Short
Short
Long
XAUUSD: Wave 5 Sell Setup Targets 3,993
Gold is still trading under bearish pressure after breaking below the previous uptrend trendline. From Kelly’s view, the current structure suggests that the market may still be moving inside a bearish Elliott Wave sequence, with wave 5 aiming towards the lower Fibonacci target area.
The key idea is simple: gold may rebound slightly first, but as long as price stays below the sell zone and strong liquidity resistance, the downside structure remains active.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold completed a strong recovery earlier, but that bullish structure weakened after price rejected from the upper area and broke below the rising trendline.
After the breakdown, gold created a clear bearish sequence with lower highs and lower lows. Price is now trading around 4,026, sitting directly under the 4,028–4,032 sell zone.
This area is important because it may act as the wave 4 retest before wave 5 continues lower. If sellers defend this zone, gold may rotate back towards the 4,000 support, then the 3,993 Fibonacci 2.618 target zone.
The strong liquidity zone around 4,045–4,052 is the key resistance above. If gold cannot reclaim this area, the bearish wave structure remains in control.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,028–4,032: sell zone and wave 4 retest area
◌ 4,045–4,052: strong liquidity resistance
◌ 4,026: current price reaction area
◌ 4,000: first support and downside checkpoint
◌ 3,990–3,995: Fibonacci 2.618 target / possible wave 5 end
◌ Above 4,052: area where the bearish setup starts to weaken
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be developing the final bearish leg of a 5-wave decline.
Wave 1 started after price lost bullish momentum from the upper area.
Wave 2 created a corrective rebound but failed to change the structure.
Wave 3 delivered the stronger bearish push below the trendline.
Wave 4 may now be forming around the 4,028–4,032 sell zone.
If this zone holds, wave 5 may continue lower towards 3,990–3,995.
The Fibonacci 2.618 level near 3,993 is important because it aligns with the projected wave 5 completion zone. This makes the lower support area a key target for sellers, but also a zone where a short-term reaction may appear.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to retest the sell zone and show bearish confirmation.
Sell zone: 4,028–4,032 if rejection appears
Stop loss: above 4,052 or above the confirmed rejection high
Take profit 1: 4,000
Take profit 2: 3,993
Take profit 3: 3,980 if wave 5 extends strongly
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,052 and holds with strong acceptance, the bearish wave 5 setup weakens. In that case, price may move into a larger corrective recovery before the next structure becomes clear.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is still a bearish Elliott Wave setup. Gold has already broken the uptrend line, and the recovery attempts are still happening below resistance.
The cleanest plan is to wait for price reaction around 4,028–4,032. If sellers defend this zone, the next move may continue towards the Fibonacci wave 5 target near 3,993.
Gold remains weak below the sell zone.
If resistance holds, wave 5 may continue lower before a stronger reaction appears.
Share your view below.
Short
Samsung Electronics : Pullback Before the Next Rally ?KRX:005930 Daily Chart
📈 Key Decision Zone Ahead: Pullback Before the Next Rally? 👀
The stock has staged an impressive recovery after rebounding from the 0.55 Fibonacci retracement zone, confirming strong buying interest from a major technical support area.
However, the next challenge has arrived.
🔍 Technical Outlook
Price is now testing the Daily 20 EMA, which is acting as an immediate resistance level.
A decisive breakout above this dynamic resistance would strengthen the short-term bullish structure, while rejection could trigger a healthy pullback before the next directional move.
⚠️ Watch the Confluence Support
If sellers regain control at the Daily 20 EMA, the stock could retrace toward a high-confluence support zone where multiple technical factors align:
📍 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement
📍 Daily 200 EMA
This confluence creates a potential high-probability demand zone, where buyers may look to re-enter and defend the broader uptrend.
🎯 The Make-or-Break Zone
The 322k–344k price range will be the most important area to monitor in the coming sessions.
This zone is likely to determine the stock's next major move:
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 344k could confirm renewed momentum and pave the way for a rally toward new all-time highs.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario: Failure to reclaim this resistance may lead to a deeper correction before the broader uptrend resumes.
📊 My View
The longer-term trend remains constructive, but price is approaching a critical technical decision point.
Rather than chasing the current move, I would prefer to watch how price reacts around the Daily 20 EMA and, if needed, the 0.786 Fibonacci + Daily 200 EMA confluence.
Patience here may offer a better risk-to-reward opportunity for the next swing.
Will buyers reclaim control and drive the stock to fresh all-time highs, or is one more correction needed before the next breakout? Share your thoughts below! 👇
🔖 Hashtags
#KOSPI #KoreaStockMarket #KRX #SamsungElectronics #SKHynix #Semiconductor #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #MarketStructure #DoubleBottom #EMA20 #EMA200 #Fibonacci #ReverseFibonacci #Breakout #BullTrap #SupportAndResistance #SwingTrading #TrendFollowing #MarketAnalysis #StockMarket #Investing #TradingIdeas #ChartAnalysis #MarketOutlook #WiSHFundManagement 
Long
KOSPI : Bull Trap or Continuation Rally ?TVC:KOSPI
📈 Korea's "Talk of the Town" Index at a Critical Inflection Point — Breakout or Bull Trap? 🇰🇷
After forming a convincing double bottom near the 6,440 zone, the index has staged a healthy rebound and is now approaching the 20-day EMA, a key dynamic resistance level that could determine the next major trend.
The coming weeks may define whether this recovery evolves into a sustained uptrend—or proves to be another relief rally.
🔍 Technical Outlook
The recent double-bottom formation suggests buyers have successfully defended a major support zone, improving short-term market sentiment.
However, the real test begins now.
📌 A sustained move above the 20 EMA would strengthen the bullish case and could open the door toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone around 8,250–8,500.
This area represents a major technical resistance and a likely profit-taking zone.
⚠️ Make-or-Break Zone
The 8,250–8,500 region will be the most important level to monitor.
If price forms a Lower High (LH) within this resistance zone, it would indicate that sellers remain in control and many traders may choose to reduce exposure by selling into strength.
This would increase the probability of another leg lower.
🏭 KRX:005930 Samsung & KRX:000660 SK Hynix Hold the Key
The performance of Samsung Electronics ( KRX:005930 ) and SK Hynix ( KRX:000660 ) will likely play a decisive role in determining the index's direction.
As two of the largest constituents, any disappointing earnings, weakening semiconductor demand, or negative macroeconomic developments could significantly impact market sentiment at this critical technical level.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Failure to reclaim and sustain above the resistance zone could weaken investor confidence.
In that case, the index may gradually retrace toward the 200-day EMA, currently positioned near the 6,000 level, where long-term buyers may look for renewed opportunities.
🚀 Bullish Scenario
On the other hand, if the index successfully clears 8,500 with strong momentum, expanding volume, and broad market participation, it would confirm a structural breakout.
The next major objective would be the 1.618 Reverse Fibonacci Extension, projecting a potential upside target near 11,000.
📊 My View
The index has reached a high-stakes technical decision point.
✅ Hold above the 20 EMA → Bullish momentum strengthens.
✅ Break above 8,500 → Opens the path toward 11,000.
❌ Rejection and a Lower High → Raises the probability of a decline toward the 200 EMA near 6,000.
This is a classic risk-versus-reward zone where technicals and fundamentals are likely to converge.
Will this recovery evolve into the next major bull leg, or is the market setting up another bull trap? Share your outlook below. 👇
🔖 Hashtags
#KOSPI #KoreaStockMarket #KRX #SamsungElectronics #SKHynix #Semiconductor #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #MarketStructure #DoubleBottom #EMA20 #EMA200 #Fibonacci #ReverseFibonacci #Breakout #BullTrap #SupportAndResistance #SwingTrading #TrendFollowing #MarketAnalysis #StockMarket #Investing #TradingIdeas #ChartAnalysis #MarketOutlook #WiSHFundManagement 
Long
Yanbu National PetroChem : Is the Next Leg Up Forming ?TADAWUL:2290
📈 EMA 200 Retest + Bullish Divergence: Is the Next Leg Up Forming?
Price is now approaching the 200-week EMA at 34.23—a level that has historically acted as a major decision zone.
Looking at previous price behavior, the asset has repeatedly struggled to sustain above the 200-week EMA and experienced significant pullbacks around:
🔹 July 2023
🔹 October 2024
🔹 September 2025
🔹 April 2026
However, the current setup is showing some important differences.
The weekly chart has formed a bullish divergence, followed by a strong recovery. From the previous week's high, price advanced approximately 43%—while the weekly low-to-high measurement represents a total move of nearly 61%.
Following that advance, price once again failed to sustain above the 200-week EMA and entered a corrective phase, eventually declining toward 29.
This level is particularly significant as it represents the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone of the major swing from 24 to 38.7—a classic discounted accumulation area.
💡 Why this setup is interesting:
In my experience, the combination of:
✅ Bullish weekly divergence
✅ Formation of a higher low
✅ Price holding above the 200-week EMA
✅ A confirmed discounted Fibonacci retracement
✅ Positive market structure
can create a powerful confluence for the next potential expansion phase.
Using the Fibonacci Extension tool, the initial upside projections currently point toward:
🎯 43
🎯 52
These levels represent the first major upside objectives if the bullish structure remains intact and price successfully sustains above the key EMA 200 zone.
📌 The key question now is not whether price can rally—but whether it can finally sustain above the 200-week EMA.
📌 In case of rejection from Ema200, price may reverse towards 27-26 price zone.
A successful breakout and hold could significantly strengthen the bullish continuation case.
⚠️ As always, this is a technical analysis perspective—not financial advice. Key support and invalidation levels should be monitored closely.
#TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishDivergence #EMA200 #Fibonacci #FibonacciRetracement #FibonacciExtension #HigherLow #MarketStructure #SwingTrading #TrendAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingIdeas #TradingView #Investing #TechnicalTrading #Breakout #BullishSetup #MomentumTrading #LongTermInvesting #TradingStrategy 
Long
Sedco Capital Reit Fund : From Deep Discount to Potential 14–16TADAWUL:4344
📈 From Deep Discount to Potential 14–16 Target? The Weekly Chart Tells an Interesting Story 🔥
The weekly chart suggests that price may have completed a major accumulation and recovery phase after rebounding from a deep discounted Fibonacci retracement zone of the previous bullish swing from 4.14 to 11.00.
🔍 The Price Structure
After the initial bullish move, price retraced within a descending parallel channel, eventually forming a significant swing low near 5.91 in November 2025.
Since that low, price has demonstrated strong weekly bullish momentum and steadily recovered, despite the severe geopolitical conflict affecting the region during the first half of 2026.
This resilience is an important technical observation.
⚠️ Key Resistance: 8.10–8.25
Price is now approaching a significant resistance zone around 8.10–8.25, which aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
At this stage, the market may need to cool off before continuing higher.
This could happen through:
🔹 Sideways consolidation
🔹 A controlled technical correction
🔹 A retest of previous breakout levels
🎯 Two Critical Correction Zones
If price experiences a pullback, two areas stand out:
📍 7.13 — Parallel Channel Breakout Retest
A retest of the previous descending channel breakout could provide an important support test.
📍 6.80 — 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement Zone
This area represents the deeper Fibonacci retracement level of the latest bullish swing and could act as a potential demand zone.
🚀 Breakout Strategy
For new positions, chasing price at the current market price may carry a relatively higher risk due to the nearby resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout above 8.25, preferably followed by a successful retest and support confirmation, could provide a more favorable risk-reward entry for momentum traders.
📊 Potential Upside Targets
If the bullish structure remains intact:
🎯 Initial upside target: Around 12.00
This is where the projected AB=CD harmonic pattern could reach completion.
🔭 Extended target zone: 14.00–16.00
A Reverse Fibonacci Extension projection suggests the possibility of a larger measured move toward this region.
🧠 My View
The broader weekly market structure remains bullish, but price is now entering a major technical decision zone.
The key question is:
Will price break above 8.25 and accelerate higher, or will the market first consolidate and retest lower support levels before the next major move?
For me, 8.25 remains the key trigger level, while 7.13 and 6.80 are the important correction and accumulation zones to monitor.
Do you think this is a breakout setup—or does price need one more correction before the next leg higher? 👀
Share your view below. ⬇️
🔖 Hashtags
#Tadawul #SaudiStocks #SaudiStockMarket #TASI #SaudiInvesting #SaudiTrading #SaudiInvestors #TadawulStocks #SaudiMarket #KSAStocks #RiyadhMarket #GCCMarkets #MiddleEastMarkets #StockMarket #Investing #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SwingTrading #MarketOutlook #StockAnalysis #TradingIdeas #Bullish #Bearish #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #WiSHFundManagement
Long
EURO STOXX 50 ($STOXX50) Daily: Testing Key EURO STOXX 50 ( ICMARKETS:STOXX50 ) Daily: Testing Key LTA Channel Support at 6,178 — Bullish Rebound vs. Deep Correction
### 🇪🇺 EURO STOXX 50 Index ( ICMARKETS:STOXX50 ) Daily Technical Framework (Ref: STOXX50_2026-07-21_09-27-32.png)
We are releasing a tactical multi-week technical study on the EURO STOXX 50 Index ( ICMARKETS:STOXX50 ) on the Daily (1D) interval. Following a corrective dip from its major high at 6,636.73, the European benchmark index is testing a critical structural boundary that defines its mid-term trend health.
The index is showing strong intraday buy-side absorption today, trading up at **6,254.80 (+0.98%)**.
---
### 🔍 Structural Architecture & Fibonacci Confluences:
Our quantitative framework highlights a pivotal decision zone defined by several overlapping layers of support and resistance:
1. **The Ascending Channel Support Floor (LTA):** Price action is directly testing the lower boundary of its ascending channel (red diagonal LTA), which has guided the primary upward structure since the April/May swing lows.
2. **Static Role-Reversal Level (6,178.17):** The 0.0 Fibonacci baseline sits squarely at **6,178.17**, matching the horizontal breakout level from March. Buyers have stepped in aggressively to defend this former resistance as new support.
3. **Overhead Fibonacci Retraction Arrays:** Immediate resistance layers above current price sit at **6,296.39 (0.236 Fibo)** and **6,353.34 (0.382 Fibo)**.
---
### 🔄 Dual Structural Scenarios:
We are tracking two distinct pathways depending on how price action resolves relative to the 6,178 support floor:
#### 🐂 Bullish Rebound Scenario (Blue Vector)
* **The Play:** As long as price sustains daily closes above the **6,178.17** baseline, the structural integrity of the ascending channel remains intact.
* **The Upside Targets:** Clearing **6,296.39** opens the path for a recovery leg toward **6,353.34 (0.382 Fibo)**, with extended target projections aiming for the upper trendline near **6,500.00** and eventually the swing high at **6,636.73**.
#### 🐻 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Red Vector)
* **The Play:** A confirmed daily candle close below **6,178.17** will break the ascending channel to the downside.
* **The Downside Targets:** This failure will trigger a broader corrective cycle, driving price down toward the dynamic dynamic band of the **72-period SMA cluster (6,032.07 – 6,103.99)** and ultimately the institutional **200-period EMA (purple line at 5,891.54)**.
### 📊 Tactical Parameters Summary:
* **Current Bias:** Neutral-Bullish (Holding Support)
* **Primary Support Floor:** 6,178.17 (LTA Confluence)
* **Immediate Resistance Target:** 6,353.34 (0.382 Fibo)
* **Macro Invalidation (Bearish Trigger):** Daily Close below 6,178.00
---
📊 **ChartPro Data**
*European Equity Architecture, Structural Channel Dynamics & Systematic Risk Frameworks.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice. MASON XAUUSD – Key Support And Resistance Setup
XAUUSD is trading around 4,010 after recovering from the lower support area, but price is still moving below the main descending trendline. The short-term reaction shows buyers are defending the support zone, but the broader structure still needs confirmation before a stronger bullish move can be trusted.
The priority plan is to trade from strong support and resistance zones, with sell pressure still favoured if gold rejects from the upper Fibonacci resistance areas.
Technical View
Gold is currently trading below the descending trendline, which means the market is still under short-term bearish pressure. Even though price has reacted from the lower area, the recovery remains corrective while gold stays below the trendline and key resistance zones.
The 3,991–3,997 area is the main buy zone on the chart. This zone aligns with the Fibonacci 50 reaction area and sits above the 3,982 support. If gold pulls back into this area and holds, a short-term bullish reaction may appear.
However, the upside still has two important resistance zones. The first one is the 4,051–4,055 sell scalping FVG zone. This area may create the first bearish reaction if price recovers from the buy zone.
The stronger resistance is around 4,078–4,085, marked as the sell zone and Fibonacci 50 area. This zone is important because it aligns with the previous structure, Fibonacci resistance, and the descending trendline region. If gold reaches this zone and rejects, it may confirm another lower high before price turns down again.
The 3,982 level is the key support. If gold loses this level, the bullish reaction becomes weak, and price may move back toward the stronger support range around 3,960–3,970.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,010
Main buy zone: 3,991–3,997
Key support: 3,982
Strong support: 3,960–3,970
Sell scalping FVG zone: 4,051–4,055
Major sell zone: 4,078–4,085
Descending trendline resistance: 4,055–4,085
Invalidation for sell view: above 4,085
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,051–4,055
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed breakout above the FVG zone, or price staying below the descending trendline.
SL: above 4,085
TP1: 3,991–3,997
TP2: 3,982
TP3: 3,960–3,970
Alternative Sell Scenario
If gold pushes higher into 4,078–4,085, wait for a clear bearish rejection from this major resistance zone before looking for sell continuation. This would be the stronger resistance-based sell setup.
SL: above 4,095
TP1: 4,051–4,055
TP2: 3,991–3,997
TP3: 3,982
Buy View
Buy is possible only as a short-term reaction from the 3,991–3,997 zone or near 3,982 support. The condition is clear bullish rejection, price holding above support, and a lower-timeframe higher low formation.
Buy Zone: 3,991–3,997
SL: below 3,982
TP1: 4,051–4,055
TP2: 4,078–4,085
Final View
Overall, gold is reacting from support, but the market has not broken the descending trendline yet. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to reach the strong decision zones. A reaction from 3,991–3,997 may support a short-term buy, while rejection from 4,051–4,055 or 4,078–4,085 keeps the bearish structure active.
Will gold hold the 3,991–3,997 support zone and recover, or reject from resistance and return toward 3,982?
Long 
Long
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 12 — Intro to FibonacciLesson 12 - Introduction to Fibonacci
Difficulty: Intermediate
Fibonacci levels do not predict price — they offer a structured way to map where pullbacks may pause and where trends may reach. In this final lesson of the course, we tie them into the structure, trends, and confirmation tools you've built through the whole roadmap.
🔵 WHERE THE LEVELS COME FROM
The Fibonacci sequence produces a set of ratios — 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, 78.6% — that traders project onto price swings. The 50% level is not a Fibonacci ratio, but it is so widely watched that most tools include it.
Why do these levels matter? Not because markets obey mathematics — but because enough traders watch the same levels that price can react around them. Treat them as zones of interest, not magnets.
🔵 FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT — HOW TO DRAW IT
The retracement tool measures how deep a pullback goes relative to the previous swing:
- In an uptrend → anchor from the swing low to the swing high ; the levels map potential support zones for the pullback
- In a downtrend → anchor from the swing high to the swing low ; the levels map potential resistance zones for the bounce
Consistency matters more than perfection: pick clear, meaningful swings (the ones you'd mark with the structure skills from Lesson 2 and 3) and anchor the same way every time — wick to wick is the common choice.
One practical note: depending on which anchor you click first, the tool may print the 0 and 1 labels in reverse. The zones between the levels are what many traders focus on — the label direction matters less than applying your own method consistently.
- Shallow pullbacks (23.6%–38.2%) → can suggest a strong trend where buyers/sellers step in early
- Deeper pullbacks (50%–61.8%) → common in healthy trends; often watched for continuation setups
- Very deep pullbacks (78.6%) → the trend may be in question; many traders demand extra confirmation here
🔵 THE GOLDEN POCKET
The area around the 50%–61.8% retracement — with some traders extending it to 65% — is often called the "golden pocket": one of the most widely watched zones for trend-continuation setups.
It works in both directions. In an uptrend, pullbacks into the zone can find support. In a downtrend, bounces into the zone can meet resistance — the reaction there may offer a continuation setup in the direction of the larger trend.
In the chart above: after the swing from high to low, the bounce reached the 0.5–0.618 zone and printed a reaction candle. The pocket acted as resistance — because the larger trend was down — and the move lower resumed. Same zone, mirrored logic.
A level alone is not a signal. What many traders look for inside the pocket:
- A reversal candle from Lesson 5 (hammer, engulfing) forming at the zone
- Volume stepping in as price reaches the area (Lesson 9)
- The zone overlapping a prior support/resistance level (Lesson 3)
Two common entry styles:
- Aggressive — enter on the first clear reaction candle inside the pocket, with a stop beyond the zone
- Conservative — wait for price to break minor structure in the trend direction before entering
🔵 FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS — MAPPING TARGETS
Retracements help with entries; extensions can help with exits. Once a pullback holds and the trend resumes, extension levels — commonly 1.272 and 1.618 — project where the next leg may reach.
A practical approach many traders use:
- Take partial profit at the 1.272 extension
- Let the rest run toward 1.618, trailing the stop behind structure
Extensions are estimates, not promises — when price approaches an extension level with fading momentum (Lesson 11's divergence concept), that can be a reasonable place to lighten up.
In the chart above: after the September swing and a deep pullback, the trend resumed and reached the 1.272–1.618 extension zone. Notice what followed the tag of the extended target — a sharp drop. Taking partials into extension zones, rather than holding for more, is exactly what this tool is for.
🔵 CONFLUENCE — WHERE FIB TENDS TO WORK BEST
A Fibonacci level on its own is just a line. Its usefulness often comes from confluence — when it lines up with things you already learned to read:
- A prior support/resistance level (Lesson 3) sitting inside the golden pocket
- A rising moving average (Lesson 10) crossing through the same zone
- A trendline or channel boundary (Lesson 4) meeting the retracement
- A reversal pattern (Lesson 7) completing at the level
When several independent tools point to the same area, the zone carries more weight than any single line.
In the chart above: the fib level lands inside a horizontal zone that had already acted as resistance earlier — a prior level flipping into support (Lesson 3). The pullback tagged the overlap, held, and the trend resumed. Two independent tools, one zone.
🔵 COMMON MISTAKES
- Drawing fibs on every minor wiggle — the tool works best on clear, significant swings
- Switching anchor style (wicks vs bodies) chart to chart, then wondering why levels look off
- Treating a level touch as an automatic entry with no confirmation
- Using retracements against the larger trend — a 61.8% bounce in a strong downtrend is still a counter-trend trade
- Stacking so many fib drawings that every price is "at a level"
Above: the first mistake in action — a fib drawn on a minor swing in the middle of a larger trend. The levels are crammed into a few hundred dollars of range and price barely notices them.
Same chart, same tool — anchored on the major swing instead. The levels now map zones the market actually reacted to. The swing you measure decides whether the tool says anything useful.
🐳 PRO TIPS
- Fib levels drawn on higher-timeframe swings (daily, weekly) tend to carry more weight than those on 5-minute charts.
- If you can't decide which swing to anchor, you may be forcing it — the swings worth measuring are usually the obvious ones.
- Mark your fib zone before price reaches it, then let the candles at the zone make the decision. Planning ahead of the touch tends to produce calmer execution than reacting to it.
- This is the last lesson of the Classical TA course — the strongest setups usually come from combining lessons, not from any single tool. Structure first, confirmation second, indicators and fibs as context.
That wraps the Classical TA course. 🎓 If it helped you, drop a comment with the lesson that improved your trading most — and tell us what course you'd like to see next. 🐳
Full Trading Roadmap | Classical TA Course
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 01 — Mastering the Chart
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 02 — Mastering Trends
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 03 — Support & Resistance
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 04 — Price Channels
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 05 — Single Candle Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 06 — Multi-Candle Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 07 — Reversal Chart Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 08 — Continuation Chart Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 09 — Volume Analysis
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 10 — Moving Averages
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 11 — Core Indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands)
Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳 
Education
XAUUSD — Bearish Continuation Toward Fibonacci Target
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains sensitive to USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data. For next week, the technical bias still leans bearish while price stays below the major descending structure.
Technical Analysis
On the 4H chart, XAUUSD is trading around 4,017 after losing momentum under the downtrend trendline. The nearest sell reaction zone is around 4,050 - 4,070, where price may retest the Fibonacci sell area before another downside move. If this zone rejects price, sellers may continue to push gold toward the lower Fibonacci psychological target around 3,755. A stronger recovery toward 4,203 or 4,300 - 4,384 would only be a deeper bearish retest unless price breaks the major downtrend.
Important Key Levels
Current price: 4,017
Nearest sell zone: 4,050 - 4,070
Strong resistance: 4,203
Fibonacci liquidity zone: 4,290 - 4,310
Major Fibonacci sell zone: 4,380 - 4,384
Main downside target: 3,755 - 3,740
Invalidation: above 4,203
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Setup
Entry: 4,050 - 4,070
Stop Loss: 4,203
Take Profit 1: 3,950
Take Profit 2: 3,850
Take Profit 3: 3,755 - 3,740
Sell Condition
Wait for gold to recover into the 4,050 - 4,070 Fibonacci sell zone and show bearish rejection. A failed reclaim, long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, or close back below the zone would confirm seller pressure. If price breaks below the recent low, the bearish continuation setup becomes stronger. If gold breaks and holds above 4,203, this sell setup should be invalidated.
Overall View
The main view for next week remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below the downtrend structure. A short-term recovery can happen, but the preferred plan is to wait for price to retest the Fibonacci sell zone before looking for continuation toward the 3,755 - 3,740 target area.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold for next week, or are you waiting for a deeper retest near 4,203 first?
Short 
TLRY | Why Tilray is Coiled for a 400% Explosion | LONG Forget the daily retail noise. If you want to understand the massive move currently coiling up for Tilray (TLRY), you only need to look at three interlocking factors: the fundamental catalyst, the structural pattern, and the institutional footprint.
The Catalyst: DEA Rescheduling
The looming U.S. federal order to reclassify medical marijuana to Schedule III is the fundamental match to this powder keg. This isn't just a regulatory headline; it is the exact systemic shift required to unlock massive institutional capital flows that have been forced to sit on the sidelines for years. It fundamentally changes the viability of the entire sector.
The Structure: The Bullish Wedge
While the broader market waits for the final official ruling, TLRY's price action has compressed into a massive, textbook bullish wedge on the macro chart. We are seeing a series of lower highs grinding down into a firm structural floor, tightening the trading range week after week. The asset is coiling tightly at the absolute apex of this wedge, structurally signaling that a violent, directional breakout is imminent.
The Footprint: Heavy Volume Accumulation
Here is where the math becomes undeniable. If you look under the hood of this tightening bullish wedge, we aren't seeing distribution or weak-handed selling, we are seeing heavy, sustained volume accumulation.
Smart money is quietly and aggressively absorbing the remaining float at these suppressed base levels. When you pair a tightening wedge with heavy accumulation volume, it tells you one thing: institutional buyers are building their core positions right before the rescheduling catalyst fully prices in.
The compression at the apex is almost over. Watch for the high-volume expansion breaking through the top resistance of the wedge.
Stay sharp and follow the volume.
— The Divergence Seeker 
Long
XAUUSD — Bearish Pressure Below Liquidity Sell Zone
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains sensitive to USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data. For now, the market is still showing defensive price action, with sellers controlling the structure after price failed to hold above the previous trendline.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is trading around 4,026 after breaking below the short-term uptrend structure. The nearest reaction area is the liquidity buy scalping zone at 3,998 - 4,004, where price may create a short bounce. However, the main area to watch is 4,074 - 4,080. This zone aligns with previous liquidity, Fibonacci reaction, and the broken trendline retest. If gold recovers into this area and rejects, the bearish continuation setup remains valid toward the lower target around 3,890.
Important Key Levels
Current price: 4,026
Buy scalping zone: 3,998 - 4,004
Liquidity sell test zone: 4,074 - 4,080
Short-term resistance: 4,040 - 4,050
Main downside target: 3,890 - 3,885
Invalidation: above 4,080
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Setup
Entry: 4,074 - 4,080
Stop Loss: 4,105
Take Profit 1: 4,004
Take Profit 2: 3,950
Take Profit 3: 3,890 - 3,885
Sell Condition
Wait for gold to recover into the 4,074 - 4,080 liquidity sell test zone. A valid sell setup needs bearish rejection, such as a long upper wick, failed reclaim, bearish engulfing candle, or price closing back below the zone. If price rejects and breaks below 3,998 - 4,004, downside momentum may expand toward 3,950 and 3,890. If price breaks and holds above 4,080, the sell setup becomes weaker.
Overall View
The main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below the broken trendline and under the liquidity sell test zone. Gold may bounce first from 3,998 - 4,004, but the preferred plan is to wait for a cleaner sell reaction around 4,074 - 4,080 before looking for continuation toward the lower Fibonacci target.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for a stronger rejection from the 4,074 - 4,080 zone?
Short 
MASON XAUUSD – Bearish Trend Targets Fibonacci Range
XAUUSD is trading around 4,017 after breaking below the rising trendline support. The short-term structure has shifted back into bearish pressure, and price is now moving below the broken support area.
The priority view remains sell with the current bearish structure, especially if gold retests the 4,040–4,045 zone and fails to recover above it.
Technical View
Gold has broken below the rising trendline that previously supported the recovery structure. This is an important bearish signal because the buyers failed to defend the trendline, and the market is now trading under the broken structure.
After the breakdown, price dropped sharply and is now consolidating around the 4,001–4,006 buy order zone. This area may create a short-term reaction, but the overall structure still favors sellers while price stays below the broken trendline and Fibonacci resistance.
The 4,040–4,045 area is the key sell zone on the chart. This zone is important because it was previous support, now turning into resistance, and it also aligns with the Fibonacci reaction area. If gold retests this zone and rejects, it may confirm the next lower high before another bearish leg.
The 4,001–4,006 area is the nearest support. If price breaks below this zone, selling pressure may continue toward the expected price range around 3,945–3,955, which aligns with the deeper Fibonacci 2.618 extension.
The main idea is simple: as long as gold stays below 4,040–4,045, the recovery remains weak, and the downside path remains active.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,017
Sell zone: 4,040–4,045
Broken trendline resistance: 4,040–4,060
Nearest support: 4,001–4,006
Fibonacci 1.618 reaction: around 4,017
Expected price range: 3,945–3,955
Fibonacci 2.618 target: 3,945–3,955
Invalidation: above 4,065
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,040–4,045
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed recovery above the broken trendline, or price staying below the Fibonacci resistance zone.
SL: above 4,065
TP1: 4,001–4,006
TP2: 3,970–3,980
TP3: 3,945–3,955
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 4,001 directly, wait for a retest of this area as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward 3,970 and the expected Fibonacci range around 3,945–3,955.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price remains below the broken trendline and below the 4,040–4,045 sell zone. A short-term buy reaction may appear around 4,001–4,006, but it should only be treated as a scalp unless gold breaks back above 4,065.
Final View
Overall, gold is back under bearish pressure after breaking the rising trendline. The cleaner plan is to wait for a retest of 4,040–4,045 and watch for rejection. As long as this zone holds as resistance, the downside target toward 4,001, 3,970, and 3,945 remains in focus.
Will gold reject from the broken trendline zone, or break below 4,001 directly toward the Fibonacci 2.618 range?
Short 
Gold Spot ($XAUUSD) Daily: Bearish Wave (C) PivotGold Spot ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) Daily: Bearish Wave (C) Pivot – Short Setup Targeting 100% Fibonacci Extension at 3,788
### 🟨 Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) Daily Structural Breakdown (Ref: Gold_2026-07-13_09-16)
We are deploying a tactical short-term to medium-term **Short (Sell) setup** on Gold Spot ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) on the Daily (1D) interval. The precious metal has undergone a significant structural regime shift, transitioning into a dominant bearish markdown phase after failing to sustain premium pricing tiers.
The asset is displaying heavy sell-side momentum today, trading down **-1.13% at 4,074.250** as institutional distribution accelerates.
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### 🔍 Technical Architecture & Elliott Wave ABC Model:
1. **The Regime Shift:** The decisive breakdown below the historical **4,379.775** horizontal shelf and the institutional **200-period EMA (purple line at 4,325.673)** has completely shifted the high-timeframe order flow in favor of the bears.
2. **The Wave (B) Rejection:** Following the initial impulsive decline—Wave (A)—price action registered a localized counter-trend relief rally to print Wave (B). This repique met aggressive supply exactly at the descending dynamic LTB (upper black trendline), confirming a lower high.
3. **The Wave (C) / Wave 3 Trigger (4,054.00):** As modeled by our blue downward tracking vector, a clean daily close below the **4,054.00** horizontal pivot (confluencing with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement node at 4,044.159) will formally activate the next major contraction sequence.
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### 🎯 Execution & Risk Management Matrix:
* **Trade Direction:** Short (Venda)
* **The Breakout Trigger (Entry Confirmation):** Confirmed breakdown below **4,054.00**.
* **Protective Stop Loss (Invalidation):** Positioned strictly at **4,303.00**. This placement sits safely above the structural swing high of Wave (B) and utilizes the overhead LTB as a technical shield, minimizing capital risk.
* **Core Macro Target (3,788.00):** The ultimate technical expansion destination for this Wave (C) leg is anchored at **3,788.444**. This target marks the 100% Fibonacci projection extension and perfectly confluences with a major historical horizontal red support floor.
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📊 **ChartPro Data**
*Commodity Market Architecture, Bearish Expansion Models & Systematic Capital Preservation.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Short 
Long
MASON XAUUSD – Trendline Break May Target Fibonacci
XAUUSD is trading around 4,071 after losing short-term recovery momentum near the Ichimoku structure. Price is now testing the rising trendline support, and the early-week focus is on whether gold can hold this structure or break lower.
The priority view is bearish if gold breaks below the trendline and strong support area. A clean breakdown may open the way toward the Fibonacci extension targets.
Technical View
Gold is currently moving inside a tightening structure between the descending resistance line and the rising trendline support. This shows that price is being compressed before a stronger move.
The short-term recovery has failed to break clearly above the Ichimoku resistance. Price remains under pressure near the cloud, which means buyers have not fully regained control. As long as gold stays below the Ichimoku resistance and below the FVG sell order zone, the upside remains limited.
The 4,100–4,106 area is the main FVG sell order zone on the chart. This zone is important because it aligns with the short-term resistance structure, Ichimoku pressure, and the descending trendline area. If gold retests this zone and rejects, it may confirm another lower high before the next bearish leg.
The 4,055–4,065 area is the strong support zone and also connects with the rising trendline. If price breaks below this area, the bullish correction structure may fail. That would confirm a trendline break and shift the short-term market back into stronger bearish continuation.
The first downside target is the Fibonacci 1.618 extension around 4,015–4,020. If selling pressure continues after breaking support, the next deeper target may be the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3,950–3,960.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,071
FVG sell order zone: 4,100–4,106
Ichimoku resistance area: 4,085–4,111
Strong support: 4,055–4,065
Trendline breakdown zone: below 4,055
Fibonacci 1.618 target: 4,015–4,020
Fibonacci 2.618 target: 3,950–3,960
Invalidation: above 4,116
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,100–4,106
Condition: wait for bearish rejection from the FVG sell order zone, failed recovery above Ichimoku, or a clean break below the rising trendline support.
SL: above 4,116
TP1: 4,055–4,065
TP2: 4,015–4,020
TP3: 3,950–3,960
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 4,055 directly at the start of the week, wait for a retest of the broken trendline or support zone as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward the Fibonacci 1.618 target.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price stays below the FVG sell order zone and Ichimoku resistance. A short-term buy reaction may appear around 4,015–4,020, but it needs clear bullish confirmation first.
Final View
Overall, gold is still under short-term bearish pressure. The key point for the start of the week is the rising trendline support. If gold breaks below 4,055–4,065, the correction structure may fail and the downside path toward 4,015 and 3,950 becomes more realistic.
Will gold break the trendline early next week, or retest the FVG sell order zone before moving lower?
Short 
