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Weekly BTC-USD(24th January)Crypto markets continue to bleed as the total crypto Mcap plummeted by more than ~20% in the last week alone. Uncertainty in Russia and Ukraine also adding more fuel to this fire. Overall, the global markets are also trading in red from the start of this year and due to high correlation between both the markets, crypto markets plunged more than the Equity markets.
On the Weekly TF, BTC formed a big bearish candle and closed the week with more than ~16% declines but managed to close slightly above its 100-WEMA. At the time of writing, BTC made a new low for 2022 and is trading just above $33,500.
As per the current market scenario, bears are in full strength and every move by Bulls is being pushed back to lower levels, lack of bullish strength is mainly due to the continuous liquidations bulls have to face from the last 1-2 months.
BTC is already trading below its crucial psychological levels of $40K, however, the immediate support is present at $32K followed by $30K, but if BTC bears also managed to crash below $30K, then this will result in breakdown of the Double Top neckline structure, this can result in further downswing to continue for more 15% to 20%.
If the bearish trend continues, there will be minor pullbacks to the higher side which can be used to close your Long positions or enter into a new short trade. However, we can expect fresh buying in the range of $29.5K to $30.5K and hence a trend reversal or sideways trend can be expected before we break below the $30K level. The nearest hurdle is placed at $36,000 followed by $38K and then the major resistance at $40K.
Weekly RSI is trading at its lowest level since 2021 and Daily RSI is already in the Oversold zone which depicts that short term pullbacks can be expected in the near term.
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