SOMETHING BIG IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN IN GOLD... DON'T MISS THIS!Almost everyone believes gold has finally found its bottom after defending the $3942 low once again. Buyers are becoming more confident, social media is slowly turning bullish, and many traders have already carried long positions into the weekend expecting a fresh rally. But what if that's exactly what the market wants everyone to believe? What if this entire rebound is nothing more than a psychological trap before gold makes its next major move? Before placing your first trade this week, read this analysis carefully because what happens next could surprise most traders.
Over the previous week's close, gold showed a reversal just above this year's major low at $3942. As everyone has noticed, between June 24 and July 1, gold repeatedly found support around the $3840 to $3860 zone, and even last week it once again reversed from around $3960, keeping $3942 and below as the invalidation area. There is no doubt that buyers have been highly active around this region, and it's also likely that many traders carried long positions into the weekend.
However, the biggest question remains.
Is gold actually preparing for a genuine bullish reversal, or is another downside move still waiting?
Let's break down the psychology behind the market and understand what I expect for the upcoming week.
If you look at the 4-hour timeframe, you'll notice that the market is still following a very strong bearish structure, which I've highlighted with the black path. Price continues to respect a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, meaning the overall higher timeframe trend remains strongly bearish. Price action itself is telling us that sellers are still in control.
The real question is whether the market will simply continue making another lower high before dropping again, or whether it has one more psychological twist before resuming the downtrend.
Interestingly, over the past three consecutive weeks, every Monday has been bearish. Either we've seen gap-down openings or selling pressure immediately after the market opened, with Monday closing as a bearish session overall.
Because of this pattern, I believe many traders will aggressively look for sell positions as soon as the market opens this Monday.
But I don't think the market will immediately attack last week's low or the yearly low at $3942.
Instead, I believe the market will first play a psychological game.
My expectation is that the initial weakness after the open will simply be a liquidity grab designed to stop out everyone who carried long positions above $4000 into the weekend.
As we all know, $4000 is a major psychological level. Gold only managed to break above it near Friday's close, which naturally encouraged many traders to hold overnight or over the weekend expecting bullish continuation.
That is exactly why I think those buyers could become the first target when the market opens.
After trapping those weekend buyers, I expect gold to recover and turn bullish during Monday. The purpose of that move would be to shift retail sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Once traders start believing that $3942 has become a strong long-term bottom, more and more people will begin building swing buy positions with wider stop losses.
But personally, I don't believe those expectations will be fulfilled.
The higher timeframe trend is still bearish, and I think any bullish move will simply attract fresh liquidity before the next major leg lower.
If the market manages to break a recent lower high during the week, many breakout traders will jump into long positions. In my opinion, that breakout could become another trap.
Once enough buyers have entered, I expect the market to continue following its bearish structure and eventually break below $3942.
If that happens, my next downside targets remain around $3912 and eventually $3870.
That's currently my overall outlook for gold.
Another important factor is that the upcoming week is relatively clean, with no major red folder economic events scheduled. Because of that, I expect cleaner price action instead of the extreme manipulation and sharp volatility we experienced last Monday and Tuesday.
One technical level I'm watching very closely is $3980.
If we get a full 30 minute candle close below $3980, I believe downside momentum will strengthen significantly and could push gold directly toward the $3900 area.
Overall, I believe next week could provide some excellent short selling opportunities.
My plan is simple.
As long as price remains above $3980, I'll stay relatively neutral and mainly focus on scalp trades.
I won't chase large targets without confirmation.
I'll only become aggressive on swing shorts once the market confirms the bearish continuation.
I hope you enjoyed this week's psychological gold analysis and learned something valuable from it.
Good luck to everyone for the upcoming trading week. I genuinely hope it's a profitable one for all of you.
Stay disciplined, manage your risk properly, protect your capital, and let the market come to you instead of forcing trades.
Let's make this week count.
And finally, let me know your opinion.
What's your view on gold this week?
Drop your thoughts in the comments. I'd love to hear your perspective.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 20-Jul-2026Reference Close: 24,343.65 | O: 24,328.75 | H: 24,352.65 | L: 24,320.30
Namaste Traders! 🙏 Here's the structured plan for tomorrow's session covering all three opening scenarios — Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down — considering a gap threshold of 100+ points. Please go through the chart legend before trading. ⬇️
🗺️ Chart Legend (Important!)
• 🟠 Orange Line/Zone (No Trade Zone) — Sideways/consolidation area acting as both support & resistance. Avoid fresh positions here; market is undecided.
• 🟢 Green Line — Bullish structure / Long bias confirmed once broken with strength.
• 🔴 Red Line — Bearish structure / Short bias confirmed once broken with weakness.
• ➖ Dashed Lines (Green/Red) — "Maybe" zones — trend may or may not continue here. Treat as extended targets, not guaranteed moves. Trail SL and book partial profits.
🔑 Key Levels for 20-Jul-2026
• 🟠 No Trade Zone (Support/Resistance): 24,286 – 24,332
• 🟢 Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 24,464 – 24,510
• 🟢 Opening Support (Gap Down Open Case): 24,245
• 🟢 Last Intraday Support: 24,169
• 🟢 Deeper Support: 24,086
🟢 SCENARIO 1: GAP UP OPENING (100+ points, i.e., open above ~24,432)
📘 Explanation: A gap up of 100+ points takes the market well above the No Trade Zone (24,286–24,332), landing it directly near or inside the Last Intraday Resistance zone (24,464–24,510). This reflects strong positive momentum carried from global cues or overnight news flow.
📌 Plan of Action:
• If Nifty opens above 24,432 and sustains above 24,464–24,510 on 15-min candle close basis → Bullish continuation confirmed (green breakout).
• 🎯 Enter long only on a retest & hold of 24,464–24,510 as support — avoid chasing the first green candle.
• Target 1: 24,560 | Target 2: dashed green extension zone (trend "may" extend further — trail SL and book partials as momentum can fade near round figures).
• Stop Loss: Below 24,464 (zone breakdown invalidates the bullish setup).
• ⚠️ If price gaps up but slips back into the No Trade Zone (24,286–24,332), treat it as a gap-fill trap — wait for fresh confirmation before re-entering.
• For Options: Prefer Bull Call Spread or slightly OTM Calls with strict SL; avoid aggressive naked buying right at open due to IV crush risk after a gap.
📌 📌 📌
🟠 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Within ±100 points, inside/near No Trade Zone 24,286–24,332)
📘 Explanation: A flat opening means the gap is under 100 points and price opens within or close to the No Trade Zone. This zone acts as a pivot battle area between bulls and bears — as seen in the orange zig-zag pattern on the chart, expect choppy price action until a clear breakout.
📌 Plan of Action:
• 🚫 Avoid trading immediately at open — this is a "No Trade Zone." Allow the first 15–30 minutes to establish direction.
• If price breaks above 24,332 and sustains → shift bias to bullish, follow Gap Up scenario targets (24,464 → 24,510 → 24,560).
• If price breaks below 24,286 and sustains → shift bias to bearish, follow Gap Down scenario targets (24,245 → 24,169 → 24,086).
• 🎯 Best approach: Wait for a breakout + retest on either side of the No Trade Zone before committing capital.
• For Options: This is the ideal zone for Option Sellers (Iron Condor / Short Straddle with hedge) since range-bound moves favor time decay. Directional traders should stay patient until breakout confirmation.
📌 📌 📌
🔴 SCENARIO 3: GAP DOWN OPENING (100+ points, i.e., open below ~24,186)
📘 Explanation: A gap down of 100+ points pushes the market below the No Trade Zone toward the Opening Support (24,245) and further down to Last Intraday Support (24,169). This suggests weak overnight sentiment with sellers dictating the early move.
📌 Plan of Action:
• If Nifty opens below 24,186 and sustains below 24,245 on 15-min candle close basis → Bearish continuation confirmed (red breakdown).
• 🎯 Enter short only on a pullback/retest of 24,245–24,169 zone turning into resistance — don't short blindly on the opening candle.
• Target 1: 24,169 | Target 2: 24,086 (dashed red extension zone — trend "may" extend further, book partial profits and trail SL as this is a deeper support cluster).
• Stop Loss: Above 24,245 (reclaim of this level invalidates the bearish setup).
• ⚠️ Watch for a sharp V-shape recovery back into the No Trade Zone — if 24,286 is reclaimed intraday, exit shorts immediately.
• For Options: Prefer Bear Put Spread or slightly OTM Puts with a defined SL; avoid over-leveraging on gap-down panic since sharp pullback rallies are common after such gaps.
📌 📌 📌
⚙️ RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADING 🛡️
• 💰 Never risk more than 1–2% of total capital on a single options trade.
• 📉 Always use a hard Stop Loss — options decay fast; don't rely on mental SL.
• ⏱️ Avoid buying options right at market open during high volatility — let IV settle for the first 10-15 minutes.
• 🎯 Book partial profits at Target 1, trail SL to cost for the remaining position at Target 2.
• 🚫 Avoid overtrading in the No Trade Zone — capital preservation is a win too.
• 📊 Always align option strikes with liquidity (tight bid-ask spread) to avoid slippage.
• 🧘 Avoid revenge trading after a SL hit — stick to the plan, not emotions.
• 📅 Be mindful of time decay (Theta) — avoid holding weekly options overnight without strong conviction.
• 🔄 On gap openings, wait for the first candle to close before deciding entry — gap opens often see immediate reversal (gap-fill) moves.
📝 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Tomorrow's session revolves around the No Trade Zone (24,286–24,332), which is acting as a key pivot. A Gap Up (100+) opens the path toward 24,464–24,510 and further to 24,560 (bullish path 🟢). A Gap Down (100+) opens the path toward 24,245 → 24,169 → 24,086 (bearish path 🔴). A Flat opening keeps the market range-bound until a decisive breakout occurs — patience is essential here 🟠. Always wait for confirmation candles, respect stop losses, and manage position sizing carefully. Trade the plan, not your emotions! 🎯
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment/trading advice. Please consult your financial advisor and do your own research before making any trading/investment decisions. Trading in equities/options/derivatives is subject to market risk. 🙏 
Long
Short
Long
Dixon Technologies: Long-Term Recovery Setup Near Key Fibonacci Trend (Long-Term Structure):
Dixon Technologies remains in a long-term bullish structure despite the recent correction. After a strong multi-year rally, the stock entered a corrective phase and is now attempting to stabilize near an important support zone. The larger trend remains positive as long as major support levels continue to hold.
Price Structure + Fibonacci:
Price corrected from the high around 19,174 and reached an important Fibonacci support region.
• 0.5 level: 10,845
• 0.618 level: 8,879
The stock has recently bounced from the support zone and is now attempting to move back above the 0.5 level. This indicates that buyers are becoming active near important retracement levels.
Volume Analysis:
Recent candles show healthy participation near lower levels. During the correction phase, volumes increased, and now recent recovery candles suggest that buying interest is gradually returning. Continued volume expansion would improve the probability of sustained upside.
RSI Analysis:
RSI is around 49 and recovering from the lower region near the 40 level. Momentum weakened during the correction, but RSI is now showing signs of recovery. A move above 60 would indicate stronger bullish momentum returning.
Current View:
The stock appears to be in a base-building phase after a substantial correction. Buyers are defending important Fibonacci levels, and price action suggests that the stock is trying to shift from correction mode into recovery mode.
Trading perspective:
• Immediate resistance: 10,800–11,000
• Higher resistance: 13,000–15,000
• Immediate support: 8,850–9,000
• Strong support: 7,500–8,000
• Bullish confirmation: Monthly close above 11,000 with strong volume
• Bearish confirmation: Monthly close below 8,850
Current View:
This currently looks like a long-term positional setup where the stock is attempting to recover after a major correction. As long as the 8,850–9,000 zone holds, the probability favors gradual upside movement over the coming months.
Long
Long
Long
Short
Gold Weekly Analysis [20 - 24 July, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis and Trade Plan for Gold TVC:GOLD for the Week - 20 - 24 July, 2026.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
The price is not yet in the bullish zone. If the price sustains above 4050 and shows the promise of bullish continuation, then the first probable bullish targets would be 4100. Next, if the price sustains above 4100, then the probable bullish targets would be 4150 and 4200. There will be strong resistance at 4200. Next, if the price again sustains above 4200, then the probable bullish targets would be - 4250 and 4300. Lastly, keep the level 4100. If price remains above 4100, then look for only bullish trades in the week.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
The zone of (4000 - 3950) is a strong support zone. If the price breaks down below 3950, then the probable bearish targets would be - 3900, 3850, and 3800.
🟡 No Trading Zone (NTZ): (4050 - 3950)
⏺ Range of Consolidation (ROC): (4200 - 4000).
Here, 4100 is the median of the ROC. The median works like an intraday sentiment evaluator. The price trading above the median would offer bullish sentiment, while the price trading below the median would trigger bearish sentiment within the ROC.
● Event
No high-impact event this week. One medium-impact event is the Euro Interest Rate Decision on 23rd July (Thursday). No holidays this week. Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent.
● Intraday Bias
Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. If the price sustains above the opening price, then don't think of shorting. Look for bullish trades only. On the contrary, if the price sustains below the opening price, then don't think of going long. Look for bearish trades in that case.
● Disclaimer + End Note
- All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
- Trade only if there is a set-up. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
- Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Thus, trade what you see, not what you believe.
- Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Be RESPONSIBLE.
- Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
- Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Leave the gardens of winning and losing. Establish yourself in equanimity. Always think from a new perspective.
- Let the joy of trading drive your effectiveness, not greed or fear. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading! 
Long
Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis [20 - 24 July, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis and Trade Plan for the Nifty 50 Index NSE:NIFTY for the Week of 20 - 24 July, 2026.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Nifty 50 is in a strong bullish zone. Every down move should be doubted and considered as an opportunity to go long. If the Nifty 50 Index stays above 24200, then stay bullish. The probable bullish targets above 24200 would be - 24300, 24400, and 24500. There will be strong resistance at 24500. Next, if the price sustains above 24500, then the probable bullish targets would be - 24600 and 24700. The zone of (24750 - 24700) would be a strong resistance zone.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Presently, the price is out of the bearish zone. There is no observable bearish setup in the charts. However, level 24100 is a crucial support. If the price breaks down below 24100, then there will be a weak bearish move till 24000. Level 24000 is weak support. Next, if the price decisively breaks down below 24000, then the probable bearish targets would be - 23900 and 23800. The price will receive strong support in the zone of (23850 - 23800).
🟡 No Trading Zone (NTZ): (24200 - 24100).
⏺ Range of Consolidation (ROC): (24500 - 24200).
Here, 24350 is the median of the ROC. The median works like an intraday sentiment evaluator. The price trading above the median would offer bullish sentiment, while the price trading below the median would trigger bearish sentiment within the ROC.
● Event
No high-impact event this week. One medium-impact event is the Euro Interest Rate Decision on 23rd July (Thursday). No holidays this week. Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent.
● Intraday Bias
Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. If the price sustains above the opening price, then don't think of shorting. Look for bullish trades only. On the contrary, if the price sustains below the opening price, then don't think of going long. Look for bearish trades in that case.
● Top - Down Analysis
- Monthly TF: A green candle closed far above the close of the previous month. The month is bullish. Strong support at 24200. Immediate resistance is at 24500. The view is bullish.
- Weekly TF: A bullish candle formed within the red long-legged doji of the previous week. It looks like a "Bullish Harami" pattern. The zone of (24250 - 24200) would act as a strong support area. Immediate resistance is 24500. The view is indecision to bullish.
- Daily TF: A strong bullish candle showing signs of strong momentum. Level 24200 is strong support. It seems that level 24500 is possible. Doubt every down move. The view is bullish.
- 30-minute TF: The higher-highs and lower-lows structure is intact. The zone (24250 - 24200) is strong support. The view is bullish.
● Disclaimer + End Note
- All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
- Trade only if there is a set-up. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
- Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Thus, trade what you see, not what you believe.
- Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Be RESPONSIBLE.
- Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
- Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Leave the gardens of winning and losing. Establish yourself in equanimity. Always think from a new perspective.
- Let the joy of trading drive your effectiveness, not greed or fear. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading! 
Education
Trading Masterclass #1Institutional trading means trading like hedge funds, banks, prop firms, and professional desks. They do not trade based on emotions, random tips, or gambling. They use systems, probabilities, risk control, position sizing, discipline, and psychology.
Retail traders often lose because they focus only on “entry.” Institutions focus on:
Risk Management
Capital Protection
Position Sizing
Probability
Psychology
Education
Short
How Monthly Structure Shapes Weekly Behavior🟢 This post is educational and observational in nature based on historical price action across multiple timeframes. It is not a forecast or a trading recommendation.
📈 Higher Timeframe
A higher timeframe refers to a chart view that compresses more time into each candle, such as monthly or weekly charts compared to daily or hourly ones. Higher timeframes tend to filter out short term noise and reveal the broader structural context a stock is trading within.
📏 Monthly Trendline
Marked in green, this trendline is drawn purely on the monthly timeframe. A trendline connects a series of highs or lows to reflect the underlying direction of price over a longer horizon, and because it originates from the monthly chart, it carries more structural weight than a trendline drawn on a lower timeframe.
📉 Bringing the Monthly Into the Weekly
On the right side of this post, the same monthly trendline has been carried over and overlaid onto the weekly timeframe. This is a deliberate multi timeframe approach, since a line drawn on a higher timeframe often continues to act as a relevant reference point even when viewed on a lower one.
🔄 The Flip Zone on the Weekly
Once overlaid, this level shows a clear flip zone on the weekly chart. What was previously acting as resistance on the weekly timeframe has, after being broken, converted into support
↩️ The Counter Trendline
Marked in white is a counter trendline, drawn against the direction of the primary trend. It is used to track corrective or pullback phases 
Long
Education
Education
Nifty Bank Weekly Analysis [20 - 24 July, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis and Trade Plan for the Nifty Bank Index NSE:BANKNIFTY for the Week of 20 - 24 July, 2026.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Nifty Bank is in a strong bullish zone. Every down move should be doubted and considered as an opportunity to go long. If the Nifty Bank Index stays above 58250, then stay bullish. The probable bullish targets above 58250 would be - 58500, 58750, and 59000. There will be strong resistance at 59000. Next, if the price sustains above 59000, then the probable bullish targets would be 59250, 59500, 59750, and 60000.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Presently, the price is out of the bearish zone. There is no observable bearish setup in the charts. However, level 57750 is a crucial support. If the price breaks down below 57750, then there will be a weak bearish move till 57500. Level 57500 is a weak support. Next, if the price decisively breaks down below 57500, then the probable bearish targets would be - 57250 and 57000. The price will receive strong support at 57000.
🟡 No Trading Zone (NTZ): (58250 - 57750).
⏺ Range of Consolidation (ROC): (59000 - 57000).
Here, 58000 is the median of the ROC. The median works like an intraday sentiment evaluator. The price trading above the median would offer bullish sentiment, while the price trading below the median would trigger bearish sentiment within the ROC.
● Event
No high-impact event this week. One medium-impact event is the Euro Interest Rate Decision on 23rd July (Thursday). No holidays this week. Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent.
● Intraday Bias
Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. If the price sustains above the opening price, then don't think of shorting. Look for bullish trades only. On the contrary, if the price sustains below the opening price, then don't think of going long. Look for bearish trades in that case.
● Top - Down Analysis
- Monthly TF: A green candle closed far above the close of the previous month. The month is bullish. Strong support at 58000. Immediate resistance is at 59000. The view is bullish.
- Weekly TF: A strong green candle engulfed dojis of the past 4 weeks. If the price sustains above 58500 for at least 1 day and shows further bullish opportunity, then levels 59000 and 59500 seem achievable. The view is bullish.
- Daily TF: A strong bullish candle showing signs of strong momentum. Level 58000 is strong support. There is an unfilled gap till 59000. It seems that level 59000 is possible. Doubt every down move. The view is bullish.
- 30-minute TF: The higher-highs and lower-lows structure is intact. The zone (58250 - 58000) is strong support. The view is bullish.
● Disclaimer + End Note
- All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
- Trade only if there is a set-up. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
- Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Thus, trade what you see, not what you believe.
- Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Be RESPONSIBLE.
- Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
- Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Leave the gardens of winning and losing. Establish yourself in equanimity. Always think from a new perspective.
- Let the joy of trading drive your effectiveness, not greed or fear. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading! # **BTC/USD 45-Minute Technical Analysis## **Market Overview**
The BTC/USD 45-minute chart is showing a **short-term bullish structure** following a strong recovery from the recent swing low around **62,700**. Price has transitioned from a bearish trend into a higher-low formation, supported by a rising dynamic trend band (green cloud), indicating that buyers currently have the advantage.
At the time of the chart:
* **Current Price:** 64,505.95
* **Trend Bias:** Bullish (45M)
* **Immediate Resistance:** 64,700–65,200
* **Major Support:** 64,340–64,100
---
## **Trend Analysis**
The market has successfully shifted from a prolonged bearish phase (red trend band) into a bullish environment (green trend band).
Key observations:
* Price remains **above the dynamic support zone**, confirming short-term buying pressure.
* The trend indicator has maintained its bullish color, suggesting momentum remains positive.
* The recent pullback appears healthy rather than a trend reversal.
**Trend Strength:** ★★★★☆ (4/5)
---
## **Multi-Timeframe Confirmation**
| Timeframe | Signal | Interpretation |
| --------- | ---------- | ---------------------------------------- |
| 5 Min | 🟢 Bullish | Strong short-term momentum |
| 15 Min | 🔴 Bearish | Minor correction underway |
| 45 Min | 🟢 Bullish | Primary intraday trend remains positive |
| 4 Hour | 🔴 Bearish | Higher timeframe resistance still exists |
| Daily | 🟢 Bullish | Long-term trend remains constructive |
### Interpretation
This mixed alignment suggests:
* Short-term traders may experience volatility.
* The 45-minute and Daily charts favor continuation higher.
* The 4-hour bearish bias warns that upside may face resistance before a larger breakout.
---
# **Price Structure**
### Higher Low Formation
The recent retracement failed to create a lower low, indicating buyers are defending higher prices.
This is typically a bullish continuation characteristic.
Current sequence:
* Higher Low ✅
* Higher High Attempt ✅
* Trend Support Holding ✅
---
# **Support & Resistance**
### Support Levels
* **64,340** – Dynamic trend support
* **64,100** – Strong horizontal support
* **63,536** – Major structural support
### Resistance Levels
* **64,700** – Immediate resistance
* **65,180** – First upside objective
* **65,600** – Previous swing high
A confirmed break above **64,700** would significantly improve the probability of reaching the next resistance zone.
---
# **Momentum Analysis**
Momentum remains positive despite the recent pullback.
Signs supporting buyers include:
* Rising trend support
* Price respecting the moving trend channel
* No confirmed bearish structure break
* Buyers stepping in after minor declines
However, volume confirmation would strengthen the bullish case.
---
# **Trade Scenario**
### Bullish Setup (Higher Probability)
**Entry Zone**
* 64,450–64,550
**Stop Loss**
* Below 64,100
**Target 1**
* 64,700
**Target 2**
* 65,180
**Target 3**
* 65,600
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward profile if price continues to respect the rising support.
---
### Bearish Risk Scenario
The bullish outlook would weaken if:
* Price closes below **64,100**
* The green trend support flips bearish
* Lower highs begin forming beneath resistance
In that case, downside targets could extend toward **63,800–63,500**.
---
# **Professional Outlook**
The chart currently favors a **bullish continuation** as long as price remains above the dynamic support around **64,340–64,100**. Although the 4-hour timeframe still reflects broader resistance, the 45-minute structure is constructive, with buyers maintaining control after a healthy pullback.
A decisive breakout above **64,700** would likely open the path toward **65,180–65,600**, while a loss of **64,100** would invalidate the immediate bullish setup and increase the probability of a deeper correction.
### **Overall Bias**
* **Trend:** Bullish
* **Momentum:** Moderately Strong
* **Market Structure:** Bullish Continuation
* **Risk Level:** Moderate (due to mixed higher-timeframe signals)
* **Probability:** **65–70% Bullish Continuation**, provided support around **64,100** holds.
Long 
Long
