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XAUUSD: Demand Holds, But Sellers Still Lead XAUUSD: Demand Holds, But Sellers Still Lead
Market Context
Gold is trading around 4,035 after reacting from the demand zone near the weekly bottom. Buyers are defending this area, but overall pressure remains bearish.
Stronger energy prices keep inflation concerns elevated, supporting a restrictive Fed outlook. At the same time, US-Iran tensions are boosting USD demand, limiting gold’s upside.
Key point: demand is holding, but buyers must reclaim 4,050 - 4,063 to strengthen the recovery.
Technical Structure
Gold is reacting from the Demand Zone at 4,015 - 4,025. This is the key support to hold.
Resistance sits at 4,050 - 4,063 (liquidity zone). Above that, the Main Supply Zone is 4,105 - 4,120.
If demand breaks, price may drop toward 3,980 - 3,990.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,035
Demand Zone: 4,015 - 4,025
Liquidity Zone: 4,050 - 4,063
Supply Zone: 4,105 - 4,120
Weekly Low: 3,980 - 3,990
Bullish Above: 4,063
Bearish Below: 4,015
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,015 - 4,025
SL: Below 3,990
TP: 4,050 / 4,063 / 4,100
Condition: Hold demand + bullish confirmation. Only short-term buy.
Sell Scenario (Priority)
Entry: 4,050 - 4,063
SL: Above 4,085
TP: 4,035 / 4,020 / 3,990
Condition: Rejection at liquidity zone.
Sell at Supply
Entry: 4,105 - 4,120
SL: Above 4,140
TP: 4,063 / 4,035 / 4,015
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 4,015
SL: Above 4,035
TP: 3,990 / 3,980 / 3,960
Overall Bias
Gold is not bullish yet. Sellers still dominate unless price breaks above 4,063.
Best approach: wait for confirmation, avoid chasing.
Will gold break 4,063 or drop back below demand?
Long 
BTCUSD H1: Ascending Channel Breakdown & Potential Retest SetupAn interesting structural shift is unfolding on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) within the 1-Hour (H1) chart. After respecting a well-defined ascending parallel channel for multiple days, the price has finally breached the lower boundary, indicating an influx of bearish momentum.
📊 Market Context & Observations:
Channel Breach: The clean breakdown below the diagonal dynamic support suggests that buyers are temporarily losing control of the immediate trend.
Price Action Behavior: Following the breakdown, the market is currently experiencing a minor corrective bounce back toward the confluence zone.
The Area of Interest (AOI): The region around 64,340 – 64,500 is acting as a key structural pivot point. This marks the retest of the broken channel floor and previous minor resistance.
🎯 Tactical Parameters:
If the bearish pressure sustains and confirms exhaustion around this confluence area, we could see a continuation toward lower liquidity pools.
Potential Entry Window: Execution upon lower timeframe confirmation/rejection candles near the 64,340 zone.
Invalidation Point (SL): Placed strictly above the recent swing high at 64,667. This tight setup maintains an exceptional risk efficiency.
First Liquidity Target (TP1): 63,000
Major Target Pool (TP2): 61,793
📌 Risk & Accountability Disclaimer:
Execution is strictly subjective to your personal risk management strategy. Trading cryptocurrencies involves substantial volatility. This layout highlights a purely technical observation based on current market structure and is not financial advice. Protect your capital and manage your position sizes carefully 
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GBPUSD: The Current Rally Now Has to Prove Its StrengthGBPUSD has reached a point where the current rally needs to prove it still has enough strength to continue. After a strong recovery from lower levels, price has entered a major resistance zone clearly marked on the chart. This is where I become more cautious, because fast rallies often begin to lose momentum when they revisit areas that previously attracted significant selling pressure.
Simply reaching resistance is not a sell signal for me. What matters is how the market reacts. If price pushes slightly higher but then shows clear rejection, smaller bullish candles, or fails to establish acceptance above the resistance zone, it would suggest that buying pressure is fading. In that case, the current rally could turn into nothing more than a short-term distribution phase before sellers regain control.
If that scenario develops, I'll be watching for a correction toward 1.33850. This target becomes much more convincing if price leaves the resistance zone with clear signs of increasing selling pressure. On the other hand, if buyers manage to break decisively above the resistance and hold that level, the bearish outlook would no longer be valid.
This is simply my personal interpretation of the current market structure and should not be considered financial advice. I prefer to wait for market confirmation rather than react too early, and I always make risk management my highest priority. XAUUSD: Is the Pullback an Opportunity for Sellers to Return?XAUUSD is showing signs of a technical rebound from the support zone around $4,000. However, the H4 structure remains largely unchanged, as the price continues to trade below the downtrend line and has failed to break through the $4,083–$4,093 resistance zone.
Notably, selling pressure emerges quickly whenever gold approaches the downtrend line, creating a clear series of lower highs. This indicates that sellers remain in control of the primary trend, while the current upward movement is merely a corrective phase following the previous decline.
Fundamentally, gold remains under pressure as US bond yields stay elevated. Meanwhile, the market awaits further PPI data and statements from the Federal Reserve to gauge the interest rate trajectory. Reuters also reports that rising oil prices have reignited inflation concerns, fueling expectations that the Fed will maintain a tight monetary policy for longer, thereby dampening gold's appeal.
If the price rallies to the $4,083–$4,093 zone but fails to close above the downtrend line, selling pressure could intensify, pushing XAUUSD back down to test the $3,933 support level.
Suggested Strategy: Prioritize SELL positions if signs of rejection appear around the $4,083–$4,093 zone. Target: $3,933. Short 
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