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Walmart May Be Trending LowerWalmart had a big run between 2022 and early 2026, but now it may be going the other way.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the pair of peaks in February and May. That double top may signal a reversal of the preceding uptrend.
Second, the retail giant gapped lower after announcing results on May 21. It stayed below levels from the session before making another push to the downside. Prices then recovered. But is that bounce a potential bearish flag?
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. That may reflect a short-term downtrend.
Fourth, Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has stayed under 50 after hitting oversold conditions. That may also be consistent with short-term weakness.
Finally, WMT is under its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages. That may reflect a longer-term reversal.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
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DFMREI : Is Downtrend Over ?DFM:DFMREI (Dubai Financial Markets Real Estate Index)
📉 Is the Downtrend Over? Reverse Fibonacci Suggests Another Leg Lower ⚠️
After rejecting from the 16.8k trendline resistance, the market continues to respect its broader bearish structure.
Here's what the chart is telling us:
🔹 The previous impulse moved from a 13k swing low to a 16.8k swing high, which also aligned perfectly with a major descending trendline resistance. Applying a Reverse Fibonacci Extension projected the 10.6k zone as the first major downside objective—and price respected it almost precisely during the sharp selloff triggered by the Middle East geopolitical conflict (highlighted by the black arrow).
🔹 The subsequent dead cat bounce stalled near 12.8k, a level that has repeatedly acted as both historical support and resistance, confirming it as a significant supply zone where sellers regained control.
What's Next?
Using the latest price structure:
Swing Low: 10.6k
Swing High: 12.8k
The prevailing trend remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows still intact.
Projecting another Reverse Fibonacci 1.618 Extension identifies the 9k–8k demand zone as the next high-probability downside target (illustrated by the red path).
Adding further weight to the bearish outlook, the chart is also developing a Bearish Pennant / Bear Flag continuation pattern. If this structure confirms with a downside breakout, the measured move projects a final target around the 7.3k–7k region ( blue arrow marked )
Key Technical Confluences
✅ Reverse Fibonacci Extensions
✅ Bearish Pennant / Bear Flag Pattern
✅ Trendline Resistance Rejection
✅ Lower High–Lower Low Market Structure
✅ Historical Support & Resistance Flip
✅ Momentum Continuation Setup
My View
As long as price remains below 12.8k, rallies may continue to be selling opportunities rather than signs of a trend reversal.
A confirmed break below 10.6k could accelerate downside momentum toward the 9k–8k zone, while a completed bear flag projection opens the possibility of testing the 7k area.
What do you think? Is this simply another correction, or are we preparing for the next major leg down? Share your analysis below.
#TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #ReverseFibonacci #FibonacciExtension #BearFlag #BearishPennant #ChartPattern #SupportAndResistance #TrendAnalysis #SwingTrading #MarketStructure #StockMarket #Crypto #Investing #Trading #Momentum #Breakdown #TrendFollowing #SmartMoney #VolumeAnalysis #ChartOfTheDay #TradeIdeas #MarketOutlook #Bearish
Btw, i had already shared the dead cat bounce scenario, proof below
Educational content only. Not financial advice.
Long
Upside in Occidental?Occidental Petroleum has been climbing this month, and some traders may see further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the quick bounce since July 1. The oil driller has paused in the last three sessions. Could the pullback be viewed as a bullish flag?
Second, recent consolidation has occurred around the lows of April and May. That zone initially held OXY back, but now that resistance may be breaking.
Third, the recent bounce started at the 200-day simple moving average. That may confirm a bullish longer-term trend.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals could indicate short-term bullishness.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year!
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means. EUR/USD Holding Intact Despite Soft Inflation and Oil SpikeEUR/USD probed the top of its monthlong range on Wednesday, closing at a three-week high just below 1.1470, before easing back under 1.1450 through Thursday's U.S. session. The pair has largely absorbed this week's softer inflation prints and shrugged off the initial lift they provided, leaving it hemmed inside the roughly 1.1350 to 1.1450 band that has contained it for about a month. Rather than pressing the upside, EUR/USD has drifted back toward the middle of the range as the Dollar reasserts a firm tone.
The fundamental backdrop has quietly shifted beneath the price action. This week's CPI and PPI both landed below expectations, softening the near-term inflation picture, but a fresh climb in oil has since begun to overshadow those misses. Heightened geopolitical tension, with U.S. strikes against Iran intensifying and Brent pushing above $85, has revived inflation concerns and firmed the case for further tightening, while also lending the Dollar a safe-haven bid. The same oil shock cuts the other way for the Euro, weighing more heavily on Eurozone growth prospects given the region's reliance on imported energy. With the Fed and ECB otherwise viewed in broadly similar positions, that asymmetry in how the two economies absorb the oil move has been enough to keep the Dollar supported and the Euro capped.
In the above chart, EUR/USD rates continue to respect a monthlong consolidation, with ~1.1450 reasserting itself as former support turned resistance. Wednesday's close just under 1.1470 marked a brief peek above that hurdle, but the failure to hold there and the subsequent slip back below 1.1450 leaves the range unbroken and the breakout unconfirmed. Within the holding pattern, short-term traders can watch the 20-day EMA (exponential moving average), sitting right at today's low, to gauge whether it holds as near-term support. A decisive push through 1.1470 would reopen the path toward 1.16, while a move below 1.1350 would validate what is shaping up as a bear flag and shift focus to the downside. With no major data due between now and next week's ECB meeting, geopolitical developments may prove the most likely catalyst to break the pair out of its range. 
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DLO: When payments become the new oilNASDAQ:DLO
dLocal builds the infrastructure through which global companies accept payments in more than 60 countries. While many debate competition in fintech, dLocal is simply becoming the payment gateway for Amazon, Uber, Spotify, and dozens of international corporations in emerging markets.
Fundamentals
The first quarter of 2026 confirmed that the business continues to scale.
Total payment volume (TPV) grew 73 percent to a record 14.1 billion dollars, while revenue increased 55 percent to 335.9 million dollars. Gross profit reached 118.7 million dollars with a margin of approximately 35 percent.
Net income excluding one-time tax effects grew 11 percent to 52 million dollars. Including the tax adjustment, the company earned 41.9 million dollars, with diluted earnings per share of 0.14 dollars.
Free cash flow declined to 15 million dollars solely due to temporary working capital impact. The balance sheet remains one of the strongest in the sector: 720 million dollars in cash with zero long-term debt.
Management maintained its TPV growth guidance of 50–60 percent for full-year 2026.
What's happening now?
In June, shares were added to the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indices, automatically triggering capital inflows from index ETFs.
The company continues its 300 million dollar buyback program, with approximately 120 million already deployed.
Following the earnings release, dLocal announced a partnership with Stable Sea, opening a new direction for cross-border corporate settlements through USD-pegged stablecoins. While the market debates whether stablecoins are needed in traditional business, the largest payment companies are already starting to profit from them.
Institutional capital
Institutional investors control 90.13 percent of the company's shares.
Over the last 12 months, net institutional inflow exceeded 91 million dollars. Director William Pruett purchased shares on the open market for nearly 237 thousand dollars, which looks significantly more convincing than any optimistic press release.
Short float stands at 9.39 percent, with Days to Cover at 6.8 days, creating potential for a strong short squeeze if the uptrend resumes.
UBS upgraded the stock to Buy with a 20 dollar price target.
With a market capitalization of approximately 4.5 billion dollars, the company trades at a P/S multiple of 3.6, which looks like a reasonable valuation for a business that continues to grow at double-digit rates.
Technicals
On the weekly chart, price broke upward from a descending flag and is now moving back toward the broken zone for a retest. The entry point is based on a strong convergence of factors. The current correction is heading toward the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the entire impulse move from 7.61 to 16.76. Buyers are expected to defend the historical weekly demand zone in the 12.16 to 12.58 range, where significant bounces have occurred multiple times in the past. The move is supported by elevated volumes, while the MA50 and MA200 are crossing upward right now, opening the door for long-term growth. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1 to 6.5. A long entry would be valid upon confirmation of price reaction in the 12.20 to 12.60 range. The first profit target is the strong historical resistance at 19.67, with the final flag target around 21.50.
The market is currently focused on margin compression from working with the world's largest clients. But beneath that, it's easy to miss the main point: dLocal continues to grow payment volumes at record rates, maintains one of the strongest balance sheets in the sector with no debt, is attracting institutional capital, and remains a key infrastructure player in emerging markets.
Sometimes the most interesting stories aren't the ones shouting loudest about innovation, but the ones through which billions of dollars flow every single day. 
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