Economic Cycles

Dollar Index (DXY) Elliott Wave view: Bullish Sequence The Dollar Index (DXY) maintains an incomplete bullish sequence from the January 27, 2026 low, supporting expectations for further upside. The projected target lies within the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension range, measured from that low, pointing toward 102.7–106.0. This zone provides a clear technical framework for anticipating continued strength. From a short‑term perspective, the rally that began on May 29 is unfolding as a five‑wave impulsive Elliott Wave structure. Within this advance, wa

by Elliottwave-Forecast

EURUSD Structural Report: Weekly Market Preview 1. Macro Narrative & Daily Footprint (1D) The primary macro trajectory for EURUSD remains structurally bearish, driven by high-level institutional capital flows favoring the USD. The market recently expanded downward to target a critical multi-month internal sell-side liquidity pool anchored at 1.14110. Liquidity Absorption: During the Friday morning session liquidity cycle, price aggressively pierced the daily support zone (~1.1460) and swept deep into the Weekly Rejection Block (~1.1420), com

by financialmarketsprotocol

US Oil – Daily Elliott Wave Perspective From my current Elliott Wave interpretation, Wave (II) appears to be developing as a classic Zigzag correction. Wave A likely formed as a Leading Diagonal, while Wave B unfolded as a corrective Zigzag structure. If this count is correct, the next phase should be an impulsive Wave C. Since diagonals typically consume more time than impulses, Wave C could develop with greater momentum and at a faster pace. My focus is not on predicting news events, agreements, or conflicts. Those factors may inf

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

BTC Regression Curve Trolololo's BTC log regression curve bitcointalk.org BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been practically spot on for the general trajectory of BTC. I've created % deviations from that log curve to give an idea of how under or overpriced BTC is. The last time we touch the -75% deviation was in 2020 at the ~3800 usd low and 2022. It stayed under for less than 2 days both times and shot back up to at least the -70% deviation. Hitting the -75% deviation for me is a signal that we've hit the bottom. I guess we

by ILikuhTheTrade

ETHUSDT Macro Analysis: Deciphering the Wave (II) Corrective Str ETHUSDT Macro Analysis: Deciphering the Wave (II) Corrective Structure Date: June 24, 2026 1. Executive Summary & Methodology This analysis is strictly executed on a Closing Price (Line) Chart to filter out intraday volatility and candlestick noise. By isolating the closing price action, we aim to achieve a high-fidelity view of the underlying structural geometry and the macro-wave cycles. Our primary objective is to pinpoint the terminal phase of the Wave (II) corrective cycle. 2. Technical S

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

ETHUSD Technical Analysis: The Flat Correction Outlook Date: June 24, 2026 1. Current Structural Overview Based on recent chart data, ETHUSD is currently navigating the final stages of a Regular Flat corrective pattern. The price action is presently within wave ‘c’ of a bearish 5-wave impulsive structure, which aims to complete the higher-degree wave (II) on the macro timeframe. 2. Price Targets and Scenarios Primary Scenario (Regular Flat): The current bearish momentum is projected to find support near the $865 level (aligning with the parity of

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

One More Low Ahead... But What Structure Is Bitcoin Building?Bitcoin is approaching a critical decision zone where the structure of Wave II matters more than the next few candles. Both scenarios still allow for one more push lower. The difference is not whether a new low can occur. The difference is how the market gets there. The conservative scenario assumes that Wave II is nearing completion and only requires one final corrective leg before the larger bullish cycle resumes. Under this view, the correction consumes less time, reaches its final low so

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

The Market Knows the Answer... We're Waiting for the Structure Bitcoin is approaching a critical point where the structure of Wave II matters more than short-term price fluctuations. The question is not whether Bitcoin will eventually move higher. The real question is whether Wave II has already completed—or if the market still requires one final corrective sequence before the next major advance begins. Under the conservative scenario, the current correction is already near completion. In this view, the market is preparing for the next impulsive phase, a

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

BTC update 24.06.26-24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomposition)Hi traders; the reconstructed price level remains below the current market price, suggesting that the market is still trading with a positive premium relative to the model, likely due to additional short-term noise. The spectral decomposition shows a balanced picture. The ten strongest spectral components are almost evenly split between bullish and bearish contributions, largely offsetting each other: 111.4 h: +449.74 €/day 43.4 h: −425.6 €/day 178.5 h: −409.74 €/day 580.0 h: −348.01 €/day 69.

by MarketSpectr

XAGUSD | The Final Wave Is Whispering... Are You Listening?The higher timeframes already outlined the broader direction. Now the 4H chart reveals the final details. At this stage, the focus is not on calling an exact bottom. The objective is identifying the completion zone of a Leading Diagonal and waiting for the market to confirm the next structure. The current decline remains consistent with a 5-3-5-3-5 Leading Diagonal count. As long as the Elliott Wave rules remain intact, the primary count remains valid. Wave (5) may be approaching completion

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin Analysis: Downtrend Likely to Continue Bitcoin Analysis Date: June 24, 2026 4-Hour Timeframe (Overall Analysis): We are currently in a downtrend on Bitcoin. The red line represents the main bearish movement, while the green line shows the corrective phase of this downtrend. It appears that the corrective phase may have completed, and we are potentially ready for the second wave of the downward move. Volume analysis supports this view: volume increases on every decline and decreases during upward moves. This clearly confirms that volu

XAUUSD | Leading vs Extended Diagonal — Two Paths Toward Wave A Gold is currently trading in a region that may represent the final stage of a larger bearish cycle and the beginning of Wave A within a higher-degree corrective structure. The aggressive scenario anticipates a Leading Diagonal developing with a classic 5-3-5-3-5 internal structure. In this case, the fifth wave could either become truncated or briefly extend below the current lows before completing the decline. The conservative scenario allows for the development of an Extended Diagonal, where

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Beyond Elliott Wave: The Macro Correlation Play SPX500 4H Strategic Analysis Attention Traders, Here is my latest deep-dive into the SPX500 4H chart. We aren’t just looking at price action; we are reading the “blueprint” of market energy. Technical Breakdown: The current structure presents two high-probability paths: The Aggressive Scenario: A potential Expanded 5th Wave completion, targeting key liquidity zones at 8,957 and potentially reaching as high as 9,265. The Conservative Scenario: A transition into a larger Wave IV sideways st

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

BTC/USD — Multi-Cycle Fibonacci Analysis Technical Side of the Book Looking at Bitcoin's entire price history on the monthly chart, three distinct bull cycles emerge: Cycle 1: From 2015 to 2018. Peak was $20k and bottom was $3k which is Fibonacci 0.382. Cycle 2: From 2019 to 2021. Peak was $65k and bottom was $16k which is between Fibonacci 0.382 and 0.5. Cycle 3: From 2023 to 2026. Peak was $118k and we're reaching to bottom. The pattern is consistent, every post-peak bear market has found its bottom between the 0.382 and

SPX500 Structural Analysis: Aggressive vs. Conservative Scenario The current analysis of the SPX500 presents two distinct technical outlooks, depending on the completion status of the larger-degree Wave III: 1. The Aggressive Scenario (Targeting Wave V Extension) In this view, the market is still in the process of completing Wave 5 of 5 of a higher-degree Wave 3. The primary objective is to capture the extension of Wave V. Within this framework, any current pullbacks are viewed as brief, shallow, and impulsive corrective moves, serving only to provide the ne

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

ETH IS HATED. NOT DEAD!NO BELIEF. NO ATTENTION. PERFECT. CRYPTOCAP:ETH is testing the same long-term weekly structure that marked previous major resets. The indicator is back near the zone where the market usually gives up. This is not euphoria. This is a hated reset. The crowd will come back after price makes belief easy again. Not dead. On trial. with Weekly RSI

Bitcoin Cycle Location: Old Cycle Top as Support This is not a shortterm trade idea.ıtis a cycle location framework. The key point of this chart is simple Bitcoin is not only correcting from the 2025 high. It is testing one of the most important structural zones of the entire cycle. The 2021 cycle top area, roughly the 58K–69K zone, was the ceiling of the previous cycle. After Bitcoin reclaimed that area in 2024, the market entered a different structural regime. The old cycle top stopped being only historical resistance and started acting as

Crude Oil Near Key Support as Low Inventories Could Fuel Demand US oil inventories remain relatively low by historical standards. If crude oil continues to decline, lower prices could encourage SPR replenishment, as officials have previously indicated interest in buying at lower prices, while also supporting stronger commercial demand. That gap from March 1st near 67 remains the first major downside level to watch. Grega

AAPL June 22 | Finding Confluence Before Entry In today's AAPL review, I broke down the institutional move that created the current market structure and used that move to build a trading plan.

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by davekclinton76

EURUSD – The Fractal Geometry of the Grand Supercycle In navigating the current complexity of the EURUSD structure, the divide between our “Aggressive” and “Conservative” scenarios boils down to a question of fractal resolution. The Aggressive Outlook: We are currently evaluating the potential for an extended Double Zigzag. Should the initial wave indeed manifest as a Leading Diagonal, we must strictly adhere to the internal 5-wave structure of Wave A. We are currently observing the corrective phase with precision, ensuring the integrity of the Wa

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

BTC update 22.06.26-24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomposition)Hello all, today's Bitcoin price outlook looks particularly interesting, as the analysis points strongly to the downside. 5 out of 10 dominant cycle components are currently in decline, resulting in a distinctly bearish forecast.

by MarketSpectr

Usdollar high before spike down Through some technical analysis, pattern recognition, and quarterly cycle coming up. I believe we are either seeing the current usdollar high before a spike down, or to see a spike down lower before price makes new recent highs. Either way usdollar will spike down is me belief. I'm using time and price levels to determine this. Typically quarterly breaks of the year gives you good highs and lows for the next cycle. Let us see how it plays out.

EURUSD – Weekly Structural Update: Grand Supercycle Roadmap Analysis Snapshot: The weekly chart reveals the internal mechanics of the EURUSD long-term bearish structure. We are currently navigating a critical juncture within the ongoing Grand Supercycle correction, where the market is testing the boundaries of established corrective channels. Two Paths, One Objective: Scenario A (Aggressive): The Impulse Count This outlook focuses on the potential for a 5-wave impulsive decline. The price action is currently showing signs of accelerating towards lower

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

EURUSD – Weekly Structural Update: Grand Supercycle Roadmap Analysis Snapshot: The weekly chart reveals the internal mechanics of the EURUSD long-term bearish structure. We are currently navigating a critical juncture within the ongoing Grand Supercycle correction, where the market is testing the boundaries of established corrective channels. Two Paths, One Objective: Scenario A (Aggressive): The Impulse Count This outlook focuses on the potential for a 5-wave impulsive decline. The price action is currently showing signs of accelerating towards lower

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP