U.S. Treasury yields have climbed since the end of February, and some traders may expect further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the 30-year bond’s rate is the series of lower highs between May and September of 2025. TYX returned above that trendline in December and has mostly stayed above it since. Has downward pressure faded?
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has risen above the 200-day SMA. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has also stayed above the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may reflect upward direction in the long and short terms.
Third, TYX had a weekly close at 4.92 percent on April 24 followed by upside. It pulled back to hold that level last week. Such a higher low at a previous peak might confirm an uptrend.
Next, Bollinger Band Width recently narrowed to its lowest reading in over 30 years. That kind of tightness could give way to expansion.
Finally, macro conditions may support higher rates because both payroll reports last week beat estimates. Jobless claims have also shown very few layoffs. Meanwhile oil prices have climbed, inflation data is coming and some Federal Reserve officials want a tighter bias in their policy statement.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureOptions. Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on https://www.TradeStation.com/Important-Information/. System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies for further important information explaining what this means.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the 30-year bond’s rate is the series of lower highs between May and September of 2025. TYX returned above that trendline in December and has mostly stayed above it since. Has downward pressure faded?
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has risen above the 200-day SMA. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has also stayed above the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may reflect upward direction in the long and short terms.
Third, TYX had a weekly close at 4.92 percent on April 24 followed by upside. It pulled back to hold that level last week. Such a higher low at a previous peak might confirm an uptrend.
Next, Bollinger Band Width recently narrowed to its lowest reading in over 30 years. That kind of tightness could give way to expansion.
Finally, macro conditions may support higher rates because both payroll reports last week beat estimates. Jobless claims have also shown very few layoffs. Meanwhile oil prices have climbed, inflation data is coming and some Federal Reserve officials want a tighter bias in their policy statement.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year!
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureOptions. Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on https://www.TradeStation.com/Important-Information/. System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies for further important information explaining what this means.
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Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.