Technical Analysis

RSKD: When fraudsters work overtime and Riskified profits from i While most investors debate artificial intelligence, Riskified( NYSE:RSKD ) is already using it where mistakes cost real money. The company helps the world's largest online retailers distinguish genuine buyers from fraudsters, analyzing billions of dollars in transactions in real time. The bigger e-commerce gets, the more expensive every mistake becomes. Fundamentals The latest quarter showed the business continues to gain momentum. Revenue grew 7 percent year over year to 88.3 million dollars, while gross merchandise volume (GMV) reached 37.2 billion dollars, up 9 percent. Billings growth outpaced revenue growth, typically indicating sustained positive momentum in coming quarters. Profitability looks particularly compelling. Non-GAAP gross profit rose to 46.3 million dollars with a margin of 52.5 percent. Adjusted EBITDA surged 370 percent to 6.2 million dollars, while earnings per share came in at 0.05 dollars, beating market expectations. The balance sheet holds 276.3 million dollars in cash and investments with virtually no debt. Free cash flow for the quarter was 9 million dollars. Management is so confident in the business outlook that it continues aggressive share buybacks. In the first quarter alone, 6.2 million shares were repurchased for 27.5 million dollars at an average price of 4.44 dollars. In June, the board additionally approved 75 million dollars for the buyback program. When a company actively buys its own shares, it usually signals that leadership considers the current valuation attractive. Riskified continues to expand its product ecosystem. In the first quarter, it launched ARIA, an AI-powered risk intelligence analyst that enables clients to get plain-language explanations of suspicious transactions without diving into complex analytics. The company also strengthened its integration with Shopify through Dispute Resolve and expanded collaboration with travel giant Amadeus via the Outpayce platform. The quality of the customer base deserves special attention. The number of merchants using more than one Riskified product grew 50 percent year over year, and their contribution now exceeds 30 percent of total revenue. This is an important metric, as expanding existing customers is typically significantly cheaper than acquiring new ones. Technicals On the weekly chart, price broke out of a descending wedge that had been containing quotes and successfully completed a retest of the breakout zone. The stock is now holding above key moving averages, confirming a shift in the medium-term market structure. Yesterday's close, June 15, was 4.95 dollars. Rising volume after the breakout shows institutional participation, while trend indicators remain bullish. As long as price stays above the retest zone, the primary scenario remains continuation toward the 7.50 dollar area, which is the next major target for buyers. The market still values Riskified as a small fintech company, but the numbers are starting to tell a different story. The company is already generating profit, building cash flow, actively buying back shares, and expanding its presence in the fast-growing AI payments protection segment. Sometimes the most interesting stories begin not when everyone is talking about them, but when most haven't yet noticed that the business has already started operating more efficiently. And if fraudsters aren't planning to leave the internet, Riskified's workload will only grow.

by TotoshkaTrades

Bitcoin at a Critical Level – Is a Relief Rally Coming Before An Bitcoin has recently broken below a major ascending trendline, signaling that the bullish structure has weakened. However, the market is currently sitting inside a strong demand zone, where buyers could attempt to trigger a temporary recovery before the next major move unfolds. My main scenario is to see Bitcoin react from this support area and potentially reclaim the 72,836 resistance level. If buyers manage to regain momentum, a relief rally toward the 86,000 region could be possible. However, I remain cautious. If the rebound fails and sellers regain control, Bitcoin could revisit lower demand zones around 62,363, with the possibility of an extended move toward 51,676, which represents the next major area of interest. For now, patience is key. I would rather wait for confirmation before committing to either side. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 72,836 Major Bullish Target: 86,000 Support Zone: 62,363 Major Demand Area: 51,676

by BitsounisProject

DJIA Extends Above Support as Buyers Regain Momentum The Dow Jones is showing renewed strength on the daily timeframe after rebounding from the 50-day SMA and reclaiming the 50,523 support area. Price is now trading near fresh local highs around 51,940, keeping the broader short-term structure constructive. The moving averages continue to support the bullish backdrop. Price remains above both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, with the 50-day average positioned well above the 200-day average. This suggests the broader trend remains positive, while the recent reaction from the 50-day SMA highlights that buyers are still defending dynamic support. Momentum is also improving. The MACD remains above the zero line, although the MACD line is still close to the signal line, suggesting momentum is positive but not yet aggressively expanding. RSI has recovered to around 62, leaving room before overbought territory and supporting the view that buying pressure has strengthened without appearing overly stretched. Overall, the Dow maintains a bullish technical bias while holding above the 50,523 breakout region and the rising 50-day SMA. A continued hold above this area would keep the current trend structure intact, while a loss of that zone could shift the focus back toward consolidation. -MW

USD/CAD Holds Above Breakout Zone as Momentum Stretches USD/CAD is trading near recent highs after pushing above the 1.3967 resistance area on the daily timeframe. This level now appears to be acting as a potential support zone, with price consolidating just above it following the recent upward extension. The moving averages are supportive of the broader recovery. Price is holding above both the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA, while the 50-day average has turned higher. This suggests the short-term structure has strengthened after the May rebound and that buyers have maintained control of the latest trend phase. Momentum remains constructive but somewhat extended. MACD is above the zero line with the MACD line still holding above the signal line, confirming positive momentum. However, RSI is sitting around 75, placing it in overbought territory and suggesting that upside momentum may be stretched in the near term. Overall, USD/CAD shows a bullish technical bias while price remains above the reclaimed 1.3967 region. That said, the elevated RSI points to a possible pause or consolidation before the next directional move becomes clearer. The next major resistance zone remains the prior high area around 1.4140. -MW

Gold Reclaims Daily Support After Sharp Volatility on Iran MoU Gold is showing a notable recovery on the daily timeframe after recently testing the lower support region near the 4,098 area. The latest candle has pushed back above the 4,275 horizontal level, suggesting buyers have responded strongly from the recent breakdown attempt. From a trend perspective, price remains below the 50-day SMA, which continues to slope lower and act as dynamic resistance. However, the 200-day SMA remains nearby underneath the broader structure, keeping the longer-term trend context more balanced. A sustained hold above the 4,275 region would improve the short-term outlook, while rejection back below it could keep the market vulnerable to further consolidation. Momentum is still mixed. The MACD remains below the zero line, reflecting that bearish momentum has not fully reversed yet, although the recent stabilization suggests downside pressure may be easing. RSI has recovered toward the mid-range around 44, moving away from oversold conditions but not yet confirming strong bullish momentum. Overall, the chart presents a cautiously constructive short-term rebound, but confirmation would likely depend on whether price can continue holding above reclaimed support and work back toward the moving average resistance zone. Until then, the broader structure remains neutral-to-bearish with early signs of recovery. -MW

BALKRISIND: Three Inside Up Reversal with Strong Volume 📊 STWP Equity Snapshot ________________________________________ MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT | NSE: BALKRISIND | DAILY ________________________________________ • Closing Price: ₹2,192.50 (+₹179.40 | +8.91%) • Core Trend: Downtrend (Swing Structure) • Market State: Three Inside Up Reversal Pattern Detected • Price Structure: Strong bullish recovery emerging from lower-range support ________________________________________ OPERATIONAL PRICE GRID & KEY REFERENCE LEVELS ________________________________________ • Model Reference Level: ₹2,209.50 • Hard Invalidation Level: ₹1,965.85 • Structural Risk: ₹243.65 (11.03%) • Resistance Levels: R1 ₹2,251.23 | R2 ₹2,309.97 | R3 ₹2,410.43 • Support Levels: S1 ₹2,092.03 | S2 ₹1,991.57 | S3 ₹1,932.83 • Range Structure: Low ₹2,018.00 | High ₹2,365.00 • Higher Timeframe Observation Zones: ₹2,453.15 | ₹2,696.85 ________________________________________ MOMENTUM, PARTICIPATION & CPR DATA ________________________________________ • Volume Profile: 1.03M Shares • Volume Character: Extremely High Relative Participation • RSI Metric: 53.34 (Bullish Recovery Zone) • ADX Reading: 15.42 (Neutral Trend Environment) • ROC: +1.14% • MACD Status: Stabilizing Recovery Structure • Stochastic Reading: 56.32 (Neutral Recovery Phase) • Current Bias: WAIT & WATCH • CPR State: Bullish Zone • Today's CPR: Pivot 2010.05 | Top 2011.55 | Base 2008.50 • Tomorrow's CPR (Projected): Pivot 2150.75 | Top 2171.65 | Base 2129.90 ________________________________________ 📚 EDUCATIONAL OBSERVATION ________________________________________ Balkrishna Industries has generated a strong bullish recovery candle supported by exceptionally high market participation. Trading volume expanded to approximately 1.03 million shares, significantly above recent average activity, indicating strong buyer participation behind the move. The session also produced a Three Inside Up bullish reversal pattern, a candlestick formation commonly associated with improving sentiment following a period of weakness. The STWP model currently assigns a reliability score of approximately 82%, while bearish strength has weakened considerably and bullish strength has improved, supporting the developing recovery structure. From a structural perspective, the stock has rebounded sharply from the lower end of its established trading range. The current range structure extends from approximately ₹2,018 on the lower side to ₹2,365 on the upper side, placing the stock in the middle portion of the range following the recent recovery. The rebound originated after buyers defended the lower-range support area, resulting in a strong bullish candle that has pushed price back toward the Model Reference Level of ₹2,209.50. Immediate attention now shifts toward the nearby resistance cluster between ₹2,251 and ₹2,310, while the range ceiling near ₹2,365 remains an important observation zone. Momentum conditions have improved but remain in the early stages of recovery. RSI has recovered to 53.34 and moved back into a constructive zone, reflecting strengthening momentum conditions. MACD is showing signs of stabilization following recent weakness, while Stochastic readings continue supporting the ongoing recovery phase. ADX remains relatively subdued at 15.42, indicating that although participation has improved significantly, a strong directional trend has not yet been fully established. The projected CPR for the next session has shifted meaningfully higher, with a projected Pivot level of ₹2,150.75. A rising CPR framework generally reflects improving market acceptance of higher prices. However, the dashboard continues to classify the broader market environment as range-bound with no strong directional edge currently visible. Market participants may therefore continue monitoring for additional confirmation before a sustained directional move develops. The current structural risk between the Model Reference Level and the Hard Invalidation Level stands at ₹243.65 or approximately 11.03%. This provides context regarding the downside distance available before the current technical framework would require reassessment. Beyond the immediate range structure, higher timeframe observation zones remain positioned near ₹2,453 and ₹2,697, representing areas where future market reactions may become relevant. Support and resistance levels should be treated as observation zones rather than predictive targets. Chart patterns, momentum indicators, volume analysis, and CPR frameworks are educational tools that help market participants understand evolving market structure within a disciplined risk-management framework. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer ________________________________________ • This analysis is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. • This is not financial, investment, or trading advice and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. • Stock market investments are subject to market risks, including the possible loss of capital. • Past performance, historical observations, chart patterns, and technical indicators do not guarantee future results. • Please conduct your own research and consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions. • STWP assumes no responsibility or liability for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from the use of this information.

by simpletradewithpatience

HDFCAMC: Ascending Triangle Structure with Exceptional Volume 📊 STWP Equity Snapshot ________________________________________ MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT | NSE: HDFCAMC | DAILY ________________________________________ • Closing Price: ₹2,622.90 (+₹167.00 | +6.80%) • Core Trend: Downtrend (Swing Structure) • Market State: Ascending Triangle Under Development • Price Structure: Strong bullish recovery from rising trendline support ________________________________________ OPERATIONAL PRICE GRID & KEY REFERENCE LEVELS ________________________________________ • Model Reference Level: ₹2,637.20 • Hard Invalidation Level: ₹2,376.60 • Structural Risk: ₹246.30 (9.39%) • Resistance Levels: R1 ₹2,673.73 | R2 ₹2,774.57 | R3 ₹2,811.93 • Support Levels: S1 ₹2,535.53 | S2 ₹2,448.17 | S3 ₹2,397.33 • Higher Timeframe Observation Zones: ₹2,897.80 | ₹3,158.45 | ₹3,419.05 ________________________________________ MOMENTUM, PARTICIPATION & CPR DATA ________________________________________ • Volume Profile: 2.03M Shares • Volume Character: Extremely High Relative Participation • RSI Metric: 52.47 (Bullish Recovery Zone) • ADX Reading: 23.99 (Developing Trend Strength) • ROC: +0.77% • MACD Status: Improving Momentum Structure • Stochastic Reading: 62.46 (Recovery Phase) • Current Bias: WAIT & WATCH • CPR State: Bullish Zone | CPR Moving Higher • Today's CPR: Pivot 2433.45 | Top 2444.65 | Base 2422.20 • Tomorrow's CPR (Projected): Pivot 2586.35 | Top 2604.65 | Base 2568.10 ________________________________________ 📚 EDUCATIONAL OBSERVATION ________________________________________ HDFC AMC has produced a strong bullish recovery candle supported by exceptional market participation. Trading volume expanded to approximately 2.03 million shares, representing nearly 2.01 times the previous session's activity, indicating significantly higher participation compared to recent sessions. Such volume expansion often attracts attention because it reflects increased market engagement behind the price move rather than a low-participation rally. From a chart structure perspective, the stock continues to develop an Ascending Triangle pattern on the daily timeframe. This structure is characterized by a series of rising higher lows supported by an ascending trendline while supply continues to emerge near the ₹2,850–₹2,900 region. The recent rebound from trendline support suggests that buyers continue accepting progressively higher prices, while sellers remain active near the upper boundary of the consolidation range. Momentum conditions have also improved. RSI has recovered to 52.47, moving back above the neutral zone and reflecting strengthening momentum. ADX remains at 23.99, suggesting a developing trend environment rather than a mature directional trend. MACD continues to stabilize following recent weakness, while Stochastic readings remain supportive of the ongoing recovery structure. The projected CPR for the next trading session has shifted meaningfully higher, with a projected Pivot level of ₹2,586.35. A rising CPR structure generally reflects improving market acceptance of higher price levels. The immediate observation zone remains near the ₹2,635–₹2,675 resistance cluster, while the broader supply region near ₹2,850–₹2,900 continues to represent the most significant structural observation area on the chart. Support and resistance levels should be viewed as observation zones rather than predictive targets. Chart patterns, momentum indicators, volume analysis, and CPR frameworks are educational tools that can help traders understand market structure within a broader risk management and decision-making process. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer ________________________________________ • This analysis is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. • This is not financial, investment, or trading advice and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. • Stock market investments are subject to market risks, including the possible loss of capital. • Past performance, historical observations, chart patterns, and technical indicators do not guarantee future results. • Please conduct your own research and consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions. • STWP assumes no responsibility or liability for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from the use of this information.

by simpletradewithpatience

RSI 1W - gambling or smart retest?Rush Street Interactive (RSI) just confirmed a breakout above the 15–16 zone with a textbook retest - a classic bullish setup. The weekly chart shows a clean “cup and handle” structure backed by rising volume. Current pullback is forming right inside the buy zone, suggesting potential continuation. Fibonacci extensions highlight 30.7 and 43.9 as key upside targets. As long as price holds above 15.5–16.0, the bullish bias stays intact. A breakout above 18.0 would confirm the next leg higher. Fundamentally , RSI benefits from ongoing online gambling legalization across the US and improving profitability in core states, which could attract institutional inflows. In the gambling world, luck rarely repeats - but this chart looks like the house might finally lose.

by TotoshkaTrades

SUNDARMFIN: Three Inside Up Reversal with Strong Volume 📊 STWP Equity Snapshot MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT | NSE: SUNDARMFIN | DAILY ________________________________________ • Closing Price: ₹4,466.90 (+₹307.90 | +7.40%) • Core Trend: Downtrend (Swing Structure) • Market State: Three Inside Up Reversal Pattern Detected • Price Structure: Sharp bullish recovery emerging from lower-range support zone Interpretation: The stock has produced a strong bullish reversal candle from a previously declining structure. While the broader swing trend remains classified as a downtrend, buyers have shown significant participation near support, creating the possibility of a trend transition phase. ________________________________________ MOMENTUM & PARTICIPATION DATA ________________________________________ • Volume Profile: 255.35K Shares • Volume Character: Extremely High Relative Participation • RSI Metric: 55.07 (Bullish Breakout Zone) • ADX Reading: 35.50 (Trend Present) • ROC: +6.03% • MACD Status: Improving Momentum Structure • Stochastic Reading: 88.38 (Strong Recovery) Interpretation: Momentum indicators have shifted positively following the reversal pattern. Participation remains elevated, suggesting meaningful buying activity rather than a low-volume bounce. ________________________________________ INTRADAY BIAS & CPR REFERENCE ZONES ________________________________________ • Current Bias: BUY BIAS • CPR State: Bullish Zone | CPR Moving Higher Today's CPR: Pivot 4163.00 | Top 4161.00 | Base 4165.00 Tomorrow's CPR (Projected): Pivot 4415.50 | Top 4441.20 | Base 4389.80 Interpretation: The projected CPR has shifted significantly higher, indicating improving acceptance at elevated price levels. The structure currently favors buying on pullbacks rather than chasing extended moves. ________________________________________ OPERATIONAL PRICE GRID & KEY REFERENCE LEVELS ________________________________________ • Model Reference Level: ₹4,528.30 • Hard Invalidation Level: ₹4,092.25 Resistance Levels: R1 ₹4,579.70 | R2 ₹4,692.50 | R3 ₹4,856.70 Support Levels: S1 ₹4,302.70 | S2 ₹4,138.50 | S3 ₹4,025.70 Higher Timeframe Observation Zones: ₹4,964.35 | ₹5,400.00–₹5,650.00 | ₹5,836.40 Interpretation: Price is approaching the first resistance cluster around ₹4,530–₹4,580. Sustained acceptance above this region would strengthen the reversal structure, while ₹4,092 remains the key level protecting the bullish setup. ________________________________________ EDUCATIONAL OBSERVATIONS ________________________________________ • Three Inside Up reversal pattern identified on the daily timeframe. • Strong bullish candle supported by exceptionally high volume participation. • RSI has moved above the neutral zone, indicating improving momentum. • MACD and ROC continue supporting the emerging recovery structure. • Buyers successfully defended the lower-range support area. • The broader trend remains technically bearish, but short-term momentum has shifted in favor of buyers. • Support and resistance levels should be treated as observation zones rather than predictive targets. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer ________________________________________ • This analysis is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. • This is not financial, investment, or trading advice and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. • Stock market investments are subject to market risks, including the possible loss of capital. • Past performance, historical observations, chart patterns, and technical indicators do not guarantee future results. • Please conduct your own research and consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions. • STWP assumes no responsibility or liability for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from the use of this information.

by simpletradewithpatience

C3.ai — Falling Wedge Breakout Setup C3.ai is showing a long-term falling wedge structure on the weekly chart. Since the major post-IPO decline, price has continued to compress inside a broad descending wedge, with lower highs and lower lows tightening into the current range. After repeated downside pressure, price is now attempting to reclaim from the lower portion of the structure and push back toward the upper wedge resistance. The main area I’m watching is the descending resistance line. A clean weekly breakout above that level could shift the chart from bearish compression into a potential reversal setup. What stands out: Long-term falling wedge compression Multiple reactions near the lower boundary Price attempting to reclaim from the lower wedge zone Weekly structure improving after a major basing move Potential upside toward prior resistance if momentum confirms Best entries are usually on pullbacks or retests, not after vertical candles The setup still needs confirmation. Falling wedges can be powerful when they resolve, but failed breakouts are common. I want to see price hold the reclaim, avoid rejection at wedge resistance, and build strength above the descending trendline. Key areas I’m watching: Breakout confirmation: weekly close above falling wedge resistance Invalidation: loss of the recent reclaim and lower support structure Upside targets: prior resistance zones if momentum expands This is not about chasing a headline or a theme. It is about watching a beaten-down chart with long-term compression, improving weekly structure, and a possible risk/reward shift if buyers continue stepping in. Educational only. Not financial advice.

by STP_MrNodeItAll

XRP Relative Strength Update (Daily)XRP/BTC The daily structure is showing signs of improvement as the 20 EMA is crossing above the 50 EMA with increasing separation, suggesting relative strength is building in favor of XRP versus Bitcoin. RSI: 61 — holding above the midpoint and showing positive momentum. ROC: Rising — momentum continues to improve after recent stabilization. Price is pushing higher relative to BTC as buyers continue to gain ground. XRP/ETH XRP has been outperforming Ethereum since May 17, 2026, and that leadership remains intact on the daily timeframe. RSI: 60 — holding steady in bullish territory. Relative trend remains constructive despite normal short-term fluctuations. XRP continues to maintain its advantage versus ETH as momentum remains stable. What I'm Watching 👀 🔹 XRP/BTC Whether the 20 EMA can remain above the 50 EMA and continue expanding. If RSI can hold above 60 or continue pushing higher. Whether ROC continues to rise, confirming strengthening momentum. 🔹 XRP/ETH Whether XRP can maintain leadership over ETH following its May 17th relative strength breakout. If RSI remains above 60 and avoids a momentum rollover. Whether relative price structure continues making higher highs and higher lows. Market Perspective Relative strength charts are not measuring whether XRP is going up or down in dollar terms. They measure where capital is flowing within the crypto market. When XRP/BTC and XRP/ETH strengthen simultaneously, it can indicate that market participants are allocating capital toward XRP at a faster rate than Bitcoin or Ethereum. When both ratios weaken, it suggests capital is rotating elsewhere. At the moment, both ratios are showing constructive momentum, but confirmation will come from whether these trends can continue to build over the coming sessions. ⭐ Final Clarity Note⭐ : This is a relative strength analysis, not a price prediction. The focus is on leadership, momentum, and capital rotation within the crypto market. Leadership can strengthen, weaken, or remain unchanged as new information enters the market. Always let structure guide the narrative, not the other way around.

by codymiller12727

DAX INDEX: Important Breakout I see a confirmed breakout of a bullish flag pattern on Dax Index on a 4H time frame. I think that the market will rise more after a pullback. Next goal for buyers is 25350 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️

by VasilyTrader

NZD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! NZD/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.463 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅

by EliteTradingSignals

XAUUSD Monday Plan — Pullback First, Then Another Push Higher?Gold is holding near the upper resistance area, but the cleanest move next week may come after a calm pullback — not from chasing the high. THE SIMPLE READ Gold had a strong recovery from the lower area and is now trading close to the 4,335 resistance zone. Buyers are clearly stronger than before, but price is also sitting near a place where sellers may try to react. For Monday’s session, I’m not looking to chase gold at the top. The better question is simple: Can gold pull back, hold support, and then continue higher? WHAT I SEE The first area I’m watching is 4,335. This zone matters because it is the current resistance and OB Sell area. Price is already close to it, so buying directly into this zone can be risky for beginners. If gold rejects from here, a short-term pullback would be normal. The most important support below is 4,225. This area matters because it combines the OB Buy zone, the end of the FVG, and a Fibonacci reaction area. In simple words, this is where buyers may try to defend the recovery if price pulls back. The current structure is still supported by a rising channel. That means as long as gold stays above the lower support area, buyers still have a chance to continue the move higher. But if 4,225 breaks clearly, the recovery becomes weaker and gold may need more time before building another bullish attempt. THE PLAN FOR MONDAY 📈 IF gold pulls back toward 4,225 and prints a clear bullish reaction: → Buyers may try to continue the recovery → Price can retest 4,335 again → If 4,335 breaks and holds, the next bullish leg may become stronger → Possible entry idea: after confirmation around 4,225 → Invalidation: below 4,200 → Target 1: 4,300 → Target 2: 4,335 📉 IF gold rejects strongly from 4,335 or breaks below 4,225: → The short-term recovery may slow down → Sellers may push price back into a deeper correction → Possible entry idea: after bearish rejection near 4,335, or after confirmation below 4,225 → Invalidation: above the rejection zone → Target 1: 4,225 → Target 2: 4,180 ⏳ No confirmation = no trade. 💡 Tiara’s Tip: When price is already close to resistance, patience is very important. A strong market does not mean we have to buy immediately. For beginners, a better setup often comes when price pulls back into support and shows buyers are still defending. Buying after confirmation is calmer than chasing a candle near resistance. YOUR TURN 💬 What’s your plan for Monday — wait for a pullback to 4,225, or look for a breakout above 4,335? Drop a 🟢 for bullish continuation or 🔴 for rejection first below 👇

by Tiara_PrimeGold

Gold Broke Higher, But Should We Chase It?Gold has pushed above the 4,36x area, but the best Monday setup may come from patience — not from chasing the breakout candle. THE SIMPLE READ Gold is starting the week with strong bullish pressure. Price has been moving inside a rising channel, creating higher lows and holding the recovery structure very well. Buyers are clearly active, and the breakout above the 4,364 area shows that momentum is improving. But when price moves fast into resistance, beginners need to be careful. A strong move can continue, but it can also pull back first before the next push higher. WHAT I SEE The first area I’m watching is 4,364. This zone matters because it was the breakout area. If gold can stay above it, buyers may continue to control the short-term direction. The next support to watch is 4,336. This is a buy-scalping area. It matters because if price pulls back here and reacts well, it may show that buyers are still defending the breakout. The deeper support is 4,294. This is the OB Buy zone. If gold returns there, the move has cooled down, but the broader bullish structure can still survive if buyers defend it. Above the market, 4,437 is the first major upside target. If buyers keep control, this is the next area where price may slow down or take profit. The stronger resistance is 4,474. This is the OB Sell zone. If gold reaches this area, sellers may try to react again, so I will not ignore resistance even if the trend is bullish. THE PLAN FOR MONDAY 📈 IF gold holds above 4,364 or pulls back to 4,336 and prints a clear bullish reaction: → Buyers may try to continue the move higher → The next upside area could be 4,437 → If 4,437 breaks and holds, gold may extend toward 4,474 → Possible entry idea: after confirmation above 4,364 or bullish reaction around 4,336 → Invalidation: below 4,294 → Target 1: 4,437 → Target 2: 4,474 📉 IF gold fails to hold above 4,364 and breaks back below 4,336: → The breakout may need a deeper correction → Price could return toward the OB Buy zone → Possible entry idea: after bearish rejection or clean loss of 4,336 → Invalidation: above the rejection zone → Target 1: 4,294 → Target 2: 4,260 ⏳ No confirmation = no trade. 💡 Tiara’s Tip: A breakout is exciting, but chasing the first candle can be risky. For beginners, a cleaner setup often comes after the breakout, when price pulls back and shows whether buyers are still defending. If the old resistance becomes new support, the breakout is healthier. If price falls back under the breakout zone quickly, it may only be a false move. That is why my focus for Monday is simple: 4,364 as the breakout line, and 4,336 as the first support test. YOUR TURN 💬 What’s your plan for Monday — will gold continue toward 4,437, or pull back first before the next move? Drop a 🟢 for bullish continuation or 🔴 for pullback first below 👇

by Tiara_PrimeGold

EUR/AUD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG Hello, Friends! EUR/AUD is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 1.648. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅

by EliteTradingSignals

GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT GOLD SIGNAL Trade Direction: short Entry Level: 4,353.71 Target Level: 4,270.24 Stop Loss: 4,409.54 RISK PROFILE Risk level: medium Suggested risk: 1% Timeframe: 1h Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅

by EliteTradingSignals

Support Retest Signals Potential Bearish Pullback Price is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the highlighted supply zone, with sellers defending the recent highs. The market is currently testing a key support area near the moving averages, and a breakdown below this level could trigger further downside momentum. As long as price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish correction scenario remains valid. A move toward 63,008 is possible, while extended selling pressure could push the market toward the 61,923 support level. Traders should monitor price action closely around current support, as it may determine the next directional move. 📉🎯

NVDA - The 1D has a partial signal. The 1H is fully compressed.NVDA Is Holding Above the 205-210 Cluster It Has Been Stuck Under for Two Weeks. The daily has a partial signal. The 1H is fully compressed. Structural Assessment Daily: SOM Choppy Bear transitional, 1 primary FVG alive, 1 touched. ACE YELLOW, Q4 SHORT. CQI 35.4. Last Ann Bear CQI 65.07, 54 bars ago. Direction SHORT against a recent bear announcement -- conviction aligned. IMP 3/5 MIXED mode, PARTIAL signal. RCZ 90th, ATR 89th. Open Hour 9:30-10:29 firing. Vol Elev 40th. State: DISBELIEF. A PARTIAL signal on the daily with RCZ and ATR both near 90th percentile while the state is DISBELIEF is a specific read: the stack is loading toward a signal but the conviction hasn't fully committed yet. The daily SHORT direction and Q4 ACE reading are aligned -- both pointing the same way. MIXED mode means the participation sub-system hasn't confirmed over EXT yet. 1H: ACE YELLOW, Q1 LONG. Thesis: LONG. Completely opposite direction from the daily. IMP 0/5, NONE mode, WAIT. RCZ 5th, ATR 26th, Vol Elev 16th. Fully compressed. Price holding around 208-209, just above the cluster floor from the last two weeks of posts. The 205-210 FVG cluster has been the defining level for NVDA since early June. Price reclaimed the bottom of it this week. Whether it holds above or gets rejected again from somewhere in the 210-214 range is the thesis. Tactical Cheat Sheet Resistance: 210.02-210.93 -- cluster ceiling Key resistance: 212.98-214.44 -- next structure above Hard resistance: 217.23-219.7 -- broken pool floor Current price: 208.63 Support: 207.12 -- nearest level below Key support: 204.52-205.23 -- cluster base Thesis line: 198.88 -- session Low Daily PARTIAL SHORT conditions: MIXED resolves to EXT dominant at open RCZ sustains 90th into the session with Vol Elev climbing above 50th Price fails to hold 207 on first test Target: 204-205 cluster base retest 1H LONG contra thesis: RCZ climbs off 5th percentile with Vol Elev entering above 30th in Open Hour Price holds 207 and reclaims 210 Daily MIXED resolves to PART dominant Target: 212-214 next cluster What the Stack Is Saying Daily PARTIAL with MIXED mode and near-90th percentile readings entering the open. The 1H is quiet but the daily conviction is SHORT. The cluster that has defined NVDA for two weeks is still the key level -- whether price holds above 207-208 or fails back into the 204-205 base resolves the daily signal. --- Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS Study, not financial advice.

by virDeStatera

SPY - Daily Is Reading Maximum Volume and Range.SPY's Daily Is Reading Maximum Volume and Range. The 1H Has Not Opened Yet. What happens at the open this morning is the entire story. Structural Assessment SOM is reading Impulse Cont. Bear transitional on both timeframes. 15 primary FVGs alive on the 1H, 5 touched. Daily: 2 primary, 4 touched. The obligation pool is being actively engaged at the daily level -- 4 touches against 2 primaries means prior obligations are resolving. Daily: ACE GREEN, Q2 neutral. IMP 3/5 MIXED mode. RCZ at 100th percentile -- maxed. Vol Elev at 98th percentile. Open Hour firing 9:30-10:29. Volume is surging into the open with range at its extreme. State: DISBELIEF. Anti-signal clear. 1H: ACE GREEN, Q2 neutral. IMP 0/5, NONE mode, WAIT. RCZ at 5th percentile. ATR at 1st percentile. Vol Elev at 0th percentile. Everything is flat. This divergence has a straightforward explanation: the daily is reading the prior session's close with accumulated volume and range data. The 1H is pre-market -- the first bar of the session hasn't printed yet. The daily is telling you the setup that enters the open. The 1H will tell you whether that setup resolves. Daily MIXED mode at 3/5 means both PART and EXT sub-systems are elevated simultaneously. RCZ at 100th with Open Hour firing means the participation sub-system is fully loaded going into the open. The direction that sub-system fires in is today's trade. Tactical Cheat Sheet Resistance: 752.15-752.81 -- FVG cluster immediately above Key resistance: 755-756 -- upper cluster Hard resistance: 758.32 -- session High, all-time area Current price: 751.41 Support: 748.19-748.23 -- first level below Key support: 741.29-742 -- prior base Thesis line: 721.23 -- session Low Open conditions: RCZ at 100th entering the open with Vol Elev at 98th means volume and range are already loaded. The first 30 minutes will determine direction. LONG resolution (DISBELIEF recovery): Price opens above 751 and holds, Vol Elev sustains into the open hour, MIXED resolves to PART dominant Target: 752-756 cluster test SHORT continuation: Price fails 748-749 in the first bar with Vol Elev entering on a down move, MIXED resolves to EXT dominant Target: 742 retest What the Stack Is Saying Daily RCZ at 100th, Vol Elev at 98th, Open Hour firing, MIXED mode -- this is a fully loaded setup entering the open. The 1H hasn't spoken yet. In 30 minutes it will. Watch the first green or red bar of the session. The volume behind it is already at the 98th percentile. Whatever direction that bar is, it has the fuel. --- Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS Study, not financial advice.

by virDeStatera

BTC - Maximum volatility on two TFs at once is not a coincidence BTC Just Printed ATR at the 100th Percentile on Both the Daily and the 1H. Maximum volatility on two timeframes at once is not a coincidence. Structural Assessment SOM is reading Choppy Bull transitional on the daily. 1 primary FVG alive, 0 announced. Structure is minimal -- price is moving through open space without building dense obligation pools. The move from 59K to 66K happened fast and clean. Daily: ACE YELLOW, Q4 SHORT. CQI 49. Last Ann was Bull CQI NaN, 103 bars ago -- an unusual NaN reading suggesting the announcement came during a data gap or extreme volatility event. IMP scoring 1/5 in EXT mode. ATR at 100th percentile, Range Exp YES. Entry Signal: FORMING. State: DISBELIEF. SYNTH Gate: EXT MODE. 1H: ACE GREEN, Q1 LONG. Direction has flipped from the daily SHORT read. IMP also scoring 1/5 EXT mode, ATR 100th percentile. Anti-signal: ACTIVE HiSwp. A swing high was swept overnight. Entry Signal: FORMING on this timeframe too. Both timeframes are reading EXT mode with ATR maxed and FORMING signals. The daily is SHORT-leaning. The 1H is LONG-leaning. Maximum volatility with a timeframe disagreement -- this is the setup before a decisive move, not during one. Tactical Cheat Sheet Resistance: 67,524.92 -- key structural level Hard resistance: 68,662.67 -- session High All-time area: 82,814 -- distant but the structural ceiling Current price: 66,128 Support: 65,033-65,890 -- cluster just below Key support: 63,796 -- prior consolidation level Thesis line: 62,255.87 -- session Low ATR 100th percentile context: When ATR maxes on both daily and 1H simultaneously, the range has already expanded significantly. EXT mode in this context reads as the tail end of expansion, not the beginning. The FORMING signals suggest the stack is deciding whether this is continuation or exhaustion. HiSwp overnight adds the same dynamic we saw on June 11 -- a swing high swept with volume, followed by a resolution move. On June 11 the resolution was bullish. No guarantee of repetition. Daily SHORT, 1H LONG resolution conditions: Daily FORMING resolves to active SHORT: price fails to hold 65,890 through the open, EXT dominates on the daily, vol enters on a down move. 1H LONG resolution: HiSwp clears, price holds 65,033, FORMING crosses to active with Vol Elev climbing from 50th. 67,524 becomes the first real test. What the Stack Is Saying ATR at 100th percentile on two timeframes with FORMING signals and a HiSwp anti-signal is the most loaded BTC read this ecosystem has produced in recent sessions. The direction of resolution is the only unknown. EXT mode at these levels has historically been an exhaustion read on crypto -- not a breakout read. Watch which timeframe's FORMING signal crosses first. That tells you which thesis is active. --- Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS Study, not financial advice.

by virDeStatera

Bearish Structure Points to Further Decline In Veiw Price is currently trading below both the EMA 100 and EMA 200, maintaining a bearish market structure. The highlighted supply zone continues to act as strong resistance, where sellers have repeatedly stepped in to reject higher prices. The recent recovery appears to be a corrective pullback rather than a confirmed trend reversal. As long as price remains below this resistance area, the downside scenario stays valid. A rejection from the current zone could lead to a move toward the 4,150 support level, while further bearish momentum may extend the decline toward the 4,002 target. Traders should watch for price reaction around the supply zone, as it will likely determine the next major move. 📉🎯

XAUUSD: Waiting for Pullback Before Next Move Higher Gold surged roughly 2% to trade near $4,315–$4,327 following weekend news of a preliminary US-Iran peace agreement. The US dollar dropped to a 10-day low, and oil prices slipped over 4%, easing near-term inflation concerns. Markets have also pared back expectations of a Fed rate hike in 2026. Prior to this move, gold had been in a corrective phase since mid‑April, breaking below its 200‑day moving average on Friday after a stronger‑than‑expected US jobs report. The current rally represents a sharp reversal driven primarily by geopolitics. Monthly & Weekly Structure On the monthly chart, the drop to $4,024 appears as a sell‑side liquidity sweep, with a bullish rejection forming a "spring" pattern. The weekly timeframe shows a recovery above $4,203, reclaiming short‑term structure. Key buy‑side liquidity levels above price include $4,363, $4,425–$4,455, and $4,595. On the Daily & Lower Timeframes Price is holding below the 200‑day moving average (approx. $4,432–$4,454). A daily close above that zone would signal a stronger shift. The rapid ascent from $4,024 has created multiple Fair Value Gaps on lower timeframes, notably between approximately $4,205 and $4,220, as well as near $4,295–$4,310. These inefficiencies often attract price on a retracement. Resistance to watch includes the 200‑day MA ($4,432–$4,454) and the $4,366–$4,375 area. On the downside, support zones of interest are: $4,295 – $4,310 (nearest liquidity / CHoCH area) $4,205 – $4,220 (order block + FVG gap fill) $4,105 – $4,125 (deeper FVG + CHoCH + 38.2% Fibonacci) A break below $4,075 would challenge the current bullish structure. COT Context The latest Commitment of Traders data (as of June 2) showed hedge funds unwinding long positions and a reduction in gross shorts. Positioning was less crowded heading into the weekend, which can make the market more sensitive to a catalyst — in this case, the Iran deal. Possible Scenarios Bullish scenario (pullback continuation): Price retraces to fill one of the Fair Value Gaps (e.g., $4,205–$4,220 or $4,295–$4,310), then resumes higher toward the identified buy‑side liquidity levels at $4,363, $4,425–$4,455, and eventually $4,595. Neutral/consolidation scenario: Gold holds inside the $4,205–$4,327 range as the market awaits Wednesday’s FOMC announcement (June 17). Forward guidance from the Fed could determine the next directional move. Bearish scenario (invalidation): A daily close below $4,075 would negate the recent change of character, potentially opening a retest of the $4,024 monthly low. Additionally, failure to clear the 200‑day MA ($4,432–$4,454) would keep the longer‑term downtrend intact. Key Levels to Watch Upper liquidity (major): $4,595 FVG resistance / 200‑day MA: $4,425 – $4,455 Intermediate resistance: $4,363 – $4,375 Current price( at he time of writting): ~$4,315 – $4,327 Nearest support zone: $4,295 – $4,310 Gap fill / order block zone: $4,205 – $4,220 Deep support zone: $4,105 – $4,125 Bullish invalidation: Below $4,075 Event Risk (June 17–18) FOMC policy decision (Wednesday): Markets expect a pause, but forward guidance on 2026 rate hikes could move the dollar and yields. Israel‑Iran tensions: Any escalation that undermines the US‑Iran deal may introduce sharp volatility in both directions.