OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
CDC Action Zone+TrueMarket Mean (BTC Focus) By Beckte
## Overview
This indicator is a macro-focused trend following and cyclical value tracking tool, specifically designed for Bitcoin (BTC) long-term investors. It combines the momentum logic of the well-known **CDC Action Zone** with a mathematical simulation of the On-Chain **Realized Price** model.
The main purpose of this script is to identify high-probability, macro-generational accumulation zones while filtering out early or false bottom signals during aggressive downtrends.
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## Key Components
### 1. CDC Action Zone (Trend & Momentum)
Based on the classic EMA 12 and EMA 26 crossover logic, this component colors the candlesticks to reflect the market's current momentum:
- 🟢 **Bright Green:** Strong Bullish Momentum (Hold / Trend is up)
- 🔵 **Blue:** Early Bullish Sign / Potential Reversal (Watch closely or start accumulation)
- 🔴 **Bright Red:** Strong Bearish Momentum (Stay in cash / Wait)
- 🟠 **Orange:** Early Bearish Sign / Technical Rebound in Bear Market
### 2. Realized Price Proxy (The Cyclical Floor)
In on-chain analysis, the **Realized Price** represents the average cost basis of all aggregate Bitcoin supply moving on-network, without omitting lost or dormant coins.
Since native on-chain data requires external API subscriptions on TradingView, this script utilizes a specialized long-term statistical proxy (**730-day SMA with custom logarithmic offsets**) to simulate this ultimate cyclical floor. Historically, major bear market bottoms (2015, 2018, 2022) have strictly formed near or slightly below this baseline.
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## How it Works & Entry Strategy (The Anti-Doi Mechanism)
To avoid catching falling knives during a capitulation event, this script enforces a strict double-confirmation rule:
1. **Value Zone Check:** The current market price must correct down to within **10% of the Realized Price Proxy** (the light blue line). This ensures you are buying Bitcoin at an extreme discount relative to historical network value.
2. **Momentum Trigger:** Once inside the Value Zone, the script waits for the **CDC Action Zone to flip from Red/Orange to Blue or Green**.
When both conditions are met, a **"REALIZED BUY"** label will plot beneath the candlestick, signaling a safe, low-risk entry spot with a highly compressed downside.
---
## Disclaimer & Credits
- **Credits:** The trend-following logic is inspired by the legendary "CDC Action Zone" concept popularized by Piriya Sambandaraksa. The valuation floor is based on the Realized Price on-chain metric conceptualized by the crypto-asset research community.
- **Disclaimer:** This indicator is designed for high-timeframe spot accumulation (recommended: 1D or 4H charts). It is not a financial advisory tool or a guarantee of future profits. Past performance does not indicate future results. Always practice proper risk management.
This indicator is a macro-focused trend following and cyclical value tracking tool, specifically designed for Bitcoin (BTC) long-term investors. It combines the momentum logic of the well-known **CDC Action Zone** with a mathematical simulation of the On-Chain **Realized Price** model.
The main purpose of this script is to identify high-probability, macro-generational accumulation zones while filtering out early or false bottom signals during aggressive downtrends.
---
## Key Components
### 1. CDC Action Zone (Trend & Momentum)
Based on the classic EMA 12 and EMA 26 crossover logic, this component colors the candlesticks to reflect the market's current momentum:
- 🟢 **Bright Green:** Strong Bullish Momentum (Hold / Trend is up)
- 🔵 **Blue:** Early Bullish Sign / Potential Reversal (Watch closely or start accumulation)
- 🔴 **Bright Red:** Strong Bearish Momentum (Stay in cash / Wait)
- 🟠 **Orange:** Early Bearish Sign / Technical Rebound in Bear Market
### 2. Realized Price Proxy (The Cyclical Floor)
In on-chain analysis, the **Realized Price** represents the average cost basis of all aggregate Bitcoin supply moving on-network, without omitting lost or dormant coins.
Since native on-chain data requires external API subscriptions on TradingView, this script utilizes a specialized long-term statistical proxy (**730-day SMA with custom logarithmic offsets**) to simulate this ultimate cyclical floor. Historically, major bear market bottoms (2015, 2018, 2022) have strictly formed near or slightly below this baseline.
---
## How it Works & Entry Strategy (The Anti-Doi Mechanism)
To avoid catching falling knives during a capitulation event, this script enforces a strict double-confirmation rule:
1. **Value Zone Check:** The current market price must correct down to within **10% of the Realized Price Proxy** (the light blue line). This ensures you are buying Bitcoin at an extreme discount relative to historical network value.
2. **Momentum Trigger:** Once inside the Value Zone, the script waits for the **CDC Action Zone to flip from Red/Orange to Blue or Green**.
When both conditions are met, a **"REALIZED BUY"** label will plot beneath the candlestick, signaling a safe, low-risk entry spot with a highly compressed downside.
---
## Disclaimer & Credits
- **Credits:** The trend-following logic is inspired by the legendary "CDC Action Zone" concept popularized by Piriya Sambandaraksa. The valuation floor is based on the Realized Price on-chain metric conceptualized by the crypto-asset research community.
- **Disclaimer:** This indicator is designed for high-timeframe spot accumulation (recommended: 1D or 4H charts). It is not a financial advisory tool or a guarantee of future profits. Past performance does not indicate future results. Always practice proper risk management.
Mã nguồn mở
Theo đúng tinh thần TradingView, tác giả của tập lệnh này đã công bố nó dưới dạng mã nguồn mở, để các nhà giao dịch có thể xem xét và xác minh chức năng. Chúc mừng tác giả! Mặc dù bạn có thể sử dụng miễn phí, hãy nhớ rằng việc công bố lại mã phải tuân theo Nội quy.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.
Mã nguồn mở
Theo đúng tinh thần TradingView, tác giả của tập lệnh này đã công bố nó dưới dạng mã nguồn mở, để các nhà giao dịch có thể xem xét và xác minh chức năng. Chúc mừng tác giả! Mặc dù bạn có thể sử dụng miễn phí, hãy nhớ rằng việc công bố lại mã phải tuân theo Nội quy.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.