S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 18, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's abbreviated trading session, the S&P 500 Index experienced a substantial decline, followed by a robust rebound, mirroring the performance observed in the preceding week. This movement has established a significant Mean Support level marked at 7,418.
Current market analysis indicates that the Index is in a rebound phase as part of an In-Force movement to retest the primary target, the Mean Resistance level at 7,553, alongside the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 7,610.
However, there exists a considerable probability of a reversal in the immediate advancement, which could trigger a retest of the critical Mean Support at 7,418. Should this scenario materialize, further decline may occur, potentially leading to a subsequent Mean Support level at 7,265, and ultimately reaching the Outer Index Dip at 7,160.
Investing
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 19, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has shown steady-to-lower price action by completing Inner Currency Dip 1.142.
The present market analysis indicates that the Euro is anticipated to sustain a robust In-Force rebound, with a potential retest of the Mean Resistance at 1.148, with the possibility of extending this upward movement towards the Mean Resistances at 1.152 and 1.161, respectively.
Conversely, market participants are advised to recognize that a retest of the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.142 is conceivable. Such a retest could trigger a significant price plunge via the Mean Support 1.141 towards the Outer Currency Dip marked at 1.120.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 19, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, Bitcoin has successfully completed the Interim Inner Coin Rally at 67,200, then rapidly retreated to establish a Mean Support level at 62,200.
The present market analysis suggests that Bitcoin is poised to approach the Mean Resistance level of 64,800. Additionally, there is potential for further advancement toward the upper targets, specifically the secondary Mean Resistance at 66,300 and a possible retest of the recently completed Interim Inner Coin Rally marked at 67,200.
Conversely, there remains a possibility that the cryptocurrency could continue to experience an In-Force drawdown, potentially retesting the Mean Support at 62,200. There is also the potential for a coin to decline and confront the completed Outer Coin Dip at 60,000, along with additional targets outlined in the accompanying chart.
$CME and $COIN — The Kalshi Lawsuit and What It MeansCME Group sued the CFTC on Thursday over its May 29 approval of perpetual futures for Kalshi and Coinbase. Both NASDAQ:CME and NASDAQ:COIN shares moved on the news. Kalshi itself crossed $2 billion in annualized revenue this week and has opened informal IPO discussions, though it remains private with no tradeable ticker.
The setup on NASDAQ:CME
Shares fell on the lawsuit news, a reaction worth reading carefully. A company suing a regulator over a competitor's product approval, rather than competing directly on product, often signals the market perceives genuine competitive pressure rather than confident rights assertion. Watch how price behaves relative to the pre-news level over the coming sessions. A failure to reclaim that level on a closing basis within the week suggests the market is pricing meaningful litigation and competitive risk into the name, not just a one-day reaction.
The setup on NASDAQ:COIN
Coinbase sits at the intersection of two growth narratives simultaneously, the broader crypto adoption cycle and its direct involvement in this specific regulatory dispute as a named beneficiary of the same CFTC ruling under challenge. The stock's reaction to lawsuit developments over the coming weeks will be a cleaner read on regulatory risk pricing than broader crypto sentiment alone.
What to watch
This is a litigation-driven setup, not a technical breakout. The catalyst calendar matters more than the chart pattern here. Watch for the CFTC's formal response, any preliminary injunction request from CME, and developments in the broader regulatory environment including the state-level lawsuits already in progress against Kalshi and Polymarket. Any of these could move both names meaningfully regardless of where price sits technically.
Size accordingly. Litigation timelines are unpredictable and the eventual outcome carries genuine binary characteristics for the affected product lines.
Not financial advice. All commentary is for analytical purposes only.
Can AST SpaceMobile Deploy Fast Enough to Win?AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) cleared a real hurdle on June 17, when a SpaceX Falcon 9 launched its BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 satellites from Cape Canaveral. These are Block 2 craft, the largest commercial communications arrays ever deployed in low Earth orbit at roughly 2,400 square feet each, capable of up to 120 Mbps directly to standard, unmodified smartphones. The launch lifts the constellation to nine operational satellites. That is a genuine milestone, but it should be read against the scale the business actually requires.
The moat is real and increasingly well-supported. AST's differentiator is connecting ordinary phones with no special hardware, and the regulatory and commercial pieces are falling into place. The FCC has authorized commercial SpaceMobile service in the US, the company touts the industry's largest carrier ecosystem with partners including AT&T and Verizon, and it reports over $1.2 billion in contracted revenue commitments. For a company still selling a future network, that is meaningful validation that demand and spectrum access are not the binding constraints.
Execution and capital are. Nine satellites is a long way from the roughly 45 AST needs in orbit by year-end to deliver continuous service, and the path runs straight through its launch providers. April made that risk concrete, when Blue Origin's New Glenn failure destroyed BlueBird 7 and forced the pivot to SpaceX. The financials underline the gap, with first-quarter revenue near $14.7 million against expectations of about $39 million and a net loss of roughly $191 million. And Starlink, backed by SpaceX's own launch capacity, is racing into the same direct-to-cell market.
The honest read is that ASTS is a credible technology leader priced as a venture-stage bet. The stock near $87 sits well below its $134 May high, with a Hold consensus and an average target around $85 implying little near-term upside. The single most important variable is launch cadence. Reaching roughly 45 satellites by year-end would convert the thesis from promise to product, while another failed or delayed launch would reset it. This is an asymmetric, high-conviction position for investors who can tolerate dilution and binary launch risk, not a steady compounder.
VCSH — 200-Week EMA Test. 3R Setup With 4.52% Yield.NASDAQ:VCSH is sitting at $79.00, testing the 200-week EMA for the third time since the fund reclaimed it in 2024. The prior two tests marked by the yellow circles on the chart both produced significant bounces. The DeMarker on the weekly is at the exhaustion level marked by the white arrow.
The setup reads cleanly.
The Fibonacci levels from the chart
The retracement is drawn from the swing low at $76.29 to the swing high at $79.54. Current price at $79.00 sits just below the 0 level at $79.54 and above the 0.236 at $78.77.
The entry zone is the current 200-week EMA confluence at $78.17 to $79.00. The 0.236 at $78.77 and 0.382 at $78.30 provide additional support layers below current price.
The target is the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at $81.54. From the current entry at $79.00 that is a $2.54 move to the upside.
The stop is a weekly close below $76.29, the full 1.0 retracement level. Risk from entry is $2.71.
Risk-reward is approximately 1:1 on price alone. When the 4.52% annual yield paid monthly is included across the holding period, the total return on the trade at target is meaningfully above 3R.
The 50-week EMA confirmation
The 50-week EMA remains above the 200-week EMA on both charts. That is the single most important technical condition for the long-term accumulation strategy. It confirms the overall trend structure is intact despite the near-term pullback. The chart note states: once we got back above the 200-week EMA in 2024 it held. That structural condition is unchanged.
No leverage on this setup.
This is a long-term capital allocation trade in an income-generating instrument. Leverage defeats the entire purpose.
Not financial advice. All levels are for analytical purposes only.
RSKD: When fraudsters work overtime and Riskified profits from iWhile most investors debate artificial intelligence, Riskified( NYSE:RSKD ) is already using it where mistakes cost real money. The company helps the world's largest online retailers distinguish genuine buyers from fraudsters, analyzing billions of dollars in transactions in real time. The bigger e-commerce gets, the more expensive every mistake becomes.
Fundamentals
The latest quarter showed the business continues to gain momentum. Revenue grew 7 percent year over year to 88.3 million dollars, while gross merchandise volume (GMV) reached 37.2 billion dollars, up 9 percent. Billings growth outpaced revenue growth, typically indicating sustained positive momentum in coming quarters.
Profitability looks particularly compelling. Non-GAAP gross profit rose to 46.3 million dollars with a margin of 52.5 percent. Adjusted EBITDA surged 370 percent to 6.2 million dollars, while earnings per share came in at 0.05 dollars, beating market expectations. The balance sheet holds 276.3 million dollars in cash and investments with virtually no debt. Free cash flow for the quarter was 9 million dollars.
Management is so confident in the business outlook that it continues aggressive share buybacks. In the first quarter alone, 6.2 million shares were repurchased for 27.5 million dollars at an average price of 4.44 dollars. In June, the board additionally approved 75 million dollars for the buyback program. When a company actively buys its own shares, it usually signals that leadership considers the current valuation attractive.
Riskified continues to expand its product ecosystem. In the first quarter, it launched ARIA, an AI-powered risk intelligence analyst that enables clients to get plain-language explanations of suspicious transactions without diving into complex analytics. The company also strengthened its integration with Shopify through Dispute Resolve and expanded collaboration with travel giant Amadeus via the Outpayce platform.
The quality of the customer base deserves special attention. The number of merchants using more than one Riskified product grew 50 percent year over year, and their contribution now exceeds 30 percent of total revenue. This is an important metric, as expanding existing customers is typically significantly cheaper than acquiring new ones.
Technicals
On the weekly chart, price broke out of a descending wedge that had been containing quotes and successfully completed a retest of the breakout zone. The stock is now holding above key moving averages, confirming a shift in the medium-term market structure. Yesterday's close, June 15, was 4.95 dollars. Rising volume after the breakout shows institutional participation, while trend indicators remain bullish. As long as price stays above the retest zone, the primary scenario remains continuation toward the 7.50 dollar area, which is the next major target for buyers.
The market still values Riskified as a small fintech company, but the numbers are starting to tell a different story. The company is already generating profit, building cash flow, actively buying back shares, and expanding its presence in the fast-growing AI payments protection segment. Sometimes the most interesting stories begin not when everyone is talking about them, but when most haven't yet noticed that the business has already started operating more efficiently.
And if fraudsters aren't planning to leave the internet, Riskified's workload will only grow.
RSI 1W - gambling or smart retest?Rush Street Interactive (RSI) just confirmed a breakout above the 15–16 zone with a textbook retest - a classic bullish setup. The weekly chart shows a clean “cup and handle” structure backed by rising volume. Current pullback is forming right inside the buy zone, suggesting potential continuation.
Fibonacci extensions highlight 30.7 and 43.9 as key upside targets. As long as price holds above 15.5–16.0, the bullish bias stays intact. A breakout above 18.0 would confirm the next leg higher.
Fundamentally , RSI benefits from ongoing online gambling legalization across the US and improving profitability in core states, which could attract institutional inflows.
In the gambling world, luck rarely repeats - but this chart looks like the house might finally lose.
$MSFT — 200-Week EMA Test. What The Chart Says.Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT is sitting at $390.74, touching the 200-week EMA for the first time since the 2022 low at $222. That prior test produced a 102% return before the next consolidation. The current setup is worth mapping clearly.
The chart structure
The 200-week EMA is now acting as dynamic support at the $385 to $395 zone. The 50-week EMA remains above the 200-week EMA confirming the long-term uptrend is technically intact despite the 17% pullback from highs. The DeMarker on the weekly is approaching the exhaustion zone that has historically marked major swing lows across large-cap technology names.
The two measured move targets on the chart
The first box on the chart shows the prior 2022 to 2024 move of 102%, measured from the 200-week EMA entry at $222 to the $449 breakout level. The second box projects an equivalent move from the current 200-week EMA test at $390, producing a measured target of $779.74, labelled on the chart as the 100.52% move target.
Target 1 at $490 to $500 is the return to the prior EMA cluster and consolidation zone. Target 2 at $779.74 is the full measured move extension.
Risk level
A weekly close and hold below $340 would place price below the 200-week EMA on a sustained basis, invalidating the long-term accumulation thesis. That is the stop level for any long-term position entered in the current zone.
Context
The PE ratio at 23.26 is 25% below the 10-year historical average of 31. Azure grew 40% in the most recent quarter. EPS of $16.80 represents 30% year-on-year growth. The business fundamentals support the technical signal rather than contradicting it.
Let price confirm the hold above the 200-week EMA before adding aggressively. A weekly close above $420 with the EMA cluster turning supportive would be the structural confirmation signal.
Not financial advice. All levels are for analytical purposes only.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 12, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, the S&P 500 Index experienced a substantial decline followed by a robust rebound, establishing a significant Mean Support level at 7,265.
At present, the Index is rebounding, with the primary target identified as the Inner Index Rally level at 7,520, while the current Mean Resistance is at 7,456.
Projections for the forthcoming trading sessions suggest that, upon reaching the Inner Index Rally level of 7,520, an In-Force pullback may occur towards the Mean Resistance at 7,456, which serves as an inverse support level.
Furthermore, there is a considerable likelihood of continued downward movement, leading to a retest of the critical Mean Support at 7,265, with the potential for a further decline extending to the ultimate Outer Index Dip at 7,160.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 12, 2026 Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has displayed a steady-to-higher movement from the vital Mean Support level of 1.151.
Market participants are advised to recognize that this dead-cat-rebound price action is part of an ongoing downtrend, characterized by the Inner Currency Dip at 1.146, via Mean Support at 1.151, and a great possibility of extending this move toward the subsequent Inner Currency Dip at 1.140.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 12, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has experienced steady fluctuations this week, oscillating between the completed Outer Coin Dip at $60,000 and the Mean Resistance at $64,200.
Current market analysis suggests that Bitcoin is poised to break out of this range to the upside, targeting the Interim Inner Coin Rally at $66,300.
Market participants should note that once the price reaches the Interim Inner Coin Rally of $66,300, it will likely trigger an in-force pullback towards the Mean Resistance at $64,200, which serves as an inverse support level. Additionally, the price may drop to retest the completed Outer Coin Dip at $60,000.
ONDS 1D: Drones at the structural runwayOn the daily chart Ondas continues to develop within a rising channel after a deep but technically healthy pullback. Price is holding the higher timeframe trendline that has supported the move since the initial impulse and is now returning to the 7.85–8.00 area, where prior accumulation was visible.
This zone aligns with multiple technical factors. The 0.702 Fibonacci retracement sits at 7.98. The rising trendline support intersects the same region, along with a previously formed order block. Price is not breaking through impulsively but testing the level with deceleration. ADX remains subdued, signaling compression rather than directional pressure. Volume between 7.80 and 8.20 reflects accumulation rather than aggressive distribution.
Structurally , higher lows remain intact within the expanding rising channel. The pullback into trendline support reads as a technical retest rather than a structural breakdown. As long as the 7.85–8.00 zone holds, the base scenario allows for a move toward 14.00 as the first liquidity reaction area. Above that, 17.72 represents the upper boundary of the channel and the prior extreme. These are not forecasts, but logical structural reaction zones.
Fundamentally , the company remains in a growth phase. Q3 2025 revenue reached 10.10M USD versus 7.03M USD estimated. Q4 2025 revenue is projected at 27.49M USD. Q3 2025 EPS came in at -0.03 USD, with Q4 estimated at -0.04 USD. Operating and free cash flow remain negative on a TTM basis, reflecting ongoing expansion and investment. Q3 financing cash flow of 394.23M USD indicates active capital raising to scale operations.
As long as price respects trendline support and the 7.85–8.00 zone, the structure suggests base formation within a rising channel rather than a breakdown.
Sometimes the runway matters more than the takeoff.
SOLUSD KEY AREASolana is entering a danger zone after double-topping while also forming a head-and-shoulders structure.
That combination matters.
The chart has already cracked once. That’s your warning shot.
If you’re not in SOL yet and you’re bullish:
This is the only area where a long makes sense—with a clearly defined stop. No stop, no trade.
If you’re bearish and looking to short:
Don’t front-run it. Wait for the next crack and trade against this level once it fails.
If you already own SOL and are inhaling hopium:
You do not want to see this level break. If it does, downside can accelerate fast.
Lastly, why are Cryptos down -50% and the $ down -10% +?
This is where discipline matters.
Don’t FAFO.
If you enjoy the work: 👉 Drop a solid comment. Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
US500 - where the opportunities sit/ BULLISH SCENARIOAfter a NFP drop, which caused the volatility spike on the markets last Friday, price is reaching interesting zones which have noticeable confluences.
First potential reaction zone is quite close to where the price on weekly candle closed -7355 zone. This zone contains last 2 week's bottom avg range levels along with volume which caused the May's last bull move. Most likely a lot of new orders and some unfilled ones will sit at these levels and defend the area.
Second opportunity lies at the very bottom of average monthly range in great confluence with 5% drop off the all time highs. This area has even more potential since it offers much better discounted price and will likely create more new market volume. It may take some time to develop, but based on implied volatility a daily 100+ point move down would do the trick and close the gap rougly by 90% which is ideally close. Expecting some movement as well next week, but this is the area that might wait if the initial reaction is buying at the beginning of the next week.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 5, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Index in this week's trading session has puked as a result of the completion of the very significant target Outer Index Rally 7,610.
At present, the market is undergoing an In-Force retracement, with the primary support level identified at 7,340. There is an elevated risk of a further downturn, specifically targeting the support level at 7,205.
Projections for the forthcoming trading sessions suggest that, upon reaching the Mean Support level of 7,340, an In-Force Rebound is anticipated, which is expected to propel the S&P 500 Index to the Mean Resistance level of 7,440.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 5, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar experienced a considerable decline, consistent with the ongoing downtrend.
Market participants should be aware that this current movement is piloting the Euro toward the Inner Currency Dip at 1.140 via Mean Support 1.151. Upon reaching this target, a dead-cat rebound is anticipated, allowing the currency to come to the inverse resistance level identified as Mean Support at 1.151.
Nevertheless, traders and investors should recognize that this interim bounce will be a transient upswing, preceding a retest of the Inner Currency Dip at 1.140, with the possibility of extending into an additional Inner Currency Dip at 1.140.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 5, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's trading session has seen Bitcoin plummet to the lows of the completed Outer Coin Dip on 6 February 2026, in the 60,000s. Current market analysis indicates that Bitcoin is in the process of recovering as a dead-cat bounce, pushing toward the Mean Resistance at 63,800.
However, the current dominant downtrend indicates that the price will continue to decline, ultimately reaching Inner Coin Dip 57,000, with the ultimate outcome marked by the next Outer Coin Dip at 45,000.
Market participants should be aware that once the Mean Resistance 63,800 is played, the following recource to retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 60,000 will be triggered.
Can Trading Make You the Richest Person in the World?Hello Traders!
Every trader has imagined it at least once.
"What if I become one of the richest people in the world through trading?"
It's a fascinating thought. After all, we hear stories about legendary traders making millions and even billions from the markets. But this question deserves an honest answer. Trading can absolutely create extraordinary wealth, but not in the way most people imagine. The biggest challenge isn't making money once. It's consistently growing capital over decades while managing risk, emotions, and market uncertainty.
Can Trading Make You Rich?
The simple answer is yes.
Many successful traders have built incredible wealth from the markets.
Trading offers unlimited upside because there is no fixed salary or income ceiling
Compounding can become extremely powerful when profits are consistently reinvested over time
Financial markets provide opportunities every year , allowing skilled traders to keep growing capital
The opportunity is real, But so is the difficulty.
Why Becoming the Richest Person is Different
Making money and becoming the richest person on Earth are two very different goals.
Most of the world's richest individuals built businesses that could scale globally and generate wealth beyond their personal effort
Trading capital grows, but businesses can create value through employees, products, technology, and networks
Even legendary traders often used investing, funds, or business ventures to expand their wealth beyond trading alone
Trading can make you wealthy. But building an empire usually requires more than trading.
What Most Traders Get Wrong
Many people focus only on the potential rewards, but Very few think about the journey.
They underestimate how much discipline and patience are required to survive long enough to compound wealth
They focus on getting rich quickly instead of getting better consistently
They chase huge returns while ignoring risk management and capital preservation
The dream is exciting. The process is demanding.
The Real Power of Trading
Trading offers something that very few professions can provide and that is Freedom.
The ability to grow capital independently
The flexibility to trade from almost anywhere in the world
The opportunity to create wealth without needing a large organization or business structure
For many traders, that freedom is more valuable than becoming the richest person alive.
Rahul's Tip
Don't just ask:
"Can trading make me the richest person in the world?"
Ask:
"Can trading make me financially free?"
Because that goal is much closer, much more realistic, and still life changing.
If this helped, drop a like or share your thoughts in the comments.
More real, experience-based insights coming.
— @TraderRahulPal
SCA Registered Financial Influencer (Dubai, UAE)
ETH: A Disappointing CycleCRYPTOCAP:ETH has arguably been one of the most disappointing assets this cycle, showing persistent weakness in its price action. While the current structure remains underwhelming, there is potential for a different narrative in the next cycle.
For spot accumulation, I am targeting two key levels: the $1.5k zone, which aligns with the 2018 ATH and acts as significant historical support and, in a worst-case scenario, the $1k level. These are purely for long-term spot positioning. Looking ahead, I expect ETH to retest the $5k area in the next bull market.
Making Money in DeFi: Concentrated Liquidity⚠️ Important Disclaimer
DeFi and the strategies described in this research are considered high-risk investment instruments. Any activity involving cryptocurrencies, liquidity provision, leverage, and smart contracts can result in both profits and partial or complete loss of capital.
When evaluating such methods, it is important to remember that past performance does not guarantee future returns. Before implementing any strategy, you should independently assess the associated risks, understand how the underlying protocols operate, and make investment decisions solely at your own discretion and responsibility.
What we will study
What is DeFi
What is DEX
What is Liquid Staking
Earning from concentrated liquidity
Decentralized Finance (DeFi)
DeFi (Decentralized Finance) is a sector of the cryptocurrency market that combines services related to financial operations.
DeFi includes decentralized exchanges (DEX), lending protocols, stablecoins, liquid staking, and investment protocols.
In simple terms, these are any services and projects built on blockchain and smart contracts that allow users to generate financial profit from their own capital.
In DeFi we can:
provide our capital to various services and earn interest for its use
use borrowed capital from other users to increase the returns of our strategies
DeFi Yield
DeFi is an ecosystem with many strategies. The more complex and risky the strategy, the higher the potential profit.
≈ 50% annual yield in high-risk strategies
8–12% annual yield in conservative strategies
DeFi Risks
It is important to remember: DeFi strategies do not guarantee 100% profit.
Main risks: returns may be lower than expected, the service may be hacked and funds stolen.
Sector risks:
Hacks and smart contract issues — vulnerabilities in code can be exploited to steal funds
Low yield — actual results may be lower than expected
Scam projects — projects with fake yields and pyramid-like characteristics
Main DeFi Services
DEX exchanges: Uniswap, PancakeSwap, SushiSwap, Jupiter
DEX Perp exchanges: dYdX, GMX, Backpack
Lending: Aave, Compound, Nostra, Morpho, Fluid
Stablecoins: MakerDAO, Frax, Ethena
Liquid staking: Lido, Amnis Finance, Fragmetric
Bridges: Stargate, Jumper, Relay
DEX exchanges are decentralized exchanges that we connect to via a hot wallet. They are used to swap cryptocurrencies with each other.
DEX is an alternative to centralized platforms (Bybit, Binance, Coinbase).
No verification is required, and there is no risk of account freezing.
All modern DEXs operate using AMM (Automated Market Maker) technology.
AMM uses liquidity pools through which token swaps between users take place.
AMM and liquidity pools
A liquidity pool can be imagined as a “bucket” that always contains a pair of assets: ETH-USDC, ETH-ARB, ETH-WBTC.
When a user wants to swap ETH for USDC, they:
send ETH to the pool
receive USDC
Example of a liquidity pool operation
Conditions: the pool has 10 ETH and 20,000 USDC, ETH price = 2000 USDC.
A user buys 1 ETH by paying USDC.
How the swap works:
the user sends 2000 USDC
receives 1 ETH
A pool is a “bucket” where assets are stored. Users trade simultaneously, and the ratio of assets in the pool determines the price.
TVL and Slippage
TVL (Total Value Locked) is a metric showing the total amount of funds in a pool. The higher the TVL, the more stable the price and the smoother the changes.
Low TVL → sharp price movements.
These sharp changes are called slippage — a strong deviation in execution price due to insufficient liquidity, which can lead to an unfavorable rate.
The more liquidity in pools, the better for users.
Liquidity Providers (LP)
The exchange itself does not supply assets to pools — it provides infrastructure.
Assets are supplied by users — Liquidity Providers (LPs).
They receive a share of fees for providing capital.
How it works:
the team creates the exchange and infrastructure
LPs deposit capital into pools
users make trades
fees are distributed between LPs and the exchange
Concentrated liquidity allows LPs to choose the price range in which their capital is active.
Uniswap V2 vs V3
V2: liquidity is distributed across the entire price range → part of the capital is idle.
V3: LPs concentrate liquidity within a selected range → capital works in an active zone.
Result: efficiency is higher, returns can increase by 5–10x.
Yield factors:
trading volume within the range
range width (the narrower, the higher the yield and risk)
capital size
Income mechanics
LPs receive LP tokens confirming their share in the pool.
1% of TVL = 1% of pool fees
Key metrics:
pool TVL
trading volume
High TVL with low volume = low yield.
Example 1 — standard pools
ETH trades in a 2300–2500 range.
Without concentrated liquidity, capital is distributed across a wide range (2100, 2200, 2300, 2500, 3000…).
Part of the funds are not working.
Example 2 — concentrated liquidity
You set a range of 2300–2500 → 100% of capital works inside the zone.
Yield is higher, but if the price moves outside the range, earnings stop.
Impact of range width
Narrow range → higher yield, higher risk.
Wide range → lower yield, higher stability.
Example:
2319–2750 → ~75.5% APR (high risk)
1667–3423 → ~19.18% APR (more stable)
Liquidity Pools: Price Moving Out of Range
When we add assets to a liquidity pool, we essentially give the exchange a pair of assets that make up that pool. The exchange uses them to facilitate trading and execute user orders.
If market participants buy asset X, the exchange sells it using liquidity providers’ funds. In return, the provider receives proceeds from the sale and fees from each executed trade.
Basic example of liquidity pool operation
Assume:
ETH price = $2000
1 ETH + 2000 USDT is deposited into the pool
Range is set: $1800 – $2500
When ETH price starts rising, users actively buy the asset. At this moment, the exchange gradually sells your ETH proportionally to the price increase.
The higher the price — the more ETH is sold, and in return you receive USDT and fee income from trades within the range.
Example ETH–USDT pool
You deposit: 1 ETH + 2500 USDT
You set range: $2300 – $2800
When ETH reaches the upper boundary (2800$), all your ETH is sold.
Result:
Capital is fully rebalanced within the range
ETH is converted into USDT
You earn fees from all trades that occurred within the range
Next steps after upside exit
After reaching the upper boundary and converting to USDT, you can:
Use part of the USDT to buy new ETH
Open a new range, for example $2800 – $3200
Continue earning fees within the new price corridor
Downside move: lower boundary of the range
If price falls and reaches the lower boundary, for example $2300, the reverse process occurs.
When the market declines:
Users sell ETH and buy USDT
The exchange uses your USDT to buy ETH from sellers
As a result, your balance gradually shifts toward ETH
Upon reaching the lower boundary:
USDT is fully used
Your balance consists mainly of ETH
Behavior at the lower boundary touch
If price drops to the lower boundary of the range, all your USDT has already been converted into ETH.
Range exit management strategies
Upside exit
If price slightly moves above the upper boundary, you can wait for a pullback and continuation of the range
If price moves significantly higher, it is more rational to close the position and open a new range
Downside exit
It is optimal to wait for price to move back up
Opening a new lower range is not always efficient, as assets may be locked at a less favorable price
Managing range boundaries is a key element of the strategy that directly affects final profitability.
Why a sideways market is the most efficient
A range-bound market is the most favorable environment for liquidity providers.
Reason:
Price stays within the range
Capital is continuously active
Fees are generated steadily
The risk of full exposure to a single asset (only ETH or only USDT) is minimized
In such conditions, the strategy becomes the most predictable and stable.
In a trending market, the range is quickly broken, and positions must be frequently adjusted. In sideways conditions, positions can be held for a long time while steadily earning fees.
Conclusion: Farming and liquidity pools
Liquidity pools (Liquidity Farming) are a strategy where users provide liquidity to an exchange and receive a share of trading fees.
Key takeaways:
Income is generated from trading fees
There is a risk of asset price changes
Returns depend directly on risk and chosen strategy
The strategy can be adapted to different market conditions
Our plan is to break down and explain to you all the ways of earning in DeFi. What is usually sold for thousands of dollars, we will provide to you for free. However, we need your support: if this research gets 200 rockets, we will continue developing this topic.
Enjoy!
Put MU in the Model BookBig earnings. Big sales. Big ROE. Big margins.
MU checks nearly every box that has defined many of the market's biggest winners.
• EPS Growth: +756%
• Sales Growth: +196%
• ROE: 39.8%
• Pretax Margin: 67.7%
• Relative Strength: 98–99 across multiple timeframes
• Fund Ownership: Increasing quarter after quarter
This is what institutional accumulation looks like.
Strong fundamentals. Strong sponsorship. Strong price action.






















