XAUUSD — Post-Fed Bullish RecoveryMarket Pulse
Gold is recovering strongly after the Fed raised rates by 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00%. The Fed still sees room for another hike this year, which keeps the medium-term rate backdrop restrictive. However, Gold has gained more than 1% today as the U.S. dollar eased from a seven-week high and oil prices moved lower.
Short-term Treasury yields remain elevated, so the recovery may stay volatile even if buyers keep control.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD has made a strong bullish recovery on H1 a
Bearish Trend Line
Fibo Retest Before the Next Bullish WaveFundamental Analysis
Gold is recovering as the U.S. dollar, Treasury yields and oil prices ease ahead of today’s Fed decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 93% probability of a 25 bp hike, so the Fed’s guidance may matter more than the rate move itself.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold has reacted strongly from the 4,250–4,265 SSL and confirmed a bullish CHoCH followed by BOS.
Price is now testing the 4,325–4,350 Fibo Zone. A controlled pullback into this area may offer the cleaner continuati
XAUUSD — 4,290 Retest Before the Next Push?
Gold is trading around 4,317 after a strong post-Fed recovery.
M30 structure is improving, but price is still sitting inside a near-term decision area.
A bounce is not enough.
The pullback will tell us more.
The simple read
The key zone today is 4,285–4,298.
If buyers defend this pullback area, Gold may recover toward 4,335 first, then challenge the major resistance around 4,357–4,367.
A clean breakout above that zone could open the way toward 4,396–4,399.
If 4,285 fails, the 4,277 OB b
XAUUSD — Bullish Wave Structure Toward 4,490
From Kelly’s view, gold is rebuilding a bullish structure after breaking away from the previous descending trendline. Price is trading around 4,391, and the recent recovery suggests buyers are trying to establish a new impulsive sequence toward the upper Fibonacci resistance zones.
The key idea is simple: the main trend may stay bullish while price continues to form higher lows, with 4,405–4,415 acting as the first important resistance test before a potential expansion toward 4,459 and the 4,4
Gold After FOMC: The Battle at 4,400–4,420After FOMC, Gold has absorbed almost the entire selling pressure and bounced strongly from 4,234. Buyers have now regained most of their previous position, while M15 & H1 have formed bullish structures.
🔴 Key Decision Zone: 4,400–4,420
This is the final line of defense for sellers.
Rejection: Watch the reaction closely and look for a potential Sell scalp.
Break & Hold: Shift focus to Buy on pullbacks, with potential targets at 4,460 → 4,480 → 4,500 → 4,580 → 4,600.
🟢 Support Levels:
4,340 → 4
Gold Post-FOMC: Break 4,320 or Sweep 4,260?
Market Overview
• Macro Driver: Spot Gold hovers near $4,313 on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, as global markets brace for today's pivotal FOMC Interest Rate Decision and the release of the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP / Dot Plot). While policy rates are widely projected to remain steady at 3.50%–3.75%, institutional desks are hyper-focused on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's forward guidance regarding persistent underlying inflation and balance sheet velocity.
• Market Condition: Insti
XAUUSD — Post-Fed Fibonacci Retest Buy SetupFundamental Analysis
Gold is recovering after the Fed-driven selloff as the U.S. dollar retreats from a seven-week high and oil prices ease, giving XAUUSD room to rebound. The Fed raised rates 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00% and maintained a hawkish stance, with most policymakers still expecting at least one additional hike this year.
The macro backdrop therefore remains mixed: tighter Fed expectations continue to limit upside, but softer energy prices and a weaker dollar are supporting the current recov
XAU/USD - Buyer Reclaim, Next Breakout WaveOANDA:XAUUSD is reacting from the 4,250–4,310 buy zone, but price is still trapped below the long descending trendline and beneath the Ichimoku structure. This keeps the broader pressure bearish, while the current setup remains a conditional recovery trade.
If buyers continue to defend the zone and Gold breaks and holds above the descending trendline, I’m watching:
🎯 Target: 4,500
Macro Market: The Fed has now raised rates and signaled that further tightening remains possible. The decis
XAUUSD — Breakout Is Done, Can 4,317 Hold?
Gold is trading around 4,337 after a strong M30 recovery from the 4,278 area.
Price has pushed back above the previous short-term structure and is now holding above the breakout zone near 4,317.
The recovery is encouraging, but the market is approaching an important Fed decision.
Rate expectations remain elevated, Treasury yields are still near 5%, and the U.S. dollar remains firm. Gold has still managed to recover, showing that buyers are not completely giving up control.
But a breakout ca
XAUUSD 15m: Retesting Resistance – Short Bias in PlayWhat’s up, traders! Looking at Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe today, and my intraday bias remains short. Here is a breakdown of what I am seeing on the chart.
Technical Breakdown:
After the recent sharp pullback from the local highs near 4,335, price is currently correcting upwards and retesting our critical red resistance block between 4,311 and 4,321. Right now, price is hovering around 4,315 and struggling to show strong bullish momentum through this zone.
As long as this red su
Gold Under Pressure — Sellers Remain in ControlXAUUSD remains under short-term bearish pressure, with the post-Fed environment and H1 structure still favoring sellers.
Gold continues to face headwinds after the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points, while elevated Treasury yields and a firm dollar keep the broader environment challenging for the metal.
On H1, price remains below the descending trendline, and the latest recovery was rejected before buyers could change the bearish structure. The 4,335–4,345 area remains the key resistance.
As
XAUUSD — Internal Supply Sell Before FOMC
Gold is trading around $4,326 after a corrective recovery from the recent sell-side liquidity sweep. Despite the bounce, H1 price remains beneath the descending HTF trendline, and the broader sequence of lower highs continues to favor bearish delivery.
Macro risk is concentrated around today’s FOMC decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 92% probability of at least a 25 bp Fed hike, while the U.S. dollar remains near multi-week highs. Gold has recovered modestly ahead of the announcement, but
WHY I DON’T TRUST THIS GOLD CRASH YETJust like last Friday’s CPI, we saw another strong sell-off in Gold during FOMC. But even after that move, I’m still thinking about the same question I’ve been discussing for the last few days.
**If sellers are really that strong, why is the market still struggling to accept lower prices?**
The $4280–$4320 area had been acting as strong support for several weeks. On Monday, we finally saw a breakdown below it. Normally, when an important support breaks after being tested multiple times, especi
Gold Pre-FOMC: 4,260 Sweep Before 4,370?
Market Overview
• Macro Driver: Spot Gold hovers near $4,313 on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, as global markets brace for today's pivotal FOMC Interest Rate Decision and the release of the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP / Dot Plot). While policy rates are widely projected to remain steady at 3.50%–3.75%, institutional desks are hyper-focused on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's forward guidance regarding persistent underlying inflation and balance sheet velocity.
• Market Condition: Insti
SSL Sweep Before Recovery WaveFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 16 Fed decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 94% chance of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. 10-year yield has climbed above 5% and oil near $108 is reinforcing inflation concerns. These conditions continue to support the dollar and limit Gold’s recovery for now.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains in a bearish structure after the latest CHoCH and BOS, with price now near 4,284.
The key area is the 4,252–4,262 SSL.
XAUUSD — Bullish Recovery After the PullbackMarket Pulse
Gold is recovering ahead of the Fed decision as the U.S. dollar, Treasury yields and oil prices ease.
A 25 bp rate hike is largely expected, so the bigger reaction may come from the Fed’s guidance. This could keep Gold volatile around the announcement.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD is showing a stronger short-term recovery on H1.
Price has climbed from the 4,270 area and is now holding around 4,340, after breaking back above previous short-term structure.
The nearest support sits
XAUUSD — Bullish Retest Ahead of the FedFundamental Analysis
Gold is recovering ahead of today’s Fed decision as the U.S. dollar softens, Treasury yields retreat and oil prices ease. Markets currently price roughly a 92%–93% probability of a 25 bp hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00%. With the hike largely priced in, the bigger reaction may come from the Fed’s guidance and outlook for further tightening.
Brent has eased toward $108 as Saudi Arabia offers additional crude via Oman and U.S. inventories rise, temporar
SSL Sweep Before RecoveryFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed meeting on September 15–16. Markets are pricing roughly an 89% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. dollar has reached a one-week high and the 10-year Treasury yield is near 5%. Brent above $107 is also keeping inflation concerns elevated. Middle East tensions still provide some safe-haven support, but the macro environment remains difficult for Gold in the short term.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains in a bea
XAU/USD - Control Wave, Bulls Waiting BreakoutOANDA:XAUUSD is holding inside the 4,261–4,331 buy zone, while the long descending trendline continues to cap every recovery attempt. This is now a clear decision area: support is still alive, but buyers need to break the trendline before the structure turns convincingly bullish.
If 4,261–4,331 holds and Gold breaks above the descending trendline, I’m watching:
🎯 Target 1: 4,440
🎯 Target 2: 4,500
A sustained break below 4,261 would invalidate the bullish recovery setup.
AURICVERSE View:
Is Gold Just Rebounding Before the Next Move Lower?Hello traders, if we put short-term noise aside and look at XAUUSD in a disciplined and objective way, the current picture is sending a fairly clear message: the bearish trend has not been broken yet.
Looking at the broader backdrop, pressure on gold remains as hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation has increased expectations of a Fed rate hike, while U.S. Treasury yields continue to stay elevated. This keeps the interest-rate environment unfavorable for a non-yielding asset like gold. In other wo
H1 Bearish Retest Toward Previous SupportXAUUSD is trading around 4,291 after another bearish leg pushed price back into the 4,275–4,295 Current Demand Zone. H1 structure remains bearish beneath the descending trendline, but price is now sitting near support, so chasing fresh shorts at current levels is less attractive.
The macro backdrop remains heavy for gold ahead of today’s Fed decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 90% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. dollar remains firm and Treasury yields recently reached their
FOMC ANALYSIS IS OUT: READ THIS BEFORE YOU TRADE GOLD TONIGHTSo guys, as you all know, we have the FOMC coming up shortly, and there is no doubt that this is one of the most important events for Gold. Volatility can increase massively, and right now the biggest question every trader has is simple. Are we going to see a major sell off, or is Gold preparing for a strong upside move?
If you look at the bigger picture, I believe a lot of traders are still bearish. And honestly, there is a reason behind it.
Since around 25 August, Gold has shown a strong dec
XAUUSD — Bearish Trend, Waiting for the PullbackMarket Pulse
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed decision.
Higher Treasury yields, a firmer U.S. dollar and strong rate-hike expectations continue to limit the upside. High oil prices are also keeping inflation concerns alive, so volatility may stay elevated.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD remains bearish on H1.
Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, while the latest breakdown has pushed Gold back toward the lower support structure around 4,255–4,265.
The current price ne
XAUUSD — Sell the H1 Fibonacci RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 15–16 Fed meeting. Markets are pricing roughly a 92% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while a firmer U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to raise the opportunity cost of holding gold.
The macro backdrop is also being complicated by oil prices above $100 and renewed Middle East supply concerns. U.S. Treasury yields have pushed to fresh multi-year highs, with the 10-year recently moving above 5%, reinforcing the























