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US10Y Fake Break:Is a New Bond Yield Rally About to Shake MarketToday, I want to analyze the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ), as it is one of the key financial market indices that can show us the broader market direction for various assets like Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ), Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ), U.S. stock indices (including the S&P 500 ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 )), and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) in the crypto market. Stay with me.
On the daily timeframe, the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield is currently moving near a support zone (4.24%-4.10%) and has formed a fake break. Typically, after fake break patterns, the market tends to move in the opposite direction, with upward momentum (educational note).
From a classical technical analysis standpoint, the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield seems to have formed a falling wedge pattern, which could signal a potential upward breakout.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, after breaking the upper line of the falling wedge pattern, we could anticipate the start of the next impulsive wave upward.
I expect the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield to continue its upward trend in the coming days and at least reach the next resistance zone(4.64%-4.50%). This rise could lead to a decline in risk assets such as U.S. equities, gold, silver, and even the crypto market, including Bitcoin.
Target: Resistance zone(4.64%-4.50%)
Stop Loss(SL): 4.35%
Note: The U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield could potentially maintain its upward trend ahead of the FOMC meeting on July 29. After the release of new economic data and once we hear Warsh’s latest remarks, we may get a clearer signal about the next major move or a possible trend reversal.
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How Rising 10-Year Bond Yields Influence Major Assets
When 10-year government bond yields move higher, they tend to reshape investor behavior across markets:
Bitcoin & Cryptocurrencies
As yields climb, capital often rotates toward safer, income-generating assets like bonds. This shift can reduce demand for high-risk assets such as Bitcoin, potentially leading to price pressure.
Gold
Gold typically struggles in a rising yield environment. Since it doesn’t generate income, higher bond yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can weigh on its price.
U.S. Equities
Stocks, especially growth and tech sectors, may face headwinds. Higher yields usually mean higher borrowing costs, which can compress margins and slow down expansion for companies reliant on financing.
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What’s your view on US10Y? If US10Yr rises, could we see declines in gold, U.S. stock indices, and the cryptocurrency market?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Analyze (US10Y%), Daily time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends. 
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Nikkei 225 wedge points to breakout riskOur Nikkei 225 contract is coiling within what resembles a falling wedge pattern, raising the prospect of an eventual bullish breakout and retest of the record high. That would fit with the broader technical picture, with the price in a strong uptrend while continuing to hold above the key medium and longer-term moving averages, all of which have a positive slope.
Of course, that's no guarantee we'll see a breakout, but traders should be alert to the risk. A sustained move above wedge resistance, preferably on a closing basis, would allow for longs to be set with a tight stop below the breakout level, targeting the record high at 73,520. 72,000 is a level of note in between, marking the swing high set on July 1.
The oscillators are more neutral than bullish or bearish. RSI (14) has posted a series of lower highs but remains marginally above the neutral 50 level. MACD has crossed the signal line from above but continues to hold in positive territory. It’s more a cautionary message for bulls than a green light for bears. As such, for now, I'd place more emphasis on price action.
Good luck!
DS 
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Gold Weekly Chart: The Most Important Level to Watch Right NowOn the weekly chart, price is once again testing the rising trendline that has supported every major pullback since October 2023. Each previous visit to this level attracted aggressive buyers and led to another leg up, making this one of the most important technical levels on the chart.
Since peaking in March 2026, Gold has been correcting inside a falling wedge. While this pattern often appears after downtrends, it can also develop as a continuation pattern within a larger uptrend. In this case, the broader trend remains bullish, making a breakout from the wedge a potential signal that the primary uptrend is ready to resume.
The last two weekly candles formed a “Double Tweezer Bottom”, a classic reversal pattern that suggests sellers are struggling to push price lower and buyers are beginning to defend this support zone.
That said, the macro picture is far from one-sided.
Higher Treasury yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and investors rotating into technology stocks have weighed heavily on Gold, contributing to its weakest quarterly performance since 2013. Meanwhile, analysts at JPMorgan describe Gold as sitting in technical no-man's land, with markets caught between two competing narratives.
The next major move will likely depend on which macro scenario plays out first:
🟢 Bullish: The Fed pivots toward rate cuts, the U.S. dollar weakens, and lower yields revive demand for Gold.
🔴 Bearish: Inflation remains stubborn, forcing the Fed to keep rates higher for longer or even hike again, supporting the dollar and putting additional pressure on Gold.
If buyers can defend this long-term trendline and price breaks out of the falling wedge, Gold could be setting up for the next leg higher. But if this support finally gives way after holding for nearly three years, it would mark a significant technical shift and could open the door to a much deeper correction.
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BNB Trap Before the Big Move?Yello Paradisers! Are you prepared for a potential sharp move on #BNB, or are you still underestimating what’s quietly building behind the scenes? At first glance, this structure might seem like a simple and healthy pullback. But when we strip away emotions and analyse the chart objectively, a completely different narrative emerges. This is not random price action this is a high-risk, high-opportunity zone where discipline matters far more than opinions.
💎#BNB has broken out of the falling wedge pattern, while the overall market structure has gradually started shifting to the upside. On top of that, we can see a clear RSI divergence, which adds more strength to the bullish probability. As long as the price continues to hold momentum inside the order block zone, the structure remains constructive, with 664 acting as the first important resistance level to watch.
💎#BNB has recently printed a classic selling climax, followed by a climactic action candle supported by ultra-high volume. This is a textbook indication of accumulation. Historically, this exact behaviour appears when smart money begins positioning ahead of a larger move. While subtle to the untrained eye, this probability carries significant weight for experienced traders.
💎#BNB has also swept the liquidity below the selling climax with shakeout test and then broken above the upper trigger line with a strong momentum candle. This suggests that weak hands were pushed out before stronger buyers stepped in with conviction. If the prices sustain this momentum, the next upside path can open toward 729, which is currently acting as a major structural resistance level.
💎If #BNB fails to hold bullish momentum and a momentum candle closes below 502, the current bullish probability becomes invalid. In that case, we could see further downside pressure.
That is why Paradisers, we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities only on confirmations.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
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Back to the Value.BTC 4H: Back Inside Value, But Still Fighting Falling Wedge Resistance
BTC has managed to reclaim the value area after tapping the VAL zone around 62.2k.
That is constructive, but not enough by itself.
Price is now testing an important confluence:
Back inside VA
VAL reclaimed around 62.2k
Falling wedge resistance directly above price
Current price near the 62.4k area
This makes the next few 4H closes important.
The market is no longer in a simple breakdown structure, but it has not confirmed a clean breakout yet.
Scenario 1: Bullish Acceptance Back Inside Value
The bullish scenario requires BTC to hold above the VAL and start closing above the falling wedge resistance.
If buyers can confirm acceptance back inside the value area, the next upside magnet is the higher-volume zone around 64.2k-64.5k.
That area lines up with previous value/POC resistance and is likely the first important reaction zone.
If BTC accepts above that region, the next upside targets are around 65.1k and then the upper value area near 66.5k.
In simple terms:
Hold above 62.2k VAL
Break and close above falling wedge resistance
Target 64.2k-64.5k first
Above that, watch 65.1k and 66.5k
This would suggest that the move back into value is not just a short squeeze, but a real acceptance move.
Scenario 2: Rejection From Wedge Resistance
The bearish scenario is a rejection from the falling wedge resistance followed by a loss of the VAL.
If BTC fails to close above the wedge and starts closing back below 62.2k, the reclaim loses strength.
That would turn the move back into value into a failed acceptance.
In that case, price can rotate back toward the lower liquidity and volume zones.
The main downside areas I would watch are:
60.7k
60.0k
59.4k
58.6k
A clean loss of VAL would put sellers back in control and increase the probability of another sweep toward the lower part of the structure.
Key Level
For me, the key zone is 62.2k-62.5k.
As long as BTC holds above this area and keeps building acceptance inside VA, the bullish scenario remains alive.
If price loses this zone and rejects the wedge, the setup shifts back toward a bearish rotation.
Final Thought
BTC is at a decision point.
Reclaiming value is positive.
But the falling wedge resistance still needs to be broken.
The next move depends on whether BTC confirms acceptance above this resistance, or fails and rotates back below VAL.
This is not a prediction.
It is a trigger-based plan. Long 
KSE 100, 1D - OverviewKSE 100, 1D
Downtrend has been reversed with HH and HL prints in play. Index broken the rectangular box. Immediate support is 183,000 and immediate resistance is 186,682.
Supports
183,000
180,000
177,000
Resistance
186,682
190,000
190,800
Arsalan Anwer
Stags 
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DOLLAR INDEXDollar What is DXY?
The DXY (or USDX) measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against a weighted basket of six major currencies:
• Euro (EUR) ~57.6%
• Japanese Yen (JPY) ~13.6%
• British Pound (GBP) ~11.9%
• Canadian Dollar (CAD) ~9.1%
• Swedish Krona (SEK) ~4.2%
• Swiss Franc (CHF) ~3.6%
A rising DXY = stronger USD. A falling DXY = weaker USD. Current levels are around 100.8–101 (as of early July 2026). 
How DXY Affects Gold (XAU/USD)
Gold and DXY have a strong negative (inverse) correlation — typically between -0.5 and -0.8 historically. 
• Stronger USD (↑ DXY) → Lower gold prices: Gold is priced in USD. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for buyers using other currencies, reducing demand and pressuring prices down.
• Weaker USD (↓ DXY) → Higher gold prices: Gold becomes cheaper for international buyers, boosting demand. Gold also acts as a hedge against dollar weakness.
Exceptions: During extreme crises (e.g., major geopolitical events or simultaneous safe-haven flows), both can sometimes rise together temporarily. 
How DXY Affects Other Currency Pairs (“Other Pairs”)
Since DXY tracks the USD’s strength, it has a direct impact on most USD-based forex pairs:
• Negative correlation pairs (DXY up → pair down):
• EUR/USD: Heavily weighted in DXY — strong inverse link.
• GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, etc. (commodity currencies often move with risk sentiment too).
• Positive correlation pairs (DXY up → pair up):
• USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD (these strengthen when USD does).
Practical trading tip: If DXY is breaking higher, expect downward pressure on EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and gold.
#DXY 
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