Oil (WTI) – Geopolitical Tensions Continue to Dominate SentimentOil (WTI) starts the new trading week with geopolitical tensions across the Middle East remaining elevated following another weekend of escalating hostilities. A confirmed US military strike against a commercial cargo vessel in the Gulf of Oman on Saturday, alongside 2 deadly missile attacks by Houthi rebels on Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh airport, have heightened concerns over regional stability and the security of energy supplies. However, despite this, prices initially fell over 2.5% in early tradin
Support and Resistance
SPX500 Breakout Retest — Push to 7,900?Hook:
FX:SPX500 has broken above the previous 7,796–7,814 resistance area while respecting its rising trendline — now the key question is whether a pullback into 7,725–7,745 can turn the breakout into a continuation toward 7,900. 🔥
Market Context:
SPX500 is trading on the 4H chart with a clear sequence of higher lows, supported by an ascending trendline that has been guiding the recovery.
Price has now pushed through the previous reaction area around 7,796–7,814, shifting the short-term
Gold Approaches Key Resistance: Can Bulls Break Above $4,220?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has started to rise from the Support Zone($4,122-$4,067), gaining strong bullish momentum over the past few days.
The price is now approaching the Resistance Zone($4,246-$4,219) and the upper trendline of the Descending Channel.
Can gold extend this recovery above $4,220, or is another bearish reaction approaching?
Technical Analysis
Since today is the last trading day of the week, this analysis focuses on the 15-minute time frame.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gol
BTC: long liquidation under 267 BTC resting at 84,800Open interest is -0.19% on the hour with price -0.28%, which is positions closing rather than new ones opening.
THE BOOK RIGHT NOW
267 BTC of asks at 84,800
134 BTC of asks at 84,500
spot 83,520
226 BTC of bids at 83,000
146 BTC of bids at 82,460
within 1% of mid the book is 54% bid
CONTEXT
Volume POC at 83,788, value area 83,475 to 84,050
CVD over 4h is -275 BTC
Open interest -0.19% on the hour with price -0.28% - reads as long liquidation
Funding +3.36% annualised
OPTION
XAUUSD — Bearish Bias | Waiting for the PullbacXAUUSD — Bearish Bias | Waiting for the Pullback
My Daily and H4 bias remains bearish. I’m treating the bullish H1 move as a pullback within that broader context, while the current M15 decline is a smaller move within the H1 structure.
The preferred scenario is a return to the marked FVG zone around 4200. From there, I’ll watch the lower timeframe for rejection and a bearish structure shift before considering a short.
If confirmation develops, I’ll look for continuation toward PDL around 4130
Webull (BULL) — Potential Rebound Toward $8.20 (+30%)Webull Corporation has recently pulled back sharply after reaching the $10.00 resistance area. The price is now trading around $6.30 and approaching an important support zone between $5.40 and $5.80.
This area has previously acted as a strong reaction zone, making it an important level to watch. The recent sell-off has weakened the short-term structure, so buyers need to regain control before a stronger recovery can be confirmed.
The first important signal would be a sustained move back above
AUDCAD: Confirmed Liquidity Sweep 🇦🇺🇨🇦
I see a confirmed buy-side liquidity sweep on AUDCAD on a 4h time frame.
A valid bearish change of character provides a strong confirmation.
Expect a retracement to 0.9934 level.
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ES Futures: Scalp Long Zone at 7,839–7,844Today on ES, we're watching the 7,839–7,844 zone for a potential scalp long, with three levels of confluence:
pdEQ at 7,844.
pdVAL at 7,840, which remains untested.
Friday's A-session point of control at 7,839, sitting just below the value area low.
Together, these form an area of interest should price pull back into the zone.
As always, the setup is reaction dependent. Should price trade into this area, we'll monitor the response and look for a clear reaction from buyers before consid
EURUSDEURUSD is currently trading within a corrective recovery after a strong bearish move. Price is attempting to stabilize around the 1.1180–1.1220 demand/support area, but the broader structure remains under pressure while price stays below the descending trendline.
The next move will depend on whether buyers can break and hold above the nearby resistance zone or sellers step back in and resume the bearish trend.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1260 / 1.1320
Support: 1.1180 / 1.1158
As long as
EVLV long: US schools & hospitals security demand is explodingFollowing my prior post on NASDAQ:EVLV , now we've got very promising setup with quite high risk-reward ratio.
After steep ABC correction, I believe that a leading diagonal waves 1 and 2 are behind us. If today the stock closes above the resistance trend line (dashed blue one), there is a high chance it moves much higher near term.
Here is a short story around fundamentals (no numbers). The company is growing revenue faster than The Street expected. They missed earning significanlty still I v
BTCUSDT — Breaking Out of Weeks of Chop, With Clear Path to NPOCHook :
As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P just blasted out of a multi-week value area in a single candle — and there isn't much trading history standing between here and the next major level.
Market Context :
BTC spent weeks consolidating between roughly 82,800 and 85,850, building a heavy value area. That range just broke with a sharp, explosive push, and price is now testing the top edge of its old range as support.
Reasoning :
1- Value area
XAUUSD — 4,146 Pullback or 4,307 Breakout?
Gold is trading around 4,195 after a strong recovery from the recent low. Price is still moving inside the H4 descending channel, but short-term momentum has turned bullish.
Macro News
Gold gained around 1.5% on Friday as the U.S. dollar softened and Treasury yields eased, putting the metal on track for a weekly gain. However, the 10Y Treasury yield remains elevated near 5.26%, while markets still expect a possible Fed hike in December.
The simple read
4,146 is the key pullback support.
If
GOLD Bearish Pressure Resistance Rejection DownsideGold is currently showing a recovery within a broader bearish market structure. After a strong downside move, price has rebounded toward the 4,190 / 4,225 resistance zone.
Recent market weakness has been linked to a stronger US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields, and concerns that the Federal Reserve may maintain a tighter monetary policy to control inflation.
However, the latest October 9 update reports that Gold has rebounded as the US Dollar softened and Treasury yields eased. This means the
XAUUSD · H1 · Morning Map · Monday 12 OctoberR3 4254
R2 4225
R1 4207
Pivot 4178
S1 4148
S2 4130
S3 4101
Overnight, buyers closed the hour above R1 and spiked price to 4217, but couldn't hold it. By 03:00 the hour had closed back below R1. Price came back up into R1, sellers held it there, and the hour closed below. A false break, then a retest that held.
That was the setup: R1 as resistance, with the pivot at 4178 as the next level. Price has been working towards it since, and it is at 4183 now.
The pivot is today's decision zone.
Piv
S&P 500 ($SPX) 15m Pre-Market S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) 15m Pre-Market Matrix: Rejection Below Friday's High (7,820) Favors Corrective Pullback Toward 200-EMA & 0.618 Fib (7,767)
### 🇺🇸 S&P 500 ($SPCFD / SPX) 15-Minute Pre-Market Technical Matrix (Ref: SPX_2026-10-12_08-41-20.png)
We are issuing an intraday pre-market technical study for the S&P 500 Index ($SPCFD) as Monday's session opens. Following a recovery wave off the 7,721.72 swing low, price action was capped at the overhead structural resistance confluence formed by the
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold is currently trading around 4185 after a strong recovery from the 4100 support area and price is now approaching a critical resistance zone between 4195 – 4215, where bullish momentum could face renewed selling pressure.
Fundamentally, US dollar strength, Treasury yield movements, and changing Federal Reserve rate expectations can influence Gold's direction. However, no specific news catalyst is confirmed for this price reaction.
Despite the recent upward move, Gold may struggle to mainta
BTCUSDT - Bullish M30Hi,
BTCUSDT appears bullish at the M30 with price having three potential targets.
Yesterday’s bounce from the 82.6K–82.9K support gives the bullish M30 setup backup weight, but buyers must reclaim and hold above 84.2K; until then, 84K remains the key decision zone.
Happy Trading
K.
This is not financial advice; it is for educational purposes only.
BTC: buyers paid up 988 BTC in 4h and price is lowerAggressive buying has not moved price. Cumulative delta over four hours is +988 BTC while price is -0.00% on the hour. Something is absorbing it.
THE BOOK RIGHT NOW
264 BTC of asks at 84,800
153 BTC of asks at 84,500
spot 83,960
219 BTC of bids at 83,000
101 BTC of bids at 83,340
within 1% of mid the book is 52% ask
CONTEXT
Volume POC at 83,788, value area 83,475 to 84,150
CVD over 4h is +988 BTC
Open interest -0.44% on the hour with price -0.00% - reads as long liquidation
XAUUSD: Understanding Balance vs Imbalance & Fair Value Gaps Gold (XAUUSD) – How Price Moves Between Balance & Fair Value vs Imbalance & Fair Value Gaps
Price does not move randomly. On Gold especially, it constantly alternates between two states:
1. Balance / Fair Value
- Areas where buying and selling pressure are relatively equal.
- Price spends time, consolidates, or ranges.
- These zones represent efficient price delivery — the market has “accepted” that value.
Visually: sideways ranges, overlapping candles, tight consolidations.
When price
AVAX — 1h Bull Flag setupBINANCE:AVAXUSDT.P — 1h Bull Flag Setup
AVAX is consolidating inside an ascending channel after a strong impulsive move.
Target: $11.617
Key resistance: $11.60–$11.75
Bullish continuation if price confirms a channel breakout.
A breakdown below channel support could invalidate the setup.
Watching the price action.
#AVAX #Crypto #TradingView
Sell Activated + Fakeout Delivered *TradeWithMky*Sell Activated + Fakeout Delivered → Now Watching This Zone for Full Reversal
1-Hour chart just told the full story.
Sell positions activated.
Fakeout happened.
Confirmation zone broken.
Price delivered the lower box perfectly (-1% in under 4 hours).
But now the real game begins…
I marked a critical zone.
If price confirms above this zone → Uptrend is coming hard.
If it fails again → lower targets are still open.
This is how you trade both sides without guessing.
Liquidity taken → Structur
Flow (FLOW): Breakout and Pullback SetupTrading is about patience—waiting for price to return to broken resistance after a breakout gives us the best risk-to-reward.
Key Execution Levels
• Bias: Bullish Continuation
• Support Zone (Pullback): 0.0330 – 0.0350
• Structural Invalidation: 0.0300
• Short-Term Target: 0.0450
• Mid-Term Target: 0.0540
Market Structure & Technical Breakdown
On the H4 timeframe, FLOW has broken out of its consolidation range with strong bullish momentum.
Instead of chasing the price at higher























