XAU/USD 13 May 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note how price has targeted the strong internal low but failed to close below. This is in-line with alternative scenario of my analysis.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 May 2026.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 08 May 2026 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,764.905.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently a bearish CHoCH, to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,773.575.
Alternative scenario:
We have seen a significant narrowing of the internal range. H4 TF internal structure remains bearish, therefore, it is a probability that price could target strong internal low a print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: 
Short
XAU/USD 12 April May 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 08 May 2026 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,764.905.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently a bearish CHoCH, to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,773.575.
Alternative scenario:
We have seen a significant narrowing of the internal range. H4 TF internal structure remains bearish, therefore, it is a probability that price could target strong internal low a print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: 
Long
XAU/USD 11 April 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 08 May 2026.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, as per yesterday's analysis, however, depth of pullback was insignificant and price continued to print higher-highs. I have marked this is red for illustrative purposes.
Price has subsequently printed a further bearish CHoCH, with price now being contained within an established internal range, however, I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,764.905.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: XAU/USD 08 May 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price did print a bearish CHoCH, as per yesterday's analysis, however, depth of pullback was insignificant and price continued to print higher-highs. I have marked this is red for illustrative purposes.
Price has subsequently printed a further bearish CHoCH, with price now being contained within an established internal range, however, I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,764.905.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: Long 
XAU/USD 07 May 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price continued to print higher reacting at a previous demand zone.
Price previously printed a bearish CHoCH before continuing it's upward trajectory, however, due to minimal pullback I have not classified it as such.
New CHoCH positioning, to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, thereafter, price trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,750.010.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: 
Long
Long
Long
