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USDJPY M15 FVG Rejection and Short-Term Bearish Rotation Setup

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📝 Description
USDJPY on M15 is trading inside a corrective pullback after a recent bullish push. Price has moved into the 15M FVG and is showing rejection from the upper imbalance, suggesting weak acceptance at higher prices. This behavior points to a liquidity-driven pullback rather than continuation.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Short-term bearish while below 156.80
Short Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Sell): 156.73
• Stop Loss: Above 156.82
• TP1: 156.63
• TP2: 156.46
• TP3: 156.30 (sell-side liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price rejected from 15M FVG
• Failure to hold premium pricing
• Sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows
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🧩 Summary
As long as USDJPY remains capped below the 15M FVG, the higher-probability path is a downside rotation toward 156.46 and 156.30 liquidity. Acceptance above the imbalance invalidates the short idea.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Short-term moves remain sensitive to US yield fluctuations and BoJ expectations. In the absence of strong USD momentum, technical rejection zones are likely to guide price action.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.

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