Bearish Trend Line

$BTC Lower highs....too early to celebrate BTC gets a golf clap today for wedging itself from 3 days of staying flat and doing nothing. Zooming out, we're seeing something a little different. Downward channel, and price movements swinging back and forth. Mid-week with the gov shutdown, we may see a bit pull down below 110k. This short squeeze does not compensate for the ~10% drop we've been seeing.

by antonini2002

Bear trap....SPX to fall soon Today was somewhat decent, but let's not get too giddy! There's looming Gov shutdown on Wed and a few sizable calls on the VIX on the tape. We can see technicals showing a decline, at least in the short term, and I guess we'll see what happens post-Wed. One thing is for sure is that we are overdue a nice healthy pullback. Would not bet the farm on AI esp. with astronomical CAPEX, and highest concentration ever in the market. Best of luck!

by antonini2002

BTC Strong resistance around 110k! only one direction -> down BTC is having a tough time crossing 110k due to strong resistance. It's now under SMA9/50 and there's a lot of room for it to continue dropping. With the gov shutdown looming next week, it could be a good recipe for BTC to continue dropping. Proceed with caution!

by antonini2002

$BTC More bleeding to come. Will cross SMA200 BTC is in a downward channel and is going from SMA50 to SMA200 (down!). We'll see what happens, but Fridays it's typically softer and over the weekend less upside (if there is any at this point). Expect to drop and consolidate around SMA200 low 100k, and could cross 100k very soon. CBOE:MSTZ CBOE:UVIX are nice "insurance" policies right now :)

by antonini2002

SPX is absolute in the garbage now! Great inverse play I've been saying this for a few weeks now and all those who bought at the top are now official bag holders. There's a lot more bleeding that will happen. First, SMA9 crossed (check), next we'll see aggressive drop crossing SMA50, maybe some consolidation, and if it drops below SMA200, we're in for some interesting times. Don't stress, here's your play.....check out CBOE:UVIX , CBOE:MSTZ for inverse plays. There's still some nice upside. When they say, don't sell, you sell otherwise you'll be

by antonini2002

Can't say I didn't warn you! BTC and VIX I hate to say it, but it will be worse than I thought! I've been telling folks to watch out as history repeats itself and the market is way too hot esp. in this crappy environment. There is more room to bleed. If you have a position, take the inverse like this second! CBOE:UVIX CBOE:MSTZ $ BTCZ could be nice plays

by antonini2002

Pull back tease, but still bearing SPX!There's a bit of a pull back taking place, but I'm not buying it! There's a lot of f&ckery taking place and no lipstick will make this pig look pretty. Fundamentals are weak and volatility is spiking, long overdue! Nice inverse plays CBOE:UVIX CBOE:MSTZ

by antonini2002

Zoom out and $BTC is dropping like a rock Don't shoot the messenger! Zoom out and we can clearly see there's a lot more room to fall! There's always a little pullback when it drops; whales make sure to get good price when retail investors become exit liquidity. BTC dropping below key indicators and just wait until it crosses 110k! Proceed with caution. Good play for inverse CBOE:BTCZ / $MTSZ since MSTR will likely drop below $300 very soon. Best of luck out there!

by antonini2002

MSTR....set-up not looking good NASDAQ:MSTR is below 9, 50, 200SMA! That's about the clearest red flag you can see. There could be some volatility, but would be very careful as it crosses down 330, 300 and then possibly the next support line is further down as people dump hard. CBOE:MSTZ is a nice inverse play here! Best of luck

by antonini2002

$BTC fake pump, you won't be saved So there's some consolidation taking place, and that's normal at these levels. But let's zoom out for a bit and see the forest vs. the trees. What do we see? Downward channel SMAs / support resistance levels. What does that mean? it will bounce within the downward channel. The direction is way too strong moving it down to it's true support levels. Liquidity is down for retailers and institutions don't have the appetite to experiment with ultra high volatility esp. with YoY diminishing returns. B

by antonini2002

@BTC shows thick red candles....yikes BTC is cross key technicals showing weakness across the board and there's a lot more to give! If you're holding and waiting, don't! Just sell and park before you become a bag holder or support lines. It's now moving downwards and that's the set direction. Always make trades with the flow with strength, not weakness. At this rate, it will cross below 110k this week (or lower). Best of luck!

by antonini2002

S&P reaching 6666...what could ever go wrong?There's a healthy does of bullishness as tech companies buy from their neighbors with CAPEX (100% depreciation) and short term rate cuts. The stock market is at the most expensive level, ever, blowing out PE and CAPE ratios. While I hope the economy does better, a pull back is healthy. Many of the leading indicators show bright red, and some are choosing to ignore. I guess time will tell! Best of luck and keep an eye on VIX (UVIX). There's a Volmageddon 2.0 in the making.....

by antonini2002

BTC crossing DEATH CROSS (SMA200)You can't say I didn't tell you so. BTC and Nasdaq are highly correlated and the market is just wayyy too hot. All the FOMO in the world won't help now. Overnight we saw a big dip in the Japanese market and the cracks are starting to show. Next will the long term yields spiking as risk goes up and investors want to be compensated for long term risk. Strategy is using VIX, MSTZ, BTCZ as relatively cheap "insurance." The volatility is great, but many don't know how to enter and exit. The technic

by antonini2002

Gold setup indicates a fall ahead – Stay alert, traders!This is the 15-minute chart of GOLD1! Gold is moving in a well-defined parallel channel and currently respecting the LOP resistance zone at 109750–109850. The channel’s lower boundary near 108650 may act as short-term support. If Gold breaks down below this support, the projected downside target is near 107750. In case of range-bound movement, the ideal sell zone remains at the LOP (109750–109850). If this resistance level sustains, Gold may fall and test the lower targets. Additionally, a

SPY / S&P TOO HOT....gravity is strong More traditionalist here and following technicals (macro-level). We see insane PE / CAPE ratios, higher than dot.com, most expensive stock market ever, and weakening economy. Not being fooled by tech companies buying from each other with CAPEX (100% depreciation). Correction will happen faster than people think! It's easy to get pumped up by the narrative, but the real story is not good and media outlets like CNBC / FoxBusiness are spinning good stories that are mostly opinions with zero fundame

by antonini2002

Pending UltraShort SELL signal pending Let's be honest, there's no crystal ball on BTC, but the way it trends seems like it does follow a very nice path for trading. The candles show weakening at the top and potentially a nice drop. It's probably waiting on the jobs report this morning at 8:30am ET which will likely look horrible (again).

by antonini2002

Good time to get out of the MARKET (Too Heated)The market has never been this expensive and retailers are being the exit liquidity for whales / institutions. Almost like many people are just sitting a sipping away on an active volcano. The market could be jumping for a few days, but a rate cut confirms that the market is weak and needs a boost / help. Unfortunately, it's too little too late. Most macros show a clear sign of stress, which is not being reflected in the market (for now). Don't get too complacent...the VIX will spike at astronom

by antonini2002

Who's ready to lose money (again) on BTC?The ups and downs are becoming just to obvious at this point. BTC struggling to make substantial progress on the price moves now that major whales have moved on due to buying at the TOP. What could go wrong? Diminishing YoY returns, high transaction cost, doesn't solve any real problems, and ultra high volatility. Historically, we are due very soon for a major correction and BTC will very likely come down substantially (next support levels before 100k is around 70k). Not anti-tech or BTC! Just c

by antonini2002

BTC weak consolidation....could drop hard Technicals are not looking good for BTC. Massive drop from 124k and really struggling to make headway above 110k. SMA lines show weakness and moving towards 200SMA, which if broken could lead to the next support line of around 70k.

by antonini2002

NVDA gravity is strong....$140 NVDA is heading towards the death cross (SMA200) and doesn't seem like much will change that at this point. The economy is doing horribly, despite a few small wins. Even the lower interest rate (25/50 basis points) is too little too late, when most of the S&P is already trading below 200SMA. There is a massive overheating of AI Tech stocks that are highly concentrated, and a massive correction is coming. Follow CAPE and PE ratios historically, this time won't be different! Best of luck....

by antonini2002

Zoom out and BTC is in a downtrend It's easy to get lost on mixed news and the YoY increase (although diminishing returns) and baby jumps over the last day or two. The big picture hasn't changed much! The trend and profit taking has weakened and the move to the bottom is very real. The S&P is held together by a few big tech companies - AI bubble - holding about 30% of the basket. This level of concentration is unprecedented. Noting that some are praying that cutting interest rates will fix the problem. The issue is way bigger! Th

by antonini2002

Supply and Demand Game ...Both Parabolic Sar and Stochastic indicators show bear investors are interested in the market. Now market in down trend lets see who wins bears or Bulls

by karimdanish30

$BTC to 108k easily....should have bought BTCZ on Friday!I've been trying to warn folks months, weeks, and days ago about this and it's quickly unraveling. History may not repeat itself, but it rhymes and BTC is whistling all the way down the next support level of 108k then 100k, then 70k"ish." BTC correlates with Nasdaq and many companies are not doing well and the economy is doing worse than reported figures. If you're holding, let it go before you are left with worthless digital coins. Every major technical indicator shows weakness and history has

by antonini2002

BTCZ looks very interesting RIGHT NOW BTC looks like it had a decent day, but just like everything that goes up, it must come down. The technicals look ripe to drop (candle length, wick, crossing 9SMA etc.) and signals UltraShort show weakness (clearly seen here). Easy trade!

by antonini2002