Economic Cycles

Crude Oil: How Market Structure Reveals the Next Move Crude Oil: Following Structure, Not Predictions In this chart, we revisit a previous Crude Oil analysis that was published before the beginning of the recent bullish move and even before the latest geopolitical developments. The purpose of this analysis was never to predict a specific event or guess the future. The goal was to study price behavior and understand the structure that the market was developing. At that time, after completing a larger corrective structure, the market began showing

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Crude Oil: Beyond Market Direction, Understanding Market Structu Hello everyone, In this update, we take another look at the Crude Oil chart. We have slightly changed the way we present our analysis. The goal is not simply to say whether the market is bullish or bearish, but to understand the structure that the market is currently developing. From the bullish perspective, or the aggressive scenario, after completing a large corrective cycle that included a complex Wave II structure, the market was able to create an impulsive move. At the moment, there is a

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

CRM — Weekly Structure | 200WMA Reclaim and Wave 1 in Progress Thesis CRM appears to have completed its corrective ABC structure and has now broken back above the 200-week MA following a strong earnings reaction. If this reclaim holds, I see the current move as the early stage of Wave 1, with the first major structural target around $333. Context - Weekly timeframe - ABC correction appears complete - I started building CRM in the mid $160s in May during the broader SaaS selloff - The stock had moved deeply below its 200-week MA despite fundamentals tha

Bitcoin Momentum Update #7: Above the Upper Zone Bitcoin Daily Time Series Momentum has continued to strengthen and is currently around 1.21 , remaining above the upper reference level of 1.2 . This marks a significant change from the previous update, when momentum was around 1.11 and accelerating toward the upper zone. What has changed? Momentum has now moved from simply being positive to an unusually strong daily momentum environment . After breaking above 1.2, the indicator reached approximately 1.25 before easing slightly. Despite

Gold may reach 5000 by Sept? 24/August/26 XAUUSD up trend remaining strong after breaking 200 DMA (white ) and major downtrend line (red) price probably will retrace to previous confluenze resistance zone as support.

NZDUSD Retracement started ??After a big rally price has finally reached a strong resistance level of 0.5988 intact since Feb 2026, many upswings had faced rejections from this level. price has already started to consolidate in a sideways direction after retesting this zone and had broken below the immediate support of 0.5949, which signals bullishness exhausting and bears taking control. Over all structure is aligns with the upcoming decline as we had seen in the past multiple times each time price had given breakout abo

by CrazyTrades247

CADJPY:Wave Whispers Wave Whispers On the three-month chart of CAD/JPY, the larger structure begins with a downward Zigzag, followed by a complex and somewhat irregular structure that may belong to the Double/Triple Zigzag or Combination family. At this stage, identifying the exact pattern is less important than understanding its degree and structural progression. A sustained bullish move and a confirmed break above the previous peak could provide an important green light for the bullish scenario, initially openin

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

SPCX: A Post-IPO Base, Read Honestly A young chart is the hardest place to be honest about a tool. SPCX has a few months of trading history - which means every layer reading it has had a few months to learn it, not years. We publish the read anyway, and we say that limitation out loud, because a tool that only speaks where it looks good is not a tool. What the structure layer marked. After the post-IPO run to the low 220s, price spent June and July giving most of it back, and built a base through the summer around 107-118. Acro

by StructuraMarkets

$SOL - next leg up to $1,000+ is now starting Solana is showing similar fractal to 2023. Solana is the most used blockchain, the fastest blockchain, the cheapest blockchain. Currently Solana is reaching all-time high metrics and leading every blockchain in active users, # transaction count, transactions per second (tps), apps built on top of it producing the most revenue, most tokenized stocks being built on top of solana, highest payment stablecoin transfer volume... the list goes on. price catches up to fundamentals soon. CRYPTOCAP:SO

Bitcoin fever is just beginning. You are not ready for growth Over the past week, Bitcoin has grown by +20%! Many cryptocurrencies from the top 100 also showed an increase of +20+100%. In the last post in my channel, i wrote that there are ~52 days left for BTC to fall, after which the inevitable growth will begin. But BTC does not have to fall for 50 days; after all, it has already shown a decline of -53% from the previous high. Such a correction is sufficient to start a new bullish cycle for the next 3 years. Technically, BTC now broke the downtrend,

ALB: A Zone, a Reclaim, and Low Volume - Reading It Honestly ALB printed an accumulation zone 27 bars ago, near the low of a decline that had cut the stock roughly in half from its spring high. Price briefly traded under the reference, then reclaimed it and has moved well above it since. The panel today reads NO ACCUMULATION, last signal 27 bars ago, relative volume LOW. Reading those three things together - the zone, the reclaim, the volume - is today's lesson. What the chart shows Two zones in about sixteen months. The first, spring 2025, printed in

by StructuraMarkets

EURUSD: An Accumulation Zone Five Weeks In Twenty-nine bars ago, Structura Accumulate marked a zone on EURUSD's daily chart - the first in a long stretch of silence. Price has since built a base around the zone and, this week, pushed back above the adaptive reference at 1.1415. This is what a live test looks like, about halfway through - and reading it honestly matters more than cheering it. What the chart shows From the January high near 1.21, EURUSD declined for five months, breaking below the reference in late June. That break is

by StructuraMarkets

DOGE JUST HIT A HISTORICAL EXTREME.13 years of data. RSI is at an all time low. DOGE is sitting on its long term cycle floor. And against NVIDIA, relative valuation is back near the same type of extreme zone that preceded previous major DOGE expansions. The market sees weakness. I see one of the most asymmetric DOGE setups in its history. Fear is obvious. Opportunity is not.

Silver: IV or New Impulse?Two valid Elliott Wave scenarios are currently on the table for Silver. Aggressive Scenario The current advance may still be developing as Wave A of a corrective structure within the larger Wave IV. If this interpretation is correct, the completion of the current advance could be followed by a corrective Wave B and then another advance, potentially forming Wave C and completing the larger corrective structure. This correction may become complex, multi-legged, and time-consuming. Once Wave IV

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Gold: IV or New Impulse?Two valid Elliott Wave scenarios are currently on the table for Gold. Aggressive Scenario The current rally may still be developing as Wave A of a corrective structure within the larger Wave IV. After this advance is complete, the market could form a corrective Wave B, followed by another rally to complete the overall corrective pattern. This structure may become complex, multi-legged, and time-consuming. Once Wave IV is complete, another decline could follow, potentially with strong downside

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

$AKE – Potential Parabolic Curve in the Making?AKE – Potential Parabolic Curve in the Making? AKE is starting to show characteristics of a potential parabolic curve . From a technical perspective, this is an interesting setup, but it is also exactly the type of price structure where risk can increase extremely quickly. Looking at the chart, we can identify what appears to be a clear Base 1 , followed by the first major expansion to the upside. After the recent spike toward approximately $0.016 , price is now consolidating around the

by rektbyhielke

Episode 04 — When the Pattern Took Shape 🎬 Mr. Nobody’s Chronicle Season I — The History of Elliott Wave Principle Episode 04 — When the Pattern Took Shape “When observation began to become a principle...” Years of observation had finally led to a new question. If market movements truly followed an underlying order, how did that order reveal itself? Ralph Nelson Elliott began comparing large and small market movements. He was not simply looking for visual similarities. He was looking for structure. In his studies, market movement

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

NQ Weekly Outlook: Consolidation First, Then Higher? | 24–28 Aug The Fringe Cycles model read for the coming week suggests a weaker start followed by a more consistently positive structure from Tuesday onward. This outlook is based on the NQ Globex session, not just regular cash-session price action. Each daily bias applies approximately from 18:30 Eastern on the previous evening through 15:30 Eastern on the stated trading day. For evaluation, each daily bias is measured from the 18:30 Eastern opening price using a 2% target and a 1% invalidation threshold.

by thefringetrader

BITCOIN SHORT IDEA All this move up seems sus. sure there was a lot of buying. Does look like "Hmm, the bottom could be in you know". But knowing the BTC behaviour from many cycles, this should get reversed by first week of Sept. We should see the low forming around Oct - Nov. Sept is going to be very choppy. Let's see.

Bull Market or Another Bearish Trap?ADA: The 1–2 Chain Before the Explosion! ⚡ ADA’s larger Wave III developed as a classic five-wave impulse. The following major correction can currently be interpreted as a simple Zigzag with a 5-3-5 structure. The key question now is whether the correction has ended and Cardano is preparing for a major advance. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the current price action is showing the potential development of an impulsive structure with nested 1–2, 1–2, and possibly another 1–2 formation. If t

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

TSLA: A Fresh Accumulation Zone, Two Bars In Two bars ago, price broke into the area Structura Accumulate has now marked on TSLA's daily chart - the first zone on this name since April 2025. Two bars is very early. Most posts would either ignore that or talk past it. Here, the freshness IS the subject: what a zone can tell you this early, and what it cannot. What the chart shows - stated honestly After months of lower highs from the January peak near $500, TSLA fell hard into the adaptive low-anchored reference around $334 - and cut s

by StructuraMarkets

Bitcoin 2H | Bullish Path, Two Structural Interpretations Conservative Scenario — Black The current advance may be developing as an Impulsive structure. Wave (3) may already be complete, or one smaller subwave may still be required to complete it. If the structure continues to respect the rules and guidelines of an impulse, we would expect Wave (4) followed by Wave (5), completing the larger impulsive sequence. After the corrective phase that follows, the market could begin a larger Wave (3), potentially developing through another impulsive structure

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin: Bullish Structure or Deeper Correction?Bitcoin Weekly: The Structural Battle Between Wave III and a Deeper Wave IV This weekly analysis is presented on the Linear chart, while the logarithmic chart is also considered when evaluating Bitcoin’s long-term structure. The difference between these two scales is significant in terms of wave size, price distance, and time relationships. However, the important point is that the primary scenarios remain broadly aligned on both scales. From the beginning of this chart, considering the initial

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

GJ Bias GJ is in a bullish ranging market meaning we expect price to appreciate but we do not expect a sustained bullish trend due to the threat of intervention. However, we do not expect a bearish trend until they show greater intervention or rake hikes but then not even sure. until GJ breaks out of the overall range, expect a series of highs and lows with breakouts/failed breakouts and interventions back into the range. The breakouts will provide ample opportunity to make bread. Most trades do not kn