DHANBANK: Multi-Year Base Breakout & Fresh FII CatalystOverview :
Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd (NSE: DHANBANK) is exhibiting a textbook macro trend reversal on the weekly (1W) timeframe. After suffering a grueling multi-year downtrend that pushed the price to a low of ₹5.80, the stock has spent several years forming a massive accumulation base. It has recently broken out of a primary descending resistance trendline and is currently trading near ₹33.94, establishing a new bullish sequence.
Fundamental Catalyst (The "Smart Money" Factor):
A major structural driver for this technical turnaround is the recent institutional activity. The chart highlights significant FII shareholding developments as of July 16, 2026. Ares Diversified has established a fresh position, holding a notable 3.74% stake. This massive influx of "smart money" provides strong fundamental backing to the ongoing technical breakout.
Key Technical Observations:
Trend Structure & Moving Averages: The macro trend is officially shifting. By breaking the long-term descending trendline and printing a clear sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), the price action dictates a bullish reversal. This structural shift implies that macro moving averages (like the 50 and 200 EMAs) are beginning to curl upward to provide dynamic support.
Momentum (RSI): The Weekly RSI is currently at 63.78, sitting just below its RSI-based moving average of 66.74. This indicates healthy bullish momentum with plenty of room to run before hitting extreme overbought territory.
Volume Accumulation: There are distinct spikes in volume during upward price advances over the last few years, confirming that institutions have been quietly accumulating shares within this massive base.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: The stock is currently testing a heavy supply zone between ₹36.45 and ₹36.85. A decisive weekly close above this red zone is critical for the next major leg up.
Secondary Targets: Reclaiming ₹36.85 opens the door to macro historical resistance levels at ₹47.85, ₹49.67, and eventually the ₹64.23 zone.
Immediate Support: The recent Higher Low (HL) structure. Holding above the ₹25.00 - ₹30.00 base is essential to maintain the current bullish sequence.
Directional Bias: BULLISH (Buy on Breakout / Hold)
The convergence of a multi-year technical breakout and a fresh 3.74% FII entry makes this a high-probability swing setup.
For New Entries: A weekly close above the ₹36.85 resistance zone provides a clean breakout entry signal.
For Existing Positions: Hold and trail your stop-loss below the recent structural Higher Low to protect capital while letting the macro trend develop.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk and position sizing carefully.
Community ideas
Azad Engineering Bullish BiasThe Stock on a weekly pattern has given a box breakout and the zone was retested.
The same pattern is reflecting in Daily TF and the stock gave a breakout from the box zone and now inching upwards.
The stock has now re tested its breakout zone and shall move upwards
with SL of 2100 zones
Target is 2600 zones
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 16.07.26XAUUSD / GOLD 4H Sell Limit Projection
Gold is showing a bearish reversal structure on the 4-hour chart. The formation highlighted at the bottom resembles an Evening Star pattern, suggesting that buying momentum is weakening and sellers may regain control.
Trade Plan
Sell Entry Zone: 4044–4048
Key Fibonacci Level: 0.618 at 4044.526
Trendline Resistance: Around 4049.669
Stop Loss: Above the swing high at 4060.143
TP1: Around 4034.746
TP2: 4024.894–4024.048
The expected scenario is for price to first retrace upward into the 4044–4048 liquidity and resistance zone. If a strong bearish rejection appears there, price could reverse and move toward 4035, followed by the major support area near 4024.
A sustained 4H close above 4060.143 would invalidate this bearish setup. Since the current price is already near 4036, this is a pending sell-limit projection—selling immediately would mean chasing the move rather than entering from the planned resistance zone.
XAUUSD — 4,060 Is the Sell Zone XAUUSD — 4,060 Is the Sell Zone
Gold is trying to bounce, but this bounce does not feel clean enough to trust yet.
Price reacted from the lower area near 4,030, then started climbing back toward the 4,045 - 4,060 zone. At first glance, that can look like buyers are coming back. But when you slow the chart down, the move looks more like price walking back into a sell zone rather than starting a strong bullish reversal.
The key detail is the retracement. Gold is now moving back into the 0.618 - 0.786 area, which sits around the marked sell zone near 4,055 - 4,065. For newer traders, this is where the market often becomes tricky. A bounce after a sharp drop can make buyers feel confident, but if that bounce only reaches a premium area and then stalls, smart money may use it to reload sell positions.
That is why my main view is bearish while gold stays below 4,075.487. The wider backdrop still supports pressure too, with inflation concerns, Fed expectations, and USD strength limiting gold’s recovery. So instead of treating this bounce as a full recovery, I see it more like the market breathing upward before deciding whether sellers are ready to push again.
If price rejects from 4,055 - 4,065 and breaks back below 4,045.308, the next area I expect gold to hunt is 4,030 first, then the deeper sell-side liquidity around 3,983.545.
This bearish idea becomes weak only if gold reclaims 4,075.487 and holds above it. That would tell me sellers failed to defend the premium zone, and the structure may need to rebalance higher before dropping again.
Key price zones to watch
Current reaction area: 4,045.308
Main supply / sell zone: 4,055 - 4,065
Bearish confirmation zone: clean break below 4,045.308
First downside target: 4,030
Main downside liquidity target: 3,983.545
Upper resistance if sellers fail: 4,075.487
Major upside liquidity: 4,138.553
Invalidation: clean reclaim above 4,075.487
Do you see this bounce as a real buyer comeback, or just a premium pullback before gold hunts 3,983 again?
WEBELSOLAR: Descending TL Breakout Attempt + "SM" CatalysOverview:
Websol Energy System Limited (NSE: WEBELSOLAR) is presenting an incredibly compelling setup on the daily (1D) timeframe. After peaking at a Higher High (HH) of ₹128.31 in late April, the stock entered a corrective phase, printing Lower Highs (LH) and sliding down a well-defined descending trendline. However, current price action at ₹101.15 suggests a potential reversal is brewing, fueled by a major fundamental catalyst.
Fundamental Catalyst (The "Smart Money" Factor):
A critical detail driving the narrative is the recent block acquisition. Ace investor Vijay Kishanlal Kedia increased his stake by +0.08%, bringing his total holding to 1.10%. This strong institutional/HNI accumulation adds immense conviction to this "solar play" just as the technicals are attempting to turn.
Key Technical Observations:
Trendline Challenge: The price has stabilized and is currently challenging the primary Descending Trendline that has suppressed the stock since its ₹128.31 high. A breakout here would signal a major structural shift from bearish correction back to bullish accumulation.
Fibonacci & Structural Support: The stock found strong demand near the ₹94.78 (Fib 1.272) level and recently established a Higher Low (HL) at ₹99.23. The ability to hold these lower bounds shows that sellers are losing exhaustion.
Momentum (RSI): The Daily RSI is currently sitting at 48.20, having just crossed above its RSI-based moving average (45.64). This upward cross indicates that bearish momentum is waning and bullish strength is starting to rebuild, giving the stock the energy needed to push through overhead resistance.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: The Descending Trendline itself. A daily close above this line is the first trigger.
Secondary Targets: The Golden Pocket resistance at ₹109.96, followed by the previous Lower High (LH) at ₹116.48.
Critical Support: The recent Higher Low (HL) at ₹99.23. Below that, the Fibonacci extension at ₹94.78 serves as the ultimate macro defense.
Directional Bias: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH (Buy on Breakout / Accumulate on Support)
The convergence of a trendline breakout attempt with high-profile "smart money" backing makes this a highly attractive risk-to-reward setup.
For New Entries: Aggressive traders might accumulate near the ₹99-₹100 support zone. Conservative traders should wait for a decisive, high-volume daily close above the descending trendline before initiating a BUY position.
For Existing Positions: HOLD. Trail your stop-loss below the ₹94.78 structural support to give the trade room to breathe while protecting downside risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk and position sizing carefully.
MASON XAUUSD – Bullish Setup Above 4,012 Buy Zone
XAUUSD is trading around 4,036 after forming a short-term base above the 4,012 buy order zone. Price is still below the descending trendline, but the current structure shows that buyers are trying to defend the lower support area.
The priority view is bullish recovery, as long as gold holds above 4,012 and breaks the 4,065 resistance with clear confirmation.
Technical View
Gold is currently moving inside a short-term corrective structure after the previous bearish move. However, the selling pressure is slowing down around the 4,012 buy order zone, where price has started to build a stronger reaction base.
The 4,012 area is the most important support on this chart. If gold pulls back into this zone and holds, it may confirm a higher low before the next bullish leg. This would support the idea that buyers are preparing for a recovery move.
The descending trendline is still acting as the main resistance. Price needs to break above this trendline and the 4,065 resistance level to confirm stronger bullish momentum. Without this breakout, the recovery may remain limited.
The 4,065 level is the first key resistance. A clean breakout and retest above this level may open the way toward the 4,119 sell order resistance zone. This is the main upside target marked on the chart.
If buyers continue to control the structure above 4,065, gold may extend higher toward the Fibonacci resistance area above 4,119. But the first important step is still confirmation above the trendline.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,036
Main buy order zone: 4,012–4,020
Short-term support: 4,020–4,030
Breakout resistance: 4,065
Descending trendline resistance: 4,060–4,070
Sell order resistance: 4,119–4,125
Higher Fibonacci target: 4,145–4,160
Invalidation: below 3,980
Trading Plan
Buy Priority: 4,012–4,020
Condition: wait for bullish rejection, higher low formation, or price holding above the buy order zone before looking for continuation.
SL: below 3,980
TP1: 4,065
TP2: 4,119–4,125
TP3: 4,145–4,160
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,065 directly, wait for a retest of this level as support before looking for buy continuation toward 4,119. A clean hold above 4,065 would confirm that the short-term recovery is gaining strength.
Sell View
Sell is not the priority while price holds above 4,012. A short-term sell reaction may appear around 4,065 or 4,119, but it should only be treated as a correction unless gold breaks below 3,980.
Final View
Overall, gold is still below the descending trendline, but the price action around 4,012 shows that buyers are defending the market. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to hold the buy order zone or break above 4,065. If confirmation appears, the bullish path toward 4,119 and 4,145 remains in focus.
Will gold hold the 4,012 buy zone and break the trendline, or retest the lower support first before the next bullish move?
FED HAWKISH, WHY GOLD BELOW TRENDLINE?Following softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data, Gold managed to stabilize but failed to generate the momentum needed for a meaningful breakout. The market's reaction suggests that investors are looking beyond short-term inflation data and remain focused on the broader Federal Reserve narrative. Fed officials continue to emphasize that inflation risks have not been fully eliminated, supporting expectations that policy will remain restrictive for longer. With this week's major inflation releases now behind us, the market is temporarily losing macro catalysts, leaving Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar, and Fed rhetoric as the dominant drivers.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions remain elevated as friction surrounding the U.S. and Iran continues. While this normally provides some safe-haven support for Gold, recent price action indicates that geopolitical demand has been insufficient to overcome persistent institutional selling. The inability of Gold to capitalize on both weaker inflation data and geopolitical uncertainty suggests that bullish momentum remains fragile.
Technically, Gold continues to trade below the descending trendline on the H2 timeframe, preserving the broader bearish market structure. Recent rebounds have repeatedly stalled beneath the Demand + Trendline resistance around the 0.50–0.618 Fibonacci retracement, where sellers continue to defend premium pricing. Until buyers can reclaim this confluence and confirm a Break of Structure (BOS), the current recovery appears to be corrective rather than the beginning of a sustainable uptrend.
PRIMARY SCENARIO
Gold could continue consolidating below the descending trendline before another attempt lower. As long as the Demand + Trendline + Fibonacci resistance remains intact, the broader bearish structure favors a move back toward the 4,020 support, followed by the major liquidity zone around 3,980.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO
A confirmed H2 close above the descending trendline and the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance would weaken the current bearish structure and suggest that buyers are regaining control. Until such confirmation appears, rallies are likely to remain corrective.
MARKET VIEW
Current Bias: Bearish
Preferred Strategy: Sell the Rally – Wait for Confirmation
THE CALM BEFORE THE GOLD BLOODBATH?Throughout this entire week, Gold repeatedly attempted to close above $4087, but failed every single time. From Monday to Wednesday, we did witness several impulsive buying moves, yet every rally into the $4087 region was met with strong rejection. This clearly tells us that sellers are still in control around that level and that institutional buyers are not showing enough interest to support a sustained breakout.
Because of that, I believe a very attractive selling opportunity is developing over the next few sessions. So make sure you read this analysis carefully, because it could help you lock in a high-probability trade with me.
This week, the $4030-$4065 zone has become the main battlefield between buyers and sellers. So far, the market has failed to break below this range, but it has also failed to break above $4065. Price is simply consolidating while both sides continue fighting for control.
The most important question now is, who will win this battle? Buyers or sellers?
One thing you should always remember is that whenever the market spends a long time consolidating in one area, it means a large number of orders are building there. Once that consolidation finally breaks, the market usually delivers a very strong move in the direction of the breakout.
I have been closely watching Gold over the past three days, and according to my analysis, if the bulls were truly strong, the market should have already closed above $4080. Instead, every time price approached that level, sellers stepped in aggressively and rejected the move. Even after several strong buying pushes from the lows, sellers continued to absorb all of that demand.
To me, this is a clear sign that the sellers are currently stronger than the buyers.
Another important observation comes from Tuesday's CPI move. If you look at the 4-hour candle that formed during the CPI release, its low has still not been broken. Instead, Gold has continued retracing higher and repeatedly attempted to move back into buying territory.
After a strong impulsive move, many traders naturally assume the market is only retracing before continuing higher. As a result, they begin buying while treating the origin of that move as a strong support zone, placing their stop losses just below it.
Keeping that psychology in mind, I believe the low of the CPI 4-hour candle, which is around $4014, has become an important liquidity zone. As long as Gold remains above this level, the market can continue attracting more buyers.
However, the moment Gold breaks below $4010, I expect a highly aggressive selling move that could push the market directly toward $3977, $3944, $3920, $3908, and eventually $3890.
The reason is simple.
As you can clearly see, Gold has repeatedly found support around the $3950 region, meaning a significant amount of buy-side stop losses are likely resting below that area. On top of that, Monday's session managed to close above $4000, which encouraged many random retail traders to enter long positions. Most of those traders are still holding their buys with hope.
Based on how Gold has behaved throughout this year, the market has consistently moved toward the side where the largest pool of liquidity was waiting. Looking at the structure formed over the past few weeks, I still consider the overall trend to be bearish.
Most importantly, we have not yet received a valid higher-timeframe buying confirmation.
Yes, buying pressure has appeared several times, but notice when those aggressive buying moves occurred. They mainly happened during high-impact news events. In my opinion, those spikes were strong enough to create FOMO and attract random buyers into the market, while the broader trend remained unchanged.
For that reason, I have no interest in buying Gold unless we see a daily close above $4080.
Until that happens, I will continue looking for selling opportunities and prefer holding positions for larger downside targets because I strongly believe that a major bearish move in Gold is approaching.
I hope you found this psychological analysis logical and that it helped you understand the market from a different perspective. Wishing everyone the very best for Thursday. I hope you all have a profitable trading day.
What is your current view on Gold?
Do you think buyers will finally break above $4080, or are sellers about to take full control?
Let me know your opinion in the comments.
Gold Trade IdeaInstrument: Gold (XAU/USD)
Direction: 🔴 Short
Entry: 4033.00
Stop Loss: 4083.00 (50 points)
Take Profit: 3933.00 (100 points)
Risk : Reward: 1 : 2
Trade Thesis
Gold is showing signs of short-term weakness after failing to sustain above a key resistance zone. The trade looks to capitalize on a continuation of the bearish momentum, targeting the next major support while maintaining a disciplined 1:2 risk-reward profile.
Risk Management
Risk a maximum of 0.5–1% of account equity.
Move the stop to breakeven after +50 points (1R).
Consider scaling out 50% of the position at 1R and trail the remainder toward the full target.
Invalidation
A sustained move above 4083 would invalidate the bearish setup, suggesting buyers have regained control.
XAUUSD — Bearish Structure Below Sell FVG
Gold is trading around $4,034 after failing to hold the short-term recovery from the weekly low area. Price is still moving below the recent supply structure, and the current reaction remains weak under the Sell FVG zone around $4,051–$4,058.
From an SMC perspective, gold has already shifted into a bearish structure after the previous BOS to the downside. The recovery from the liquidity zone did not create a strong bullish continuation. Instead, price formed a lower reaction, rejected below the upper liquidity levels, and is now consolidating under the key FVG sell area. This shows that sellers are still defending the short-term structure.
The main zone to watch is the Sell FVG around $4,051–$4,058. If gold pulls back into this zone and forms bearish rejection, the downside scenario remains valid. The next target would be the liquidity zone near $4,000–$3,990, then the weekly low around $3,984. If that low breaks cleanly, gold may continue deeper toward the lower liquidity area.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold pulls back into the Sell FVG zone around $4,051–$4,058 and forms bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,051–$4,058
SL: above $4,082
TP1: $4,025
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,984
TP4: $3,960
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks below the current short-term support and retests it as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid without waiting for a deeper pullback.
Entry: below $4,025 after breakdown retest
SL: above $4,051
TP1: $4,000
TP2: $3,984
TP3: $3,960
Sell setup 3
Condition:
If gold sweeps above the Sell FVG but fails to break above $4,082 buyside liquidity, this can create a stronger liquidity-trap sell setup.
Entry: after rejection below $4,082
SL: above $4,105
TP1: $4,051
TP2: $4,025
TP3: $3,984
Buy scalping setup
Condition:
Buying is not the main priority. A buy scalp is only valid if gold sweeps the weekly low around $3,984 and forms a strong bullish rejection.
Entry: $3,984 after bullish rejection
SL: below $3,960
TP1: $4,000
TP2: $4,025
TP3: $4,051–$4,058
Key levels
Current price area: $4,034
Sell FVG zone: $4,051–$4,058
Buyside liquidity: $4,082
Strong liquidity: $4,104
Short-term support: $4,025
Liquidity zone: $4,000–$3,990
Weekly low: $3,984
Lower bearish target: $3,960
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $4,025
Stronger bearish confirmation: clean break below $3,984
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,105
My current view is that gold remains in a bearish structure while price stays below the Sell FVG zone and the $4,082 liquidity level. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid buying too early in the middle of the range and wait for either a pullback into $4,051–$4,058 or a clean breakdown below $4,025 before looking for sell confirmation. If sellers continue to defend the FVG, gold may move lower toward $4,000, $3,984 and potentially $3,960.
No confirmation, no trade.
Can Silver touch 49?US-Iran war still ON. Inflation numbers does come down but will be inflated again as oil touch 85. Rate-cut possibility is diminishing day by day. Though we could see a rate hike. but what about silver? Fundamentals says downward pressure is there but there will be some volatility due to good recent cpi data's (but we all know they are lagging indicators). so charts does say 49 to me, downward pressure is there too. lets see what happen? Remember its a 4hr chart🥲, so have patience..
Kody TechnoLab Limited coming out of Darvas box breakoutIt fell heavily and went through the darvas box theory and now coming out of it with a good break out. It already touched a 52 week high and trying to go to the ATH of 2083. . The tailwind for this stock is - Kody Technolab signed a three-year global medical robot supply and IP agreement with Falcon Tech Robotics and Sccore AI company. This is purely for education purposes not a recommendation. Before investing please analyse it from your end. I am not a SEBI registered. This is my first idea please give me your feedback. Thank you.
### **45-Minute Chart Outlook ## **Market Overview**
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around **4033**, consolidating after a strong recovery from the **3980 demand zone**. Price has entered a period of sideways movement following a bullish impulse, indicating that the market is waiting for a catalyst before its next directional move.
---
# **Trend Analysis**
### **Primary Trend (Higher Timeframes)**
* **4H:** Bearish
* **Daily:** Bearish
The higher-timeframe structure remains under pressure, suggesting that rallies may still encounter selling interest unless key resistance levels are decisively broken.
### **Intraday Trend**
* **45-Minute:** Bullish
* **5-Minute:** Bullish
* **15-Minute:** Bearish
This mixed alignment suggests a **short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish market**.
---
# **Market Structure**
### Bullish Observations
* Higher lows have formed since the rebound from **3980**.
* Price is holding above the dynamic support cloud.
* Buyers continue defending the **4020–4025** support region.
* Momentum has slowed rather than reversed, indicating accumulation rather than aggressive selling.
### Bearish Observations
* Overall market remains below previous swing highs.
* Major resistance is positioned near **4040–4060**.
* Daily and 4H bearish bias limits the probability of a sustained breakout without increased buying volume.
---
# **Key Price Levels**
### Support
* **4020–4025** (Immediate Support)
* **4000** (Psychological Level)
* **3980** (Major Swing Support)
### Resistance
* **4040** (Immediate Resistance)
* **4060** (First Upside Target)
* **4080–4100** (Major Supply Zone)
---
# **Momentum Assessment**
The recent consolidation reflects:
* Reduced selling pressure
* Stable buying activity
* Lower volatility before expansion
This behavior often precedes a breakout, making the next move important for confirming short-term direction.
---
# **Bullish Scenario**
A sustained move above **4040** would:
* Confirm continuation of the intraday uptrend.
* Open the path toward **4060**, followed by **4080**.
* Increase the probability of challenging the upper resistance zone.
**Bullish Target Sequence**
1. 4040
2. 4060
3. 4080
---
# **Bearish Scenario**
Failure to hold above **4020** would:
* Invalidate the current recovery.
* Shift momentum back toward sellers.
* Expose **4000**, followed by **3980**.
A break below **3980** would reinforce the higher-timeframe bearish trend.
---
# **Risk Assessment**
Current conditions suggest:
* Moderate volatility
* Mixed multi-timeframe signals
* Potential breakout after consolidation
Waiting for confirmation above resistance or below support may reduce the risk of entering during a range.
---
# **Professional Trading Bias**
**Short-Term Bias:** **Bullish** (intraday recovery)
**Medium-Term Bias:** **Neutral to Bearish**
**Long-Term Bias:** **Bearish**
---
# **Professional Conclusion**
The 45-minute chart shows that **XAU/USD is consolidating above key support after a recovery from the 3980 demand zone**. While intraday momentum remains constructive, the higher-timeframe trend is still bearish, meaning upside moves could face resistance around **4040–4060**. A confirmed breakout above **4040** would strengthen the bullish case toward **4060–4080**, whereas a breakdown below **4020** would likely shift momentum back to the downside, targeting **4000** and **3980**. Traders should monitor price action around these key levels for confirmation before committing to a directional trade.
GOLD SELLING PRESSURE NEARBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD UNDER SELL PRESSURE NEAR POC PIVOT
Gold is facing fresh supply on Thursday as energy-driven inflation concerns keep the market focused on the risk of a more hawkish Fed. At the same time, rising US-Iran tension is supporting safe-haven demand for the US dollar, adding pressure to XAUUSD during the session.
The macro backdrop is not friendly for gold right now. A stronger dollar, inflation risk from energy prices, and weak technical structure are keeping sellers active.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold is trading below the recent Sell Reaction Zone around 4,055 - 4,058 after failing to hold higher value.
Price is now pressing into the POC Pivot Zone around 4,025 - 4,030. This is the current battlefield. If buyers cannot defend this zone, gold may continue rotating lower towards the Deep Demand Zone around 3,982 - 3,986.
The chart still shows bearish pressure. Every rebound is being rejected quickly, and price remains below the main volume resistance.
Important zones
Sell Reaction Zone: 4,055 - 4,058
Main short-term resistance where sellers may defend again.
POC Pivot Zone: 4,025 - 4,030
Current decision zone and key value area.
Deep Demand Zone: 3,982 - 3,986
Major lower support if sellers break the POC zone.
Highest peak of gold: 4,103
Upper reference level if buyers regain strength.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from Sell Reaction Zone 4,055 - 4,058
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,055 - 4,058 and shows clear rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the Sell Reaction Zone or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,025 - 4,030
TP2: 4,000
TP3: 3,982 - 3,986
This setup follows the current bearish structure and uses the upper Volume Profile resistance as the main sell area.
Final view
Gold is still under bearish pressure while price trades below the Sell Reaction Zone.
The key level now is 4,025 - 4,030. If this POC Pivot Zone holds, gold may attempt a small reaction. But if sellers break it cleanly, the next downside path opens towards 3,982 - 3,986.
For now, I prefer selling confirmed rebounds rather than buying early into pressure.
Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone.
XAUUSD 4025 small OB — 4081 first draw XAUUSD 4025 small OB — 4081 first draw
That dip into 4,025 is the spot now.
Gold got sold again in Asia, pushed back near the prior low, and yeah, macro is still annoying for bulls. Weak CPI and PPI should help gold a bit, but oil staying high keeps Fed rate-hike talk alive. USD gets support from that. So the upside is not free.
But chart-wise?
Price is sitting right on the small OB around 4,025 - 4,012. That is the little demand pocket. If this area holds, this can still be a trap against late sellers.
Look at the structure. Gold already printed a small ChoCH before. Then price pulled back into the OB instead of dumping clean through it. That matters. Sellers need to break this zone hard. If they can’t, buyers can squeeze price back toward 4,058 first.
The real test is 4,081. That is the next draw. Above 4,081, the bigger Fibo zone around 4,105 - 4,120 becomes the premium target. I would expect reaction there. Not chasing into it.
Main bias is bullish recovery while 4,012 holds.
Trading scenario:
Buy idea only if price holds the small OB around 4,025 - 4,012 and gives a clean reclaim above 4,034 - 4,046.
Entry zone: 4,012 - 4,025 after confirmation
Stop loss: below 3,995
TP1: 4,058
TP2: 4,081
TP3: 4,105 - 4,120
No hold inside the OB, no buy. Simple.
If gold closes hard below 4,012, this bounce idea is cooked. Then sellers can drag price back toward 3,982 and maybe 3,972.
For now, I’m watching if this small OB traps sellers again.
You buying the 4,025 reaction or waiting for 4,081 to break first?
Liquidity Sweep - Bullish and Bearish 📌 Overview
Liquidity Sweeps occur when price briefly moves beyond a significant support or resistance level, triggering stop-loss orders before reversing direction. This concept helps traders understand how liquidity is collected and why confirmation is important before making trading decisions.
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📘 Definition
A Liquidity Sweep is a temporary move beyond a key price level that is often followed by a reversal.
Bullish Liquidity Sweep : Price moves below support, sweeps liquidity, and then reverses upward.
Bearish Liquidity Sweep : Price moves above resistance, sweeps liquidity, and then reverses downward.
These movements can occur around important support and resistance zones.
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📌 Key Points
Liquidity often exists above resistance and below support.
A temporary break of a key level does not always indicate a true breakout.
Strong rejection after the sweep may indicate a shift in short-term momentum.
Waiting for confirmation can help avoid reacting to false breakouts.
Liquidity Sweeps are commonly analyzed together with market structure and price action.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Bullish Example
• Price approaches a support level.
• Price briefly moves below support, sweeping liquidity.
• Buyers regain control and price reverses higher.
Bearish Example
• Price approaches a resistance level.
• Price briefly moves above resistance, sweeping liquidity.
• Sellers regain control and price reverses lower.
The examples shown illustrate possible market behavior and are intended for educational purposes.
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📉 Summary
Liquidity Sweeps highlight areas where price may temporarily move beyond important levels before reversing. Understanding this concept may help traders better interpret market behavior and avoid confusing temporary liquidity grabs with confirmed breakouts.
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💡Why It Matters
• Helps identify potential false breakouts.
• Improves understanding of market liquidity.
• Encourages waiting for price confirmation instead of reacting immediately.
• Can be combined with support and resistance, trend analysis, and market structure for additional context.
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📌 Conclusion
Liquidity Sweeps are a widely discussed price action concept that illustrates how markets can temporarily move beyond key levels before changing direction. Like any technical concept, they should be used alongside confirmation and sound risk management rather than in isolation.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice
Gold AnalysisGold again stands near the same levels as when the yesterday analysis was posted
It is correcting after retesting the upper trendline of the descending wedge
The prices also fell below 9EMA, while RSI is also falling and rests near 40 level
The pivotal level of 4022 still stands unbreached, and a head & shoulder seems to be forming with right shoulder in the making.
Now a considerable correction below 4022 with strong volumes might drive the prices lower, below 4000 levels
Inflation Cools, But Gold Still Can't Break Out of the DowntrendKey Highlights
Both the U.S. CPI and PPI came in below expectations, signaling easing inflation pressures and reinforcing expectations that the Fed may adopt a more dovish stance.
Despite the softer inflation data, gold remains confined within its H1 descending channel, with no confirmed trend reversal yet.
The next major catalysts are Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, remarks from President Trump, and the U.S. Consumer Sentiment report.
📌 Trading Plan
Resistance: 4070–4085 | 4105–4120 | 4195
Support: 4015–4025 | 3980 | 3960 | 3942
Extended Support: 3920 | 3880
📌 Personal View
✅ The primary trend remains bearish as long as price stays below the descending channel.
✅ Continue watching for SELL opportunities around key resistance zones.
✅ A breakout above 4120 could open the door for a recovery toward 4195.
✅ A break below 4015–4025 may extend the decline toward 3980–3960, with 3942–3920 as the next downside targets.
📌 What do you think?
Will cooling inflation be enough for gold to break out of its downtrend, or is this still just another rally to sell?
Day 1 - The 30 Trade Series The 30 Trade Series
In this series, we'll scan the markets each day in search of a very specific trend continuation setup. The objective is simple: take only 30 A+ quality trades that meet our criteria—no forcing setups, no unnecessary trades.
Once all 30 trades are completed, we'll analyze the results, review the statistics, and reflect on what we learned about the strategy's performance, execution, and consistency.
Premier Polyfilm cmp 70 Daily ChartPremier Polyfilm cmp 70 Daily Chart
- Support Zone 59 to 69 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 71 to 80 Price Band
- Support Zone made good ground for uptrend
Volumes are in good sync with average traded quantity
- Head & Shoulders + Cup & Handle + Rounding Bottom
- Breakout from Resistance Zone & Trendline seen attempted






















