Seasonality

EURUSD: Higher-Timeframe Change of Character — Key Level Idea Title: EURUSD: Higher-Timeframe Change of Character — Key Level Re-Test for Next Bullish Expansion Leg! 🚀 Analysis Explanation: The macro structure on the weekly chart of TradingView_Screenshot_1782299370112.jpg demonstrates a long-term cyclical trend reversal, shifting institutional order flow firmly back into a premium expansion model. Macro Change of Character Validated: Following a long-term accumulation base established at the major 1 Fibonacci baseline (1.01766), the mark

by Michael_X_Trader

$FLY: Buy Now Again Before It's Too Late – A High-Growth Rocket Firefly Aerospace (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:FLY ) has taken a sharp pullback since late May, dropping from around the $45 IPO/secondary levels down to the mid-to-high $20s. That's painful in the short term, but it's also creating what looks like a compelling entry point for a company executing at a high level in the rapidly expanding space and defense sector. Nobody can perfectly time the absolute bottom of any stock — especially in a volatile, high-growth industry like aerospace. That's why strategie

by michael_lllllllllll

a possibilty who knows i dont know i dont want that to happen but who knows nfa

Year End Target Using Fib Extension where me we might end up EOY. Obviously, the idea of A-B Corrections can be applied to gold and other assets as well.

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SOL. Neither up nor down, but sideways.don't expect either a rise or a fall, because only a sideways movement is possible now, with a sharp liquidation of margin positions in both directions this is a time when every highly capitalized chain is searching for a direction for its existence, and for Solana, it seems, it's artificial intelligence and these directions will be key and existential on the chart I marked the extremes, channels, time cutoffs and it is not difficult to read the technical analysis

The #1 Reason Ethereum is Going To Crash Ethereum BINANCE:ETHUSDT has entered that season where its going to crash heavy We know this by looking at the MACD histogram showing us that this is a good season for this crypto to crash. Now the rumor is Micheal Saylor bought some Bitcoin but again like i said in the last article i saw on cointelegraph the rate of people selling crypto has passed the profit from mining If this is not a sign that we going into a crypto bear market then i dont know.. Look at the long term crypto

Why Market Knock Out 90% Of The Participants !Double Purge Theory This is the opposite of ICT's 2022 YT model. When BULLISH the market makers will take out the buy stops FIRST then the sell stops SECOND before a TRUE LRLRrun occurs. (vice versa for shorts) Graphical Design Buystops Purged First And Sell Stops And Back To The Bullish DOL Bullish Example HTF Candle Range High And Low Educational purpose Only Not Financial Advice

by Michael_X_Trader

Leslies Inc | LESL | Long at $0.41 **VERY risky trade - 25% or more risk of bankruptcy** Leslies NASDAQ:LESL is a direct-to-consumer pool and spa care brand in the U.S., selling chemicals, equipment, and services. The stock dropped 88.86% last year due to weak demand, flat revenue, shrinking gross margins from stock write-downs, higher rent, shipping costs, and an earnings miss (-$0.25 vs. -$0.244). High debt, market share losses to e-commerce, and a competitive pool supply market also contributed. On a positive note, the co

by WorthlessViews

SPY - Long term movement probably projection Corrections could be in sight. (DYDD) There could be a correction in sight with some retrace in the making. Three support levels are mentioned where the pullbacks could head towards. Looking at shorts in the meanwhile on the possible retrace till it reaches target levels.

by RiskyCandles

BTCUSDT - Accumulation Strategy: Preparing for the Next Cycle Goal - make a proper preparation for next BTC cycle, that happens after each 4 years. TL;DR Patience is key. The plan is to wait for Bitcoin to drop into the highlighted green demand zone and slowly begin a weekly Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) routine. Historically, BTC tends to base in these lower ranges for several months. The ultimate premium entry sits around the $32,000 level. Market Structure & Macro View Bitcoin operates on well-defined, 4-year macro cycles. While the overarching market

Why Crypto Liquidity Thins Out in Summer Summer gets treated like market folklore. Traders go away, liquidity dries up, volatility acts strange, and someone eventually says "Sell in May and go away" as if that explains the whole thing. It doesn't. The calendar is not the trade. The liquidity behind the calendar is what matters. Still, the old phrase is useful because it points to a real market habit. "Sell in May and go away" comes from the traditional finance idea that traders reduce exposure before the quieter summer months and

"Sell in May and Go Away": What the Data Actually Shows Every year around this time, the same advice circulates: sell your stocks in May, come back in November. The idea has a long history. The original saying comes from the London stock market, where traders would leave for the summer months. Academic research has studied it under the name "Halloween Indicator" since at least Bouman and Jacobsen (2002), who found statistically significant seasonal patterns in 36 of 37 countries they examined. But that was over two decades ago. Markets have changed.

BOGMBASE has the WORST Correlation to $BTC I've started to see many on the TL correlating BOGMBASE to ₿itcoin. It's the latest Global M2, Global Liquidity, IGV, ISM PMI, Gold correlation craze. "BOGMBASE has the greatest correlation of them all". These are all merely single indicators that show a correlation, not causation, for a brief period of time with ₿itcoin. They’ve all been proven wrong many times over now. Yes, I drank the kool-aid for a while as well. I’ve been tracking all of these for many years now along with the r

Scared of a Market Crash? Answer: SILVER, $SLV $AGQ TVC:SILVER AMEX:AGQ AMEX:SLV Just like Gold exploded higher in late 2025 through early 2026 — delivering one of its strongest performances in decades with massive gains, repeated all-time highs, and prices surging well over $5,000/oz at peaks — TVC:SILVER , AMEX:SLV , AMEX:AGQ is perfectly positioned to follow the same pattern and potentially outperform it significantly. While gold captured the safe-haven spotlight, silver combines monetary demand with powerful industrial leverage (sola

by michael_lllllllllll

S&P 500 - Sell in May, Return Another Day. The Truth. 2026 SYMBOL: SP:SPX | DIRECTION: Educational / Long-biased | TIMEFRAME: Monthly Published: April 2026 This idea has been published yearly since 2024. Every year the data is updated. Every year the conclusion is the same. Every year the crowd ignores it and sells in May anyway. Here we are again. No doubt everyone reading this has encountered some version of the phrase "Sell in May and go away." It appears in newspapers, on financial television, in the comments section of every S&P 500 idea publis

by without_worries

XAU/USD 26 May 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an Established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125. Note: Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US,

AVAX double top flip chart short & macro cycle market analysis AVAX along with most other coins is seeing a big correction downward. It’s broken the neckline on a double top and the measured move is 7.41. The macd was trending down while price was heading up indicating a divergence on the indicator. Analysts have noted btcs rise to 82k was a mid cycle correction and is potentially going to bottom out at 45k. With on chain metrics off all coins showing large downside corrections that possibility is starting to seem like it’s more likely than not with the mar

by QuantMasterEcch

Classic Price Chanel Swing Trade ENVX has been in a price channel for years, with the last couple years mimicking eachothers timing almost exactly. This is a simple, high-conviction, buy at support sell at resistance trade. Bought in April, and plan on holding until the beginning of July, where I expect the price to break past $11 a share. Not sure how high it will go, but that's where I'm expecting to sell. After that, there will be resistance, and after a week or two the stock will drop off sharply (~30%+ in a week or so,

XAU/USD 21 May 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an Established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125. Note: Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US,

ETH Dumping to 1776 in honor of America's birthday BART express incoming. Nice liquidity grab down there as well. Not financial advice. Happy July 4th!

Oil Spike, Market Drop, EV Bounce There is an interesting macro pattern that often gets overlooked: When oil spikes, the broader market usually comes under pressure. But electric vehicle stocks can sometimes move in the opposite direction. The logic is simple. Higher oil prices act like a tax on consumers, pressure inflation expectations, and create stress for equity markets. That is why the S&P 500 often weakens when crude oil moves sharply higher. But for EV companies, the interpretation can be different. If gasoline beco

by Market_Atlas

GBPAUD - Bearish Retest at Resistance Zone Hello Trading Fam! 👋 GBPAUD remains bearish, with price retesting a key resistance zone after a strong selloff. The current pullback could offer potential short opportunities if sellers reject the area again. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️

by TradeAnalyst_Aanko

GBPUSD - Bearish Retest at Key Resistance Hello Trading Fam! 👋 GBPUSD is retesting a key structure resistance zone after a strong bearish drop. If price rejects this area again, the setup could favor another move lower toward support. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️

by TradeAnalyst_Aanko

A Fast Way to Tell If a Market Actually Respects Its Seasonal.Most traders glance at a single seasonal curve, see a clean up-then-down shape, and assume the market will do the same again. Sometimes it will. Often it will not. The reason is simple: seasonal patterns drift. Old data carries the weight of decades-old market structure, one-off events, and conditions that no longer exist. So before putting any real conviction behind a seasonal trade, it is worth doing one quick visual check. The check, in one sentence If the last five years roughly match th