XAUUSD — 4,146 Pullback or 4,307 Breakout?
Gold is trading around 4,195 after a strong recovery from the recent low. Price is still moving inside the H4 descending channel, but short-term momentum has turned bullish.
Macro News
Gold gained around 1.5% on Friday as the U.S. dollar softened and Treasury yields eased, putting the metal on track for a weekly gain. However, the 10Y Treasury yield remains elevated near 5.26%, while markets still expect a possible Fed hike in December.
The simple read
4,146 is the key pullback support.
If
Bullish Flag
Ethereum is in the middle of a bearish phase (4H)Ethereum (ETH) – Is Wave D Approaching Completion Before a Potential Wave E Decline?
Ethereum appears to have completed its previous bullish advance at the point marked by the red arrow on the chart. Since then, price action has shifted into a corrective structure, suggesting that the market may be preparing for another bearish leg.
From a NeoWave perspective, the current structure could be developing into a complex corrective pattern. The ongoing upward movement may represent Wave D, which co
GOLD Bearish Pressure Resistance Rejection DownsideGold is currently showing a recovery within a broader bearish market structure. After a strong downside move, price has rebounded toward the 4,190 / 4,225 resistance zone.
Recent market weakness has been linked to a stronger US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields, and concerns that the Federal Reserve may maintain a tighter monetary policy to control inflation.
However, the latest October 9 update reports that Gold has rebounded as the US Dollar softened and Treasury yields eased. This means the
XAUUSD · H1 · Morning Map · Monday 12 OctoberR3 4254
R2 4225
R1 4207
Pivot 4178
S1 4148
S2 4130
S3 4101
Overnight, buyers closed the hour above R1 and spiked price to 4217, but couldn't hold it. By 03:00 the hour had closed back below R1. Price came back up into R1, sellers held it there, and the hour closed below. A false break, then a retest that held.
That was the setup: R1 as resistance, with the pivot at 4178 as the next level. Price has been working towards it since, and it is at 4183 now.
The pivot is today's decision zone.
Piv
How To Trade With The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy AdvancedWith this one i used the following
-5 ema
-13 ema
-55 ema
So first i waited for the 5 ema
to cross above the 13 ema
or the 55 ema
this happened on the 4 hour chart.
i then quickly switched
to the following two indicators:
-Stochastic
-13 Ema
So logic is simple
first i have an entry system
in this case its the rocket
booster strategy advanced
then i have an exit system
the 13 EMA Channel trading system
These two systems guide me
on how to enter or exit the trade
use a simu
Mastering Order Flow | SMCMASTERING ORDER FLOW | SMC LESSON
Read the highs. Respect the lows. Follow the structure.
Price movement becomes easier to understand when we stop chasing every candle and start studying the relationship between swing highs and swing lows.
1. BEARISH ORDER FLOW
A bearish market typically forms Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
• Price rallies but fails to sustain above a previous swing high.
• Sellers push price below a meaningful swing low.
• Pullbacks that form lower highs can si
S&P 500 ($SPX) 15m Pre-Market S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) 15m Pre-Market Matrix: Rejection Below Friday's High (7,820) Favors Corrective Pullback Toward 200-EMA & 0.618 Fib (7,767)
### 🇺🇸 S&P 500 ($SPCFD / SPX) 15-Minute Pre-Market Technical Matrix (Ref: SPX_2026-10-12_08-41-20.png)
We are issuing an intraday pre-market technical study for the S&P 500 Index ($SPCFD) as Monday's session opens. Following a recovery wave off the 7,721.72 swing low, price action was capped at the overhead structural resistance confluence formed by the
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold is currently trading around 4185 after a strong recovery from the 4100 support area and price is now approaching a critical resistance zone between 4195 – 4215, where bullish momentum could face renewed selling pressure.
Fundamentally, US dollar strength, Treasury yield movements, and changing Federal Reserve rate expectations can influence Gold's direction. However, no specific news catalyst is confirmed for this price reaction.
Despite the recent upward move, Gold may struggle to mainta
BTCUSDT - Bullish M30Hi,
BTCUSDT appears bullish at the M30 with price having three potential targets.
Yesterday’s bounce from the 82.6K–82.9K support gives the bullish M30 setup backup weight, but buyers must reclaim and hold above 84.2K; until then, 84K remains the key decision zone.
Happy Trading
K.
This is not financial advice; it is for educational purposes only.
The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy AdvancedWith this i used
-5 ema
-13 ema
- 55 ema
So first i wait for the 5 ema
to cross below the the 13 ema or the 55 ema
i then quickly switch
to the the following two indicators:
- Stochastic
- 13 EMA
so see if the strategy or entry
matches
the channel trading system
similar to the one article
below
am using two systems
one to enter and one to exit
the risk managment
is really up to how much
margin you decide to use
in your trading style.
It does take time to
see the tr
BTC: buyers paid up 988 BTC in 4h and price is lowerAggressive buying has not moved price. Cumulative delta over four hours is +988 BTC while price is -0.00% on the hour. Something is absorbing it.
THE BOOK RIGHT NOW
264 BTC of asks at 84,800
153 BTC of asks at 84,500
spot 83,960
219 BTC of bids at 83,000
101 BTC of bids at 83,340
within 1% of mid the book is 52% ask
CONTEXT
Volume POC at 83,788, value area 83,475 to 84,150
CVD over 4h is +988 BTC
Open interest -0.44% on the hour with price -0.00% - reads as long liquidation
XAUUSD: Understanding Balance vs Imbalance & Fair Value Gaps Gold (XAUUSD) – How Price Moves Between Balance & Fair Value vs Imbalance & Fair Value Gaps
Price does not move randomly. On Gold especially, it constantly alternates between two states:
1. Balance / Fair Value
- Areas where buying and selling pressure are relatively equal.
- Price spends time, consolidates, or ranges.
- These zones represent efficient price delivery — the market has “accepted” that value.
Visually: sideways ranges, overlapping candles, tight consolidations.
When price
XAU/USD 12 October 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or
AVAX — 1h Bull Flag setupBINANCE:AVAXUSDT.P — 1h Bull Flag Setup
AVAX is consolidating inside an ascending channel after a strong impulsive move.
Target: $11.617
Key resistance: $11.60–$11.75
Bullish continuation if price confirms a channel breakout.
A breakdown below channel support could invalidate the setup.
Watching the price action.
#AVAX #Crypto #TradingView
Sell Activated + Fakeout Delivered *TradeWithMky*Sell Activated + Fakeout Delivered → Now Watching This Zone for Full Reversal
1-Hour chart just told the full story.
Sell positions activated.
Fakeout happened.
Confirmation zone broken.
Price delivered the lower box perfectly (-1% in under 4 hours).
But now the real game begins…
I marked a critical zone.
If price confirms above this zone → Uptrend is coming hard.
If it fails again → lower targets are still open.
This is how you trade both sides without guessing.
Liquidity taken → Structur
Flow (FLOW): Breakout and Pullback SetupTrading is about patience—waiting for price to return to broken resistance after a breakout gives us the best risk-to-reward.
Key Execution Levels
• Bias: Bullish Continuation
• Support Zone (Pullback): 0.0330 – 0.0350
• Structural Invalidation: 0.0300
• Short-Term Target: 0.0450
• Mid-Term Target: 0.0540
Market Structure & Technical Breakdown
On the H4 timeframe, FLOW has broken out of its consolidation range with strong bullish momentum.
Instead of chasing the price at higher
30min Gold: Sell Activated → Fakeout → Confirmation Broken 30min Gold: Sell Activated → Fakeout → Confirmation Broken → Target Smashed (-1%)
This is how the market really works on the 30-minute chart.
Sell positions got activated.
Then the classic Fakeout happened.
Price trapped everyone who thought it was going higher.
Confirmation zone broken = lower box is next.
And boom… -1% in less than 4 hours.
No indicators. No lag. Just pure liquidity + structure + fakeout.
Retail bought the high.
Smart money sold the liquidity.
Price delivered exactly wh
ETHUSD TP 2635On the daily chart, ETHUSD has stabilized after testing the previous demand zone, with short-term bullish momentum prevailing. Attention should be focused on the 2520–2550 range; if the price pulls back and stabilizes, further long positions could be considered, while resistance near 2635 should be monitored on the upside.
How To Trade And On a 1 hour ChartThis is a 14% take profit on
a 1 hour chart.
so what i did was:
1-I used the macd histogram
2-The parbolic SAR
3-The Stochastic
4-The 13 EMA
The first two i used to find the trade
the last two i used to measure when to
take profit.
As am looking at the trade i can see it
flactuating
between 4% to 2% risk mangment
levels
i am using a simultion trading account
the key is
to use a system
to find the trade
then another system or set of indicators
to exit the trade safely.
am on t
RWS signs of a continuation moveA nice clear breakout here. On Thursday price gapped up, sellers tried to push it back down, and it closed near the open. With volume rising sharply against that move, you could argue buyers absorbed the selling.
Friday was a small down candle on below average volume, which looks more like light profit taking than real selling. If that's right, the move could have further to run, and the volume profile shows very little overhead supply.
Weekly Gold Price Action SummaryCurrent Market Sentiment:
Overall Bias: Bullish. Despite recent "choppy" price action influenced by external news (like political comments and Federal Reserve speculation), the structural trend on higher timeframes remains positive.
Recent Action: Gold has completed a downward move to key levels as predicted. While a slightly deeper dip was possible, the current price action suggests the start of an upward reversal.
Technical Analysis & Strategy:
4-Hour Timeframe: The trend shows signs of wea
Weekly Analysis - Stock Index (ES/NQ/YM)Last week was basically NQ getting slapped around while the Dow tried to keep its composure. Oil stayed hot, Treasury yields kept the pressure on, and AI/chip stocks took some punches — but buyers still showed up by the end of the week.
This week could get messy again with CPI, PPI, retail sales and bank earnings all on deck.
If inflation comes in hot, NQ could feel it first.
If the data cools off, the bulls might finally get some breathing room.























