NIFTY Weekly View: 200 EMA Holds Again, 23,140 Ceiling NextOverview
Nifty closed the week at 23,053.10, up 453.10 points or 2.00%. The week started with a dip to 22,387.35, right at the Weekly 200 EMA (22,391.85), and buyers stepped in from there. Price pushed up to a high of 23,118.10 and held most of the gain into the close. That makes the fifth straight week the 22,182-22,391 zone has been defended.
Follow-up on Last Weekโs View
Last week we flagged a move above 22,600 opening a path toward 22,735, 22,850, 23,000 and 23,140. Targets 1, 2 and 3 wer
Moving Averages
Grab Nifty50 next break through.Hey folks,
from past 2 trading session, Indian Indices has push through a tremendous force after having a rough sessions in previous weeks.
The current price of nifty stands above the 200EMA on 4H TF, below Daily 50EMA ( 23900 ) and above the marked rectangular AOI.
The next step of Nifty to watch out is for it to retest and pullback to the 23500 price.
Before that
| BULL case |
--> Price break through 23900, with volume above 20MA.
After the Pull back.
|Bear Case|
--> the price moves d
Acutaas Chemicals (W): ALL-TIME HIGH BREAKOUTTimeframe: Weekly | Chart Scale: Logarithmic
Explosive +27.60% weekly surge backed by a huge 12.35M volume spike! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Breakout: Cleared & closed above a sideways rectangular consolidation (active since Jun '26).
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Price Discovery: Printed a fresh ATH at 4,032.2! ๐
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Volume: Massive volume surge confirms heavy buyer accumulation.
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Momentum: EMAs in positive crossover (Daily/Weekly/Monthly). MACD & RSI rising.
Key Levels to Watch:
๐ฏ Target: 4,535
๐ก
NIFTY Weekly View: Weekly 200 EMA Defended for the 4th WeekOverview
Nifty closed the week at 22,600.00, down 546.15 points or 2.36%. After last weekโs strong 2.78% rally, buyers gave back most of the gain. The weekโs low of 22,372.00 dipped slightly below the Weekly 200 EMA (22,386.71), but the week ended above it. That makes this the fourth straight week the 22,182-22,386 zone has been defended.
Follow-up on Last Weekโs View
Last week we flagged a bullish bias on trade above 23,150, targeting 23,282 and 23,489. That trigger was only briefly tagged.
Cyient Ltd (W): DUAL RESISTANCE BREAKOUTTimeframe: Weekly | Chart Scale: Logarithmic
Constructive +3.22% weekly surge backed by a huge 21.11M volume spike! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Breakout: Cleared & closed above BOTH an angular (May '25) AND horizontal (Oct '25) resistance!
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Price Action: Weekly hammer candle + forming Higher Lows = Extremely Bullish!
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Volume: Surging volume confirms heavy buyer accumulation.
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Momentum: Short-term EMAs in positive crossover (Daily/Weekly). MACD & RSI rising. ๐
Key Levels t
Jindal Poly Films (W): MAJOR RESISTANCE BATTLETimeframe: Weekly | Chart Scale: Logarithmic
Constructive +5.81% weekly surge backed by a huge 8.38M volume spike! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Breakout: Cleared & closed above long-term horizontal resistance (active since May '23).
โ ๏ธ The Final Hurdle: Testing a stubborn angular resistance (Feb '22) but couldn't secure the close.
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Volume: Historic volume surge confirms heavy buyer accumulation.
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Momentum: Short-term EMAs in positive crossover (Daily/Weekly/Monthly). ๐
Key Leve
Can momentum sustain in US30Y? Given the reduction in the rate hike probability in October FOMC due to labor market data as well as less than market expected earnings for the hyperscalers, who are borrowing heavily in longer tenor and in turn adding pressure on US yields, boded well for the US longer yields in the recent times. Currently, US30Y is trading near resistance turned support levels, 61.8% Fibonacci as well as 55 DEMA. Any breach of 5.37% on closing basis, can lead to further rally in the yields towards 5.28% levels
Moving Averages: The Traderโs Guide to Trend, Momentum & TimingMoving Averages: The Traderโs Guide to Trend, Momentum & Timing
Moving Averages (MAs) smooth price fluctuations to help traders identify trends, dynamic support and resistance, and potential changes in momentum.
But not all moving averages work the same way. Understanding their differences helps you use them with purpose rather than adding more lines to your chart.
1. Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Calculates the average closing price over a selected period.
Example: SMA 50 = Sum of the l
Doji at the Weekly 200 EMA โ Can Nifty Clear 22,776 ?Last weekโs idea flagged the Weekly 200 EMA / 1.0 Fib confluence near 22,182 as a major support zone, with a step-by-step recovery path above it. Thatโs exactly whatโs played out: this weekโs low was 22,179.90 โ a near-perfect test of that exact level โ before buyers stepped in, pushing price as high as 22,776.10.
A doji at a key level:
Despite that wide 600-point swing, Nifty closed the week at 22,520.45, just 12 points above its open of 22,532.40 โ forming a doji candle. A doji this small, a
Can Rupee strengthen further?Rupee has gained almost 2% from its recent peak of 96.85, amid the slew of measures announced by the RBI to curb the speculative trading in the forex markets. Currently it is trading near its 30 Weekly EMA level of 94.6580. Historically, a close below 30WEMA caused rupee to strengthen/consolidate for some time. Given the RBI commitment to take additional measures to protect rupee, as and when required, suggests there is a scope for consolidation/strengthening of the same (Though in long-term thi
Nifty Weekly 200 EMA Support test BIG move PossibleHello Everyone,
On weekly Niftys historical chart whenver breaks 200EMA downside there is approx 15-20% More correction was there historically this was happned 3 times from year 2000. another is whenever it breaks down RSI hits low nearly about 20-22 only weekly chart so now RSI is more than 34 which gives more potentils another is its overall negative momentum. with trendline and EMA support its make or break situations
now Condiering global tentions and rising bank rates and other poltical
One Mobikwik Systems (W): MASSIVE REVERSAL & BREAKOUTTimeframe: Weekly | Chart Scale: Logarithmic
Explosive +25.10% weekly surge backed by a huge 181.86M volume spike! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Reversal: Formed a bullish Morning Star pattern at support!
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Breakout: Cleared & closed above long-term angular resistance (active since Mar '25).
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Volume: Surging volume confirms heavy buyer accumulation.
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Momentum: Daily EMA positive crossover . MACD & RSI rising. ๐
Key Levels to Watch:
๐ฏ Target: 292
๐ก๏ธ Support / Pullback: 223
PC Jeweller (W): MULTI-YEAR BREAKOUTTimeframe: Weekly | Chart Scale: Logarithmic
Explosive +15.52% weekly surge backed by an ASTONISHING 2.3 Billion volume! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Breakout: Cleared & closed above a massive long-term angular resistance (active since Jan 2018!).
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Volume: Historic volume surge confirming heavy buyer accumulation.
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Momentum: Short-term EMAs in positive crossover (Daily/Weekly/Monthly). MACD & RSI rising. ๐
Key Levels to Watch:
๐ฏ Target: 19
๐ก๏ธ Support / Pullback: 13.31 (P
Nifty Hits the Weekly 200 EMA โ Hold or Break Below 22,182 ?Nifty had its sharpest weekly fall of this entire decline, closing at 22,421.95, down 718.55 points (-3.11%), with the week's low at 22,217.30. This single week has now broken through every level mapped out since late August โ 23,070, 23,000, 22,975, 22,910, 22,825, and 22,737 โ all of which now sit above as resistance.
Why this week's low matters:
The week's low of 22,217.30 came within striking distance of two major references landing almost exactly in the same place:
1.0 Fib extension at 2
KSE GHABRAANAY WALI SCENARIO - FEARS ARE WINNINGWeekly Closing done below 9 EMA on Monthly chart.
we are yet to have a monthly close thogh. but if we look at the cycles, it still showing the worries. matlab ghabraana banta hai.
The Cycles The History.
The same scenario played when August 2017 closing done below 9 EMA . That was a strong closing though. It then took 2.2 years trading below EMA and zone. When it was gearing up, the Covid 19 occurred and the price again went to sleep for one more year .
Those were great years from Ju
A LONG TERM BUY OPPORTUNITY in FIX (Comfort Systems USA)NYSE:FIX Comfort Systems USA
THE FUNDAMENTALS - THE STORY
the 2025 fundamentals are exceptionally strong from an operating perspective. Revenue grew 29.5% to $9.10B , while net income almost doubled to $1.02B , meaning earnings grew substantially faster than sales.
The improvement in margins is particularly important: gross margin increased from 21.0% to 24.1%, operating margin from 10.7% to 14.4% , and net margin from 7.4% to 11.2%. At the same time, backlog nearly doubled from $5.99B t
Lokesh Machines (W): STRUCTURAL BREAKOUTTimeframe: Weekly | Chart Scale: Logarithmic
Explosive +17.81% weekly surge on 1.13M volume! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Breakout: Cleared & closed above long-term angular resistance (active since Apr '24).
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Volume Reversal: Volume steadily rising past couple of weeks after a recent dip.
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Momentum: Short-term EMAs in positive crossover (Daily/Weekly/Monthly). MACD & RSI rising. ๐
Key Levels to Watch:
๐ฏ Target: 475
๐ก๏ธ Support / Pullback: 364 (Previous resistance turned s
Gujarat Kidney & Super Speciality (W): ALL-TIME HIGH BREAKOUTTimeframe: Weekly | Chart Scale: Logarithmic
Explosive +9.13% weekly surge hitting a new ATH of 209.80! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Breakout: Cleared & closed above short-term horizontal resistance (active since mid-Sept '26).
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Volume: Massive 36.41M volume backing the move. Overall volume trend is steadily rising!
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Momentum: Short-term EMAs in positive crossover (Daily/Weekly). MACD & RSI rising. ๐
Key Levels to Watch:
๐ฏ Target: 225
๐ก๏ธ Support / Pullback: 186
Keep
Morepen Laboratories (D): CONTINUATION BREAKOUTTimeframe: Daily | Chart Scale: Linear
Explosive +6.14% surge today backed by a massive 37.97M volume spike! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Chart Pattern: Textbook "Flag & Pole" breakout confirming the broader uptrend!
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Volume Reversal: Sudden, massive volume spike violently breaking a recent "dry volume" phase.
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Momentum: Short-term EMAs in positive crossover (Daily/Weekly/Monthly). MACD & RSI rising. ๐
Key Levels to Watch:
๐ฏ Target: 145
๐ก๏ธ Support / Pullback: 125 (Prev
Soft Landing vs Hard Landing: The 200 EMA Tells Two StoriesEveryone watches the 200 EMA.
But perhaps the more interesting question isn't simply whether price reaches it.
It is HOW price reaches it.
Looking at this long-term NIFTY 50 Weekly chart, I divide historical interactions with the 200 EMA into two broad behaviours: Soft Landings and Hard Landings.
A Soft Landing is relatively controlled.
Price gradually approaches the weekly 200 EMA, begins hovering around the area and can spend considerable time consolidating. Instead of an immediate reac
R Systems International (D): DUAL RESISTANCE BREAKOUTTimeframe: Daily | Chart Scale: Linear
Explosive +16.80% surge today backed by a massive 61.31M volume spike! ๐ฅ
Technical Highlights:
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Dual Breakout: Cleared & closed above an angular resistance (Mar '26) AND a horizontal resistance (Sept '26).
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Volume Reversal: Sudden, massive volume spike violently breaking a "dry volume" sideways trend.
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Momentum: Short-term EMAs in positive crossover (Daily). MACD & RSI rising (Daily/Weekly). ๐
Key Levels to Watch:
๐ฏ Target: 295
๐ก
A Simple Bearish Trade on Gold
Bullish Points
US-Iran Escalaation still continue.
Price is moving below 50 EMA
Price forming LL and HL on Hourly Time frame.
Price formed FVG on 4 Hour Timeframe.
No Bullish Divergence on Hourly timeframe. It may be going to form it.
Bearish Points
Bullish Hidden RSI diveregence created on 4 Hour Time frame.
Daily Bias is Still Bullish
Hence my Bias is Bearish. I will place Sell Limit order right below the 4H FVG and my SL will the previous swing high.
Let's See
I wil
NIFTY โ POTENTIAL BULLISH REVERSAL SETUPNIFTY is showing an interesting technical structure that could indicate a shift from bearish momentum toward a potential bullish reversal.
The setup is based on two key technical observations across different timeframes:
๐น 15-Minute: 30 EMA & 50 EMA crossover + price reaction from the EMA zone
๐น 1-Hour: Prominent Doji formation following a sustained bearish move
The combination of these signals makes the current price action worth monitoring for confirmation of a possible upside move.
๐ฅ 1.























