Long
Long
H1 Bearish Retest Toward Major Demand
XAUUSD is trading around 4,326 after another strong bearish leg pushed price below the previous reclaim structure. The H1 market remains under pressure, with price still trading beneath the descending resistance trendline and below the latest bearish Order Block.
The macro backdrop also remains challenging for gold. August U.S. PPI rose 0.4% MoM and 5.4% YoY, reinforcing inflation concerns and lifting market pricing for a Fed rate hike next week toward 70%. The dollar and Treasury yields strengthened after the release.
Attention now shifts to U.S. CPI later today. Markets are especially sensitive because another hot inflation print could further support yields and the dollar, while a softer reading may trigger a sharp gold recovery.
Technical View
The H1 structure remains bearish after the latest MSS and breakdown below the 4,330–4,350 reclaim / intermediate supply zone.
Price is currently testing the lower edge of this structure, so chasing shorts around 4,326 offers weaker positioning.
The cleaner bearish setup sits higher at 4,385–4,405, where the Resistance / Bearish OB aligns with the descending trendline.
A controlled rebound into this area followed by bearish rejection, failed acceptance or a lower-high formation would support another move lower.
The main downside objective remains the 4,275–4,295 Major Demand / Bullish OB.
Key Zones
Current Price: 4,325.980
Reclaim / Intermediate Supply: 4,330–4,350
Sell Priority / Bearish OB: 4,385–4,405
Major Demand / Bullish OB: 4,275–4,295
Major Resistance / Supply: 4,475–4,490
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,385–4,405
Condition: wait for an H1 rebound into the bearish OB followed by rejection, failed reclaim or lower-high confirmation.
SL: above 4,420
TP1: 4,330–4,350
TP2: 4,275–4,295
Sell View
The preferred setup is not to chase the current decline.
A recovery into 4,385–4,405 would provide a cleaner area to evaluate seller response. As long as price remains below this resistance structure, the H1 bias stays bearish.
A sustained H1 reclaim above 4,420 would weaken the immediate sell scenario and could expose higher resistance again.
Final View
Gold remains technically bearish on H1, while hotter PPI and elevated oil prices continue to support inflation and higher-rate expectations. CPI is now the main short-term catalyst.
The primary scenario is a corrective rebound toward 4,385–4,405 followed by bearish continuation, targeting 4,330–4,350 first and 4,275–4,295 as the larger downside objective.
Will CPI trigger the retest into the bearish OB before gold attacks Major Demand? Short 
GOLD 14/09 - US SESSION — GOLD BEARISH AGAIN?Gold enters the US session under strong selling pressure, with price continuing to trade below the rising trendline and failing to reclaim the 4,345 area. The latest structure shows lower highs and renewed downside momentum.
For Emma's US session plan, the focus remains on selling the rebound. Price is already extended to the downside, so the priority is to wait for a pullback into resistance rather than chase the move.
🔴 KEY RESISTANCE
4,340–4,350 — INTRADAY REJECTION ZONE
Previous reaction area and short-term resistance.
→ First area to watch for a SELL confirmation.
4,395–4,400 — MAIN SUPPLY ZONE ⭐
Major H1 resistance + descending trendline confluence.
→ Preferred area for a stronger short setup if price makes a deeper retracement.
🟢 KEY SUPPORT
4,285–4,295 — MAJOR DEMAND ZONE
The main downside objective and important H1 support.
→ Watch carefully for profit-taking and a potential reaction.
🎯 EMMA US SESSION SCALPING PLAN
🔴 PREFERRED — SELL THE REBOUND ⭐
If Gold rebounds into 4,340–4,350 and shows bearish rejection:
→ SELL
TP1: 4,315
TP2: 4,290
If price pushes higher, 4,395–4,400 becomes the next major sell zone.
🔥 DEEPER RETRACEMENT
If Gold reaches 4,395–4,400, look for a clear rejection:
→ SELL
TP1: 4,350
TP2: 4,315
TP3: 4,290
This is the higher-quality setup because it aligns with the major H1 resistance and trendline.
⚠️ SUPPORT BREAK
If 4,285–4,295 breaks decisively, avoid chasing the initial candle.
Wait for a retest from below and bearish confirmation before considering continuation shorts.
🟢 BULLISH INVALIDATION
A strong reclaim and sustained hold above 4,400 would weaken the bearish setup and could trigger a larger recovery.
💎 EMMA'S US SESSION VIEW
BIAS: BEARISH 🔴
The structure favors SELL ON REBOUND.
4,345 = first reaction zone
4,400 = major sell zone
4,290 = main downside target
US SESSION: WAIT FOR THE PULLBACK → WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION → TAKE THE SCALP. Short 
Long
Pullback + Volume: Low vs High - Understanding the DifferenceA pullback during an uptrend can tell us a lot about the strength of the trend.
But one thing I always like to observe is volume during the pullback.
Is volume decreasing?
Or is volume increasing?
The difference can provide useful context about market participation and the strength of the pullback.
1. PULLBACK + LOW VOLUME
After an upward move, price pulls back with low volume.
This can indicate that the retracement is happening with relatively lower market participation.
What does it mean?
• The uptrend may still be intact.
• The pullback may be more of a controlled retracement rather than a strong reversal.
• Lower volume during the pullback can suggest relatively lower selling participation.
• If price finds support and bullish price action appears, it may create a potential long setup.
But remember, low volume alone is not a buy signal.
2. PULLBACK + HIGH VOLUME
After an upward move, price pulls back with high volume.
This shows increased market participation during the retracement and can indicate stronger selling pressure.
What does it mean?
• The pullback may be stronger than a normal retracement.
• The uptrend may be weakening.
• Price could move into a deeper correction or even a trend reversal.
• Taking a long entry without confirmation can be risky.
So, instead of assuming that every pullback is a buying opportunity, wait and observe the price action.
------------------------------------
What should we look for?
Don’t simply assume:
Low Volume = Buy
High Volume = Sell
Instead, study the relationship between price action and volume.
• Pullback + Low Volume → potentially controlled retracement
• Pullback + High Volume → potentially stronger selling pressure
• Support + Bullish Price Action + Improving Volume → stronger confirmation
Always consider price location, structure, volume and follow-up price action together.
------------------------------------
📌Key Takeaway
A pullback is not automatically a buying opportunity.
Volume helps us understand what may be happening behind the price movement.
A low-volume pullback can suggest that the retracement is relatively controlled, while a high-volume pullback can signal stronger participation and possible weakness.
But neither is a sure-shot signal. Wait for price confirmation before taking a decision.
Learn → Backtest → Validate → Execute
Study this behaviour across different stocks, timeframes and market conditions before using it in your own trading process.
Do share your views, I’d love to know your perspective.
📌 This post is for learning and educational purposes only. It is not financial or trading advice.
✅ If you like this educational post, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :)
in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
Education
Short
Long
Long
Long 
FED WEEK AHEAD — GOLD BEARS PREPARE FOR FALL?Gold enters the new week with the bearish H4 structure still intact. After failing to reclaim the descending trendline, price continues to form lower highs and is now trading around 4,335, below the key 4,390–4,410 Demand zone. The recent rebound has been weak, suggesting buyers have not yet regained control, while the broader descending channel continues to favor the downside.
From a technical perspective, 4,390–4,410 is the key decision area. If Gold rebounds into this zone but remains below the descending trendline, sellers could use it as resistance to resume the decline toward 4,300–4,320, followed by the major 4,260–4,280 Supply + FVG zone. A clean H4 break below 4,300 would confirm another bearish expansion.
The macro backdrop also remains unfavorable for Gold. After stronger-than-expected August inflation data and rising oil prices, markets have increased expectations for a 25bp Fed rate hike this week to around 87%. Higher rates, elevated Treasury yields and a firmer USD are keeping pressure on non-yielding Gold. At the same time, oil above $100/barrel is creating an unusual dynamic: geopolitical risk supports safe-haven demand, but the resulting inflation shock is strengthening the hawkish Fed narrative.
Bearish Scenario — Preferred Bias
If Gold remains below 4,390–4,410 and the descending trendline continues to cap every rebound, sellers could regain momentum and push price toward 4,300–4,320. A confirmed break below this zone would expose 4,260–4,280 Supply + FVG.
Bullish Scenario
Buyers need to reclaim 4,390–4,410 and then break the descending trendline with a sustained H4 close. Only above this structure would Gold have room to recover toward 4,440–4,480. Until then, rebounds remain corrective.
This week is particularly important because the FOMC decision is scheduled for September 16, with markets heavily anticipating a rate move. U.S. Retail Sales and other data are also due around the decision, potentially adding volatility to USD, yields and Gold.
KEY LEVELS:
🔴 4,390–4,410 — Demand + Trendline resistance
🔴 4,440–4,480 — Major recovery resistance
🟢 4,300–4,320 — First downside target
🟢 4,260–4,280 — Major Supply + FVG
BIAS: BEARISH — SELL THE RALLY WHILE GOLD REMAINS BELOW THE DESCENDING TRENDLINE. Short 
Nifty 50 : Trendline Support Holding, 50 EMA Still the Big TestOverview
Quick weekend look at the bigger picture on Nifty. On the weekly chart, two things stand out right now: a rising trendline support that's been holding nicely, and a resistance zone around the Weekly 50 EMA that price keeps trying (and failing) to clear.
What's Happening
Since the March low, Nifty has been climbing steadily along a rising trendline, currently sitting under the price. That trendline has done its job well so far — every dip toward it has found buyers.
At the same time, price has made a few attempts to break above the Weekly 50 EMA (currently at 24,378) and the resistance zone around 24,601–24,989, but hasn't managed a clean breakout yet. You can see two clear rejection points marked on the chart where price pushed into this zone and got pushed back.
There's also a support zone around 23,817 that's been tested four times now and has held each time — that's a pretty reliable level at this point.
Key Levels
Resistance Zone: 24,378 (Weekly 50 EMA) to 24,601–24,989
Support Zone (tested 4 times): 23,817
Trendline Support: rising, currently well below price, adding a longer-term floor
The Bigger Picture
Right now, Nifty is stuck between a well-tested support below and a resistance zone that keeps rejecting it above. Until one of these gives way clearly, we're likely to keep seeing this back-and-forth kind of price action.
What Would Change the Picture
A clean weekly close above 24,601 would be a good sign buyers are finally taking control of the bigger trend
A break below 23,817, especially with the trendline support also giving way, would be the first real sign this uptrend structure is in trouble
Beginner's Lesson
When a stock or index keeps failing at the same zone multiple times, it doesn't mean it will never break through — it just means buyers haven't found enough strength yet. The more times a level gets tested without breaking, the more important it becomes when it eventually does break, in either direction.
Conclusion
Nifty remains range-bound between strong support below and a tough resistance zone above. No clear signal yet either way — just watching how these two boundaries play out over the coming weeks.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. 
Long
NIFTY Weekly View — Doji at Resistance Signals IndecisionOverview
Nifty closed the week at 24,570.65, up 187 points or 0.77%. But the real story isn't the small gain, it's the shape of this week's candle. Nifty printed a doji right at the resistance zone, open and close almost identical, after tagging a high of 24,774.30. That's a classic sign of hesitation at a decision point, and it comes exactly where we expected the market to be tested.
Follow-up on Last Week's View
Last week we flagged Nifty right at the descending resistance line, needing a close above 24,989 to confirm a breakout. That breakout hasn't happened. Instead of pushing through or falling back, the market has paused, this week's doji shows neither buyers nor sellers could take control near resistance. A Rising Wedge has also taken shape over the last few weeks, adding to the case that momentum is thinning out even as price inches higher.
What a Doji at Resistance Usually Means
A doji by itself isn't a signal, it's a pause button. But a doji forming right at a well-tested resistance zone, after a multi-week rally, carries more weight than a random doji in the middle of a range. It tells us sellers showed up during the week (note the rejection from the 24,774 high) but buyers didn't fully give up either (close held above last week's level). The next 1-2 candles after a doji like this usually confirm which side wins.
Key Levels
Resistance Zone: 24,601.70–24,989.35
Weekly 50 EMA Support: 24,363.25
Support 1: 23,817.80
Support 2 (Trendline): 23,611.00
Major Support: 23,070.15
Weekly 200 EMA: 22,278.36 (long-term trend remains up)
Scenarios
If next week closes above 24,774 (this week's high), it would suggest buyers won the indecision battle, opening the path toward 24,989 and a possible wedge breakout.
If next week closes below 24,363 (the Weekly 50 EMA), it would suggest sellers are gaining control, and Nifty could slide back toward the rising trendline support near 23,817–23,611.
Beginner's Lesson
A doji candle forms when a session's open and close are almost the same, no matter how much price moved up or down during the week, buyers and sellers ended up roughly even. On its own, a doji just means "indecision." But when it shows up at an important resistance or support zone, especially after a strong trending move, traders pay closer attention, because it often marks the point where the trend either pauses briefly or reverses. The key is to wait for the next candle to confirm the direction rather than assuming what happens next.
Conclusion
Nifty's doji at resistance this week is the clearest sign yet that the market is at a genuine crossroads. The falling trendline and wedge resistance near 24,989 remain the level to beat. Until price breaks decisively either way, this is a "wait and watch" zone, but the setup for a bigger move is clearly building.
This is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 
Long
NIFTY : Key Fibonacci Levels & Trading Plan for TomorrowNIFTY closed at 23,431.50, continuing the recent weakness from the upper portion of the rising-wedge structure. Tomorrow, the reaction around the key Fibonacci levels will be important.
Key Fibonacci Levels
38.2% — 23,784.25
50% — 23,478.45
61.8% — 23,172.60
The 50% Fibonacci level at 23,478 is the immediate decision zone, while 61.8% at 23,172 is the next major downside reference.
🟢 Bullish Scenario — Confirmation Required
Do not chase the first move.
If NIFTY reclaims 23,478–23,500 and gets a 15-minute candle close above this zone, then:
Target 1 - 23,550–23,600
Target 2 - 23,750–23,784
Invalidation: Sustained move back below 23,478 after the breakout.
🔴 Bearish Scenario — Confirmation Required
If NIFTY fails to reclaim 23,478 and gives a 15-minute candle close below 23,400, bearish momentum can continue.
Target 1 - 23,350–23,300
Target 2 - 23,200–23,172
A decisive break below 23,172 (61.8% Fib) can open the next downside zone toward 23,070.
Invalidation: Sustained reclaim above 23,478.
⚡ Trading Plan
BUY only after confirmation: 15-min close above 23,478–23,500
SELL only after confirmation: 15-min close below 23,400
Avoid the middle: If price remains trapped between these levels, wait for confirmation.
The 50% Fibonacci level at 23,478 is the key battle zone for tomorrow. Let price confirm the direction before taking a position.
Educational market structure and trading plan for discussion only. Not investment advice. XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pressure Below 4,360 XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pressure Below 4,360
Gold is trading around 4,327 after losing momentum from the previous recovery structure.
The chart is now showing a clear Head and Shoulders formation. The left shoulder formed around the 4,420 area, the head pushed higher near 4,690, and the right shoulder failed to continue above the lower high area around 4,480. This tells me that buyer momentum has weakened, and the market is now testing the neckline area.
The most important zone is 4,280 – 4,320.
If gold cannot hold this neckline support, the bearish structure may continue toward the next liquidity zones below.
Technical view:
Gold formed a Head and Shoulders structure after a strong bullish run.
The neckline is around 4,280 – 4,320.
Price is now moving under the short-term downtrend line.
The nearest resistance is around 4,350 – 4,370.
If gold retests this area and rejects, sellers may stay in control.
The first downside target is around 4,220.
If 4,220 breaks, gold may extend toward 4,070 – 4,080.
A stronger recovery only becomes clearer if price breaks back above 4,370 and holds above the downtrend line.
Key levels to watch:
Current price: 4,327
Nearest resistance: 4,350 – 4,370
Bearish confirmation: below 4,280
Target 1: 4,220
Target 2: 4,070 – 4,080
Recovery confirmation: above 4,370
Main scenario:
If gold retests 4,350 – 4,370 and shows bearish rejection, sellers may try to push price back toward 4,280 first.
A clean break below 4,280 would confirm more pressure and open the way toward 4,220.
If selling momentum continues, the next deeper target will be around 4,070 – 4,080.
Alternative scenario:
If gold holds above 4,280 and breaks above 4,370, the bearish pattern may lose strength.
In that case, buyers may try to recover toward 4,420 first, where the right-shoulder structure can be tested again.
Hannah’s view:
Gold is not showing a clean bullish continuation anymore.
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a warning sign that the market may be shifting from accumulation into distribution. The neckline around 4,280 – 4,320 is the level I want to watch closely.
Main view: gold remains under pressure below 4,350 – 4,370. A rejection from this area supports continuation toward 4,280 and 4,220. If 4,280 breaks clearly, the deeper target near 4,070 becomes possible. No confirmation means no trade.
Do you think gold will defend the neckline, or will the Head and Shoulders pattern complete this week?
Short 
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS VALUE, FED DECISION MAY TRIGGER THE BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS VALUE, FED DECISION MAY TRIGGER THE BREAK
Gold starts the new week under pressure around 4,330 - 4,340 after failing to build a strong recovery from last week’s lower value area.
The macro background is still heavy for gold. US inflation remained persistent in August, increasing the probability that the Fed may keep a tighter policy stance at the September meeting. With the Fed rate decision coming on Wednesday, the market is not likely to move cleanly without confirmation.
This creates a difficult setup:
Gold is weak in the short term.
But price is still sitting near value support, not at a clean sell area.
So for me, the main plan is not to chase. I want to see whether buyers can defend current value, or whether sellers will break this base and force another move lower.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold is trading around the POC / Current Value zone near 4,325 - 4,335.
This is the most important short-term decision area. Price is no longer showing strong bullish momentum, but it has not completely lost the lower value structure yet. As long as gold holds above this POC zone, a technical rebound is still possible.
The first buy reaction zone is around 4,364. This is the level where buyers need to reclaim momentum. If gold pushes above 4,364 and holds, the next target becomes 4,436, which is the buy scalping area and also a key reaction level from the previous structure.
Above that, the major resistance is the Previous VAH / HVN zone around 4,490 - 4,510. This is where the larger volume resistance begins. If gold reaches this area before the Fed decision, I would expect stronger selling pressure or at least heavy profit-taking.
The highest resistance remains the Composite VAH / Major Upper Value Resistance around 4,620 - 4,640. This is not the immediate target yet, but it remains the major upside wall if gold breaks the current bearish pressure.
Important zones
Current price area: 4,325 - 4,335
Gold is holding near the short-term POC decision zone.
POC / Current Value: 4,320 - 4,335
Main support for the current structure. Losing this zone may weaken buyers again.
VAL / Lower Value: 4,275 - 4,290
Next downside value zone if sellers break the current POC.
Buy zone: 4,355 - 4,365
First reclaim level for buyers to confirm a recovery attempt.
Buy scalping level: 4,430 - 4,440
Short-term upside reaction level if buyers regain control.
Previous VAH / HVN Resistance: 4,490 - 4,510
Key volume resistance and possible seller reaction zone.
Composite VAH / Major Upper Value Resistance: 4,620 - 4,640
Major upper resistance if gold breaks strongly after the Fed decision.
Trading scenario
Priority view: buy reaction only if 4,320 - 4,335 holds
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if gold holds the POC / Current Value zone around 4,320 - 4,335 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the local sweep low or below the lower edge of the current value zone.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,355 - 4,365
TP2: 4,430 - 4,440
TP3: 4,490 - 4,510 if buyers reclaim momentum strongly
This setup follows the idea that gold is still sitting at value support. However, confirmation is important because the Fed decision can create sharp volatility.
Alternative sell scenario
If gold loses 4,320 and fails to reclaim it, I will not force the buy.
In that case, price may rotate lower into the VAL / Lower Value zone around 4,275 - 4,290. This would confirm that sellers are still controlling the short-term auction.
A sell setup is cleaner if gold breaks below 4,320, retests the lost POC, and rejects.
Sell target:
TP1: 4,290
TP2: 4,275
TP3: lower only if Fed-driven momentum supports USD strength
Final view
Gold is starting the week in a sensitive position.
The market is sitting near short-term value support while traders wait for the Fed rate decision. Inflation remains a concern, and that keeps pressure on gold. But technically, price is not in a clean breakdown yet.
The key map is simple:
Hold 4,320 - 4,335 = buyers can attempt recovery.
Break 4,364 = bullish reaction improves.
Reach 4,436 = first upside target.
Break 4,510 = recovery becomes stronger.
Lose 4,320 = downside opens toward 4,275 - 4,290.
For now, I see gold as a decision-market, not a chase-market.
The cleanest trade will come from confirmation around the POC. If buyers defend it, gold can rebound into 4,364 and 4,436. If sellers break it, the next auction may move toward the lower value zone before any stronger recovery appears.
Will gold defend current value before the Fed decision, or will sellers force one more flush into lower value first?
Long 
Reliance, "The Largest Of Large Caps"Date 14.09.2026
Reliance (Fut)
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
"The Largest Of Large Caps"
"20% year-to-date in 2026"
Technical
(1) Whats not displayed on the chart is, Reliance broke weekly 200 EMA
(2) Been consolidating foe the last 15 weeks now , below weekly 200 EMA
(3) Upper range of consolidation is 1340 & bottom is 1240
(4) Been taking multi-leg support of 40 RSI , weekly closing basis
(5) Breakdown = 1240 + 40 Weekly RSI + Multi year support trendline
(6) At make or break junction of multiple support zone
(7) In case, of any breakdown the meaningful support is 15% down at 1051
(8) However, risk reward on long side might be better, but with very strict stoploss
Fundamental
Compressed Refining Margins:
(1) RIL's massive Oil-to-Chemicals (O2C) segment is facing global headwinds.
(2) O2C Topline (Gross Revenue) Contribution: 56.3%
(3) O2C Operational Bottom Line (EBITDA) Contribution: 29.1%
Export Duty Reimposition:
The Indian government’s move to reimpose export duties on diesel and Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF) hit RIL's highly lucrative export-oriented refining metrics directly
Retail & Telecom Slowdown:
Quick-commerce applications have started eating into traditional retail habits, causing slightly softer growth expectations for Reliance Retail. Simultaneously, Jio's Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) growth came in below expectations the street had priced in
Heavy Capex Drag & Debt:
RIL has funneled massive capital expenditure into futuristic projects.
Markets are temporarily viewing this as a leverage/debt weight before these massive installations start churning net profits
Upcoming Events That Might Pull Reliance
(1) The Mega Jio Platforms IPO
(2) Monetisation of New Green Energy Gigafactories
(3) Major Rupee Bond Capital Infusion
Regards,
Ankur Singh
