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Economic Cycles

NQ Weekly Outlook: Mixed to Higher? | 13 to 17 July 2026The model read for the coming week contains three positive-bias days and two negative-bias days, suggesting a mixed structure with an overall tendency toward higher prices. This outlook is based on the NQ Globex session, not only regular cash-session price action. Monday, 13 July: Negative bias Monday carries a negative bias, although positive momentum from the weekend may continue into the early part of the session and create choppy or conflicted price action. NQ ended the previous week nea
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by thefringetrader
EURUSD Macro Structural Report: Navigating the 3rd Candle Matrix1. High-Horizon Dilemma The current monthly cycle is officially traversing the 3rd candle footprint of a developing Monthly Fair Value Gap (M-FVG). Historically, this phase represents one of the most mechanically complex environments to navigate, as the Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm (IPDA) balances rapid multi-hundred pip expansion capabilities with high-probability accumulation traps. 2. Definitive Macro Stance Our long-term thesis remains un-alterably bearish until a full macro rebalanci
by financialmarketsprotocol
Copper Futures:The Structural Turning Point of a New Macro CycleHG1! | Macro Structural Convergence and Transition to a High-Velocity Expansion Phase ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. Structural Hypothesis This chart is not merely a technical analysis or a collection of price targets. This study is based on a proprietary structural model developed to analyze the market through the convergence of price, time, structural behavior, structural compression, structural complexity, movement logic, and the framework of price-time coordination across all ti
COMEX:HG1!Long
by MohsenNirumand
Is Wave C Complete, or Is the Correction Still Unfolding?Ethereum Following the broader structural outlook presented in the weekly analysis and the primary scenarios discussed in the daily chart, this 4-hour update focuses on the internal development of Wave C—the portion of the structure that may ultimately determine whether the higher-degree Wave (IV) correction is nearing completion. Conservative Scenario According to the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle, Wave W appears to have completed as a Simple Zigzag, followed by Wave X a
PEPPERSTONE:ETHUSDLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
7
Ethereum | Is the Major Correction Ending, or?Ethereum | Is the Major Correction Ending, or Is a More Complex Structure Still Unfolding? Ethereum's long-term structure suggests that the market remains at one of the most critical stages of its higher-degree Wave (IV) correction. The primary question is not whether price will move higher or lower next, but whether this corrective phase is approaching completion or if the market still has another portion of its correction left to reveal. Conservative Scenario According to the rules and guid
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
14
Ethereum | Is the Largest Corrective Cycle Nearing Completion? Our structural analysis suggests that Ethereum may be approaching the final stages of Wave IV within its largest bullish market cycle. Based on the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle, this correction is currently being interpreted as a complex sideways corrective pattern. In the preferred scenario, Wave Y is unfolding as a Flat correction that still has the potential to evolve from a Regular Flat into an Expanded Flat. If this structure is completed as expected, it could mark t
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Leading Diagonal Suggests a Corrective Rally Before Completing XAGUSD (Silver) | Leading Diagonal Suggests a Corrective Rally Before Completing Higher-Degree Wave IV "Price is the outcome. Structure is the cause." After examining the weekly, daily, and now the 4-hour chart, the aggressive scenario continues to align with the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle. In this interpretation, the recent decline is counted as a Leading Diagonal following the 5-3-5-3-5 structural sequence. So far, the internal subdivisions remain consistent with the
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Microsoft - A Visual AlmanacA rare structural asymmetry has been developing in the equity markets. While the S&P 500's 9.6% year-to-date return establishes a powerful macroeconomic floor, Microsoft has decoupled from the index by undergoing a -30% correction. This combination of an index momentum cycle and a discounted mega-cap growth leader presents a compelling thesis. The broader market enters the second half of the year backed by strong cyclical momentum, where front-half strength historically serves as a launchpad:
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Studio_Zach
8
Bitcoin’s Make-or-Break Zone: Is $60K the Launchpad for $90K?Bitcoin is once again trading inside a historically important demand zone between $60,000 and $64,000. From a technical perspective, the broader structure remains bearish – BTC continues to form lower highs and is still trading below both the 200-day moving average and the major descending trendline. However, the technical weakness is developing alongside several long-term fundamental catalysts that could create the conditions for a larger recovery. Corporate demand has not disappeared Michae
BINANCE:BTCUSDTLong
by Market_Atlas
2
TOTAL2 Exclude Stablecoins vs Russell 2000his chart compares two different risk markets. On the left, Russell 2000. On the right, the crypto market excluding Bitcoin and stablecoins. At the bottom, the relative ratio between the two. The purpose is simple: Is the broader crypto market structurally dead, or is it still lagging behind traditional risk assets before a new rotation phase? Russell 2000 already completed its post 2021 repair. It made the 2021 top. It corrected. It formed the 2022 bottom. It retested the old high. Then it
CBOEFTSE:RUTLong
by Cryptollica
Gold | One More Wave… or Has Wave B Already Begun?XAUUSD – 4H Elliott Wave Analysis According to the higher-degree Weekly and Daily wave counts, Gold appears to be developing Wave IV. This analysis is built upon the Elliott Wave Principle, adhering to its core rules and structural guidelines rather than relying on price prediction. The first component of this structure is a Leading Diagonal, which may have already reached completion. If confirmed, the market could initiate a short-term bullish move, representing Wave B within the larger corre
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
BTCUSD 30M | Final Compression Before Explosion📈 BTCUSD | The Final Vector Compression Before Structural Expansion ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⏳ Market Condition The market is approaching a critical convergence where price, time, and structural geometry are reaching simultaneous maturity. Every major turning point during this sequence has developed around the same rigid framework, confirming that Bitcoin is respecting an organized structural rhythm rather than moving through random volatility. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by MohsenNirumand
12
PAYpalPayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL). Buy the value. Wait for confirmation. PayPal remains a global leader in digital payments with a strong balance sheet, billions in annual free cash flow, and ongoing share buybacks. The business continues to generate solid revenue, even as competition weighs on growth. The technical picture still demands patience. If price holds key support and breaks above resistance with strong volume, buyers gain the edge. A rejection at resistance keeps the risk of another do
XETR:2PP
by PriceLeftClues
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Simple Zigzag Remains the Preferred Structure# **Aggressive Scenario** This analysis explores the aggressive scenario through the development of a **Simple Zigzag**, presenting the complete structure of this corrective pattern in accordance with the **rules and guidelines of Ralph Nelson Elliott's Wave Principle**. Although last week's analysis highlighted the formation of **seven swings**, suggesting that the correction could be evolving into a **Double Zigzag**, the possibility still remains that the market may expand into any valid co
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
10
Wave (IV) May Be Preparing the Next Bullish CycleBitcoin Futures (BTC1!) – Daily Chart Aggressive Scenario: Wave (IV) May Be Preparing the Next Bullish Cycle Based on the current market structure, the preferred wave count is derived from the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle. The preferred interpretation suggests that the decline from the recent high is developing as Wave (IV) of a larger degree. At this stage, the correction is most likely unfolding as a Bigger Zigzag, with the market progressing through its internal a-b-c
CME:BTC2!Short
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
2
Aggressive Scenario: Wave (IV) Remains the Preferred OutlookBitcoin (BTC/USD) – Weekly Chart Aggressive Scenario: Wave (IV) Remains the Preferred Outlook From a structural perspective, the current wave count remains valid based on the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle. The preferred interpretation is that Bitcoin is currently developing Wave (IV) of a larger degree. At this stage, the most probable corrective structure remains either a Simple Zigzag or, should the correction become more complex, a Multiple Zigzag. Based on the current
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Long trade Pair: USDJPY Direction: 🟢 Buyside Date: Wed 8th July 26 Session: Tokyo Session AM Entry Time: 3:00 AM Entry: 162.265 Target / Profit Level: 162.813 Stop: 162.178 Gain Target: 0.338%–0.388% Risk: 0.054% RR: 6.3 USDJPY Buyside Trade Idea 🟢 Bias: Buyside continuation/liquidity expansion USDJPY is showing a strong buyside continuation model. Price has reclaimed above the daily open, the previous day's high area, and the short-term EMA structure. The 1H chart is pressing into premium with momentu
Long
by davidjulien369
Simple Zigzag Toward the Completion of the Corrective CycleBitcoin (BTC/USD) – Daily Chart Aggressive Scenario: Simple Zigzag Toward the Completion of the Corrective Cycle The aggressive scenario continues to favor the development of a Simple Zigzag (A-B-C) correction. If this structure unfolds as expected, Bitcoin could decline toward the $40,000 region before the larger corrective cycle reaches completion. As illustrated on the chart, Wave A has already completed as a clear five-wave impulse, satisfying one of the defining characteristics of a Zigza
FX:BTCUSDShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
HISTORY REPEATINGBitcoin’s rise may not be over. I am not saying it. History is. On the left: Intuitive Surgical. On the right: Bitcoin. Different assets. Different eras. Same structural question. major advance. reset. long compression. resistance line pressing down. key horizontal level holding underneath. Then comes the real question: finished move or preparation before expansion? In ISRG, this structure was not the end. It was the transition before a powerful continuation. Bitcoin is now sitting inside
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptollica