Seasonality
Bitcoin will fall to 51k USD (or 41k CHF) in the next 4 weeks- Last leg down of the bear market still pending, should come soon
- Bitcoin has a median return of around -7% in August
- Rejection from POC of the Range Volume Profile is extremely important this week
- COIN and MSTR look like they're about to fall off a cliff
- Breakdown from this 3 touch trendline is imminent
- Calculated move is to around 41k CHF. I use CHF instead of USD because it's a more stable currency to read the real Bitcoin movements.
Coinbase to 116$ in the next 4 weeksBearish August Seasonality & Macro Pressures: Bitcoin faces a historically weak median return of -7.49% in August, and the broader market faces downside pressure with AMEX:SPY expected to sweep its June lows.
Aggressive BTC Correction Outlook: Bitcoin recently rejected from the Point of Control (POC) and is expected to undergo a ~30% correction down to a first target of $48,000 (flushing out remaining leverage) and a final bear market target of $38,000 by October 2026.
Heavy Downward Catalys
Coal - Accumulation may have beganCOAL Futures
It took 3 years for Coal futures to sharply retraced its All time high last 2022 to its recent price.
Structure suggests an accumulation phase may have began after price's behavior towards the previous demand/supply zone.
The next critical price to retest should buyers prevail would be the last high above 150.
Platinum Futures (NYMEX) — Long Setup: Demand Zone BelowThe Setup
Below the current price sits a clearly defined demand zone between 1,457 and 1,513. This zone has already been tested — once or twice depending on how you count touches — and held. That's the first point in its favor.
What makes this zone particularly interesting is its location: it rests directly beneath a well-established support level. Zones sitting just under support tend to attract stronger buying interest because they catch limit orders and stops from traders who misjudged the
Update BTC in DecUpdate BTC in Dec
As shown in the picture, the weekly frame has broken out of the line, now we buy more according to the increase plan and continue until the end of the first quarter or the beginning of the second quarter of 2024 to take profit.
I predict that when the price exceeds the border of 45 thousand, it will maintain its price and accumulate into a cup-with-handle model.
Good lucky!
See more of my weekly analysis below! 👇
US10YR 1W TIME CYCLESCYCLICAL PATTERN OF 65 - 70 WEEK HIGHS (+-2)
Smaller Pattern of 20 - 26 Week Lower Highs from Major One.
Based on this, Next Highs should be:
Sept 28th - Nov 21st 2026
Aug 16th - Oct 5th 2027 (Major)
Inversely correlated with Stocks/SPX/NDX so a High = a Low for those ones (usually)
BTC Cycle PivotsBottom Expected in Early July with a Potential Top in Mid-Late August
Another Bottom Expected in Mid Oct
Inversions should be considered so if Price Rallies into Early July Pivot (it will be a Top which should bottom in Oct)
Deviation should be allowed (+- 1 week)
Once this Ratio chart tests 6250 - 6640 Area, I expect that to be the Bear Bottom for 2026
xau📊 YTA Market Analysis
💱xau
My current market scenario is illustrated in the chart.
This analysis is based on the YTA Price Action Method using the IZ3 Long Leg Strategy. I will continue to monitor the current market phase and wait for confirmation before any execution.
⚙️ Method: YTA Price Action
📌 Strategy: IZ3 Long Leg
⚠️ Always manage your risk.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🧠 YTA Philosophy
Read the Market Behavior.
Identify the Current Phase.
Follow the Liquidity.
Execute with Patience & Dis
Wheat could be the next Big Move - here's why...Most beginners watch only Bitcoin, gold, or stocks. But sometimes the biggest opportunities appear where almost nobody is looking.
A simple event can move an entire market. And right now, wheat is one of the commodities worth watching.
Ukraine and Russia together account for a 33% share of global wheat exports.
For sunflower oil, this share is even larger: Ukraine itself occupies more than 50% of the global oil market PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT . According to UN experts, the war in Ukraine, starte
Gold Reversal towards ATH again soon. If ATH is written in the books for GOLD, then this is how I see it playing out.
Posted this ideas few months back, time to pay attention and be ready to long if this setup shows.
Gold performs when the future is uncertain.
During war when the present is uncertain GOLD performs bad, because CASH is king during present uncertainty.
Once this war comes to an end in Q4, BRICS Should start buying GOLD and work on the BRICS Currency.
This is how I see it from my existing information.
I don't
95% of traders buy the Worst Possible Time - Dont be one of ThemHave you ever bought Bitcoin, watched it rise for a few days… and then suddenly crash?
You're not alone, brother. We've all been through this.
Most beginners enter the market at exactly the moment when experienced investors are taking profits. Why? Because they don't understand one simple thing: every liquid market moves in cycles.
Once you learn to recognize these cycles, you'll stop chasing the crowd and start understanding where the real opportunities are.
Every market follows the same cyc
65.6k Weekly resistance on the weekly for BTC!
Lots of weekly candle bodies closing or opening right on this level… and we got rejected again. 🧱🧱🧱
Has this been it for the rally for now and we head straight lower, or is another push up still coming?
This line is looking scary for the bulls.
About 9 weeks left for the crypto winter ❄️⛄️
NFA
XAUNOW | Gold Struggles at 4110 After 4200 Rejection!Alright guys, quick update on Gold.
Price pushed up to the 4200 area but got rejected and has been unable to recover much since then. It dropped down to around 4022 and is now trading near 4110, though it still lacks real strength and conviction.
This price action shows that the recent bullish momentum has cooled off and sellers are currently in control in the short term.
Looking ahead to next week, further downside toward levels below 4000 still looks likely.
The important demand zone to watch
XAU/USD 07 July 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or
Another US Recession Brewing? Part 2US Recession Study: Policy Rates, Inflation, Treasury Yields, GDP, Commercial Bank Balance Sheets, and Treasury Bond Futures
This chart expands on my previous US recession comparison study by adding two important macro-market variables:
USGDPYY, shown as the orange line, and ZB1!, shown as the turquoise line.
The purpose of this analysis is to compare the current macro alignment with previous historical US recession periods. The chart is not intended as a direct recession call, nor is it meant
EURUSD: Higher-Timeframe Change of Character — Key LevelIdea Title:
EURUSD: Higher-Timeframe Change of Character — Key Level Re-Test for Next Bullish Expansion Leg! 🚀
Analysis Explanation:
The macro structure on the weekly chart of TradingView_Screenshot_1782299370112.jpg demonstrates a long-term cyclical trend reversal, shifting institutional order flow firmly back into a premium expansion model.
Macro Change of Character Validated: Following a long-term accumulation base established at the major 1 Fibonacci baseline (1.01766), the mark
$FLY: Buy Now Again Before It's Too Late – A High-Growth Rocket Firefly Aerospace (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:FLY ) has taken a sharp pullback since late May, dropping from around the $45 IPO/secondary levels down to the mid-to-high $20s. That's painful in the short term, but it's also creating what looks like a compelling entry point for a company executing at a high level in the rapidly expanding space and defense sector.
Nobody can perfectly time the absolute bottom of any stock — especially in a volatile, high-growth industry like aerospace. That's why strategie























