Bearish pennant pattern in focus on USD/CHF

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Keeping things simple in the FX space today, I decided to highlight a bearish pennant pattern taking shape between the record low of Fr0.7599 and the high of Fr0.7817 on the USD/CHF pair. These are considered ‘continuation’ patterns, meaning price tends to breakout in the direction of the underlying trend, which is evidently south here.

However, the issue I see is that if you assess the price action within the pennant formation, the recent test of the upper boundary failed to prompt a push to the lower border. This – coupled with price approaching the pattern’s apex – suggests potential pattern failure and a breakout to the upside, possibly targeting neighbouring resistance at Fr0.7873.

Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill

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