Bearish Trend Line
GOLD: CONSOLIDATING — BREAKOUT OR BREAKDOWN?Gold is currently moving sideways within the 4,240–4,380 range. Ahead of Core PCE and GDP at the end of the month, price may continue to consolidate and produce liquidity sweeps around both ends of the range.
🔴 Resistance: 4,375–4,380 │ 4,400 │ 4,450 │ 4,500
🟢 Support: 4,250 │ 4,240 │ 4,200 │ 4,160 │ 4,115 │ 4,100
🎯 TRADING SCENARIOS
Inside the range: buy low – sell high.
Break above 4,400 → favor BUY with the trend → 4,450 → 4,500.
Break below 4,240 → watch for further downside toward 4,20
GOLD IS SETTING UP FOR SOMETHING BIG… DON’T IGNORE THIS WARNING.Hello everyone. Next week is shaping up to be extremely interesting for Gold because we could finally see a major higher-timeframe liquidity area come under pressure.
But the real question is not simply whether that liquidity gets taken.
The bigger question is: what happens after it gets taken?
Do we see another aggressive crash in Gold, or does that liquidity sweep become the foundation for a powerful short-term reversal?
That is exactly what I will be watching next week. So read this analy
Fibo Reaction Before the Next Recovery Wave
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is slightly firmer today, but the broader macro backdrop remains difficult. The Fed recently raised rates to 3.75%–4.00%, while policymakers continue to signal that further tightening may be needed. High Treasury yields and a relatively firm U.S. dollar can still limit Gold’s upside, although lower prices are attracting some short-term buying interest.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold has recovered from the recent low near 4,245, but the larger structure is still reb
Silver (XAGUSD) Weekly Analysis [28 Sep - 02 Oct, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis of Silver (XAGUSD) TVC:SILVER for the week (22 Sep - 02 Oct, 2026).
⏺ Present Scenario
Silver (XAGUSD) TVC:SILVER is undergoing a contraction phase. The instrument has been flat for more than a month. Thus, indecision is the new normal. There is no trend clarity. Directional trading within the range is tough. September is the last month of the 2nd quarter of the financial year. From October, the third quarter will start. Trend clarity is expected to come from
XAUUSD — Bullish CHoCH Retest From H1 SupportMarket Pulse
Gold is trying to recover as oil prices ease and the U.S. dollar pulls back slightly. However, high Treasury yields and expectations for further Fed tightening remain important headwinds.
This means the recovery may continue, but buyers still need clear technical confirmation before the H1 structure can turn fully bullish.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD has shown an important short-term improvement on H1.
After falling into the 4,245–4,255 demand zone, price recovered strongly and
XAUUSD — Bullish CHoCH Retest Inside the H1 Bearish ChannelFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under macro pressure into the end of the week. Rising U.S. Treasury yields and expectations for additional Fed tightening have weighed on XAUUSD, with markets pricing roughly a 71% chance of an October hike and 95% for December. Gold is also heading for a weekly decline of more than 2%.
The U.S. 10-year yield is near 5.17%, after briefly reaching about 5.22%, while the dollar is heading for a second consecutive weekly gain. At the same time, U.S.–Iran negotiat
XAUUSD — 4,270 Retest Before 4,333?Gold is trading around 4,290 after recovering from the recent H1 low.
Price is compressing between short-term trend structures, while the larger recovery still needs confirmation above resistance.
Macro News
A stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to pressure Gold. Markets are also pricing a higher chance of another Fed rate hike in October, keeping the higher-for-longer story in focus.
The simple read
The 4,268–4,275 area is the key retest zone.
If buyers defend this tr
Elliott Wave Theory - Profit Trading MasterElliott Wave Theory helps traders read a trend as a sequence of five waves rather than a random collection of candles. Waves 1, 3 and 5 move with the main trend, while Waves 2 and 4 are corrective phases.
The real value is not simply counting waves — it is understanding where momentum may still have room to expand and where the move may already be late.
1. Why Wave 3 Matters
Wave 1 often begins before most traders fully trust the new direction. Wave 2 then pulls price back and creates doubt
XAUUSD 15m Analysis: Crucial Demand Zone Test — BounceTraders, let's take a look at the current setup for Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe.
After a sharp corrective move from the highs near the 4,311 resistance area, price action has rapidly compressed and is currently testing a major localized support zone (marked in green).
Current Market Context
Current Price: ~4,275
Immediate Structure: Short-term bearish momentum has driven the price straight into our primary demand block (4,260 - 4,275 region).
We are seeing some initial stalling
SSL Sweep Before Corrective Recovery
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure as the U.S. dollar stays near a two-month high, while the 10-year Treasury yield has reached its highest level since 2007. Strong U.S. business activity and higher oil prices are keeping inflation concerns alive, with traders pricing roughly a 69% chance of another Fed hike in October.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains bearish after several downside BOS, with price now trading near 4,260.
The move has reached the 4,245–4,260 SSL / suppo
XAU/USD - Bears Take Control Next WaveOANDA:XAUUSD remains locked below the long descending trendline, while the 4,315–4,370 sell zone continues to sit directly above price. Around 4,283, Gold is already below that resistance area and beneath the Ichimoku structure, so the broader H2 pressure still favors sellers.
I would avoid chasing the move at current levels. A cleaner setup would be a weak rebound toward 4,315–4,370, followed by another rejection from the trendline. If that happens, the downside level I’m watching is:
🎯 Ta
XAUUSD — Bearish Trend, Fibonacci Pullback in FocusMarket Pulse
Gold remains under pressure from a stronger U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields and expectations for further Fed tightening.
Higher oil prices are also keeping inflation risks alive, which may support the higher-for-longer rate outlook and limit Gold’s upside.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD remains clearly bearish on H1.
Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, while several bearish BOS moves confirm that sellers still control the structure.
Gold is now trading around
XAUUSD — Discount Liquidity Sweep Before Corrective RepricingMarket Context
Gold is trading around $4,276 after a difficult week, with spot prices down more than 2% as a stronger U.S. dollar and expectations for prolonged restrictive Fed policy continue to weigh on the metal. Fed officials have indicated that further tightening may still be required, while U.S. jobless claims remain near multi-decade lows, reinforcing the view that the economy can absorb higher rates.
Geopolitical risk remains important, but oil prices eased on Friday as markets assesse
XAUUSD — Sell the H1 Breakdown RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure as the U.S. dollar holds near a two-month high and Treasury yields remain elevated. Strong U.S. activity data and hawkish Fed rhetoric have strengthened expectations for further tightening, with traders pricing about a 69% probability of an October rate hike.
Oil is adding another inflation risk. Brent climbed above $105 as U.S.–Iran talks showed limited progress, potentially keeping inflation and bond yields elevated — an unfavorable combinatio
Trendline Breakout: 4,250 Floor to 4,330 Target!
Macro Backdrop: US Core PCE Day Meets Structural Bullion Accumulation
Gold (XAUUSD) trades near 4,269.550 (-0.01% floating) on Friday, September 25, 2026. Financial markets are in full wait-and-see mode ahead of tonight's high-stakes US Core PCE Price Index release (the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge). While short-term dollar resilience and elevated Treasury yields have capped aggressive momentum runs, the overarching macro landscape remains firmly anchored by sovereign debt sustai
XAUUSD — 4,314 Retest or 4,239 Sweep?Gold is trading around 4,286 after breaking below the H1 rising trendline.
The short-term structure remains weak while price stays below the previous breakout area.
Macro News
Gold remains pressured by expectations of further Fed tightening after strong U.S. business activity reinforced inflation concerns. Oil is easing as Iran signals openness to diplomacy, helping limit some pressure, but higher-for-longer rate expectations remain the main headwind.
The simple read
4,310–4,318 is now the
XAUUSD — Bearish Retracement Before Lower SSLMarket Context
Gold is trading near $4,275–$4,285 after another strong bearish leg, with price remaining pressured by a restrictive U.S. rates backdrop. Expectations for additional Fed tightening strengthened after September U.S. business activity accelerated to its fastest pace in more than five years. Fed funds futures recently priced roughly a 66% probability of another October hike, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield moved above 5.10%, its highest level since 2007.
Gold was near $4,291
BEFORE YOU BUY GOLD TODAY, THERE’S SOMETHING YOU NEED TO SEEOn Thursday, we were expecting downside momentum in Gold, and that is exactly what the market delivered.
The reason is quite simple.
The way Gold has sold off this week tells us one important thing: the bearish trend is still strong.
In this kind of environment, turning bullish without proper confirmation can be dangerous. Until the market proves otherwise, it makes more sense to respect the existing momentum and trade in favor of what price is actually showing us.
Yesterday, Gold showed a r
Gold 1H: 4,240 Rejection Before the 4,200 Flush?Market Overview
• Macro Driver: Spot Gold trades under sustained pressure around $4,269 on Friday, September 25, 2026, heading into the weekly close. The US Dollar Index (DXY) maintains its firm posture while Treasury yields hold near multi-week highs following consecutive hawkish signals from Fed officials reaffirming a disciplined policy stance. Market participants are positioning ahead of today's US Durable Goods Orders and the revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment print (08:30 AM / 10:00 AM ET
Gold 1H: 4,320 Retest Before the 4,250 Flush?• Macro Driver: Spot Gold trades around $4,336 on Wednesday, September 23, 2026, struggling under structural selling pressure. The US Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields remain supported following hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials emphasizing the need for higher-for-longer policy rates. Global market desks are turning cautious ahead of today's preliminary US Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs (09:45 AM ET), with traders assessing whether resilient business activity will keep
Support Reaction Before a Corrective RecoverySupport Reaction Before a Corrective Recovery
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under short-term pressure as the U.S. dollar trades near a two-month high and recent Fed comments keep tighter policy expectations alive. Markets currently price around a 53% chance of another Fed hike in October, which continues to limit Gold’s upside.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains in a bearish structure after the recent BOS, but price has now reached the key 4,294–4,305 support zone.
This area may cre
Descending Channel: 4,305 Trap Preps 4,240 Flush!
Macro Backdrop: Sovereign Debt Debasement vs. Pre-PCE Repositioning
Gold (XAUUSD) trades near 4,283.625 (-0.37% floating) on Thursday, September 24, 2026. The macro landscape remains anchored by long-term structural tailwinds, including persistent central bank official gold accumulation and expanding US fiscal deficit concerns. However, short-term price discovery is heavily pressured by resilient US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum and elevated benchmark Treasury yields following last week's FOMC ra
H1 Bearish Retest Toward Major Demand
XAUUSD is trading around 4,336 after another rejection from the descending bearish trendline and the lower edge of the 4,365–4,378 Resistance / Supply Zone.
The latest macro backdrop remains difficult for gold. The Fed raised the federal funds target range by 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00% on September 16 and said inflation remains elevated. Reuters reported on September 22 that gold remained pressured as markets leaned toward a higher-for-longer rate outlook, with futures pricing roughly a 90% chance























