Bill Williams Indicators
Daily Analysis and Reaction Locations [2026-07-22]The previous session confirmed the pullback is initiated. Looking at the current internal range volume, the POC is still located at the pullback target zone — that's my swing trade location for shorts.
For the next session, I'm interested in entering the pullback higher from today's confirmed value. Since the internal low demand has already been touched twice, it has no weight for me anymore, other than as a target for the swing short.
Grab the chart or zoom out on the preview to see all zone
TOP Stocks for second half of 2026 - SPCX, AVGO and moreHi All ✌️
In this post, I'll be doing a stock market update for stocks to look at in the second half of 2026
The strongest large-cap theme right now is still AI infrastructure and enterprise cloud, with the biggest money concentrating in companies that are showing real revenue growth. I’ve used current prices and today’s trading volumes.
NVIDIA (NVDA)
Nvidia is still the cleanest AI infrastructure name on the board and the clearest stock to watch for the second half of 2026.
Price now: aro
NVDA - "Hi AI! Bye AI!"NASDAQ:NVDA Look at the 19H chart for NVDA. We aren't looking at a dip; we are looking at the completion of a Head and Shoulders top. The market is pricing in the end of the US 'AI Monopoly.' The trade is shifting from 'who has the most expensive chips' to 'who can deploy AI at the lowest cost.'
The US is trying to sanction its way out of competition, but capital is indifferent to DC politics. Look at the $287 billion profit swing in Chinese mutual funds on their own AI binge. That capital is
Tesla’s Record Deliveries Solved the Wrong QuestionTesla delivered 480,126 vehicles—but operating margin fell to 1.4% and record investment pushed free cash flow below zero. What must happen next for the valuation to work?
CENTRAL ANGLE
Tesla’s Q2 volume recovery was real, but deliveries alone cannot justify its valuation.
Q2 2026 produced a striking contradiction:
• Record deliveries: 480,126, up 25% YoY
• Revenue: $28.24B, up 26%
• Operating income: $398M, down 57%
• Operating margin: 1.4%
• Capital expenditure: $5.79B, up 142%
• Free
GOOG | Google Just Proved AI Is Worth Every PennyAlphabet Delivers Stunning Quarter but AI Spending Is Rewriting the Investment Story
Alphabet delivered one of the most eye catching earnings reports of the year, posting $119.8 billion in quarterly revenue and an astonishing $112 billion in net profit
At first glance, those numbers appear almost unbelievable but there is an important detail investors need to understand.. The overwhelming majority of that profit came from a $99 billion unrealized gain on Alphabet's equity investments, prima
HYPE. Little ephemeral value.XETR:HYPE is incredibly dependent on news environment due to its low Gini coefficient, imo
wealth is concentrated in certain hands, which reap the primary benefits and hold this asset solely for statistical reasons
there are few convictions here, little ephemeral value
H
Can Ingersoll Rand Keep Its Winning Streak Alive?Ingersoll Rand remains one of the strongest names in the industrial equipment sector, supplying mission critical compressors, pumps, vacuum systems, power tools and precision flow technologies across manufacturing, healthcare, food processing, and energy markets
The company's business model is built around recurring aftermarket revenue, disciplined acquisitions, and operational efficiency, giving investors exposure to a diversified industrial portfolio rather than relying on a single end marke
Alphabet’s AI Edge: Engineering The FutureQ2 Earnings and Macroeconomic Power
Alphabet reports Q2 2026 earnings today. Investors are watching closely for confirmation that cloud revenue momentum continues. A strong print would silence market doubters about Alphabet’s AI monetization strategy. Global macroeconomics currently favor cash-rich tech giants. Alphabet leverages this immense economic advantage perfectly. Strong cash flows fund aggressive high-tech expansion. The business model transitions seamlessly beyond mere ad dominance. A
Daily Analysis and Reaction Locations [2026-07-21]While NQ already resolved its swing structure, ES is behind and still not giving as clear signals as I'd like to see.
Overall, the bias stays downside as long as the sub high holds.
For today's session, I'm monitoring the pullback reference to see if price wants to reach for the value-based pullback zone, or if the current downtrend volume gets used to continue lower instead. I'd like to see the internal low broken today — that would provide confirmation.
Grab the chart or zoom out on the pr
ABBN | The $100 Trillion Automation OpportunityA Global Automation Leader Positioned for the AI Industrial Revolution
ABB Ltd is one of the world’s leading industrial technology companies, specializing in electrification, automation, robotics, and motion technologies. The company operates at the intersection of several powerful long term trends, ai, industrial automation, renewable energy, electric vehicles, and smart manufacturing.. As companies worldwide invest heavily in improving efficiency and reducing labor costs, ABB is positioned a
RBLX | Why I'm Betting Big on Roblox's FutureRoblox's latest quarter was objectively strong, even if the stock price didn't reflect it. In Q1 2026, the company reported $1.4 billion in revenue (+39% YoY), while bookings jumped 43% to $1.7 billion, significantly ahead of expectations..
Monthly unique payers surged 52% to 31 million, proving that users aren't just joining the platform, they're spending more money once they're there. Even more impressive, Roblox generated $629 million in operating cash flow and $596 million in free cash fl
Weekly Analysis and Reaction Locations [2026-07-20]NQ violated the swing low, which is an early confirmation that price might continue lower mid-term. A break — a close below the violation — is still needed to confirm the continuation, but the analysis already gives me a valid pullback target.
Right at that pullback target sits an algorithmic reaction zone, which adds weight to the location. The current downtrend's volume profile also has its POC around the same pullback target. Volume, the value-based reaction zone, and the algorithmic reactio
BMNR: The Ethereum Treasury Flywheel Could Be Entering Its Next Digital asset treasury companies (DATs) have created a new way for investors to gain crypto exposure through public equities.
The core question is simple:
Can these companies grow the amount of crypto owned per share faster than simply holding the underlying asset?
BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) is becoming one of the most interesting examples of this thesis.
The Ethereum Accumulation Strategy
BMNR's long-term goal is to accumulate approximately 5% of the total Ethereum supply, mak
TSMC's Next Move Could Create Trillions in ValueTSMC delivered another standout quarter, showing that AI demand is still accelerating
Q2 revenue jumped 34% year over year to $40.2 billion, beating expectations by about $900 million, while EPS per ADR climbed 74% to $4.31, topping estimates by $0.37. Profitability remained exceptional, with gross margin at 68%, operating margin at 60%, and net margin at 56%. This also marked the company's fifth consecutive record quarter
Even so, after the stock's nearly 40% rally this year, investors ap
Netflix is down 24% year-to-date. I see it differently.After the Q2 earnings release, NASDAQ:NFLX accelerated its decline. The stock is now down 24% since the start of 2026 and 42% over the past twelve months. Many are writing the company off. I think that‘s a mistake.
Let’s look at the numbers. Q2 revenue grew 13.4% year-over-year to $12.6 billion. Earnings per share rose 11% to $0.80. This is not a failure. The market punished the stock for its Q3 guidance of $12.9 billion, which implies 11.7% growth and came in below analyst expectations. One
ASML’s Ai Gold Rush Continues But Wall Street Has One ConcernASML delivered a strong second quarter, with revenue climbing 21% year over year to €9.3 billion, beating expectations by €400 million. GAAP EPS increased 29% to €7.59, coming in €0.60 above estimates. Gross margin reached 54%, helped by strong sales from its high margin Installed Base Management business. The company generated €1.3 billion in free cash flow and bought back €1.1 billion worth of shares. ASML stock is now up nearly 70% this year
The biggest takeaway was ASML raising its 2026 ou
The Trillion Dollar Tech Meltdown | Why Everyone Is Dumping IBM IBM is dealing with a major shift in enterprise technology spending, highlighted by a roughly 25% one day drop in its stock after the company issued a weaker than expected preliminary second quarter earnings update.
IBM expects Q2 revenue of about $17.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $2.93, below Wall Street expectations of $17.86 billion in revenue and $3.02 EPS
The slowdown appears to be tied to a change in how large companies are allocating their technology budgets. Many ente
PayPal’s Biggest Moment Since the IPOPayPal may be preparing for a major deal!
Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have submitted a $60.50 per share offer to acquire the company, putting PayPal’s valuation above $53 billion.. The proposal is reportedly supported by around $50 billion in committed financing
However, this is not a confirmed acquisition yet.. The offer is unsolicited, PayPal has not officially responded, and all parties involved have declined to comment. Still, reports suggest PayPal has hired Goldm
How Do They Value Stocks in 2026? Count the Valuation ShortcutsIn March 2001, Gretchen Morgenson documented the unusual language Wall Street had adopted during the dot-com boom. Earnings were being replaced by page views, website traffic, “mind share,” engaged shoppers and conveniently adjusted profits.
Once the bubble burst, those measures looked less like innovation and more like ways to avoid discussing business economics.
It is tempting to look at today’s artificial-intelligence boom and reach a simple conclusion: this is the internet bubble all over
ORACLE'S $638 BILLION QUESTION: WHEN DOES BACKLOG BECOME CASH?Applying the complete operating-metric-to-present-value framework to Oracle's AI-cloud buildout
Oracle may be one of the most interesting valuation tests in the US market today.
At the end of fiscal 2026, the company reported $638 billion of remaining performance obligations, or RPO. Revenue reached $67.4 billion, cloud revenue grew 39%, and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue grew 77%. At the same time, Oracle spent $55.7 billion on capital expenditure, generated roughly $32.0 billion of ope
Daily Analysis and Reaction Locations [2026-07-16]Previous session violated the internal high — could be an early indication for continuation higher. But given the broader market context, this could also just be a liquidation event. Right now, that leaves an unresolved range without a confirmed direction.
There's a reference below the previous day low I'm watching. As long as that holds, I'm leaning up for the session.
Still two-sided — no confirmed direction yet.
Grab the chart or zoom out on the preview to see all zones.
Trade Idea
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