Crude Oil Above $100 — Is the Next Stop $105-$107?Following the increasing possibility of further tensions in the Middle East, crude oil ( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) has gained more than +8% over the past 24 hours. If oil manages to remain above the psychological level of $100, it could continue its bullish trend.
Over the past 15 days, crude oil has been moving inside an ascending channel. It is currently trading above $100 and has successfully broken above the resistance zone($99.50-$96.00).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that crude oil is currently completing main wave 3, which could potentially end around the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) .
I expect crude oil to continue its bullish move toward at least the $105 level. If oil manages to break the key trading level of $107, we could expect further upside toward the resistance lines.
First Target: $105.00
Second Target: $107.00
Third Target: Resistance lines
Stop Loss(SL): $95.60(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
Gap: $95.16-$93.76
Gap: $79.50-$77.22
What’s your view on crude oil? Do you think oil can hold above the $100 level and continue its bullish momentum?
Note: Any news, statements, or developments related to the ongoing Middle East tensions could quickly affect Oil’s price.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌U.S. Dollar/Brent Crude OIL Analysis (USDBRO), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends. 
Long
GOLD - Correction Before a Decline ICMARKETS:XAUUSD remains under pressure from the broader bearish trend. However, within this primary direction, the market is developing a sideways range and a countertrend correction. A stronger U.S. dollar could once again weigh on the metal
Gold has received temporary support from the recent geopolitical pause and a softer U.S. dollar. However, the sustainability of the recovery remains uncertain as markets await the upcoming Federal Reserve decision and further developments in the Middle East. Technical indicators continue to point to a bearish bias, limiting buyers' appetite.
Bullish drivers: Further U.S. dollar weakness, Geopolitical de-escalation, Lower oil prices and bond yields, A dovish signal from the Federal Reserve
Bearish drivers: Renewed geopolitical escalation, Rising oil prices, Hawkish Fed rhetoric, Renewed U.S. dollar strength
Resistance levels: 4109, 4134
Support levels: 4082, 4067, 4028
Although the U.S. dollar is currently in a corrective phase, its broader trend remains bullish. This could allow gold to complete a liquidity sweep before resuming its decline.
Before any further advance, gold may retest the 4082 support level. The primary focus remains on the 4134 liquidity zone, where a short squeeze could trigger another bearish reversal
Best regards,
R. Linda 
Short
Short
Short
Why a Higher High Can Be Part of a CorrectionWhy a Higher High Can Be Part of a Correction
A higher high is commonly interpreted as evidence of bullish continuation. That interpretation is reasonable when price breaks a previous high, holds the breakout area, and continues moving inside a healthy trend structure.
However, a higher high can also appear after the previous trend has weakened. In that context, it may form inside a correction rather than mark the beginning of a new bullish impulse.
A Higher High Must Be Read in Context
The term higher high describes only the relationship between two price peaks. It does not tell us whether the rising channel remains intact, whether the breakout has been accepted, or whether the move receives follow-through.
Before interpreting a higher high, I examine:
the previous trend structure;
the condition of the rising channel;
the location of the breakout;
the reaction during the pullback;
the price action that follows the new high.
The surrounding structure determines whether the higher high supports continuation or belongs to a corrective movement.
A Higher High Inside a Healthy Structure
The first POWL example shows price breaking above a previous high area with a gap and strong bullish movement. Price then pulled back towards the former resistance zone.
The breakout area held during the pullback, the rising channel remained intact, and price continued higher. In this context, the higher high supported the bullish interpretation because several elements aligned:
price broke above the previous high area;
the breakout zone held during the pullback;
the rising channel remained intact;
the move received continued follow-through.
The higher high was not interpreted in isolation. The breakout, pullback, channel, and subsequent continuation all supported the same reading.
What Changed After the Channel Break
The later POWL structure developed differently. Price left the rising channel and shifted from directional expansion into a broader sideways movement.
Price eventually moved above the previous high again. Viewed alone, this appeared bullish, but the surrounding structure required more caution:
the previous rising channel had already broken;
price was moving inside a developing sideways structure;
the earlier impulsive rhythm had weakened;
the new high did not immediately produce sustained expansion.
The higher high was real, but it no longer carried the same structural meaning as the earlier breakout.
How a Higher High Can Form Inside a Correction
From an Elliott Wave perspective, a strong advance can be followed by a sideways fourth-wave correction. One possible structure is a running flat:
Wave A moves lower.
Wave B recovers above the previous high.
Wave C moves lower and completes the correction.
Wave B creates a higher high, which can make the chart appear as though the bullish impulse has resumed. However, the higher high may still belong to the corrective structure.
The POWL Running Flat Interpretation
In this example, I interpret the later POWL structure as a running flat. After price left the rising channel, Wave A moved lower and Wave B recovered above the previous high.
The B-wave higher high did not develop into sustained bullish expansion. Wave C then moved lower and completed the corrective structure before the broader trend entered its next upward phase.
The mistake would be to treat the higher high as sufficient confirmation while ignoring the earlier channel break and the change to sideways price action.
Impulse or Correction
The important question is not simply whether price made a higher high. The better questions are:
Did the higher high form inside a healthy rising channel?
Did it follow a breakout that held during the pullback?
Was the previous impulsive structure still intact?
Did the move receive continued follow-through?
Or did it appear after a channel break inside sideways price action?
A higher high inside an impulse and a higher high inside a correction may look similar when viewed separately, but their structural meaning is different.
Signs That a Higher High May Be Corrective
The previous rising channel has already broken.
Price has shifted from expansion to sideways movement.
The breakout receives limited follow-through.
Price returns quickly towards the previous structure.
The move fits a possible B-wave scenario.
No single observation confirms a correction. The interpretation becomes stronger when several structural elements appear together.
A Practical Reading Sequence
Identify the previous trend structure.
Draw the channel governing the advance.
Mark any channel break.
Observe whether price expands or begins moving sideways.
Evaluate where the new higher high appears.
Check whether the breakout receives follow-through.
Consider an alternative corrective scenario.
Use subsequent price action to confirm or reject the interpretation.
The higher high is an observation. The broader structure determines what that observation means.
Final Takeaway
A higher high can support continuation when it forms inside a healthy trend, follows a valid breakout, holds during the pullback, and receives follow-through.
After a channel break and a shift into sideways price action, a higher high may instead form inside a correction. In a running flat, Wave B can move above the previous high before Wave C completes the structure.
Do not interpret the higher high alone. First determine whether it appears inside an impulse or inside a correction.
Informational and educational analysis only. 
Education
Long
Why Bearish Candlestick Patterns Need ContextCandlestick patterns are often taught as self-contained signals.
A bearish candle suggests weakness.
A long upper wick suggests rejection.
A reversal pattern suggests that buyers may be losing control.
But a candlestick pattern is only one layer of analysis.
Without the broader trend, market structure, and location, even a well-formed pattern has limited analytical value.
The common mistake is to read the pattern before reading the chart.
Start With Structure, Not the Pattern
A trend is not defined by one candle or one candlestick pattern.
It is defined by the broader sequence of price movement, the position of the swing highs and lows, and the structure containing the move.
Before interpreting a bearish pattern, I first ask:
What is the higher-timeframe trend?
Is the broader structure still intact?
Where is the pattern appearing inside that structure?
Has subsequent price action confirmed the warning?
A bearish reversal pattern inside a healthy rising structure does not carry the same weight as a bearish pattern near the upper boundary of a mature advance.
The patterns may differ in construction, but their analytical importance still depends on the surrounding structure and location.
The Microsoft Weekly Example
The first chart shows Microsoft moving inside a broad rising channel.
The highlighted areas include:
a Hanging Man;
an Evening Star;
three Dark Cloud Cover patterns.
Each pattern warned that short-term selling pressure might be increasing. Some looked significant when viewed in isolation.
However, the broader weekly structure remained constructive.
Price stayed inside the rising channel.
The primary trend continued.
None of the bearish patterns produced a sustained structural change.
This does not mean that the patterns were meaningless.
They identified temporary selling pressure, hesitation, and local changes in momentum. But the surrounding structure did not confirm that the larger trend had changed.
This distinction is important.
A bearish pattern can identify a local shift in pressure without confirming a complete trend reversal.
Why Location Changes the Interpretation
Later in the advance, a Shooting Star appeared much closer to the upper boundary of the rising channel.
The context was now different.
Price had already completed a much larger advance.
The move was more mature.
The pattern appeared near an important structural boundary.
Because of that location, the bearish warning deserved more attention than the earlier patterns inside the channel.
However, it was still only a warning.
The Shooting Star did not confirm a reversal by itself.
A Warning Is Not Confirmation
A bearish candlestick pattern can alert us that momentum or buying pressure may be changing.
Confirmation requires additional evidence from subsequent price action.
Depending on the structure, that evidence may include:
repeated failure near the upper channel boundary;
inability to extend the sequence of higher highs and higher lows;
a break of the rising channel;
deterioration in the broader swing structure;
failure to recover after the initial decline.
Until that evidence appears, the pattern remains one piece of information within a larger analytical process.
This is why I separate the warning from the confirmation.
The pattern creates the question.
The following price action provides the answer.
A Practical Chart-Reading Sequence
My process is:
Higher timeframe
Trend
Structure
Location
Pattern
Confirmation
Risk
The order matters.
If I begin with the candlestick pattern, I may interpret every bearish formation as a possible reversal.
If I begin with the broader structure, I can judge whether the pattern is appearing inside a healthy trend, near an important structural boundary, or after the trend has already started to weaken.
Final Takeaway
Do not ask only whether a candlestick pattern is bullish or bearish.
Ask:
Where is the pattern appearing?
What is the higher-timeframe trend?
Is the broader structure still intact?
Has price confirmed the warning?
Candlestick patterns are useful, but they should not be treated as standalone trading instructions.
Different bearish patterns can carry very different weight depending on where they appear.
Context determines how much importance the pattern deserves.
Informational and educational analysis only. 
Education
BTCUSDT Short: Rejected at 67,000 - Retest 64,500 Demand ZoneHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT remains inside an ascending channel, keeping the broader bullish structure intact. After a fake breakout below the 64,500 Demand Zone, buyers regained control and pushed price toward the 67,000 Supply Zone, where sellers reacted.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 64,500 Demand Zone while remaining below the 67,000 Supply Zone. The recent rejection from the upper channel boundary increases the likelihood of a pullback.
As long as BTCUSDT stays below the 67,000 Supply Zone, a correction toward the 64,500 Demand Zone (TP1) remains the preferred scenario. However, a breakout above 67,000 and channel resistance would strengthen bullish momentum and signal another leg higher. Manage your risk! 
Short
Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance After Rebound – Pullback To 64K?Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously advanced inside a broad ascending channel before reaching the 65,800 Seller Zone, where buyers lost momentum. Price then formed a short-term descending channel, but recently rebounded from its lower boundary and is now retesting the former breakout area near resistance. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 64,000 Buyer Zone while remaining below the 65,800 Seller Zone and the descending channel resistance. The latest rebound suggests buyers are attempting to regain control, but sellers continue defending the upper resistance. As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 65,800 Seller Zone and respects the descending channel resistance, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward the 64,000 Buyer Zone (TP1), where buyers may attempt to defend support. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀 Short 
Bitcoin Faces Strong Resistance — Pullback Toward 63,800?Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (2H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously broke above a descending channel, confirming a bullish recovery. The rally has now reached the 66,400 Seller Zone, where price is facing strong resistance after an impulsive move higher. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 66,400 Seller Zone while remaining above the 63,800 Buyer Zone. The strong rejection from resistance suggests buyers are losing momentum and sellers may attempt to regain control. As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 66,400 Seller Zone, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward the 63,800 Buyer Zone (TP1), where buyers may attempt to defend support. However, a confirmed breakout above 66,400 would invalidate the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀 Short 
GOLD - The Hunt for Liquidity (Correction) Before the Drop ICMARKETS:XAUUSD is recovering after Thursday's sharp decline, trading around $4,060 on Friday. This rebound may represent nothing more than a liquidity-building move before the broader downtrend resumes
The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen, while gold remains under selling pressure, reinforcing the prevailing bearish market structure. The broader trend remains firmly bearish.
From a technical perspective, gold continues to face pressure from geopolitical uncertainty and hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. The current recovery appears to be a countertrend correction toward key liquidity zones, potentially building momentum for another decline toward the 4000–3983 support area. The next directional move will largely depend on the U.S. dollar, oil prices, PMI data, and developments surrounding the geopolitical conflict.
Bearish drivers: Stronger hawkish Fed expectations, Rising oil prices, Continued U.S. dollar strength, Profit-taking, Bearish technical structure
Bullish drivers: U.S. dollar weakness triggered by new tariff developments, Geopolitical de-escalation, Weaker-than-expected PMI data
Resistance levels: 4061, 4067, 4109
Support levels: 4021, 4000, 3983
Within the current countertrend correction, gold is testing the first trigger zone at 4061–4067. A short squeeze around this area could trigger another reversal and send price back toward support. However, a deeper correction toward the 4109–4134 liquidity zone before the next bearish leg cannot be ruled out
Best regards,
R. Linda Short 
Long 
Short 
How to Trade Consolidation on Gold Easily. XAUUSD Strategy
In article, you will learn how to identify and trade consolidation on Gold easily.
I will share with you my consolidation trading strategy and a lot of useful XAUUSD trading tips.
1. How to Identify Consolidation
In order to trade consolidation, you should learn to recognize that.
The best and reliable way to spot consolidation is to analyse price action.
Consolidation is the state of the market when it STOPS updating higher highs & higher lows in a bullish trend OR lower lows & lower highs in a bearish trend.
In other words, it is the situation when the market IS NOT trending.
Most of the time, during such a period, the price forms a horizontal channel.
Above is a perfect example of a consolidation on Gold chart on a daily.
We see a horizontal parallel channel with multiple equal or almost equal highs and lows inside.
For a correct trading of a consolidation, you should correctly underline its boundaries .
Following the chart above, the upper boundary - the resistance, is based on the highest high and the highest candle close.
The lowest candle close and the lowest low compose the lower boundary - the support.
2. What Consolidation Means
Spotting the consolidating market, it is important to understand its meaning and the processes that happen inside.
Consolidation signifies that the market found a fair value.
Growth and bullish impulses occur because of the excess of demand on the market, while bearish moves happen because of the excess of supply.
When supply and demand find a balance, sideways movements start.
Look at the price movements on Gold above.
First, the market was rising because of a strong buying pressure.
Finally, the excess of buying interest was curbed by the sellers.
The market started to trade with a sideways range and found the equilibrium
At some moment, demand started to exceed the supply again and the consolidation was violated . The price updated the high and continued growth.
Usually, the violation of the consolidation happens because of some fundamental event that makes the market participants reassess the value of the asset.
At the same time, the institutional traders, the smart money accumulate their trading positions within the consolidation ranges. As the accumulation completes, they push the prices higher/lower, violating the consolidation.
3. How to Trade Consolidation
Once you identified a consolidation on Gold, there are 2 strategies to trade it.
The resistance of the consolidation provides a perfect zone to sell the market from. You simply put your stop loss above the resistance and your take profit should be the upper boundary of the support.
That is the example of a long trade from support of the consolidation on Gold.
The support of the sideways movement will be a safe zone to buy Gold from. Stop loss will lie below the support zone, take profit will be the lower boundary of the resistance.
AS the price reached a take profit level and tested a resistance, that is a short trade from that.
You can follow such a strategy till the price violates the consolidation and establishes a trend.
The market may stay a very extended period of time in sideways , providing a lot of profitable trading opportunities.
What I like about Gold consolidation trading is that the strategy is very straightforward and completely appropriate for beginners.
It works on any time frame and can be used for intraday, swing trading and scalping.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Education 
XAUUSD Short: Rejects Channel Resistance, Downside Toward 3,970$Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (2H) chart structure. XAUUSD continues to trade inside a descending channel, maintaining the broader bearish trend. After losing the 4,160 Supply Zone, price made several recovery attempts, but each was rejected near the channel resistance, confirming continued selling pressure.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the 3,970 Demand Zone while remaining below the 4,160 Supply Zone. The latest rejection from channel resistance suggests sellers are still in control.
As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,160 Supply Zone and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward the 3,970 Demand Zone (TP1). However, a breakout above 4,160 and the channel resistance would weaken the bearish outlook. Manage your risk! Short 
BTCUSDT: Retests Support Before Potential Rally Toward $68KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT chart structure.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a broad descending channel before breaking below its lower boundary, confirming a strong bearish move. After finding support near the 64,300 Support Zone, buyers regained control and price formed a large symmetrical triangle, with multiple breakouts and successful retests signaling improving bullish momentum.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 64,300 Support Zone while remaining below the 68,000 Resistance Zone. The recent rebound from triangle support suggests buyers continue defending higher lows and are attempting to extend the recovery.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 64,300 Support Zone and continues respecting the ascending triangle support, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 68,000 Resistance Zone (TP1).
However, if BTCUSDT breaks below the 64,300 Support Zone and loses triangle support, bullish momentum would weaken and a deeper pullback could develop.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Long 
Euro Rebounds From Support — Can Buyers Reach 1.1460?Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD chart structure.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded inside a descending channel before breaking above the upper boundary, confirming a bullish shift in market structure. After establishing a strong base near the 1.1400 Support Zone, buyers continued to defend higher lows, allowing price to develop inside an ascending channel.
Currently, EURUSD is trading above the 1.1400 Support Zone while remaining below the 1.1460 Resistance Zone. The recent pullback held above channel support, suggesting buyers are still in control as long as the bullish structure remains intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as EURUSD remains above the 1.1400 Support Zone and continues respecting the ascending channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 1.1460 Resistance Zone (TP1).
However, if EURUSD breaks below the 1.1400 Support Zone and loses the ascending channel, the bullish outlook would weaken, allowing sellers to regain short-term control.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
