XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Holds Below Ichimoku And TrendlineMASON XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Holds Below Ichimoku And Trendline
XAUUSD is trading around 3,980 after failing to recover strongly from the recent support area. Price remains below the Ichimoku structure and under the descending trendline, so the main bias is still bearish.
The priority view is to look for sell confirmation on pullbacks, especially if gold retests the sell order zone.
Technical View
Gold is still moving under bearish pressure. The recent recovery attempt failed to break the descending trendline, showing that buyers have not taken control of the structure yet.
Price is also trading below the Ichimoku resistance area. This supports the bearish view because the cloud and Ichimoku lines are still acting as dynamic resistance above price. As long as gold stays below this structure, every rebound should be treated as a correction.
The trendline is important because it continues to cap the upside. If price pulls back into the 3,998–4,018 sell order zone and rejects, this may confirm another lower high inside the bearish trend.
The 3,943 support is the first downside area to watch. If gold breaks below this level, selling pressure may continue toward the Fibonacci 1.618 area near 3,910.
The deeper bearish target is the Fibonacci extension zone around 3,810–3,825. This area becomes more realistic if gold breaks support cleanly and fails to recover above the sell zone.
Key Zones
Current price: 3,980
Sell order zone: 3,998–4,018
Short-term resistance: 4,018
Upper liquidity area: 4,037–4,064
Nearest support: 3,943
Fibonacci 1.618 target: 3,910
Fibonacci extension target: 3,810–3,825
Invalidation: above 4,064
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 3,998–4,018
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed breakout above 4,018, or lower high formation below the descending trendline.
SL: above 4,064
TP1: 3,943
TP2: 3,910
TP3: 3,810–3,825
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 3,943 directly, wait for a retest of this level as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward 3,910 and the Fibonacci extension target.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price stays below the Ichimoku structure and descending trendline. A buy setup only becomes safer if gold breaks above 4,064 and holds above the liquidity area.
Final View
Overall, gold remains in a bearish structure. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to retest the sell order zone, then watch for rejection. As long as 4,018–4,064 holds as resistance, the downside path toward 3,943, 3,910, and 3,810–3,825 remains in focus.
Will gold reject from the sell order zone first, or break support directly toward the Fibonacci extension target?
Short
EURJPY - A Breakthrough of Resistance to Continue the Uptrend FX:EURJPY is testing the 184.84 support level after breaking above a key resistance. The broader trend remains bullish, providing overall support for further upside
EURJPY is currently influenced by three major factors: a widening interest rate differential in favor of the euro, persistent bearish positioning on the Japanese yen as large speculators continue to increase short exposure, and growing risks of a Japanese currency intervention amid the yen's weakest levels in decades. Despite these factors, the technical structure remains favorable for further gains.
The chart is forming a classic breakout pattern, with price holding above the former resistance level
Resistance levels: 185.37, 186.32
Support levels: 184.84, 184.57
Following a pullback from 185.37, the pair is testing the 184.84 support and liquidity zone. Within the broader bullish trend, if bulls manage to defend this trigger level, it could pave the way for another leg higher
Best regards,
R. Linda Gold Weekly Outlook – Can Bulls Extend Recovery Toward 4,250?Gold ended the week on a constructive note after finding strong demand around the 3,950 support zone. The rebound gained momentum following the US Core PCE release as profit-taking in the US Dollar and end-of-week portfolio rebalancing helped precious metals recover.
Next week, traders will focus on a series of major US economic events, including ISM Manufacturing PMI, ISM Services PMI, ADP Employment, and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). These releases are likely to determine whether Gold can extend its recovery or resume the broader downtrend.
Key Technical Levels
Major Support: 3,950 – Multi-week demand zone where buyers defended the decline.
First Resistance: 4,100 – Key breakout and retest level.
Main Bullish Target: 4,250 – Descending trendline confluence with a higher-timeframe supply zone.
Market Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Case
Holding above 3,950 keeps the recovery structure intact. A sustained move above 4,100 could trigger short covering and open the way toward the 4,250 resistance area.
🔴 Bearish Case
The broader trend remains bearish while price trades below the macro descending trendline. Rejection from 4,100 may attract fresh selling pressure, exposing 3,950 once again, especially if next week's US data supports a stronger Dollar.
💬 Outlook: Will Gold continue its post-PCE recovery toward the 4,250 trendline, or will next week's PMI and NFP data trigger another bearish leg? Share your outlook below.
TradingView Mind
🚀 XAUUSD (H4) | Gold Eyes 4,250 Ahead of PMI & NFP Week
Bias: Short-term bullish recovery inside a broader bearish trend.
Key Levels
🟢 Support: 3,950
⚪ Resistance: 4,100
🎯 Bullish Target: 4,250
Institutional buying has stabilized Gold above the major demand zone, but next week's PMI and NFP releases will likely decide whether the recovery continues or fails beneath the macro trendline.
Are you buying the recovery or waiting to sell the trendline rejection? 👇 Long 
Long
GOLD - The Hunt for Liquidity Before the Crash ICMARKETS:XAUUSD remains under pressure. The key events to watch this week are the Qatar negotiations, new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the ECB Forum in Sintra, and the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Any rebound is likely to be viewed as a selling opportunity
Gold starts the week with a bearish bias after posting its fourth consecutive weekly decline and ending a two-day recovery from seven-month lows.
The market remains under pressure from a combination of factors: the Fed's hawkish shift (with nearly a 90% probability of a December rate hike and expectations for two hikes by year-end), a stronger U.S. dollar trading near yearly highs, and record outflows from gold ETFs. The U.S. Dollar Index continues to trade in a strong bullish trend, adding further pressure to gold prices.
Technically, the market is currently developing a corrective phase aimed at hunting liquidity. Key areas of interest are 4090 and 4198.
Resistance levels: 4090, 4121, 4198
Support levels: 3983, 3964, 3920
A short squeeze into the 4090–4121 zone could trigger another leg lower toward 3900–3800. However, a more aggressive countertrend rally toward the 4198 liquidity zone cannot be ruled out before the broader bearish trend resumes
Best regards,
R. Linda Short 
SOLUSDT - Countertrend correction. Waiting for a short squeezeBINANCE:SOLUSDT is developing a countertrend rally against the backdrop of a broader bearish market and a local range, while Bitcoin continues to test a key support zone
Bitcoin remains under heavy pressure from a combination of factors: the Fed's hawkish stance, record institutional outflows, the expiration of $10.6 billion in options, the fading geopolitical risk premium following the U.S.–Iran peace agreement, and capital rotation into AI-related stocks. At the moment, the market lacks meaningful fundamental support, and the medium-term outlook remains bearish
In contrast, Solana is showing relative strength despite Bitcoin's weakness, rebounding by 6–10% on the back of strong interest in tokenized equity trading and increased futures speculation ahead of a potential airdrop
Resistance levels: 74.66, 76.06, 76.63
Support levels: 68.07, 65.86, 64.66
As part of the current countertrend move, Solana is developing an aggressive corrective rally. Technically, this advance may be aimed at building liquidity. Market makers may extend the move toward the 74.66–76.63 area of interest, where a short squeeze could develop before the market resumes its decline toward 68.0–64.6
Best regards,
R. Linda Short 
Gold Is Consolidating as Markets Await Key Economic News.Market Outlook
Trend
* Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle following the previous sharp decline.
* The descending trendline remains the primary barrier, so the short-term bias stays bearish until a clear breakout is confirmed.
Resistance Levels
🔵 4,094 – 4,096 – Near-term resistance and the initial breakout zone to watch.
🔵 4,125 – 4,127 – Major resistance, aligned with a supply zone and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
* An H1 candle close above 4,094 would increase the probability of a continuation toward 4,125.
* If bearish rejection signals appear around these resistance zones, selling pressure is likely to return.
Support Levels
🟢 4,038 – 4,040 – Intermediate support, serving as a key level to confirm the breakout if it holds.
🟢 4,015 – 4,017 – Major support, where the ascending trendline converges with a strong demand zone.
* As long as price remains above 4,015, buyers still have the opportunity to push for a breakout from the triangle.
* A break below 4,015 would confirm a downside breakout and signal the return of the bearish trend.
* 3,977 is the next downside support target if the bearish breakout occurs.
⸻
Trading Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD
* Entry: 4,015 – 4,017
* Stop Loss: 4,005
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD
* Entry: 4,125 – 4,127
* Stop Loss: 4,137
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
Risk Management
* Risk no more than 1–2% of your account equity per trade.
* Wait for price confirmation before entering a position.
* Consider moving your stop loss to breakeven once the trade reaches a reasonable profit level to protect your capital. Long 
Mastering the SMC Workflow: A Professional GuideWelcome to the Advanced SMC Framework. This methodology focuses on the "footprints" of institutional market participants, allowing traders to align themselves with Smart Money rather than falling for retail traps.
1. Market Structure & Direction
Market Structure Shift (MSS): The primary signal of a trend reversal. It occurs when price breaks the previous internal swing point.
Break of Structure (BOS): Confirms trend continuation. A valid BOS signifies that the market is respecting its existing trend (Bullish or Bearish).
Change of Character (CHoCH): The very first sign of a potential trend change. It is the initial reaction against the prevailing trend.
2. Liquidity: The Market Fuel
Liquidity is the lifeblood of institutional trading. It is where retail stop-losses are clustered, providing the necessary volume for "Smart Money" to enter their positions.
Buy Side Liquidity (BSL): Equal Highs – retail traders place buy stops here.
Sell Side Liquidity (SSL): Equal Lows – retail traders place sell stops here.
Rule: Always wait for a Liquidity Sweep (Price taking out highs/lows) before entering a trade.
3. Institutional Entry Zones
Order Block (OB): The last candle before a significant move. These are high-probability zones where institutional orders remain unfilled.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): An imbalance in price action, represented by a gap between three candles.
Fresh FVG: Highly potent, as it has not been tapped yet.
Old FVG: Weakened due to prior market interactions.
Breaker & Mitigation Blocks: Former Order Blocks that have failed. A failed Buy OB becomes a potential Sell zone (Breaker Block) upon retest.
4. Precision & Optimization
Premium & Discount Pricing: Use the Fibonacci tool.
Discount Zone (<50%): The "Buy" area in an uptrend.
Premium Zone (>50%): The "Sell" area in a downtrend.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE): The golden 62%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone. Confluence of an OB, FVG, and Liquidity here creates a high-probability setup.
Liquidity Void: Rapid price movement with little to no trading volume, often filled later in the cycle.
SMT Divergence: Comparing correlated assets (e.g., BTC vs. ETH). If one asset fails to make a new high while the other does, it indicates exhaustion/reversal.
5. The Professional SMC Workflow
For a high-probability trade, look for the following confluence:
Identify HTF (Higher Timeframe) Trend.
Wait for Liquidity Sweep.
Identify MSS/CHoCH.
Check for strong Displacement (accompanied by FVG).
Refine entry via Order Block or OTE Zone.
Maintain a Risk:Reward ratio of at least 1:3.
Indicator Logic Integration
Our custom approach automates these complex tasks:
Dynamic Visuals: Clearly differentiates between Fresh and Old FVG/Order Blocks.
Auto-Detection: Automatically marks Liquidity Sweeps, BOS, and CHoCH.
Signal Filtering: Provides entry alerts only when multiple confluence factors (e.g., OTE + FVG + OB) align, filtering out "noise."
Professional Note: Trading the financial markets involves significant risk. This framework is designed to improve your probability of success by trading with the flow of institutional capital. Always manage your risk through disciplined position sizing. Education 
Gold Trend at the End of the WeekMarket Outlook
🔹 Trend: Price remains in an overall bearish trend but is currently experiencing a short-term recovery while trading above an ascending trendline. The current momentum suggests a consolidation phase before the next significant breakout.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
* 4,054 – 4,056: Near-term resistance. If price breaks above this zone and closes with confirmation, it could extend the rally toward 4,095.
* 4,145: The next major resistance level, which will be crucial in determining a medium-term bullish reversal.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
* 3,975 – 3,977: Immediate support, aligned with the ascending trendline. Holding above this zone would keep the current recovery intact.
* 3,910: The final major support, coinciding with a key Fibonacci level. A break below this area would confirm and accelerate the broader bearish trend.
🔹 Scenarios:
* Bullish: A breakout above 4,056 could drive price toward 4,095 and 4,145.
* Bearish: A break below the ascending trendline and the 3,955 support level could send price lower toward 3,910.
⸻
Trading Plan
🔴 SELL GOLD
* Entry: 4,094 – 4,096
* Stop Loss: 4,106
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
🟢 BUY GOLD
* Entry: 3,912 – 3,910
* Stop Loss: 3,900
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
Risk Management
* Risk no more than 1–2% of your account equity per trade.
* Wait for confirmation signals before entering a position.
* Consider moving your stop loss to breakeven once the trade reaches a reasonable profit level to protect your capital. Long 
XAUUSD – Gold Is Recovering, But Fibonacci Resistance Is TheXAUUSD – Gold Is Recovering, But Fibonacci Resistance Is The Next Test
Gold is recovering, but the market is not fully bullish yet.
After a strong drop earlier this week, price found support near the lower channel and started a short-term recovery. Gold is now around 4,088, testing its first key resistance.
The recovery is improving, but the main test lies at the Fibonacci resistance zones where sellers may react.
WEEKLY TREND SUMMARY
Gold started the week with strong bearish pressure, breaking multiple supports and moving inside a descending channel. Midweek, sellers dominated below the SMA 200.
Near the channel bottom, buyers stepped in and pushed price into a recovery phase. By the end of the week, gold shifted from bearish continuation to a short-term correction, but the overall trend still needs confirmation.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains sensitive to USD, yields, and rate expectations. The current bounce is likely driven by profit-taking and technical buying.
For now, price action is key. A break above Fibonacci resistance is needed for stronger upside.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
Gold reacted from the lower channel and is forming a short-term bullish correction. Buyers are defending the 4,020 – 4,045 zone.
As long as price holds above this area, upside continuation is possible.
Key resistance sits at 4,110 – 4,130. A breakout here could push price toward 4,160 – 4,175. However, both zones may trigger selling since price is still below SMA 200.
KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH
Current price: 4,088
Buy zone: 4,020 – 4,045
Support: 4,045
Resistance 1: 4,110 – 4,130
Resistance 2: 4,160 – 4,175
SMA 200: ~4,381
Lower support: 3,960 – 3,980
Bearish continuation: Below 3,960
Invalidation: Below 4,020
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario
Buy Zone: 4,020 – 4,045
Entry: Bullish reaction or CHoCH
SL: Below 4,020
TP1: 4,110 – 4,130
TP2: 4,160 – 4,175
Breakout Buy
Condition: Break and hold above 4,130
Target: 4,160 – 4,175
Sell Scenario
Sell Zone: 4,110 – 4,130 or 4,160 – 4,175
Entry: Bearish rejection or CHoCH
TP1: 4,045
TP2: 4,020
TP3: 3,960 – 3,980
Invalidation: Above 4,175
MY VIEW ON GOLD
Gold is in a short-term recovery within a broader bearish trend.
Buyers are building a base, but the key level is 4,110 – 4,130. A breakout could extend gains, while rejection may bring sellers back.
Gold is recovering, but Fibonacci resistance will decide the next move.
Will gold break above 4,130 or face rejection again?
Long 
XAU- Medium-Term Bearish Structure Still Targets Lower LiquidityMASON XAUUSD – Medium-Term Bearish Structure Still Targets Lower Liquidity
XAUUSD is trading around 4,088 after recovering from the recent support area. Although gold is showing a short-term rebound, the medium-term structure remains bearish.
The main trend is still down, and any recovery toward resistance should be treated as a corrective wave unless price breaks back above the major supply structure.
Technical View
Gold is still moving inside a broad bearish structure. The chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows from the previous top area, which means sellers are still controlling the medium-term direction.
The latest rebound from the 3,960 support zone is only a technical reaction for now. Price has not broken the main bearish structure, and the recovery is moving back into a previous supply area.
The zone around 4,080–4,130 is important because it sits near the marked DOW secondary wave area. If price fails here and forms bearish rejection, this zone may become the next lower high before another downside continuation.
The 3,960 level is the nearest key support. If gold breaks below this area again, the next downside target is the weekly target around 3,752. A deeper bearish continuation can open the way toward the major target near 3,362.
Fibonacci also supports the bearish roadmap. The 2.618 extension area near 3,752 is marked as the weekly target, while the 3.618 extension near 3,362 is the deeper medium-term target.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,088
Short-term resistance: 4,080–4,130
DOW secondary wave zone: 4,100–4,130
Key support: 3,960
Weekly bearish target: 3,752
Major medium-term target: 3,362
Invalidation for bearish continuation: above 4,350
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,080–4,130
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed breakout, or lower high formation around the resistance zone.
SL: above 4,350
TP1: 3,960
TP2: 3,752
TP3: 3,362
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,130 and holds, price may continue a deeper corrective rebound toward 4,300–4,350. However, this would still be a correction unless the market breaks the full bearish structure.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority in the medium-term view. A short-term buy reaction may appear above 3,960, but it should be managed as a corrective move, not a confirmed trend reversal.
Final View
Overall, gold remains in a medium-term bearish structure. The current rebound can continue slightly higher, but the cleaner view is to watch for rejection around 4,080–4,130. If 3,960 fails, the next downside focus will be 3,752, followed by the deeper target around 3,362.
Will gold reject from the secondary wave zone, or extend the correction before the next bearish move?
Short 
GOLD - Countertrend correction to the liquidity zoneFX:XAUUSD appears to be forming a local bottom and may enter a countertrend correction to build liquidity. However, the broader outlook remains negative, driven by a weak fundamental backdrop, a strong U.S. dollar, and the prevailing bearish trend
Gold remains vulnerable. The technical picture, combined with uncertainty surrounding the security of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, continues to weigh on prices. In addition, doubts over the durability of the U.S.–Iran peace agreement are keeping buyers on the sidelines.
Technically, the market has printed a new low at 3960, confirming the broader bearish structure that aligns with the global market trend. A corrective move toward 4090–4121 is expected before the downtrend potentially resumes
Resistance levels: 4090, 4121, 4198
Support levels: 3983, 3964, 3915
As part of the countertrend correction, gold may test the 4090–4121 liquidity pool. A short squeeze in this area could trigger another decline toward 3983–3964. However, a deeper correction toward the key liquidity zone at 4198–4200 cannot be ruled out, where another bearish reversal may develop
Best regards,
R. Linda Short 
XAUUSD — EMA Downtrend, Waiting for a Value Pullback
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under bearish pressure as price continues to trade below the main EMA structure. Traders are still watching USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data.
For now, any short-term recovery should be treated as a technical pullback unless price can reclaim the EMA resistance zone with strong confirmation.
Technical Analysis
On the 2H chart, XAUUSD is still trading below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. This confirms that the main trend remains bearish, with the EMA structure acting as dynamic resistance above price.
Price is currently around 4,003 after rejecting from the previous recovery area. The chart shows that gold may create a small corrective bounce toward the EMA value zone before continuing lower.
The first sell reaction area is around 4,045 - 4,060. A deeper pullback may reach the stronger sell swing zone around 4,078 - 4,088. If price rejects from these areas, sellers may continue to control the structure.
The main downside target is the psychological liquidity zone around 3,936 - 3,935.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,003
EMA value zone: 4,045 - 4,060
Sell scalping zone: 4,059 - 4,078
Sell swing zone: 4,078 - 4,088
EMA resistance area: 4,044 - 4,126
Invalidation area: above 4,116 - 4,126
Main downside target: 3,936 - 3,935
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,059 - 4,088
Stop Loss: 4,126
Take Profit 1: 4,003
Take Profit 2: 3,960
Take Profit 3: 3,936 - 3,935
Sell Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to correct higher into the 4,059 - 4,088 value zone. This area aligns with the EMA reaction zone, Fibonacci structure, and previous sell pressure.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from this zone, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high below the EMA structure.
If price rejects from the sell zone and breaks back below 4,003, the bearish continuation view becomes stronger. The next downside focus would be 3,960, followed by the psychological liquidity target around 3,936 - 3,935.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to pull back into 4,059 - 4,088.
Look for bearish rejection before entering sell.
Do not sell aggressively at the low without a pullback.
A break below 4,003 confirms stronger downside pressure.
If price breaks and holds above 4,126, the sell setup is invalid.
Overall, the main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. Gold may create a light corrective bounce first, but the preferred plan is to wait for a reaction from the EMA value zone before looking for continuation toward 3,936 - 3,935.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for a cleaner pullback into the EMA value zone first?
Short 
XAUUSD: Main Trend Still BearishXAUUSD: Main Trend Still Bearish, Waiting for Confirmation Around 4,008
Market Context
Gold remains under strong bearish pressure after continuing to trade inside a clear downward structure. The latest price action shows that sellers are still controlling the market, while buyers are only trying to build a corrective rebound from the lower liquidity area.
At the moment, the key question is not whether gold has reversed, but whether price can hold above the 4,008 trendline area long enough to create a valid recovery. Without confirmation, any bounce should still be treated as corrective.
Technical Structure
Gold is currently trading around 3,989 after reacting from the strong liquidity zone near 3,964. The main trend remains deeply bearish, supported by the descending trendline and multiple BOS signals on the chart.
The 3,964 area is the major downside level to watch. If price breaks below this zone with strength, bearish continuation may open toward lower liquidity levels.
However, if gold holds above the 4,008 trendline area and forms bullish confirmation, a corrective rebound can happen first. The nearest upside reaction zone is 4,036, followed by the next target around 4,083.
The key sell area above remains the OB zone around 4,180 - 4,200. If price recovers into this zone and rejects, sellers may return again for the next bearish leg.
Key Levels
Current Price: 3,989
Strong Liquidity Support: 3,964
Trendline Confirmation Area: 4,008
Buy-side Liquidity / Sell Order Zone: 4,036
Corrective Rebound Target: 4,083
Major Sell Swing OB Zone: 4,180 - 4,200
Bearish Continuation Level: Below 3,964
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario: Corrective Rebound
Entry: Above 4,008 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 3,964
Take Profit 1: 4,036
Take Profit 2: 4,083
Take Profit 3: 4,120
Conditions:
Price must hold above the 4,008 trendline area
Bullish rejection or CHOCH appears on lower timeframe
Price reclaims 4,018 with strength
Buyers defend the 3,964 liquidity zone
Avoid buying if price breaks below 3,964
Sell Scenario: Trend Continuation
Entry: Below 3,964 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,008
Take Profit 1: 3,940
Take Profit 2: 3,920
Take Profit 3: 3,900
Conditions:
Price breaks below the 3,964 strong liquidity zone
Retest of the broken level fails
Bearish momentum continues after breakdown
Price remains below the descending trendline
Sellers continue to create lower highs
Alternative Sell Scenario: Sell From OB Zone
Entry: 4,180 - 4,200 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,220
Take Profit 1: 4,083
Take Profit 2: 4,036
Take Profit 3: 3,964
Conditions:
Price recovers into the OB sell zone
Strong bearish rejection appears
Price fails to hold above the OB zone
Market structure remains bearish
Overall Bias
The main trend is still bearish. Gold is only attempting a corrective rebound from the lower liquidity area, but the recovery needs confirmation above the 4,008 trendline.
If price holds above 4,008, a short-term rebound toward 4,036 and 4,083 may appear. If price breaks below 3,964, bearish continuation becomes the priority again.
For now, the best approach is to wait for confirmation around 4,008 and 3,964 instead of chasing price in the middle.
What do you think — will gold hold above 4,008 for a corrective rebound, or break below 3,964 and continue the main bearish trend?
Long 
XAUUSD-GOLD | (1D) | Swing Analysis | Prof.TraderTilkiGuys, greetings,
I analyzed XAUUSD-Gold on the daily timeframe.
I detected a harmonic pattern here. These patterns sometimes work, sometimes don’t. Right now, we are at a critical point. If on the daily timeframe price falls below 4159 – 4103 and closes a candle there, the pattern will be invalidated. A wick does not cancel it — only a candle close matters, keep that in mind.
If it’s not invalidated, the pattern targets are:
1st target: 4510
2nd target: 4578
Currently, gold is at 4336.
Remember, fundamental factors are very important, especially geopolitical risks which strongly affect gold. Technical analysis is not as important as fundamentals. Whales and market movers focus mainly on fundamental data.
If 4100 breaks, the decline could extend toward 3990.
Guys, I continue these analyses thanks to your likes. Thanks to all my friends who support with likes. Gold Is Gradually Losing Its Dominance.XAUUSD – M15 Timeframe
🔹 Trend: Price continues to maintain a short-term bearish structure, consistently forming lower highs and remaining compressed beneath the descending trendline.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
* 4,019 – 4,020: Near-term resistance and a key level that will likely determine the short-term direction.
* 4,053 – 4,055: Strong resistance zone. A breakout and confirmed candle close above this area would signal a potential bullish reversal.
* 4,098 – 4,100: The next upside target if the breakout is successful.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
* 3,963 – 3,965: Short-term support and the current consolidation low.
* 3,928 – 3,930: Strong Daily timeframe support, serving as the next downside target if price breaks below 3,965.
🔹 Trendline: The descending trendline continues to exert pressure on price. A breakout accompanied by strong momentum and a confirmed candle close could trigger a recovery move toward 4,053–4,098. Conversely, a break below 3,965 would reinforce the bearish trend, targeting 3,930.
⸻
Trading Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD
* Entry: 3,930 – 3,928
* Stop Loss: 3,918
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD
* Entry: 4,053 – 4,055
* Stop Loss: 4,065
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
Risk Management
* Risk no more than 1–2% of account equity per trade.
* Wait for confirmation signals before entering a position.
* Consider moving the stop loss to breakeven once the trade reaches a reasonable profit level to protect capital. Short 
XAUUSD — Bearish Structure Holds, Sell Bias Below 4018
Gold is trading around $3,982 after forming a light accumulation phase near the lower range. Price has slowed down after the recent sell-off, but the main structure is still bearish as long as gold remains below the descending trendline and below the $4,018 invalidation area.
From an SMC perspective, gold has already created multiple MSS confirmations to the downside. The current sideways movement looks more like liquidity accumulation than a clear bullish reversal. This means sellers may still defend the $4,000–$4,018 area if price retests it and fails to break structure.
The key level for today is $4,018. As long as price stays below this level, the sell bias remains valid. A clean break above $4,018 and especially above the descending trendline would be the first signal that gold may shift into a short-term bullish reversal structure.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold retests the liquidity accumulation zone around $4,000–$4,018 and shows bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,000–$4,018
SL: above $4,035
TP1: $3,950
TP2: $3,925
TP3: $3,886
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks below $3,950 and retests this area as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid.
Entry: below $3,950 after retest
SL: above $3,985
TP1: $3,925
TP2: $3,900
TP3: $3,886
Buy setup
Condition:
Buying is not the priority. A buy setup is only valid if gold breaks above $4,018, closes above the descending trendline, and confirms bullish MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: above $4,018 after breakout retest
SL: below $3,980
TP1: $4,050
TP2: $4,085
TP3: $4,120
Key levels
Current price area: $3,982
Liquidity accumulation zone: $3,960–$4,018
Main sell reaction area: $4,000–$4,018
Sell-side liquidity H4: $3,925–$3,935
Key support zone: $3,886
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $3,950
Bullish reversal confirmation: clean break above $4,018 and above the trendline
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,018
My current view is that gold is still in a bearish structure while price trades below $4,018. The current accumulation may create short-term noise, but unless price breaks the trendline and confirms a bullish shift, the priority remains selling from resistance toward the lower liquidity zones.
No confirmation, no trade.
Short 
BITCOIN - Consolidation (correction) before the fallBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P remains under pressure. There is no meaningful fundamental support for the market, while the broader bearish trend continues to define the medium-term direction. There are still no clear signs of a market bottom forming
Globally, Bitcoin continues to maintain a bearish trend. Within this trend, the market remains in a consolidation phase with no indications of a reversal. Technically, the downtrend may continue in the medium term.
Fundamentally, the outlook remains weak. Cryptocurrency inflows to exchanges continue, while spot ETF outflows persist. Any attempts to rally are increasingly viewed as potential traps before another leg lower. A retest of 59800 followed by a close below this level would be a strong signal that the market is preparing to move toward 50K
Resistance levels: 63220, 63750
Support levels: 62230, 60750, 59800
Following the distribution phase and the long squeeze below the 62232 support level, a countertrend correction is developing, aimed at hunting liquidity. As part of this correction, Bitcoin may test the 63220–63750 area before resuming its decline. A short squeeze in this zone could trigger a further move lower toward 60800–59800
Best regards,
R. Linda 
Short
NOTUSDT — Active Bearish Sequence With Liquidity ClearedOKX:NOTUSDT is showing a clean bearish continuation structure on the 30M.
The sequence is still active. B has not been invalidated, and the C target remains unreached. That matters because as long as B holds, the downside objective is still alive.
What makes this setup interesting is not just the bearish sequence itself. It is the liquidity behavior around the trendline.
Price pushed into the BC area, violated the trendline, and created a trap on both sides.
Early sellers were liquidated on the move up.
Then buyers who chased the breakout/reclaim got liquidated when price failed and rotated back down.
After that, we got a breaker block forming near the reaction zone. That gives the structure a clearer invalidation area and keeps the bearish target open.
For me, this is the important part:
The market already collected liquidity.
The sequence is still valid.
The target has not been reached.
Invalidation is clean above B.
Room to C remains.
I am not interested in random shorts. I am interested in moments where price gives structure, liquidity, failure, and a clean objective.
This is one of those moments where the chart is saying:
buyers tried, sellers absorbed, and the downside target is still unfinished.
SmellyTaz — decoding chaos. 
Short
Short 
