Long
XAUUSD: Weak Bounce, Sellers Still Control XAUUSD: Weak Bounce, Sellers Still Control
Market Context
Gold is attracting some buyers in the Asian session, but the rebound still looks limited. The US Dollar has paused after a two-day recovery, while traders are waiting for the US CPI report and Fed Chair Warsh’s testimony.
At the same time, rising US-Iran tension and expectations that the Fed may keep a restrictive policy tone continue to support the USD. This can limit upside momentum for gold, even if price creates a short-term bounce.
The main story is simple: gold is bouncing, but the structure is still weak. Buyers need more than one reaction candle to prove control.
Technical Structure
Gold is trading around 4,015 after clearing the weak low and rebounding slightly. The short-term move shows a reaction from the lower area, but the broader structure still leans bearish.
The nearest support is around 3,959 - 3,990. If this area holds, gold may continue a technical rebound toward the FVG rebalance zone around 4,060 - 4,080.
Above that, the 4,100 - 4,120 area is the internal liquidity zone. This is where sellers may start reacting again if the rebound loses momentum.
The stronger resistance remains higher at the Main Sell POI and Premium Supply area around 4,160 - 4,200. As long as price stays below this zone, the recovery should still be treated as corrective.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,015
Near Support: 3,959 - 3,990
FVG Rebalance Zone: 4,060 - 4,080
Internal Liquidity: 4,100 - 4,120
Main Sell POI: 4,160 - 4,180
Premium Supply: 4,180 - 4,200
Bullish Confirmation: Above 4,120
Bearish Continuation: Below 3,959
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario: Technical Rebound
Entry: Above 4,020 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 3,990
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,080
TP3: 4,100
Conditions: Price must hold above the weak low area, reclaim 4,020 with strength, and form a clear bullish reaction on the lower timeframe. This is only a corrective rebound setup, not a full trend reversal.
Sell Scenario: Rejection From FVG
Entry: 4,060 - 4,080 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,100
TP1: 4,020
TP2: 3,990
TP3: 3,959
Conditions: Price rebounds into the FVG rebalance zone but fails to continue higher. Bearish rejection appears, buyers lose momentum, and price starts forming lower highs again.
Alternative Sell Scenario: Sell From Internal Liquidity
Entry: 4,100 - 4,120 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,140
TP1: 4,080
TP2: 4,020
TP3: 3,990
Conditions: Price sweeps into internal liquidity but cannot hold above 4,120. Strong rejection from this area would confirm that sellers are still defending the short-term bearish structure.
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 3,959 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 3,990
TP1: 3,930
TP2: 3,900
TP3: 3,880
Conditions: Price loses the lower support zone, retest fails, and bearish momentum continues. This would confirm that the small rebound has failed and gold may extend toward deeper demand.
Overall Bias
Gold is showing a short-term bounce, but the main structure remains weak. The rebound can continue toward 4,060 - 4,080, but buyers still need to reclaim 4,100 - 4,120 to shift the tone.
If price rejects from the FVG or internal liquidity zone, sellers may push gold back toward 3,990 and 3,959. A break below 3,959 would open the door for a deeper downside move.
Best approach: wait for confirmation. Do not chase the bounce while gold remains below the main sell zones.
Will gold reclaim 4,120, or will sellers use this bounce to continue the decline?
Long
MASON XAUUSD – Bearish Trend Targets Fibonacci Range
XAUUSD is trading around 4,017 after breaking below the rising trendline support. The short-term structure has shifted back into bearish pressure, and price is now moving below the broken support area.
The priority view remains sell with the current bearish structure, especially if gold retests the 4,040–4,045 zone and fails to recover above it.
Technical View
Gold has broken below the rising trendline that previously supported the recovery structure. This is an important bearish signal because the buyers failed to defend the trendline, and the market is now trading under the broken structure.
After the breakdown, price dropped sharply and is now consolidating around the 4,001–4,006 buy order zone. This area may create a short-term reaction, but the overall structure still favors sellers while price stays below the broken trendline and Fibonacci resistance.
The 4,040–4,045 area is the key sell zone on the chart. This zone is important because it was previous support, now turning into resistance, and it also aligns with the Fibonacci reaction area. If gold retests this zone and rejects, it may confirm the next lower high before another bearish leg.
The 4,001–4,006 area is the nearest support. If price breaks below this zone, selling pressure may continue toward the expected price range around 3,945–3,955, which aligns with the deeper Fibonacci 2.618 extension.
The main idea is simple: as long as gold stays below 4,040–4,045, the recovery remains weak, and the downside path remains active.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,017
Sell zone: 4,040–4,045
Broken trendline resistance: 4,040–4,060
Nearest support: 4,001–4,006
Fibonacci 1.618 reaction: around 4,017
Expected price range: 3,945–3,955
Fibonacci 2.618 target: 3,945–3,955
Invalidation: above 4,065
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,040–4,045
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed recovery above the broken trendline, or price staying below the Fibonacci resistance zone.
SL: above 4,065
TP1: 4,001–4,006
TP2: 3,970–3,980
TP3: 3,945–3,955
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 4,001 directly, wait for a retest of this area as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward 3,970 and the expected Fibonacci range around 3,945–3,955.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price remains below the broken trendline and below the 4,040–4,045 sell zone. A short-term buy reaction may appear around 4,001–4,006, but it should only be treated as a scalp unless gold breaks back above 4,065.
Final View
Overall, gold is back under bearish pressure after breaking the rising trendline. The cleaner plan is to wait for a retest of 4,040–4,045 and watch for rejection. As long as this zone holds as resistance, the downside target toward 4,001, 3,970, and 3,945 remains in focus.
Will gold reject from the broken trendline zone, or break below 4,001 directly toward the Fibonacci 2.618 range?
Short
Long
GOLD AT DOWNTREND LINE – CAN CPI CAUSE BULLISH REVERSAL?Following last week's sharp decline, gold has started to stabilize after holding the key support area around 3980–4000. On the H2 timeframe, price remains within a short-term descending channel, but bearish momentum has weakened as buyers continue to defend the recent lows. This suggests that a technical recovery could develop if support continues to hold.
The market's primary focus today is the U.S. CPI report, one of the most influential economic releases for the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook. Until the data is released, price action is likely to remain cautious and range-bound. A softer-than-expected CPI could weaken the U.S. dollar, allowing gold to break above the descending trendline and extend its recovery toward higher resistance levels. Conversely, stronger inflation data may strengthen the dollar and renew selling pressure on gold.
📍 Key Levels:
🔹 3980 – 4000
Key short-term support and preferred buying area.
🔹 4040 – 4055
First resistance and the descending trendline breakout zone.
🔹 4065 – 4080
Next upside target if bullish momentum is confirmed.
🔹 3940 – 3960
Major support if the bearish scenario resumes.
✅ Preferred Scenario:
✔️ Gold continues holding above 3980–4000, maintaining the current recovery structure.
✔️ A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline would strengthen bullish momentum and open the way toward 4040–4080.
✔️ However, if CPI surprises to the upside and gold loses the current support zone, price could revisit 3940–3960 before attracting fresh buying interest. Long 
XAUUSD: Bearish Trendline Continues to Cap Recovery MomentumXAUUSD has bounced off the support zone around 3,960–3,980, but the current rebound is insufficient to alter the bearish structure on the H4 timeframe. Prices remain below the descending trendline—which has repeatedly triggered selling pressure—while the area above is further reinforced by the Ichimoku Cloud and a resistance zone around 4,087–4,094.
Notably, recent highs have been progressively lower. Whenever gold approaches the bearish trendline, buying momentum quickly fades and sellers step back in. This suggests the current rally is likely just a technical rebound following the sharp decline, rather than a confirmed reversal signal.
On the macroeconomic front, gold remains under pressure from the US dollar and US bond yields, which are holding at elevated levels ahead of inflation data. Rising oil prices have also fueled concerns that the Fed may need to maintain a hawkish monetary policy for longer, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold.
If the price rallies to the 4,087–4,094 range but fails to secure a firm close above the bearish trendline, selling pressure could drive XAUUSD back toward the 3,953.7 level. This is a critical support level and a clear downside target on the chart.
Suggested Strategy: Sell around 4,087–4,094 upon signs of rejection; Take Profit (TP) at 3,953.7; invalidate the trade if the price closes above 4,110 on the H4 timeframe. Short 
Short 
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/07/2026Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down bias near the 24,000 psychological support zone. Despite the weak opening, the index continues to hold above the key 24050 support area, indicating that buyers may step in if this level sustains. Traders should avoid aggressive positions at the open and wait for confirmation before entering trades.
The immediate support is placed at 24050–24100. If Nifty sustains above this zone after the gap-down opening, traders can consider long positions with targets of 24150, 24200, and 24250. A decisive breakout above 24250 will confirm fresh bullish momentum and may extend the rally towards 24350, 24400, and 24450+.
On the downside, if Nifty slips below 23950, traders can consider short positions with targets of 23850, 23800, and 23750. A sustained breakdown below this level will indicate renewed selling pressure and may accelerate the downside move.
Overall, a gap-down opening near the 24,000 level is expected. As long as Nifty holds above the 24050 support zone, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy. Fresh short positions should only be considered after a confirmed breakdown below 23950, with strict stop-losses and disciplined profit booking at each target level. NIFTY Intraday Outlook 14-07-2026Nifty Intraday Outlook !
---> The chart shows:
- NIFTY bounced from the lower demand zone near 23,937–24,002.
- Price reclaimed 24,100 and 24,160.
- Now it is consolidating near 24,200–24,220.
- Immediate resistance is visible near 24,258–24,290.
- Buyers are defending dips, but upside breakout is still pending.
---> Current structure:
Demand bounce → recovery consolidation → resistance pending
This means NIFTY is not weak right now, but CE entry should come only above resistance.
______________________________
---> Demand Zones
Immediate support: 24,161–24,150
This is the nearest intraday support. If price holds this zone, recovery remains valid.
Next support: 24,100–24,095
Below this, selling pressure can increase.
Major demand zone: 24,002–23,937
This is the lower demand zone marked on the chart. If NIFTY breaks below 24,100, this zone can again become active.
______________________________
---> Supply Zones
Immediate resistance: 24,258–24,290
This is the key breakout zone.
Target 1 / next resistance: 24,319
Target 2: 24,414
Target 3: 24,473
Until NIFTY sustains above 24,258–24,290, the market may remain range-bound.
______________________________
Intraday Trade Plan — 5 Min to 15 Min
---> CE Plan — Breakout Trade
Buy CE above: 24,260–24,290 with a strong 5-min/15-min candle close.
Targets:
T1: 24,319
T2: 24,414
T3: 24,473
SL: Below breakout candle low or below 24,200
Reason: Above 24,290, NIFTY clears the immediate resistance zone and can continue the recovery toward higher targets.
______________________________
---> CE Plan — Buy on Dip
Buy CE near: 24,160–24,150 only if bullish rejection appears.
Targets:
T1: 24,200
T2: 24,260
T3: 24,290
SL: Below rejection candle low or below 24,130
Reason: This is the nearest support zone. If buyers defend it, price can again attempt breakout.
______________________________
---> PE Plan — Breakdown Trade
Buy PE below: 24,150, safer below 24,100
Targets:
T1: 24,100
T2: 24,000
T3: 23,940
SL: Above breakdown candle high or above 24,190
Reason: Below 24,150/24,100, the recovery structure weakens and sellers can push price back toward the demand zone.
______________________________
Educational Purpose Only #BANKNIFTY Intraday PE & CE Levels(14/07/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down bias. Despite the weak opening, the index continues to trade above the crucial 58050 support zone, keeping the overall intraday structure positive. Traders should avoid chasing the opening move and wait for confirmation before entering fresh positions.
The immediate support is placed at 58050–58100. If Bank Nifty sustains above this zone and attracts buying interest, traders can consider CE positions with targets of 58250, 58350, and 58450. A decisive breakout above 58550 will confirm fresh bullish momentum and may extend the rally towards 58750, 58850, and 58950+.
On the downside, if Bank Nifty slips below 57950–57900, traders can consider PE positions with targets of 57750, 57650, and 57550. A sustained breakdown below 57450 will strengthen the bearish trend and may push the index towards 57250, 57150, and 57050.
Overall, a gap-down opening is expected. As long as Bank Nifty holds above the 58050 support zone, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy. Fresh short positions should only be considered after a confirmed breakdown below 57950, with strict stop-losses and disciplined profit booking at each target level. 
Long
XAUUSD: Long-term trend line continues to exert pressureFollowing a brief rebound late last week, XAUUSD once again approached the downtrend line extending from late June but failed to achieve a breakout. Prices quickly reversed and are currently hovering just above the short-term support zone around 4,058, indicating cautious buying sentiment ahead of a series of key US economic data releases this week.
Fundamentally, the market favors holding the USD as US bond yields remain elevated and investors await the CPI report and fresh signals from the Federal Reserve. Reuters also notes that the dollar continues to be supported by expectations that interest rates will remain higher for longer, prompting a temporary shift of capital away from non-yielding assets like gold.
On the H4 timeframe, the price remains below the downtrend line and has yet to clear the 4,058–4,080 resistance zone. This area also represents an Ichimoku convergence point, raising the likelihood of another rejection. Should selling pressure persist in this zone, XAUUSD could break through the nearest support level and extend its decline toward the 3,965 area.
Entry: Sell around 4,058–4,080 upon a rejection signal.
TP: 3,965
SL: Above 4,100 Short 
DIVISLAB (Daily Chart) – Technical AnalysisDIVISLAB (Daily Chart) – Technical Analysis
The chart shows a strong uptrend with a successful pullback and continuation towards a fresh breakout.
1. Overall Trend – Bullish ✅
The stock has formed a higher high and higher low structure after making a swing low near ₹5,654.
Buyers have consistently defended every correction.
Price is now trading around ₹6,938, very close to its previous swing high of ₹6,980–7,000.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Worked Perfectly
After the rally from ₹5,654 to ₹6,980, the stock corrected.
The Fibonacci levels are:
38.2%: ₹6,471
50%: ₹6,315
61.8%: ₹6,170
The correction stopped almost exactly at the 38.2% retracement (₹6,471).
Interpretation:
A shallow correction (38.2%) indicates strong buying interest.
Strong stocks generally don't fall to the 50% or 61.8% retracement before resuming the trend.
3. Support Held at 38.2%
The green arrow marks where buyers entered.
Price:
Tested support.
Formed a bullish reversal.
Resumed the uptrend.
This confirms that institutions were accumulating around this level.
4. Previous Resistance Being Retested
The pink arrow highlights the previous high around ₹6,980–7,000.
This is an important resistance zone.
If price closes above this level with strong volume, it would confirm a fresh breakout.
5. Volume Analysis
Volume expanded during the rally from April.
During the pullback, selling volume remained controlled.
Recent rise is again supported by improving volume.
This suggests healthy participation from buyers.
Conclusion
✅ Primary trend is bullish.
✅ The stock respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, a sign of strength.
✅ Higher highs and higher lows remain intact.
✅ A decisive close above ₹7,000 can trigger the next leg of the uptrend.
⚠️ As long as the stock holds above ₹6,470, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical View: Bullish with a Breakout Watch – Keep DIVISLAB on your watchlist for a confirmed breakout above ₹7,000 accompanied by strong volume.
Long
Short 
BEFORE YOU BUY GOLD... READ THISYesterday, the market completely invalidated the key support zone that I shared, which was between $4093 and $4116. Instead of respecting that support, Gold opened with a gap-down below the zone. As a result, what was supposed to be a strong support area immediately turned into a strong resistance.
Overall, anyone who was holding buy positions from last week's lows, especially traders who were using $4000 as their stop-loss level, got trapped badly on Monday. We witnessed a very aggressive sell-off throughout the session. Looking at that price action, I don't believe Gold is ready for a meaningful recovery just yet. Instead, I expect the market to continue attracting small buyers before extending its bearish move.
Gold has been holding above the $3950 support area for some time now, but I believe that level is likely to break in the coming sessions.
For me, the trading plan remains very simple. As long as Gold stays below $4055, I will continue looking for selling opportunities on every rally because I believe the market's primary objective is still to trap buyers.
The market tried several times to hold above the important $4055 to $4080 support zone, but every recovery attempt failed. Yesterday's sharp decline confirmed that buyers currently lack the strength to regain control. More importantly, it suggests that institutional players are not interested in supporting a short-term bullish trend. Instead, their focus appears to be pushing the market lower while trapping every new buyer entering too early.
Now let's discuss my short and simple trading plan for Tuesday.
Considering yesterday's aggressive sell-off and respecting the current price action, I don't expect Gold to suddenly recover and begin a strong bullish rally. If that happens, it would represent a complete manipulation move rather than a healthy price action recovery.
From both a psychological and price action perspective, my expectation is slightly different.
Right now, Gold is fluctuating around the $4000 level, creating confusion between buyers and sellers. Yesterday's aggressive decline has changed market sentiment significantly. Whenever the market makes such a large impulsive move, it rarely continues moving aggressively in the same direction immediately afterward. Instead, it usually spends some time creating liquidity before the next major move begins.
Because of that, I expect Gold to show a limited upside correction first. The purpose of this move would likely be to trap the sellers who entered near yesterday's closing prices while simultaneously attracting fresh buyers back into the market.
Notice that Gold only briefly broke below $4000 before quickly recovering back above it. That temporary breakdown likely convinced many traders that the downside move had ended, encouraging them to enter fresh buy positions once the price reclaimed $4000.
In my opinion, Gold may extend this recovery toward the $4030 to $4040 area. However, I believe that move will simply create another selling opportunity before the market reverses lower once again. My expectation is that Gold will eventually move back below $4000 after that temporary recovery.
This entire trading plan is based purely on price action and market psychology.
I hope you found today's analysis logical and helpful. Wishing everyone the very best for Tuesday's trading session. Trade patiently, manage your risk carefully, and let the market come to your levels instead of chasing price.
By the way, what's your trading plan for Gold this Tuesday?
Let me know your view in the comments.
XAUUSD — 4,092 Broke the Door XAUUSD — 4,092 Broke the Door
Gold started the new week with that heavy feeling again, like Friday’s recovery never really convinced the market.
Price tried to breathe above the lower FVG, but once it failed to hold around 4,092.295, the chart started telling a different story. That level was not just a random line. It was the area buyers needed to protect if the short-term recovery wanted to stay alive. Instead, gold slipped back below it, and now price is pressing into the lower imbalance zone around 4,040 - 4,060.
For newer traders, this is where the structure becomes important. When price returns into an FVG but cannot bounce strongly, that zone can stop looking like demand and start acting like a weak floor. The market taps it, pauses for a moment, then if buyers do not show real strength, sellers often use that pause to continue hunting lower liquidity.
That is why my main view is bearish while gold stays below 4,092.295. The wider backdrop also supports pressure, with price still trading under the short-term moving average and momentum readings not showing strong buyer control yet. Add the stronger USD reaction and renewed geopolitical tension, and the chart has a reason to keep selling rallies instead of trusting every bounce.
The next area I am watching is 4,021.815. If gold reaches that level and only gives a weak reaction, the bigger downside magnet becomes 3,942.100, where deeper sell-side liquidity is still waiting.
This bearish idea only becomes weaker if gold can reclaim 4,092.295 and then push back above the upper FVG around 4,130 - 4,140. Until then, I see the market as hunting lower, not recovering cleanly.
Key price zones to watch
Current reaction area: 4,040 - 4,060
Main supply / failed recovery zone: 4,092.295
Bearish confirmation zone: clean hold below 4,092.295
First downside liquidity target: 4,021.815
Main downside liquidity target: 3,942.100
Upper FVG resistance: 4,130 - 4,140
Major upside liquidity: 4,202.705
Invalidation: clean reclaim above 4,140
Do you think gold breaks straight toward 4,021, or does it fake one more bounce into the FVG before sellers return?
Short 
