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Moving Averages

PATH - Hits Previous Targets, Fresh Buy Signal ActivatedPATH - CURRENT PRICE : 13.10 My previous PATH buy call has successfully achieved both upside targets. For those interested in reviewing the earlier analysis and setup, the previous report link has been shared for reference. Following the recent price action, PATH has generated another bullish technical setup. The stock has decisively broken above its sideway consolidation resistance, signaling renewed buying interest after several months of accumulation. More importantly, the breakout occurred together with a move above the EMA200, which often indicates a potential shift from a bearish trend to a bullish trend. Momentum indicators are also supporting the bullish outlook. The MACD has crossed higher and continues to expand positively, suggesting strengthening upside momentum. In addition, the breakout was accompanied by increased volume, indicating participation from buyers rather than a low-conviction move. As long as PATH remains above the support level at USD11.20, the bullish bias remains intact. The first upside target is USD15.00, while the second target is USD17.00, representing the next major resistance zones on the chart. Overall, the successful breakout above both the sideway resistance and EMA200, combined with improving MACD momentum, suggests PATH may be entering a new medium-term uptrend phase. Traders may consider maintaining a bullish stance while the stock holds above the USD11.20 support level. ENTRY PRICE : 12.80 - 13.10 FIRST TARGET : 15.00 SECOND TARGET : 17.00 SUPPORT : 11.20
NYSE:PATHLong
by IMRAN_96
2
One Level, Two Kiwi SetupsNZD/USD has reversed hard from resistance at .5992 following last week’s hawkish shift from the RBNZ, sending the pair back towards support at .5920. That provides a decent level to build setups around depending on how the near-term price action evolves. Should the Kiwi find support at .5920, as was the case on Monday, longs could be set with a tight stop beneath for protection, targeting a retest of resistance at .5992. However, should we see a close beneath .5920 or a definitive downside break, shorts could be set with a tight stop above for protection, targeting the 200-day moving average where the pair attracted buying repeatedly in May. The 100-day moving average, located between the entry zone and target, warrants respect given the price has interacted with it repeatedly in recent weeks. Should the price stall there, traders may want to consider nixing the trade. Both RSI (14) and MACD marginally favour long setups over shorts, although the overall message from both indicators is more neutral than anything. As such, the price action around the important .5920 level is arguably a better tell on where directional risks may lie. Good luck! DS
by FOREX.com
Day 68 of 90 — Follow the Trend, Not the Noise🛡️ Day 68 of 90 — Follow the Trend, Not the Noise XAUUSD | M15 | Sentinel Core | Sentinel Structure | Sentinel Companion Situation • Gold remains in a bearish trend on the M15 timeframe. • Price dropped sharply from the 4,600 area to around 4,450. • Buyers stepped in and pushed price back to around 4,488. • The current move is a pullback inside a larger downtrend. 👉 Just because price is moving up does not mean the trend is bullish. What This Chart Shows • Trend direction is currently Bearish. • Price continues to make Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). • EMA21, EMA50, and EMA200 remain above price. • Sellers still control the overall market structure. 👉 In a downtrend, rallies often become selling opportunities. 🟦 Phase 1 — The Trend Change • Price created a major high near 4,600. • Sellers took control and pushed price lower. • Lower Highs started forming. • The bullish trend ended and bearish structure developed. 👉 Trends change when structure changes. 🟩 Phase 2 — The Downtrend • Price continued making Lower Highs and Lower Lows. • Sellers defended resistance levels. • Every rally struggled to create a new Higher High. • The market continued moving lower. 👉 Lower Highs tell us sellers remain in control. 🟨 Phase 3 — What Is Happening Now • Price bounced from support around 4,450. • Current price is around 4,488. • Resistance sits above at 4,500–4,510. • Sellers need to defend this area for the downtrend to continue. 👉 A pullback is not a buy signal. Key Lesson Many traders see green candles and think the market is turning bullish. The problem? The overall trend is still bearish. Professional traders focus on the bigger picture. As long as Lower Highs continue to form, sellers remain in control. The trend remains bearish until structure proves otherwise. Execution Note (Sentinel Core) • Watch resistance around 4,500–4,510. • Watch support around 4,470–4,475. • Wait for rejection from resistance. • Structure first → Confirmation second → Execution last. 🛡️ No confirmation = No trade. Trend Summary 🔴 Trend: Bearish 💰 Current Price: 4,488 📈 Resistance: 4,500–4,510 🛡️ Support: 4,470–4,475 ⚠️ Status: Bearish Pullback — Waiting for Lower High Confirmation Sentinel Principle You do not trade the move. You trade confirmed structure. 🛡️ Patience > Excitement Series Note Building consistency through observation, not prediction. #XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SentinelCore #Intraday #Scalping #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Pips0mnian
Verra Mobility Corp | VRRM | Long at $3.50Welcome to the introduction of my "company collapse" simple moving average zone (purple lines). This area of rare entry usually happens when a company goes under. Is this the case for Verra Mobility Corp NASDAQ:VRRM ? Seems like an overreaction / over correction to me. While the company lost its contract with Avis , it still has Hertz, Enterprise, NYCDOT, Hawaii DOT, and 50 other toll facilities. More losses of these contracts would worry me. Not just one. Thus, at $3.50, NASDAQ:VRRM is in a major personal buy zone. TARGETS INTO 2029 $5.00 (+42.9%) $7.00 (+100.0%)
NASDAQ:VRRMLong
by WorthlessViews
1
PATH - Bullish Divergence Near 52-Week LowPATH - CURRENT PRICE : 10.27 ⚠️ PATH still remains in a broader bearish structure as price continues trading below the EMA200, showing the long-term trend is still weak. However, the interesting part here is the stock is starting to stabilize near the 52-week low area around USD9.20–9.30, which previously acted as a strong support zone. Recent candles also show buyers stepping in aggressively whenever price dips into this region. Another positive sign is the bullish divergence on RSI. While price made a lower low recently, RSI formed a higher low, suggesting selling momentum is weakening. Volume also started to improve near the support zone, which may indicate accumulation activity is slowly building. As long as PATH holds above the key support at USD9.20 (14 May candle low), a technical rebound remains possible. First upside target is around USD11.40, while the second target is near USD12.40, slightly below the EMA200 resistance area where selling pressure may reappear. Overall, this is still a counter-trend recovery setup inside a bearish trend, so risk management remains important. A strong breakout above EMA200 would be needed later to confirm a larger trend reversal. ENTRY PRICE : 10.00 - 10.27 FIRST TARGET : 11.40 SECOND TARGET : 12.40 SUPPORT : 9.20
NYSE:PATHLong
by IMRAN_96
MRAM - Healthy Retracement at Fibo Golden RatioMRAM - CURRENT PRICE : 27.00 - 29.20 MRAM is showing signs of maintaining a bullish structure after a strong breakout move. The recent pullback has retraced toward the 61.8% Fibonacci Golden Ratio retracement level, which is often viewed as a key support zone during healthy corrections. In addition, the stock remains above the 50-day EMA, suggesting that the medium-term uptrend remains intact. The pullback appears constructive rather than a complete trend reversal, as buyers continue to defend higher support levels. Momentum is also improving. The RSI has crossed back above the 50 level, indicating that bullish momentum may be returning after the recent retracement. Historically, RSI reclaiming 50 during an uptrend often signals renewed buying interest. As long as MRAM holds above the 50-day EMA support, the bullish bias remains valid. A successful rebound from the current area could open the door for an upside move toward the first resistance target near $34, which coincides with the 38.2% retracement level. A stronger continuation could see the stock retest the $40 area, representing the next major resistance zone. ENTRY PRICE : 27.00 - 29.20 FIRST TARGET : 34.00 SECOND TARGET : 40.00 SUPPORT : EMA 50 (Cut loss on closing basis)
NASDAQ:MRAM
by IMRAN_96
Reports of NVDA's death have been overstated - long at 214.86It's been a while since I've posted an idea for NVDA. I've traded it a bunch since then, but I like to have something a little extra on my side if I'm going to post, and today I do. I am an unabashed quant. I play the numbers more than I play the technicals, though my signals are technical-based. For those interested in some simple technicals, I'll drop those first. 1) 6 month uptrend 2) 2 levels of support, 1 nearby shown on the chart 3) resting right on its 20d MA and above both its 50 and 200d MAs Now for the fun part for me. Today is the second consecutive oversold signal for me. In the last 4 years, that has resulted in a win every time, with the longest holding period being 9 trading days. You have to go back to 2022 to find one that didn't pay that fast - and if you remember 2022, NVDA was not alone in that drop. More than half of these trades paid in one day. Also, in the last year, after 3 consecutive down days, the longest it has taken to get back to green is, you guessed it - also 9 trading days. The most common result? Also anticlimactic - 1 day. There's my case. I have never had a losing trade on NVDA. I suppose it could happen with this one, but I doubt it. It would have to go to zero for that to happen. I will add and subtract tactically if the trade extends beyond day 1. Also, if I can get a 2% gain in the first day intraday, I will sell then and not look back. That would be an above average trade. Otherwise, any level above that .94% per day is fair game for me and I will close on the first profitable close, regardless of the size of the gain. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
16
USDJPY Daily: Educational Case Study on the Power of the 200 EMAIn this technical analysis case study, we analyze the U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen ( FX:USDJPY ) on the Daily Chart to visually demonstrate the immense structural power of the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200) when combined with a major Ascending Trendline (LTA). As technical analysts and institutional traders, we must always respect these critical macro intersections. The market's memory at these specific zones offers some of the highest-probability setups in professional trading. ### The Anatomy of Institutional Defense (Red Circles): The two red highlights on the chart show a repeating, textbook behavior of how smart money utilizes dynamic value layers: 1. **The First Confluence Test (Jan/Feb):** Following a steep corrective phase, USDJPY drifted lower into the apex where the rising green LTA converged with the purple EMA 200 line. Notice the immediate reaction: robust bullish rejection wicks followed by strong, institutional size green candles, signaling heavy demand absorption. 2. **The Second Confluence Test (May):** History repeated itself with absolute mathematical precision. A sharp liquidation drop swept lower-timeframe stops, checking into the exact same structural confluence zone. Once again, long lower wicks and aggressive expansion buyers stepped in right after the touch, driving the exchange rate all the way back to the major **160.635** horizontal resistance ceiling. ### Professional Takeaways: * **The 200 EMA as an Institutional Baseline:** The 200 EMA close (purple line) is not just a lagging indicator; it acts as a macro line in the sand for funds and commercial banks to reposition within a dominant trend. * **Confirmation via Price Action:** Watching the moving average is only half the battle. The true validation comes from the *immediate candle response after the touch*. Strong daily bullish closes following a retest confirm that the dominant buyers are actively defending their territory. ### Trading Application: Never short blindly into a rising 200 EMA conflux, and never chase a rally when it is overextended from it. The professional edge lies in identifying these structural clusters, waiting for the dynamic retest, and executing orders alongside institutional order flow once bullish momentum is verified. --- 📊 **ProData Chart** | By Rogerio Zaglia *Technical Analysis, Price Action & Global Macro Strategy.* ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This study does not constitute investment advice or trading recommendations.
Long
by ChartPro_Data
Tesla H4 Update: Price Hits Target Trajectory Toward Confluence Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is executing the anticipated corrective swing on the 4-Hour (H4) chart with high precision, moving strictly within our projected technical pathways. ### Key Lower Timeframe Mechanics: * **The Descent Momentum:** Following the decisive rejection at the macro horizontal resistance wall (**452.87**) and the overhead descending trendline, the short-term order flow has shifted to the sell-side, leading the asset directly down into the apex squeeze. * **The Imminent Confluence Zone (418 - 422):** As indicated by the descending green arrow, price action is fast approaching a high-probability institutional demand cluster: * **The Dynamic LTA Support:** The steep ascending purple trendline acts as the active directional floor. * **The H4 200 EMA Intersection:** The 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4H chart is hovering right at **418.95**, creating a tight technical confluence with the trendline. ### Tactical Rebound Scenario: The sequential arrows on the chart outline our primary short-term tactical bias: 1. **The Absorption Phase (First Arrow):** We anticipate localized selling exhaustion and structural buyer absorption as the price interacts with the **LTA + 4H 200 EMA cluster**. 2. **The Dynamic Bounce (Second Green Arrow):** If buyers successfully hold this line in the sand, the path opens for a robust tactical rebound, aiming to retest liquidity near the upper boundaries and squeeze late short-sellers. ### Execution Blueprint: Short-term momentum sellers should begin looking to lock in localized profits as we approach the 420.00 area. For swing-traders looking for long opportunities, the execution plan requires patience: we will monitor lower timeframes (such as H1 or M15) inside the 418-422 zone, looking for volume-backed accumulation signals or a clear CHoCH before validating the counter-offensive. --- 📊 **ProData Chart** | By Rogerio Zaglia *Technical Analysis & Market Structure Insights.* ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ChartPro_Data
S&P 500 Daily: Overextended Trends Encounter Channels & HistoricThe S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX / $SPCFD) continues its powerful bullish expansion on the Daily Chart, but vital structural metrics suggest technical exhaustion is quietly building up under the hood. ### The Technical Framework: * **The Ascending Regression Channel:** Since the major dynamic bottom established in April, price action has been strictly respecting a rising green parallel channel. * **Short-Term Trajectory:** After successfully defending the lower boundary of the channel in late May, the index is attempting a localized bounce toward the upper boundary (indicated by the blue arrow). However, severe resistance looms near the channel's ceiling. * **The 200 EMA Extension Metric:** The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (purple line) is currently floating near **6,796**. At current market prices, the S&P 500 is trading at a significant **10% premium (overextension)** above its long-term baseline. ### Historical Context & Macro Caution: From an analytical and realistic perspective, while the immediate momentum appears bulletproof, chasing new long positions here presents a highly unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. Historically, during major fundamental catalysts (such as past policy and tariff announcements), we observed this extension stretch up to a maximum threshold of **15%** before trigger-heavy capitulations or sharp mean-reversion corrections occurred. At a 10% extension today, the margin for safety is rapidly shrinking. ### Strategic Execution Plan (The Rotational Sequences): The red arrows on the chart illustrate the impending technical threat: 1. **The Tactical Drive (Blue Arrow):** A final, lower-volume liquidity sweep targeting the upper channel boundary. 2. **The Dynamic Rejection (Red Arrows):** As the price approaches the upper parallel resistance, institutional profit-taking is highly expected to trigger a rotational phase back toward the channel floor or launch a broader, overdue corrective drive back down to test the **EMA 200 support**. ### Professional Takeaway: Patience is the defining edge right now. The smart money approach mandates caution on fresh long entries at these elevated heights. The optimal technical play is to wait for a verified structural daily correction toward the moving averages to look for sustainable demand absorption. --- 📊 **ProData Chart** | By Rogerio Zaglia *12+ years of daily global market technical analysis.* ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SPCFD:SPX
by ChartPro_Data
Weekend Review - One chart that makes you act with confidenceIn this post, I show that the S&P 500 is not running on fumes — market internals are confirming the advance and the rally has healthy support. Using the Market Internal Pressure Dashboard, this article explains why participation is improving, leadership is expanding, and volatility is normalized, giving the uptrend real staying power. And this is why you can act with confidence — because you understand what’s happening beyond price. 1️⃣ What is it today? The S&P 500 has largely repaired the damage from the March-April stress event and is trading near recent highs. However, the more interesting story is not price itself but what is happening underneath the surface. Market internals show: VIX/VIX3M has moved back below 1, indicating stress normalization. New 52-week highs continue to outnumber new lows. Participation has improved materially from the breadth washout seen during the correction. The percentage of stocks above their SMA20 and SMA200 has recovered, but remains far from euphoric extremes. Leadership remains constructive rather than collapsing. The market is behaving like a system testing whether higher prices can be accepted. 2️⃣ Thesis The current market environment is best described as Recovery transitioning into Acceptance. The key observation is that volatility normalized before participation fully recovered. Price has returned to the highs faster than breadth has returned to extremes. This is important because it suggests the advance is not being driven by indiscriminate optimism. Instead, participation is gradually rebuilding while leadership (currently: Chips, Semis, Fabs, AI) remains intact. The market appears to be moving from stress relief toward acceptance. 3️⃣ What validates the thesis? The thesis remains valid while internal conditions continue to support price: VIX/VIX3M remains below 1 (better below 0.9). New highs continue to exceed new lows with expanding leadership (other sectors joining such as SaaS and IGV recovering recently) Breadth (% above SMA20 and SMA200) stabilizes or improves >60%. Up volume continues to dominate down volume over time (effort confirming the move). Most importantly: The market's internal behavior must continue to confirm the message of price. 4️⃣ What invalidates the thesis? The thesis weakens if price continues higher while internal participation deteriorates. Warning signs would include: New highs stop expanding. New lows begin increasing. Breadth rolls over while price remains elevated. VIX/VIX3M starts rising back toward or above 1. Leadership narrows significantly (even more narrowed on the AI theme; SaaS bounce fails). Up volume deteriorates despite stable index levels. A healthy market can withstand pullbacks. What matters is whether participation and leadership remain intact during those pullbacks. ------------------ Grabbing this chart and using it will do the following for you: 1. Reduction of Uncertainty / Confusion This chart replaces guesswork with clear evidence by showing whether participation, leadership, and volatility are improving or deteriorating. Instead of predicting price, you simply assess if the weight of internal data supports the move. 2. Reduction of Effort The framework trains you to scan the same five recurring conditions every time — volatility regime, participation, leadership, effort, and price confirmation. Once you recognize these patterns, decisions become faster and far more consistent. 3. Identity Reinforcement This approach shifts your identity from a prediction-driven trader to a process-driven trader who follows evidence over opinion. You no longer tie self-worth to being right on every trade, but to consistently applying a disciplined framework. I wish you a fruitful and confident week!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by TradeSentinelNotes
2
Euro Stoxx 50 Daily: Price Nears Key Confluence of Ascending TreThe Euro Stoxx 50 Index ( TVC:SX5E / FOREXCOM:EU50 ) is presenting a clean technical corrective structure on the Daily Chart, drifting lower toward a well-defined confluence zone where buyers are expected to re-emerge. Following a strong bullish expansion, the index is experiencing a healthy mean-reversion phase, offering a highly readable environment for swing traders tracking European benchmarks. ### Key Technical Factors: * **The Aggressive Ascending Trendline (LTA):** A steep green support line is climbing rapidly, acting as the immediate dynamic floor for the medium-term bullish momentum. * **The Fibonacci Retraction Framework:** Drawn from the recent structural swing, the price is currently battling near the **0.236 Fibonacci level (6,047.0)**. A minor extension lower points directly to a test of the **0.382 level (5,986.3)**, which perfectly intersects with the rising LTA. * **The Macro Support & EMA 200:** Should the corrective phase accelerate, a massive structural floor is located lower at the **1.0 Fibonacci level (5,729.0)**. This static level aligns seamlessly with the long-term **200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200 - purple line at 5,739.3)**. * **Overhead Target Wall (6,194.4):** The historical macro resistance remains firmly established at the **6,194.4** horizontal red line. ### Strategic Scenario & Execution Plan: The dashed trajectory line on the chart illustrates a classic technical retest sequence: 1. **The Downside Drift:** Short-term selling pressure is leading the price to interact with the intersection of the green LTA and the internal Fibonacci retracements (between 6,047 and 5,986). 2. **The Bullish Reaction:** Because this area represents a structural cluster, it is a high-probability zone for buyer absorption. A clean hold here opens the path to target a retest of the major 6,194.4 overhead resistance wall. We will monitor lower timeframes (such as H4 or H1) as the price enters this confluence zone, looking for deceleration signs or a structural shift (CHoCH) to define a tight, low-risk long entry. --- 📊 **ProData Chart** | By Rogerio Zaglia *12+ years of daily global market technical analysis.* ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SPREADEX:EU50
by ChartPro_Data
Small position, big potential. The power of the ATRI've had my eye on Rave and I'm gonna take a position here knowing it can still dip a bit more. My most ideal target would be either the coin's launch price or the lowest lows of the coin. However given the small position size I'm fine with the risk because using the ATR I'm going to turn Rave into BTC. I use the weekly timeframe for the ATR as well as an indicator called Average Percentage True Range since it's easier to understand and translates well with other charts. I use the previous week when I start a trade in this case BTC's wekkly ATR is 8.2% which means on average it moves 8% in price a week. This is a nice baseline which we'll be applying to Rave. By contrast, Rave's weekly ATR is 58% which means Rave has the potential to move 50% in price in a week which is huge. This means Rave moves 7x stronger than BTC, calculated by dividing Rave's ATR with BTC. If you were to go all in on RAVE, what you're saying with that trade is that you are 7x more confident trading Rave than BTC. BTC is a safe coin to go all in on because it moves slowly and is easier on your portfolio in case it goes down. If we divide BTC's ATR with Rave we get roughly 14%, which means that our position musn't be greater than 10-14% of our portfolio. With a portfolio of $2000 for example that'd be $200-$280 of Rave to buy. This idea and this trade is being made with this position size in mind. If Rave drops 50% then the example trade would only lose $100 which compared to the rest of your portfolio would only be a 5% drop. However if Rave doubles or triples or more then our small position will feel more like a regular sized or bigger position. Let's see how this goes. Using the ATR this way on other coins will let you trade even the most violent and risky of coins with more peace of mind.
COINBASE:RAVEUSDLong
by Kindlegem
2