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ES EMA Pullback System

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Filter 1 — Trend Direction

This is determined by the EMA stack.

Bullish
EMA9 > EMA21 > EMA50
Bearish
EMA9 < EMA21 < EMA50

Illustration:

UPTREND

price

│ ●
│ ●
│ ●

EMA9
EMA21
EMA50
Filter 2 — Pullback to the Moving Average

You want price to return to the EMA area.

Trend move






↓ pullback

Example:

price

│ ●
│ ●
│ ●
│ ●
│●
└────────────
EMA9

This is where new traders panic and exit.

Professionals enter here.

Filter 3 — Momentum Candle

We need proof that the trend is resuming.

Example bearish signal candle:


│ ▲ pullback
│ ▲
│▲

│ ▼ big red candle
│ ▼

This candle shows sellers are back in control.

5️⃣ Bearish Trade Example

Step-by-step:

Step 1 — Confirm downtrend
EMA9
EMA21
EMA50

All sloping down.

Step 2 — Wait for pullback

Price retraces toward the EMA zone.

downtrend


↑ pullback

Step 3 — Momentum candle

A bearish candle appears.

pullback


▼ SELL candle
Step 4 — Enter trade
ENTRY = close of signal candle
Step 5 — Stop and target

Your system uses ATR risk management.

Example:

Entry: 5000
Stop: 5008
Target: 4984

That gives 1:2 reward/risk.

Illustration:

stop


entry ─────┼────────


target
6️⃣ Bullish Trade Example

The rules are the mirror image.

Step 1 — Confirm uptrend
EMA9 above EMA21
EMA21 above EMA50
Step 2 — Wait for pullback
trend up


↓ pullback
Step 3 — Bullish momentum candle
pullback


▲ strong green candle
Step 4 — Enter
buy at close of signal candle
Step 5 — Stop and target
target = 2x stop distance
7️⃣ When NOT to Trade

Your strategy fails in chop.

Example:

price
│ ▲
│ ▼
│ ▲
│ ▼
│ ▲

This sideways action causes:

false signals
stop outs
drawdown

Warning signs:

🚫 EMAs tangled together
🚫 No clear direction
🚫 Small candles

Illustration:

EMA9
EMA21
EMA50
all tangled

Avoid trading then.

8️⃣ Ideal Trading Session

ES moves most during:

9:30 – 11:30 AM
1:30 – 4:00 PM

Worst time:

11:30 – 1:30 (lunch chop)
9️⃣ Trade Management

Your system is designed for:

Win rate ≈ 35-40%
Reward ≈ 2x risk

That means:

Many small losses
Few big winners

Example sequence:

Loss
Loss
Win
Loss
Win
Win

Still profitable.

🔑 The Core Idea

Your strategy exploits one simple behavior:

Trends
pause
then continue

You enter during the pause.

What a Perfect Setup Looks Like
trend


pullback


momentum candle

ENTRY

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