OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Guppy MMA Mean Reversion Signals
The Guppy MMA Mean Reversion System is a trend-following mean reversion tool designed to identify high-probability pullbacks within established trends. By combining the classic Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) with volatility, volume, and momentum filters, this script aims to reduce the "noise" often found in standard moving average cross strategies.
The Concept: Why this Works
Standard GMMA indicators are excellent for visualizing trend strength but often lack precise entry triggers or filters to avoid entering during periods of low volume or extreme exhaustion. This script addresses these limitations by integrating four distinct analytical components:
- GMMA Ribbons (Trend & Reversion Zones): We use two groups of EMAs (Short-term and Long-term). The Long-term group defines the "institutional" trend. Our entry logic looks for price to revert from the short-term trend back into the long-term trend zone—a classic sign of a healthy pullback.
- CVD Confluence (Volume Confirmation): Using Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) based on candle-body delta approximations, the script ensures that volume flow supports the entry direction. This prevents entering pullbacks that lack the necessary buying/selling pressure to resume the trend.
- ATR Volatility Filter (Statistical Spacing): To avoid "choppy" entries, this filter requires the price to be at a statistically significant distance from the EMA based on market volatility (ATR). This ensures you are entering at a true "discount" rather than in a sideways market.
- RSI Exhaustion Filter (Momentum Safety): We utilize RSI to ensure that a reversion hasn't reached an overextended state. For example, it prevents buying a pullback if the RSI indicates the asset is already in an overbought exhaustion phase.
How to Use
- Long Entries (Green Circles): Triggers when the Long-term ribbon is bullish, and price pulls back to touch the Long-term EMA group, provided the CVD, ATR, and RSI conditions are met.
- Short Entries (Red Circles): Triggers when the Long-term ribbon is bearish, and price rallies to touch the Long-term EMA group, filtered by volume and momentum.
- Exits (Labels): Exit signals appear when price successfully reverts back to the "fast" Short-term group, marking the completion of the mean reversion move.
Key Features & Customization
- Independent Toggles: You can independently turn on/off buy signals, sell signals, and their respective exits to suit your specific trading style (e.g., only trading the long side).
- Signal Cooldown: Includes a customizable "bar count" cooldown to prevent multiple overlapping signals during high-volatility periods.
- Comprehensive Settings: Fully adjustable EMA lengths, ATR multipliers, and RSI thresholds to adapt the system to different timeframes and asset classes (Crypto, Forex, Stocks).
Settings Guide
- Use ATR Filter: Increase the multiplier for more conservative, wider entries.
- Use CVD Filter: Enable to ensure volume delta is trending with your entry.
- Use RSI Filter: Helps avoid "catching falling knives" by filtering out trades during extreme momentum spikes.
The Concept: Why this Works
Standard GMMA indicators are excellent for visualizing trend strength but often lack precise entry triggers or filters to avoid entering during periods of low volume or extreme exhaustion. This script addresses these limitations by integrating four distinct analytical components:
- GMMA Ribbons (Trend & Reversion Zones): We use two groups of EMAs (Short-term and Long-term). The Long-term group defines the "institutional" trend. Our entry logic looks for price to revert from the short-term trend back into the long-term trend zone—a classic sign of a healthy pullback.
- CVD Confluence (Volume Confirmation): Using Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) based on candle-body delta approximations, the script ensures that volume flow supports the entry direction. This prevents entering pullbacks that lack the necessary buying/selling pressure to resume the trend.
- ATR Volatility Filter (Statistical Spacing): To avoid "choppy" entries, this filter requires the price to be at a statistically significant distance from the EMA based on market volatility (ATR). This ensures you are entering at a true "discount" rather than in a sideways market.
- RSI Exhaustion Filter (Momentum Safety): We utilize RSI to ensure that a reversion hasn't reached an overextended state. For example, it prevents buying a pullback if the RSI indicates the asset is already in an overbought exhaustion phase.
How to Use
- Long Entries (Green Circles): Triggers when the Long-term ribbon is bullish, and price pulls back to touch the Long-term EMA group, provided the CVD, ATR, and RSI conditions are met.
- Short Entries (Red Circles): Triggers when the Long-term ribbon is bearish, and price rallies to touch the Long-term EMA group, filtered by volume and momentum.
- Exits (Labels): Exit signals appear when price successfully reverts back to the "fast" Short-term group, marking the completion of the mean reversion move.
Key Features & Customization
- Independent Toggles: You can independently turn on/off buy signals, sell signals, and their respective exits to suit your specific trading style (e.g., only trading the long side).
- Signal Cooldown: Includes a customizable "bar count" cooldown to prevent multiple overlapping signals during high-volatility periods.
- Comprehensive Settings: Fully adjustable EMA lengths, ATR multipliers, and RSI thresholds to adapt the system to different timeframes and asset classes (Crypto, Forex, Stocks).
Settings Guide
- Use ATR Filter: Increase the multiplier for more conservative, wider entries.
- Use CVD Filter: Enable to ensure volume delta is trending with your entry.
- Use RSI Filter: Helps avoid "catching falling knives" by filtering out trades during extreme momentum spikes.
Mã nguồn mở
Theo đúng tinh thần TradingView, tác giả của tập lệnh này đã công bố nó dưới dạng mã nguồn mở, để các nhà giao dịch có thể xem xét và xác minh chức năng. Chúc mừng tác giả! Mặc dù bạn có thể sử dụng miễn phí, hãy nhớ rằng việc công bố lại mã phải tuân theo Nội quy.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.
Mã nguồn mở
Theo đúng tinh thần TradingView, tác giả của tập lệnh này đã công bố nó dưới dạng mã nguồn mở, để các nhà giao dịch có thể xem xét và xác minh chức năng. Chúc mừng tác giả! Mặc dù bạn có thể sử dụng miễn phí, hãy nhớ rằng việc công bố lại mã phải tuân theo Nội quy.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.