: identifying an area where I'll be looking for a mechanical setup to tick all the boxes on LTF.
Set your alarm at the Watch Zone level. IF and only if price gets there, I'll update the notes below with what I'm seeing in real time. Until then... nothing to do but wait.
As always I only trade the probabilities based purely on technical analysis and mechanical execution.
Trade safely. God bless!!🙏
BTC Analyses-3, [July 08, 2026]Welcome to my page! I share daily technical analyses of Bitcoin and other charts here.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
💡Market Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently caught in a clear trading range, oscillating between the defined resistance at 64,232 and support at 61,712. We are waiting for a definitive breakout, confirmed by a candle with >50% body outside these bounds, to signal the next directional move.
Key Support & Resistance:
Key Resistance: 64,258
Key Support Area: 61,722 - 62,411
🎯 Trade Entry & Exit Plan:
Entry : Breakout/Pullback of trendline or key zones with >50% candle body.
Stop Loss : Behind the last wave or the last breakout candle.
Take Profit : Minimum R:R 2, with further targets at major horizontal levels.
⚠️Risk Management:
Maximum 1% risk per trade.
❤️Please share your thoughts and comments on this analysis!
UNG | June, 2026 | The time to go long has come- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 11.83
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 11.21 (-5.20 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.






















