NIFTY: Pullback Into Supply. Bearish trend will continue Nifty has seen a sharp decline from the 24,000+ zone and is now attempting a recovery from the recent low.
This recovery looks like a pullback after the breakdown, rather than a confirmed reversal.
The important zone is 23,555–23,789, marked as supply. If Nifty moves into this zone and gets rejected, it could resume the larger downtrend.
🔻 Below 23,555 → weakness can continue
🔻 Rejection from 23,555–23,789 → bearish continuation
🔺 Sustained move above 23,789 → bearish view weakens
For now, the bounce needs to prove itself. I’m watching the supply zone for signs of rejection. 
Short
GRAPHITE: Multi-Year Ascending Triangle Breakout to Fill the Mac1. The Macro Perspective: The Boom, The Bust, and The Base
I am taking a LONG bias on Graphite India Limited (GRAPHITE) on the absolute macro monthly (1M) timeframe.
When analyzing pure market structure on a monthly chart, we are looking at the true footprints of heavy institutional capital playing out over years. Look at the massive structural development on this chart. In 2018, the stock established its ultimate historical ceiling at the solid red 883.50 line. What followed was a brutal, multi-year markdown phase that completely decimated weak hands. However, instead of bleeding into a permanent bear market, the stock found an absolute floor in 2020. For the last four years, the stock has been quietly carving out a massive accumulation phase, systematically grinding its way back up the chart.
2. The Educational Setup: The Ascending Pressure Cooker
To understand the sheer strength of this current breakout, look at how the price systematically squeezed historical resistance to form a textbook macro "Ascending Triangle":
The Dual Ceilings: The stock's recovery was heavily capped by a formidable dual-resistance zone consisting of the solid black lines at 662.90 and 698.50.
The Aggressive Trendline: Notice the defining feature of this right-side recovery: the steep, unbroken ascending trendline originating from the 2020 lows. Every time the stock pulled back from the black resistance lines, institutional buyers stepped in earlier and earlier, forming a beautiful sequence of higher lows.
The Squeeze: By aggressively pressing up against the horizontal ceilings while forming higher lows, the stock acted like the ultimate pressure cooker. It squeezed short-sellers and transferred millions of shares to strong-handed buyers, storing immense kinetic energy for the final launch.
3. Current Price Action: Entering the Price Vacuum
Look at the most recent monthly candle on the far right. The multi-year pressure cooker has absolutely exploded. Buyers have effortlessly shattered both the 662.90 and 698.50 macro ceilings with a massive, full-bodied green momentum thrust. By decisively clearing this multi-year accumulation zone, GRAPHITE has officially confirmed a secular trend shift. More importantly, it has entered a "Price Vacuum." Looking to the left, there is very little structural resistance between the current price and the ultimate red 883.50 level.
4. The Trade Plan: Entries, Targets, and Risk Management
Entry Strategy: Momentum is exceptionally strong right now near 731.30. Because this is a monthly breakout, chasing a massive vertical expansion candle on smaller timeframes carries a higher risk of agonizing drawdowns. The highest-probability, lowest-risk entry involves stepping down to a weekly or daily timeframe and waiting for the dust to settle. Look to place limit orders to catch a potential structural pullback to retest the 680.00 to 700.00 breakout zone. Letting those years of heavy resistance prove themselves as a new, indestructible support floor offers a phenomenal risk-to-reward ratio.
Take Profit (Targets): The primary macro target is undeniable: the massive red historical resistance line sitting at 883.50. The stock is attempting to complete a massive, multi-year round trip to fill that void.
Invalidation (Stop Loss): A macro trade thesis is only valid if the new market structure holds. A hard stop loss should be placed safely below the recent monthly accumulation and the ascending trendline, ideally near the dashed 550.85 mid-level pivot. A definitive monthly close completely back inside the old base and below 600.00 would invalidate the immediate continuation thesis and signal a severe macro bull trap.
5. Time Horizon:
Because this technical setup is built on a 1-Month chart capturing a massive, multi-year structural phase transition, this is a long-term position trade/investment designed to capture a secular markup phase that could play out over several quarters. Let the macro trend run! 
Long
APCOTEXIND: Massive Rounding Bottom and Explosive Momentum Break1. The Macro Perspective: The Deep Washout and Trend Shift
I am taking a LONG bias on Apcotex Industries Ltd (APCOTEXIND) on the weekly (1W) timeframe.
When analyzing pure market structure, identifying the exact moment a stock transitions from a prolonged accumulation phase into a brand-new markup phase offers some of the highest risk-to-reward setups possible. Looking at the left side of this chart, the stock suffered a deep, highly volatile markdown phase, dragging the price all the way down to establish an absolute concrete floor below the 300 level. This brutal correction successfully washed out all the weak hands. However, instead of collapsing further, capitulation set in. For months, the stock chopped sideways, carving out an enormous "Rounding Bottom" and allowing heavy institutional capital to quietly absorb shares at a massive discount.
2. The Educational Setup: The Pressure Cooker Ceiling
To understand the sheer strength of this current breakout, look at how the price systematically built a reversal structure:
The Accumulation Lid: For an extended period, the stock's recovery was capped by the heavy solid black resistance line at 426.10. This acted as the defining neckline of the entire bottoming structure.
The High-Level Squeeze: Notice how in the weeks leading up to the breakout, the stock formed a clear higher low structure. Buyers stepped in aggressively in the 340-360 zone, refusing to let the price fall back to the base floor. By pressing up against major resistance while printing higher lows, the stock acted like a pressure cooker, transferring shares from impatient sellers to strong-handed buyers and storing immense kinetic energy.
3. Current Price Action: The Reversal Confirmed
Look at the most recent weekly candle on the far right, accompanied by a massive, undeniable surge in buying volume (visible on the bottom panel). The pressure cooker has absolutely exploded. Buyers have effortlessly shattered the 426.10 resistance ceiling with a powerful, vertical momentum thrust, slicing straight through the dashed 513.55 mid-level pivot as well. By decisively clearing this massive multi-month accumulation zone with such sheer force, APCOTEXIND has officially confirmed a macro trend reversal. The markdown phase is over; the markup phase has begun.
4. The Trade Plan: Entries, Targets, and Risk Management
Entry Strategy: Momentum is exceptionally strong right now near 520.65. Chasing an enormous, vertical weekly expansion candle always carries a much higher risk of an immediate intraday or daily drawdown as the stock naturally breathes. The highest-probability, lowest-risk entry involves stepping down to a daily timeframe and waiting for the dust to settle. Look to place limit orders to catch a potential structural pullback or consolidation flag that retests the 426.00 to 450.00 breakout zone. Letting that old heavy resistance prove itself as a new, indestructible support floor offers a phenomenal risk-to-reward ratio.
Take Profit (Targets): Because the stock is systematically working its way back up the historical chart, we use measured structural targets. By taking the depth of the massive macro base (roughly 145 points from the sub-280 floor to the 426.10 neckline) and projecting it upward from the breakout line, our primary structural target sits comfortably in the 570.00 to 580.00 zone. The ultimate psychological milestone is the 600.00 century mark.
Invalidation (Stop Loss): A trade thesis is only valid if the new market structure holds. A hard stop loss should be placed safely below the breakout line and the recent higher-low pivot structure inside the base, around the 375.00 to 385.00 level. A definitive weekly close completely back inside the old accumulation box and below the 426.10 line would invalidate the immediate reversal thesis and signal a potential bull trap.
5. Time Horizon:
Because this technical setup is built on a 1-Week chart capturing a massive structural phase transition and bottom breakout, this is a medium-to-longer-term position trade designed to capture the explosive new markup phase. Let the new trend run! 
Long
SURYODAY: Massive Rounding Bottom and Explosive Volume Breakout1. The Macro Perspective: The Deep Washout and Trend Shift
I am taking a LONG bias on Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) on the weekly (1W) timeframe.
When analyzing pure market structure, identifying the exact moment a stock transitions from a prolonged accumulation phase into a brand-new markup phase offers some of the highest risk-to-reward setups possible. Looking at this chart, the stock suffered a deep, highly volatile markdown phase from its historical highs above 215, dragging the price all the way down to establish an absolute concrete floor near the 100 level. This brutal correction successfully washed out all the weak hands. However, instead of collapsing further, capitulation set in. For months, the stock chopped sideways, carving out a massive "Rounding Bottom" and allowing heavy institutional capital to quietly absorb shares at a massive discount.
2. The Educational Setup: The Pressure Cooker Ceiling
To understand the sheer strength of this current breakout, look at how the price systematically built a reversal structure:
The Accumulation Lid: For an extended period, the stock was capped by the heavy solid green resistance line at 151.24. This was the defining neckline of the entire bottoming structure.
The Higher Lows: Notice how in the weeks leading up to the breakout, the pullbacks became shallower. Buyers stepped in aggressively, forming higher lows and compressing tightly up against the 151.24 neckline. By pressing against major resistance without making new macro lows, the stock acted like a pressure cooker, transferring shares from impatient sellers to strong-handed buyers and storing immense kinetic energy.
3. Current Price Action: The Reversal Confirmed
Look at the most recent weekly candle on the far right, accompanied by a massive, undeniable surge in buying volume (visible on the bottom panel). The pressure cooker has absolutely exploded. Buyers have effortlessly shattered the green 151.24 resistance ceiling with a powerful, near-vertical momentum thrust, pushing the price straight into the 179 zone. By decisively clearing this multi-month accumulation zone with such sheer force, SURYODAY has officially confirmed a macro trend reversal. The markdown phase is over; the markup phase has begun.
4. The Trade Plan: Entries, Targets, and Risk Management
Entry Strategy: Momentum is exceptionally strong right now near 179.93. Chasing a massive, near-vertical weekly expansion candle always carries a higher risk of an immediate intraday or daily drawdown. The highest-probability, lowest-risk entry involves stepping down to a daily timeframe and placing limit orders to catch a potential minor structural pullback to perfectly retest the 150.00 to 155.00 breakout zone. Letting that old heavy resistance prove itself as a new, indestructible support floor offers a phenomenal risk-to-reward ratio.
Take Profit (Targets): Because the stock is systematically working its way back up the historical chart, our immediate structural target is the dashed mid-level pivot at 189.13. Once cleared, the primary macro objective is a full retest of the ultimate historical red ceiling sitting at 194.92. Extended psychological milestones sit at 210.00+.
Invalidation (Stop Loss): A trade thesis is only valid if the new market structure holds. A hard stop loss should be placed safely below the breakout line and the recent higher-low structure inside the base, around the 130.00 to 135.00 level. A definitive weekly close completely back inside the old accumulation box and below the 151.24 green line would invalidate the reversal thesis and signal a potential bull trap.
5. Time Horizon:
Because this technical setup is built on a 1-Week chart capturing a massive structural phase transition and bottom breakout, this is a medium-to-longer-term position trade designed to capture the explosive new markup phase. Let the new trend run! 
Long
XAUUSD - Bullish Continuation Setup and Further Upside Expansion🔍 Market Overview
Gold continues to maintain a positive bullish structure on the daily timeframe after recovering strongly from the 4,120–4,198 support zone. The previous rally pushed price toward higher levels, while the current correction has not yet broken the broader bullish structure.
As long as buyers continue to defend the marked support zone and the higher-low structure remains intact, the overall trend continues to favor further upside expansion in XAUUSD.
📈 Market Structure Analysis
Market Trend: Bullish
Momentum: Corrective / Consolidating
Current Phase: Bullish Continuation
The price structure shows that Gold broke away from the lower consolidation area with strong bullish momentum. The recent decline is bringing price lower, but for now, it still appears to be a pullback within the broader uptrend rather than a confirmed bearish reversal.
Price remaining comfortably above the main support zone suggests that buyers still have the advantage. A clear bullish reaction from the current structure could trigger the next upside expansion.
🚀 Trading Scenario
✅ Bullish Scenario
Main trend conditions:
Price continues to hold above the 4,120–4,198 support zone.
The higher-low structure remains intact.
Selling pressure begins to weaken during the correction.
Price regains bullish momentum after the pullback.
Trading Plan:
Look for buying opportunities after a confirmed bullish reaction rather than chasing price while the correction is still developing. A recovery of the short-term bullish structure would provide stronger confirmation for trend continuation.
🎯 Target 1: 4,612
🎯 Target 2: 4,755
❌ Bullish Invalidation Conditions
Price decisively breaks below the main support zone.
A daily candle closes strongly below 4,120.
Market structure begins forming lower lows.
The correction develops into a strong bearish expansion.
A confirmed breakdown below the support zone would significantly weaken the current bullish setup and could open the door for a deeper correction.
🎯 Key Support Zone: 4,120–4,198
📍 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 Nearest Resistance: 4,612
🟢 Main Target: 4,755
🔴 Nearest Support: 4,198
🔴 Key Support: 4,120
⚠️ Trading View
The overall structure remains bullish while XAUUSD holds above the key demand zone. The current decline may simply represent a corrective and reaccumulation phase before buyers attempt to regain control.
If price stabilizes and bullish momentum returns, 4,612 becomes the first upside target. A convincing breakout above this area could extend the move toward 4,755.
However, losing the 4,120–4,198 support zone would materially change the structure and require a reassessment of the bullish scenario.
🧠 Expert View
The current setup is supported by:
Strong recovery from the main support zone.
The higher-timeframe bullish structure remains intact.
Price has not returned below the previous breakout area.
The current decline still has the characteristics of a pullback.
The potential for another higher low remains intact.
Clear upside targets at 4,612 and 4,755.
Preferred approach: Avoid trying to catch the exact bottom and avoid chasing price. Wait for the market to show that buyers are genuinely returning before considering positions in the direction of the broader trend.
🛡️ Risk Management
Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per position.
Define the invalidation level before entering.
Place stop losses according to the relevant support structure.
Do not increase position size simply because price continues to correct.
Wait for price-action confirmation rather than relying purely on prediction.
If the support structure fails, respect the market signal and reassess the bias.
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational purposes and to share a market perspective only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. 
Long
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/09/2026Nifty 50 is expected to open flat, with the index around 23,435. The chart shows a recovery from the 23,250–23,300 zone, but the index is now facing resistance near 23,450–23,500. This makes the opening range important for determining the next move.
On the bullish side, a sustained move above 23,500 can strengthen the recovery and open the way toward 23,650, 23,700 and 23,750. Holding above 23,500 would indicate that buyers are gaining control after the recent recovery.
On the bearish side, failure to sustain above 23,450 can bring selling pressure back. A decisive break below 23,400 can lead to targets around 23,350, 23,300 and 23,250. The 23,250 area remains an important support zone.
Overall, 23,400–23,500 is the key decision zone for today's session. With a flat opening, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown instead of taking positions in the middle of the range. A move above 23,500 can support further recovery, while weakness below 23,400 can resume the downside. #BANKNIFTY Intraday PE & CE Levels(15/09/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat, with the index around 56,606. The chart shows a strong recovery from the recent lower levels, and the index is now trading above the important 56,550 support zone. However, it is approaching the next major resistance near 56,950, so the opening session may remain range-bound until a clear breakout.
On the bullish side, 56550 is the immediate support. If Bank Nifty sustains above this level and moves decisively higher, the index can continue its recovery toward 56750, 56850 and 56950. A sustained breakout above 56950 can further strengthen the bullish momentum.
On the bearish side, failure to hold 56550 can bring selling pressure back into the market. A break below 56450 may lead to a correction toward 56250, 56150 and 56050, with 56,050 acting as an important support.
Overall, 56,550–56,950 is the key trading range for the session. With a flat opening, traders should wait for a confirmed move outside this range. Holding above 56,550 keeps the recovery structure intact, while a sustained breakout above 56,950 can signal further upside. Long 
XAUUSD | 4H BUY PROJECTION 15 September 2026
Gold has recovered from the lower boundary of the parallel downtrend channel, presenting a potential countertrend recovery setup.
🔎 PATTERNS & CONFIRMATION
“BULLISH ENGULFING FORMED” — marked on the chart near the lower-channel bounce.
“MORNING STAR PATTERN TO BE EXPECTED HERE” — anticipated near the entry zone; confirmation is still pending.
“NEED TO CLOSE ABOVE HERE FOR VALIDATION OF SETUP” — a completed 4H candle close above approximately 4,311 is required, followed by a retest that holds support.
📍 BUY LIMIT ENTRY ZONE: 4,300–4,304
🛑 DRAWN STOP LEVEL: Approximately 4,282
🎯 RESISTANCE / POTENTIAL TARGETS
R1: 4,317–4,321
R2: 4,355–4,359
R3: 4,375–4,379
🟣 SUPPORT LEVELS
S1: 4,300–4,304
S2: 4,282–4,286
📉 PARALLEL DOWNTREND LINE
The broader channel remains bearish. Its upper boundary may interrupt the recovery before R3.
⚠️ Setup confirmation is pending in this snapshot. All levels are approximate Long 
XAUUSD: The Chart Still Belongs to the SellersThere are times when gold falls sharply, yet the market is not necessarily offering a good place to chase the sell-off. XAUUSD is currently one of those cases .
Price has dropped toward 4,320 , bringing it relatively close to the 4,240–4,280 support zone . But what matters more is what sits above price: the entire H2 structure remains trapped beneath the descending trendline , while the Ichimoku area around 4,365–4,377 continues to act as a technical ceiling. In other words, gold may be trading at lower levels, but it has not escaped its bearish structure .
The latest U.S. data has also given gold buyers little reason to become more confident. August PPI rose 0.4% , while the annual rate reached 5.4% . Combined with a relatively stable labor market, persistent inflationary pressure could make it harder for the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance. That remains an unfavorable backdrop for gold if rate expectations and U.S. Treasury yields stay elevated .
For that reason, I am not particularly interested in trying to catch the bottom here. The 4,365–4,400 area is the key boundary I am watching . As long as price remains below it, my preferred scenario is for selling pressure to continue toward 4,280–4,240 . A strong recovery above 4,400 with a break of the descending trendline would change the picture. Until then, the sellers still have the upper hand .
This is my personal market view and should not be considered financial advice. Short 
XAUUSD 1H: Bullish Reversal Setup from Key Demand Zone (SMC ?Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe is currently consolidating within a major Demand Zone ($4,280 – $4,315) following a bearish impulse move. After breaking out of an earlier corrective Upward Channel via a Market Structure Shift (MSS), price swept liquidity down to the $4,260 level before rapidly reacting upwards back into the primary demand block.
Technical Breakdown
Break of Structure (BOS) & Market Structure Shift (MSS): The prior upward channel corrective phase was broken to the downside, triggering a strong distribution leg.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Liquidity Sweep: Price tapped below $4,280 to sweep sell-side liquidity near $4,260, finding strong buyers and forming a clean key support/demand level.
Descending Resistance Trendline: Price is currently respecting a clear descending trendline projection acting as dynamic resistance.
Trade Plan & Levels
Bias: Bullish Reversal / Retest Pullback
Entry Area: Inside current Demand Zone ($4,295 – $4,310) upon lower timeframe bullish confirmation (CHoCH / Bullish Engulfing)
Target (TP): $4,360 – $4,370 (Retest of the descending trendline resistance)
Invalidation (SL): Below recent swing low (Below $4,255)
Execution Strategy
Look for price to hold the current demand region and build momentum toward the projected target near $4,365. A clean break below $4,255 invalidates the immediate bullish momentum setup. Ensure risk management is capped at 1-2% per trade. Long 
GOLD SELLERS HAVE NO IDEA WHAT’S COMING NEXT…Guys, what we expected from Gold today played out beautifully. The key levels I shared with you worked almost perfectly, and we saw a strong reversal from the exact area we were watching.
But now the biggest question is: **Was this liquidity sweep actually valid, or is Gold simply retracing before continuing lower?**
And more importantly, what can we expect from Tuesday’s market?
If you want the answer, read this analysis carefully because I’m not only going to share my Tuesday outlook, but also explain the psychology behind this liquidity sweep and how you can identify whether a sweep is genuine or not.
First, whenever a liquidity sweep happens, one of the most important things to study is what happened before the reversal. Did price simply break support and immediately reverse, or did it break support, retest it as resistance, and then produce another strong sell-off?
Today, we clearly saw the second scenario.
During the London session, Gold created a low around **$4278**. After breaking lower, price retraced toward approximately **$4296**, treated that area as resistance, and then produced another strong downside move.
Now think about the psychology behind this.
When support breaks, gets retested as resistance, and price sells off again, it creates confidence among sellers. Retail traders start believing that the breakdown has been confirmed and Gold has officially entered a downtrend.
That is exactly the psychology I discussed in my previous analysis. I said that if the market creates this kind of convincing bearish structure at lower levels, we could potentially see a strong reversal afterward.
And that is exactly what happened.
Now, how do we get the first real indication that the liquidity sweep may actually be valid?
Look at the previous lower high.
Toward the end of the London session, Gold created a lower high around **$4297**. During the recovery, price didn't just slowly move above it. That lower high was broken with strong bullish displacement, followed by a strong **30-minute candle close above $4300**.
For me, that is the first major indication that control may have transferred from sellers to buyers.
However, if you want maximum confirmation before becoming completely bullish, there is still one important area to watch.
Whenever price experiences a sharp sell-off, identify the area from where that aggressive selling originally started.
Monday’s high is around **$4355**. Before the London session, Gold also created a smaller high around **$4338**, from where we saw aggressive selling. After that, the break below approximately **$4320** accelerated the sell-off.
That makes the **$4338–$4340 area extremely important.**
Until Gold successfully closes above this area, someone looking for maximum confirmation can still argue that the bullish reversal has not been completely confirmed.
But personally, I already consider the market bullish based on the reaction and displacement we have seen.
So here is how I am approaching Tuesday.
I believe Gold may consolidate around the higher levels, particularly above **$4300**, before producing another bullish expansion.
There is also a possibility that price moves toward the **$4338–$4340 area**, shows some selling pressure, and temporarily comes back below **$4320**.
Psychologically, that would make traders believe that the recovery has failed and Gold is ready to fall again.
And that is exactly where things could become interesting.
If sellers become confident again but fail to create genuine downside continuation, we could see another strong reversal that pushes Gold toward higher levels.
The way Gold sold off today and then recovered tells me that this entire downside move has the characteristics of a liquidity sweep rather than the beginning of a clean bearish continuation.
Another important factor is positioning.
Monday’s high formed close to Friday’s closing area, which gave many traders an easy reason to sell Gold. As the market continued lower, even more sellers likely joined the move.
That creates liquidity above the market.
If Gold continues recovering, those sellers may eventually be forced out of their positions, and their stop losses can provide additional fuel for the upside move.
This is another major reason why I remain bullish.
Personally, I don't expect Gold to spend much time below **$4300** now.
In fact, if price drops below $4300 and quickly reclaims it, that could give buyers another obvious opportunity to enter. My view is that the market may not make the next bullish move that easy.
Instead, Gold may keep traders believing:
**“This is only a retracement. Let it move higher, then we will sell again.”**
And while traders continue waiting for that perfect short opportunity, price could keep expanding higher.
That is the psychology I am watching going into Tuesday.
So overall, my bullish plan remains strongly valid while Gold holds above **$4280**, with **$4296** also acting as an important institutional level in my analysis.
As long as these levels remain protected, I am bullish on Gold and expecting further upside momentum during Tuesday’s session.
Now I want to know your view.
**Are you bullish on Gold for Tuesday, or do you still believe the market is preparing for another bearish move?**
Drop your view in the comments.
Good luck for Tuesday. 🥂
Gold (XAUUSD) – 15M Technical AnalysisGold showed a strong intraday bearish move, falling from the 4,350 area toward 4,255–4,260, while respecting a clear descending trendline.
However, price has now started showing signs of a short-term bullish reversal.
🔹 Key observations:
Price formed a strong reaction from the 4,255–4,260 support zone.
A potential rounded-bottom / reversal structure is developing.
Price has pushed back above the 4,290 level, indicating improving short-term momentum.
The descending trendline remains the key resistance to watch.
A sustained breakout above the 4,304–4,312 zone could strengthen the bullish reversal.
The next important upside levels are around 4,319, 4,348 and 4,392.
Failure to break the trendline and a move back below 4,277 could invalidate the current bullish setup and bring the lower support zone back into focus.
🎯 Levels to Watch
Resistance:
4,304 → 4,312 → 4,319 → 4,348 → 4,392
Support:
4,290 → 4,277 → 4,255–4,260 Long 
BTC/USD 45-Minute Technical AnalysisMarket Structure Overview
The BTC/USD 45-minute chart shows a clear bullish recovery structure after price formed a significant low around 76,400–76,500. Since then, Bitcoin has developed higher lows and higher highs, indicating that buyers have regained short-term control.
Price has now pushed strongly above the 77,600–77,700 structural resistance area, confirming a bullish market-structure shift. The latest impulsive move has carried BTC toward the 78,500 zone, where price is beginning to encounter potential short-term supply.
Current Price: approximately 78,500
Key Technical Levels
Major Resistance
• 78,600–78,750 — immediate resistance and potential profit-taking area
• 79,200–79,400 — next upside resistance
• 79,600–79,800 — major previous swing-high region
Key Support
• 77,600–77,700 — important breakout/retest zone
• 77,200–77,400 — intermediate structural support
• 76,400–76,800 — major demand zone and bullish order-block area
Price Action & Momentum
The recent move from approximately 76,400 has been aggressive, with several consecutive bullish candles demonstrating strong buying pressure.
The most important development is the break above 77,600–77,700. This level previously acted as resistance and is now likely to become support if buyers maintain control.
However, BTC is approaching the 78,600–78,750 resistance region, where the chart suggests a possible final push higher followed by a short-term pullback.
The strong vertical rally also increases the probability of profit-taking or consolidation before another directional move.
Bullish Scenario
If BTC maintains momentum and successfully breaks above 78,600–78,750, the next potential targets are:
79,200 → 79,400 → 79,600–79,800
A sustained 45-minute candle close above the immediate resistance would strengthen the bullish continuation setup.
Pullback Scenario
If price gets rejected around 78,600–78,750, a retracement toward the breakout area becomes likely.
The first important pullback zone is:
77,600–77,700
A successful retest followed by bullish rejection could provide another continuation opportunity toward the upper resistance levels.
If 77,600 fails decisively, BTC could retrace deeper toward 77,200–77,400, with the larger demand zone around 76,400–76,800 becoming relevant.
Trading Bias
Short-Term Bias: Bullish, but approaching resistance
The structure remains bullish while BTC holds above 77,600–77,700. Rather than chasing the current impulsive move, traders may prefer waiting for either:
1. A confirmed breakout above 78,600–78,750
2. A controlled pullback and bullish reaction around 77,600–77,700
Invalidation: A sustained breakdown below 77,200–77,400 would weaken the current bullish setup.
Conclusion
BTC/USD has shifted into a bullish short-term structure following the breakout above 77,600–77,700. The 78,600–78,750 region is now the key decision zone. A breakout can open the way toward 79,200+, while rejection may trigger a healthy retracement toward the former breakout zone. 
Short
Gold at the Decision Zone — Sweep or Rally?
Gold is in a major corrective/consolidation phase after the strong recovery from the 4,000 area.
A bullish CHoCH appeared around 4,380, showing a shift from the previous bearish structure.
Price then pushed toward 4,600–4,700 resistance and rejected.
Current price is testing the 4,300–4,360 Fibonacci 0.5–0.6 zone.
Short-term momentum is mixed, with sellers defending the 4,400 area.
🔑 KEY LEVELS:
Resistance: 4,380–4,400 → 4,600 → 4,680–4,700
Current decision zone: 4,300–4,360
Major support/liquidity: 4,000–3,950
Demand zone: 3,950–4,000
Upside liquidity: Above 4,600 and around 4,700
Downside liquidity: Below 4,300 and around 4,000
🎯 TRADE SETUP — Bearish Sweep Scenario:
Entry: 4,300–4,350 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: 4,450
TP1: 4,200
TP2: 4,000
TP3: 3,950
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:1 to 1:3+, depending on entry and target.
🚀 POSSIBLE NEXT MOVE:
Bearish scenario: If 4,300 breaks with strong daily momentum, Gold could sweep lower liquidity toward 4,200 and potentially 4,000–3,950.
Bullish scenario: If price holds 4,300–4,360 and reclaims 4,400, the next targets are 4,600 and 4,680–4,700.
Confirmation matters — don't chase the move inside the decision zone.
⚠️ INVALIDATION:
A strong daily close above 4,450–4,500 would weaken the bearish sweep idea and increase the probability of a continuation toward 4,600–4,700.
🧠 ANALYST VIEW:
This is an interesting liquidity decision zone. The bigger structure has improved after the CHoCH, but price is still below major resistance. A sweep toward the 4,000 demand area followed by a strong reclaim could create a much cleaner bullish opportunity.
💬 ENGAGEMENT:
Will Gold sweep 4,000 liquidity before the next major rally, or break higher first? What’s your view?
#️⃣ HASHTAGS:
#TradingView #Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Forex #Trading #Liquidity Long 
Short 
BTCUSDT: Sell Zone Holds, 75.5 Next TargetBTCUSDT is trading around 77,300 USDT, remaining firmly within a descending channel. Despite multiple attempts to rally, the price has failed to break the pattern of lower highs and continues to fluctuate below the EMA89 (near 77,830), indicating that buying pressure is insufficient to reverse the short-term trend.
The 77,500–78,000 range is the area I am watching most closely. It serves as a "Sell Zone" that aligns with both the EMA and the upper boundary of the descending channel. If BTC rallies to this zone but faces rejection, there is a high probability of a pullback to 76,500, followed by an extension toward the primary target near 75,500 USDT.
Early-week macroeconomic factors also lean toward a "risk-off" sentiment. Brent crude has risen nearly 3% due to supply concerns in the Middle East, while the market is pricing in an approximately 86% probability of a 25bp Fed rate hike this week. US Treasury yields remain elevated, exerting further pressure on crypto and other risk assets.
The bearish scenario would be invalidated if BTC breaks out of the channel and establishes firm support above the 78,300–78,500 level.
Will BTC retest the Sell Zone before sliding further toward 75.5K? Short 
