High Probability Day Trading: The Support Gained & Lost Strategy
Market momentum moves through three distinct phases before establishing a clear direction.
Uptrend Momentum
Price consistently forms higher highs and higher lows. Buyers are in clear control, pushing the market upward.
Downtrend Momentum
Price establishes lower highs and lower lows. Sellers dominate, forcing the market downward.
Accumulation / Distribution
Price moves sideways within a defined range. The market is consolidating and building liquidity before deciding on its next major d
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Support Continues
Crude Oil dropped to a key daily horizontal support level yesterday.
The price formed a double bottom on that on an hourly time frame and
successfully violated its horizontal neckline this morning.
Expect a pullback to 98.0 level.
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Trend First: How to Identify Market StructureEducational Series — Part 1
Before looking for entries, indicators, or chart patterns, I believe every trader should answer one fundamental question:
What is the market actually doing?
Understanding the trend provides context for almost every trading decision. And we don't need complicated indicators to identify it.
1. Understanding Market Structure
Market structure is the sequence of highs and lows formed by price.
Uptrend: Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Price forms prog
USDCHFOn the daily chart, price has broken through the demand zone shifting market structure from bullish to bearish.
Price is seeking to contact the unmitigated demand at the weekly level where we have placed our buy limit orders at 0.8115. The targeted exit is the price imbalance ranging from 0.845 to 0.87.
EURCHF: Two-Week Floor Broke. Sell the Retest Towards 0.9100?EURCHF just lost the floor it had been sitting on for two weeks, and the franc has had its strongest month in years.
October was brutal for this pair. It dropped from the 0.9480s at the end of September to the 0.9200s, roughly 3% in a month, which is a big move for EURCHF.
For the last two weeks it found a floor around 0.9180-0.9195. It held the week of 19 October, held again last week, and held again on Friday.
Yesterday it finally gave way and dropped to 0.9156.
So the question is: is the
INMD | Q4 Oct 2026 - Day chart 11/11 EarningsInMode Ltd. | "designs, develops, manufactures and markets minimally-invasive aesthetic medical products"
Basic EPS (TTM)
1.24 USD
Price to earnings Ratio (TTM)
10.96
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This is Multiple timeframe analysis through 8 timeframes.
Everything labeled on screen and is explained below.
If you care to understand "Candle Science" (price action T.A.) continue reading...
Its 4 candles total - 2 on the support side, 2 on the resistance side. These 4 candles crea
CFOR | Q4 Oct 2026 - Week chart | 8.17 RVol on Monday afternoonWhat is CFOR?
C4 of stocks maybe cause its exploding out the gate with 8.17x its weekly volume on a Monday.
Lets just see what happens.
Multiple timeframe analysis only shows yearly, monthly and 1 weekly level of interest
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CFOR | CapForce Inc.
"is a precision medicine company, which engages in the power of molecular diagnostics and informatics to help combat infectious disease. "
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This is Multipl
HNGE | Q4 Oct 2026 | Day chart | Earnings & < 100M float sharesHinge Health, Inc. |
"is a digital healthcare company, which engages in software for joint and muscle health care. It leverages software, including artificial intelligence, to automate care for joint and muscle health, delivering member experience, member outcomes, and cost reductions for its clients. "
Is stock profitable? EPS dil TTM = $1.30
Is stock under/over valued? P/E = 88.16 (industry avg ~ 42)
FCF per share TTM: $3.40
Total debt per share FQ: $0.07
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TSLA 2023 vs. 2026: Breakout or Fake-out?TSLA is respecting the same algorithms we saw in 2023 and telling a very similar story.
Here’s the side-by-side: and my plan to confirm the breakout, rejection, or invalidation.
Liquidity build (high to low)
2023: ~$414 to $101.81, -75% over ~61 weeks
Now: $498.83 to ~$298, -40% over ~31 weeks
Bottom to break of the black
2023: +138% in ~22 weeks
Now: +36% in ~14 weeks
The bounce is faster and stronger this time.
The key difference
In 2023, price respected a tapered, weaker buying
BTC | Wk 45!! - 1hr chart Price is in distribution on the higher timeframes still and must find a higher timeframe level of support.
What higher timeframe levels of support are below price? (or levels acting as support so long as price stays above them?)
Daily Inv.BS levels could act as support long enough for price to develop the levels of support needed to create an accumulation trend but I don't bank on those probabilities, I'm simply aware of them. I look for the Frontside support levels and the Inverse Frontside re
XAUUSD: Bullish Scenario Confirmed – Targets at 4009 and 4049A few hours ago, we outlined two possible scenarios for Gold after its sharp selloff.
The first scenario was a recovery from the daily support area, and that is now playing out.
TVC:GOLD Gold reacted to the support around 3886 and started recovering. After the initial move, we identified a potential buy zone on the 15-minute chart, where price found buyers and moved higher.
The bullish setup is now active.
Current Buy Setup
M15 Buy Zone: 3940–3950
Support Zone: Around 3915–3923
Invalid
# Bitcoin 2H | One Five-Wave Advance, Two Different Interpretati**Reading time: Approximately 2 minutes**
Was Bitcoin’s previous five-wave advance the beginning of a new bullish trend, or the final upward move before a larger reversal?
Before the Binance security incident, several analysts, including myself, had already considered the possibility that this advance was a bull trap. In my wave count, it could have represented the final wave of a larger-degree **Expanded Flat**.
Now, two interpretations remain on the table:
### 🟢 Bullish Case | A Correction
GBPJPY: Pullback From Key Level 🇬🇧🇯🇵
I took a short trade on GBPJPY pair after the formation of an imbalance bearish candle on an hourly time frame.
The imbalance occurred after the test of a key historical resistance level.
The market will likely retrace to 211.41 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Why Does Price Respect Some Zones but Ignore Others?Have you ever wondered why price reacts beautifully from one demand or supply zone, but completely ignores another?
Both zones may look similar on the chart. Both may have been identified using the same methodology. Yet, their outcomes can be very different.
The reason? Not all zones are created equal. Zone quality matters.
So, what separates a high-quality demand or supply zone from a weak one?
Let's look at four important factors we consider when evaluating zones.
1. ZONE FRESHNESS – H
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD - 4H Structural Outlook)Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD - 4H Structural Outlook)
Price is currently navigating between key demand and supply structures. We are closely monitoring the reaction around our highlighted interest zones to determine the next directional move.
Trading Rule: Patience is key. Avoid front-running the market and ensure price confirms structural validation before any execution.
Where do you see Bitcoin heading next? Are you expecting a push higher or further consolidation? Drop your thought
XAU/USD 02 November 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has finally printed according to my bias and analysis dated 30 June 2026 where I mentioned price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,942.100.
This clearly demonstrates the fractal nature of the markets and the power of Technical Analysis.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS.
Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted horizontal line. I
US Midterms: Same Direction, Different Market StructuresThe Same Price Direction Can Tell Two Different Stories
With the US midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, traders are approaching another significant event on the economic and financial calendar. Although the outcome of the elections and the subsequent market reaction remain uncertain, periods surrounding major scheduled events provide opportunities to examine how different markets respond to changing expectations.
Gold and the S&P 500 offer an interesting comparison.
As illustra
Episode 14 — The Leading Diagonal# 🎬 The Chronicles of Mr. Nobody
## Season I — The History of the Elliott Wave Principle
### Episode 14 — The Leading Diagonal
*The First Sign of a New Move?*
⏱️ Reading Time: Approximately 3 minutes
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# When a New Trend Doesn't Begin Like a Typical Impulse
Imagine a market that has been declining for an extended period. Then, for the first time, it begins showing signs of a possible change in direction.
Price starts moving higher, but the advance doesn't have the clean, powerful struc
**GBPCAD — From Midterm Confirmation to Lower-Timeframe Develop
Price confirmed the midterm trend after mitigating the orange auction zone. From there, we saw a lower-timeframe shift through the break of the external lower high.
Following that structural shift, price entered a corrective distribution, taking out inducement, engineering liquidity, and sweeping the external liquidity pool before delivering into the remaining origin of the range.
From that deeper mitigation, bullish displacement developed out of the green lower-timeframe auction zone, which
**CAD — Liquidity Mapping & Potential Bullish Development**
Locking in the liquidity gives me a clearer perspective on where price may be drawn next.
Currently tracking the midterm inducement, marked by the orange dotted line above current price action. This liquidity sits above the lower-timeframe external auction zone marked in green.
Price has been holding that lower-timeframe auction zone as support while liquidity remains overhead. That gives me interest in a potential bullish delivery toward the midterm inducement.
However, location and liquidi
**GBPJPY — Bullish Trend Confirmation**
Price is now providing the midterm trend confirmation, followed by lower-timeframe confirmation on the bullish side.
After taking out the inducement and sweeping liquidity, price confirmed the high. Now I'm watching for a rebalance back into the accumulation area following distribution.
My next step is to let price develop a candle-range shift before establishing the buy point. I'm also requiring bullish momentum to align, alongside displacement, to demonstrate that bullish intent is still de
**Market Update — Tracking the Next Move**
Price is breaking the highs and mitigating the supply zone after taking the midterm inducement. From here, I'm watching for price to take the sell-side liquidity — the inducement sitting just above the orange zone — before potentially delivering into discounted territory within the midterm range.
That's where my preferred entry location comes into play.
For now, I'm tracking structure and waiting for the lower-timeframe external higher low to be breached. Looking for sell pressure to develop























