Economic Cycles

Bitcoin bottom and tops able to be timed by halving cycle TOPS around ~548 days after halving BOTTOMS around ~365 days after market tops prior market bottoms to next market top ~1066 days 3rd cycle for me, BUYING bottom in Oct 2026.. SELLING cycle top at or before SEP 2029

by treytherogue

NVDA — NASDAQ, 4H EATF+CE v13 — NVDA at the centre of a regime turn the 4H is already confirming NVDA — NASDAQ, 4H NVDA itself is the most useful illustration of why this matters. On the daily NASDAQ AI infrastructure basket, NVDA still sits in the Elite tier under broader regime classification of "Broad Uptrend (turning down)". On the 4H verification timeframe — the screen above — NVDA has already dropped to the Confirmed tier with a TRIM·Adapt warn+fading label. The Adapt filter has flipped bearish at the 4H r

by TrendMatrix_Labs

Everyone is waiting for the dip… May 2026 What if it never came? A few days ago the idea of an approaching resistance “ Expect resistance 86-87k - May 2026 ” was published. It is clear from various quarters this is interpreted as a forecast “crash” event prediction as and when resistance is tested. An event that’ll cover long orders to those that panic sold around $65k now looking to capture a missed opportunity. Here's the thing, resistances can be broken. Resistances, just like support, can fool the market. The trade or opportunity

by without_worries

The AI Infrastructure Trade — A Probability Read on Where We Are The AI Infrastructure Trade — A Probability Read on Where We Are If you're holding from the broader AI infrastructure basket — NVDA, AVGO, AMD, ARM, MU, MRVL, TSM, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, ASML, ANET, SMCI, DELL, HPE, VRT, ETN, PWR, HUBB, JCI, TT, GEV, CEG, VST, EQIX, DLR, GOOGL, AMZN, META, MSFT, plus SMH/QQQ/SPY benchmarks — here's what a multi-filter structural read says about the probability distribution of where the basket is likely going over the next 1-12 weeks. Not a recommendation, not a predi

by TrendMatrix_Labs

EURUSD Nested FVG and Reaper A retracement could be expected and after that a bearish strong move

Important levels for long terms Marked few important levels that can boost your analysis.

Bitcoin test long-term Mega Channel support.In summary, the current overall picture of Bitcoin is flashing its most dangerous signal in four years. The breakdown below the long-term Mega Channel support, combined with a price pattern fractal mimicking the 2022 crash, strongly indicates that the macro bull market has come to an end, marking the inception of a massive new bear market. The downward price targets are locked in at the $41,000 zone, with the ultimate bottom potentially plunging as deep as $33,500. Therefore, the optimal s

by Teerasak_Tanavarakul

BTCUSDT - Accumulation Strategy: Preparing for the Next Cycle Goal - make a proper preparation for next BTC cycle, that happens after each 4 years. TL;DR Patience is key. The plan is to wait for Bitcoin to drop into the highlighted green demand zone and slowly begin a weekly Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) routine. Historically, BTC tends to base in these lower ranges for several months. The ultimate premium entry sits around the $32,000 level. Market Structure & Macro View Bitcoin operates on well-defined, 4-year macro cycles. While the overarching market

EURUSD Continuation Buy Pending The entry I have was taken during the recent NY session. Anticipating that price will continue to go upward towwards the 'POIs' at the higher levels. The current price action from a bit higher timeframe can be seen as a accumulation and volume is favoring as well since the spring is there and other phases too. At this point just waiting for a re-entry during one of the sessions coming up.

ETH position | 30 may 2026 ETHUSDT position | 1h Chart Follow price BINANCE:ETHUSDT ❇️ Analysis Description: Look at the end of the second leg, order block areas, and the trend line breakout. All extended positions are based on this. If the support area is broken, we move on to the next buy position or even open a short position in the direction of the downtrend. 🔼 Buy-sell Setup: Enter after the trendline break and pullback to the 1,980 - 2,013 area. 🕯 Entry Plan (1-Hour Confirmation): H1 candle must confir

by EhsanZeydabadi

Gold Bearish move and Reversal Gold is now in bearish move after sweeping high liquidity pool now on recent swing low could be bullish trap and then sweeping the liquidity high probability zone is Nested fvg as levels are marked. these level with Sequential SMT divergence between xauusd and xagusd could be bullish strong move otherwise it will be considered as bearish.

Why Crypto Liquidity Thins Out in Summer Summer gets treated like market folklore. Traders go away, liquidity dries up, volatility acts strange, and someone eventually says "Sell in May and go away" as if that explains the whole thing. It doesn't. The calendar is not the trade. The liquidity behind the calendar is what matters. Still, the old phrase is useful because it points to a real market habit. "Sell in May and go away" comes from the traditional finance idea that traders reduce exposure before the quieter summer months and

Sp500 SmartFxland New Analysis sp500 Analysis on Weekly Timeframe A masterpiece combining mathematics, Gann theory, fractals, Fibonacci, movement angles, and time analysis. Fully intelligent. This analysis is for educational purposes only.

US30 H4 SmartFxland New Analysis Dow Jones Analysis and Turning Point Note and remember turning points.A masterpiece combining mathematics, Gann theory, fractals, Fibonacci, movement angles, and time analysis. Fully intelligent. This analysis is for educational purposes only.

SmartFxland New Analysis on XAUUSD H4 A masterpiece combining mathematics, Gann theory, fractals, Fibonacci, movement angles, and time analysis Gold analysis on the 4-hour time frame for training

SmartFxland New Analysis on XAUUSD H1 Waiting for the price to drop to the desired box and then changing the price direction. This is a suggestion with analysis of the Smartfxland tool and is for educational purposes.

The Iron Leviathan: A Structural Analysis of Cyclical Crossroads The ocean does not care for your spreadsheet formulas, nor does it weep when your capital sinks into the deep. Five thousand winters ago, we read the stars and the flight of birds to survive the treacherous trade routes. Today, we read the candlestick charts of Maersk. This is an ancient empire built on modern steel, sitting at a fascinating cosmic crossroads where fundamental value meets brutal macroeconomic tides. To understand this enterprise, an investor must look beyond short term price ac

Weekly review of XAUUSD Weekly Market Analysis Gold #XAUUSD #XAGUSD 🔍 Macro Structure & SMT Divergence A powerful institutional shift has developed on the higher timeframes. Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) have officially locked in a weekly Sequential SMT Divergence. During last week's price action, Gold successfully executed a violent liquidity sweep, leaving behind a massive, high-volume rejection wick. Crucially, Silver failed to sweep its corresponding high. This non-confirmation mechanically flags a major insti

Bitcoin Cycle Analysis: Estimating the Bottom using Regression In our previous post, we used a straightforward cycle analysis based on weekly EMAs to estimate the next Bitcoin cycle bottom. You can read that analysis here . In this post, we take a more advanced approach by applying polynomial regression. The full regression model can be found here . First we briefly outline how the model is constructed. Model Construction: For the bottom estimation, we use a cubic polynomial regression, defined by the function: ax³ + bx² + cx + d In this model x re

S&P hits 7600 The symmetry is remarkable. Major resistance considering no agreement between the US and Iran. The technicals and fundamentals are lining up perfectly.

Bitcoin Cycle Analysis: Estimating the Next Bottom using EMA's In this post, we take a straightforward approach to estimating the potential cycle bottom for Bitcoin using the 100, 200, and 400 weekly moving averages. There is no need to always overcomplicate the analysis when simple historical patterns can also provide valuable insights. Historical Observations Looking at previous cycles, several consistent patterns emerge: The 100, 200, and 400-week moving averages have historically acted as key levels of support and resistance. In the past two cyc

MP Material | Wyckoff logic Market Outlook: "At a Crossroads" Current Bias: Slightly Bullish (60% Bullish / 40% Bearish) 1. Wyckoff Perspective (Accumulation) - Structure: We have successfully completed the SC → AR → ST → Spring sequence. - Status: A clear accumulation structure is in place. Following the Spring, we are currently seeing active demand entering the market, positioning us in the LPS (Last Point of Support) / SOS (Sign of Strength) phase. - Takeaway: Smart money has likely initiated accumulation. 2. Tec

Scared of a Market Crash? Answer: SILVER, $SLV $AGQ TVC:SILVER AMEX:AGQ AMEX:SLV Just like Gold exploded higher in late 2025 through early 2026 — delivering one of its strongest performances in decades with massive gains, repeated all-time highs, and prices surging well over $5,000/oz at peaks — TVC:SILVER , AMEX:SLV , AMEX:AGQ is perfectly positioned to follow the same pattern and potentially outperform it significantly. While gold captured the safe-haven spotlight, silver combines monetary demand with powerful industrial leverage (sola

by michael_lllllllllll

$BTC Rainbow Chart Analysis & Buy Signals: STH / RP / 200W SMA First blue dot of the cycle has appeared on the ₿itcoin Rainbow chart after PA got rejected from the STH 90EMA (short-term holder realized price of 155 days). Now CRYPTOCAP:BTC makes its way down to inevitably test the 200SMA and RP 30EMA (Realized Price of ALL coins). BUY SIGNALS will come when we get blue dots on the rainbow chart touching the 200SMA and RP. Note: confluence comes when the 200SMA crosses above the RP, albeit it may be slightly early or late, but still gives plenty of sign