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NVDA: Nvidia Stock Dives 3% as Earnings Crush Again but Data Center Revenue Misses the Mark

2 min read
Key points:
  • Nvidia shares dip over 3%
  • Revenue, earnings top estimates
  • Data centers lag behind consensus

Happy Nvidia Day, everyone. Another blockbuster quarter of growth with revenue up 56% from last year. Data centers? Well, let’s say investors were a bit hard to please about data centers.

🏆 Blowout Numbers, But the Bar’s Set Too High

  • Nvidia NVDA, the almighty $4 trillion beast of a company, did it again — another blockbuster quarter with record revenue, soaring net income, and a solid outlook for the rest of the year. But Wall Street wasn’t satisfied.
  • Shares slipped 3% in after-hours trading Wednesday after Nvidia’s data center revenue, while huge, came in just below sky-high expectations.
  • Nvidia reported $46.7 billion in revenue for the July quarter, beating estimates of $45.9 billion and marking a 56% jump from the $30 billion posted a year ago. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.05 against $1.01 expected, another solid beat.

💰 Stock Slips Despite Huge Net Income

  • Net income soared to $26 billion, putting Nvidia in third place among S&P 500 companies by profit, trailing only Alphabet GOOGL and Microsoft MSFT.
  • Looking ahead, Nvidia expects third-quarter revenue of $54 billion at midpoint, topping the Street’s $53.4 billion forecast — yet despite the solid guide, the stock slipped.
  • Apparently, investors were hungry for more growth, bigger beats, and bolder guidance.

🏢 Data Centers Deliver… But Not Enough

  • Nvidia’s data center revenue hit $41.1 billion, up 56% from last year — a massive figure, but still just shy of Wall Street’s $41.3 billion target. When expectations are this lofty, even a rounding error matters.
  • Roughly 50% of data center revenue came from hyperscale cloud providers like Amazon AMZN, Alphabet GOOGL and Microsoft MSFT., underscoring just how dependent Nvidia’s AI dominance is on Big Tech’s deep pockets.
  • CEO Jensen Huang called demand for the company’s new Blackwell platform “extraordinary” and hinted that any softness in data center sales is more supply-driven than demand-related — something investors will want tested during the remainder of the year.

🌏 China, Geopolitics, and What’s Next

  • Nvidia confirmed zero sales (not factoring in smugglers) of its H20 GPUs in China during the July quarter due to ongoing US export restrictions and said it isn’t assuming any China-based H20 shipments in its current-quarter outlook either.
  • “We continue to work through geopolitical issues,” CFO Colette Kress told analysts, suggesting that navigating regulatory headwinds remains a top priority as the corporate juggernaut seeks to balance explosive AI demand with policy constraints.
  • Investors are now laser-focused on supply capacity and forward demand. If Nvidia can’t ramp up production fast enough to meet hyperscaler appetite, even a $54 billion revenue guide might not be enough to keep the stock momentum intact. Again, to those who celebrate, happy Nvidia Day!