Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Bitcoin's Final Shakeout Before the Bottom?Bitcoin isn't doing anything unusual. In fact, it's doing what it has done before. The setup 📊 When you overlay the current cycle with the previous one, the similarities become hard to ignore. The sequence looks very familiar: • Expansion phase • Cycle peak • Sharp decline • Extended correction Up to this point, Bitcoin has been tracking that roadmap surprisingly well. Where are we now? If we use the previous cycle as a reference, the final bottom didn't arrive immediately after the correction. Before the recovery began, price printed one last low. The clue came from momentum 🧠 Price continued lower. But RSI didn't. Instead, RSI started showing strength beneath the surface by forming a bullish divergence. That divergence was an early indication that bearish momentum was fading. Not long after, the market found its bottom and a new cycle began. What could happen next? If the current cycle continues to mirror the previous one, we may still see: • One final dip in price • A completed bullish RSI divergence • A shift in momentum back toward the bulls That trio could become the recipe for a major bottom. So the question is: Is Bitcoin preparing for one last shakeout before the next leg higher... or will this cycle write a different story? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

by TheSignalyst

SPY Structure Update (Daily Chart)SPY continues to maintain one of the most constructive trend structures on the chart, with price holding above all major moving averages. The 10, 20, 50, and 200 EMAs are all trending higher The EMA stack remains fully aligned, reflecting strong trend participation across multiple time horizons Price continues to trade above key moving averages, keeping the broader structure intact Momentum conditions remain supportive: RSI is currently near 74, holding in the upper range while maintaining slight upward momentum Elevated RSI readings continue to reflect strong participation, though monitoring for signs of exhaustion remains important OBV continues to show constructive progress, suggesting accumulation and participation remain supportive of the current trend This combination of trend alignment, momentum, and participation continues to support a healthy structural backdrop. What I'm Watching 👀 Whether SPY can continue holding above the rising 10/20 EMA cluster on any short-term pullbacks If the 50 EMA continues to accelerate higher, reinforcing broader trend alignment Whether RSI can maintain strength without developing meaningful bearish divergence Continued confirmation from OBV as price pushes near recent highs At the moment, structure remains constructive, with trend, momentum, and participation largely moving in the same direction. Monitoring how price responds to any periods of consolidation or pullback remains important as extension conditions continue to develop. ⭐ Final Clarity Note ⭐ This is a structure-based observation, not a prediction — focused on trend alignment, momentum behavior, participation, and liquidity positioning across key structural levels.

by codymiller12727

BTC Structure Update (Daily Chart)Bitcoin continues to face short-term pressure as momentum and trend alignment weaken. The 10 EMA and 20 EMA have now crossed below the 50 EMA, signaling a deterioration in short-term trend structure The 50 EMA remains overhead, acting as an important area to monitor for any recovery attempts The 200 EMA continues to represent the broader trend reference point, remaining well above current price Momentum conditions have also weakened: RSI is currently near 34, reflecting continued selling pressure on the daily timeframe ROC remains negative at -5.72, indicating momentum is still biased to the downside despite occasional stabilization attempts Participation and momentum remain under pressure as price trades below key moving average resistance What I'm Watching 👀 Whether price can stabilize near current levels or continue lower toward the Point of Control, where a significant amount of historical volume has been transacted If the 10 and 20 EMAs begin flattening or continue accelerating lower Whether RSI can begin recovering from current levels or remains under pressure How momentum behaves as price approaches major volume-supported areas At the moment, structure remains under pressure, with momentum and trend alignment favoring caution until signs of stabilization begin to emerge. ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️ This is a structure-based observation, not a prediction — focused on trend alignment, momentum behavior, participation, and liquidity positioning across key structural levels.

by codymiller12727

$GOLD 200DMA Retest / Death Cross / RSI / Fib *Buy Signals*GOLD appears to be in the final leg of its corrective phase as its once again retesting the 200DMA after being rejected from the 50DMA. Historically when TVC:GOLD loses the 200DMA it corrects another 10-12% This would put price ~$4k We could very well see a retracement to the 50% Gann level ~$3,6 to fuel the correction for the next leg higher. Note the RSI gives a buy signal when it touches <30 and it's not quite there yet. 50/200 DMA Death Cross should occur within the next few weeks so this will add confluence to the buy signal.

SPY Structure Update (Daily Chart)SPY continues to maintain constructive structure as price holds above all major moving averages following the April recovery phase. The 10 & 20 EMAs remain positively sloped, continuing to reflect sustained short-term momentum The 50 EMA has continued turning higher, reinforcing intermediate trend support The 200 EMA remains steadily upward sloping, keeping broader structure intact Price is currently trading above the major volume concentration zone, showing continued acceptance away from prior high-volume positioning. Momentum conditions remain constructive overall: RSI continues holding in the upper range, showing sustained participation without a major momentum breakdown OBV remains elevated and structurally healthy, suggesting participation has not meaningfully deteriorated This remains a structurally healthy trend environment, though price is beginning to move further away from key support clusters. What I’m Watching 👀 Whether SPY can continue holding above the rising 10/20 EMA cluster during short-term pullbacks If the 50 EMA continues accelerating higher, strengthening broader trend alignment Whether RSI can maintain constructive positioning without significant bearish divergence How price behaves relative to the current high-volume area below, which may act as an important structural support zone on retracements At the moment, trend structure remains constructive, but monitoring participation and momentum behavior near recent highs remains important as extension conditions continue developing. ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️: This is a structure-based observation, not a prediction — focused on trend alignment, momentum behavior, participation, and liquidity positioning across key structural levels.

by codymiller12727

BTC Weekly Structure Update:(Daily chart)Bitcoin continues to trade in a structurally mixed environment as price compresses between key moving averages. The 50 EMA is currently acting as support The 10 & 20 EMAs are acting as near-term resistance, showing short-term pressure against price expansion The 200 EMA remains above current price and continues to hold steady, keeping longer-term overhead structure intact Momentum conditions continue to soften: RSI (14) currently at 47.04 Both short-term RSI and long-term RSI continue trending downward, reflecting weakening momentum participation ROC is beginning to show slight upward curvature, but remains in negative territory and is still under pressure overall This creates a structure where price is attempting stabilization, but confirmation remains incomplete. What I’m Watching 👀 Whether BTC can continue holding the 50 EMA as support Sustained holding above the 50 could open the door for another test of the 200 EMA near 81,639 A breakdown below the 50 EMA could shift focus toward the Point of Control near 68,700, where higher-volume positioning previously developed At the moment, this looks more like a compression and reaction phase rather than confirmed expansion. Monitoring how price behaves between these key structural levels remains important. ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️: This is a structure-based observation, not a prediction — focused on trend alignment, momentum behavior, and liquidity positioning across key moving averages.

by codymiller12727

BTC weekly 20/100 sma crosses over history rsi bottoms and 20/100 sma crosses shown with vertical lines. not really much explaining to do here. just wanted to share this.

by Stainlessnuts69

$SPX 18-year Parallel Channel RSI Analysis The S&P 500 has been trading in an 18-year parallel channel. Every time the RSI trades >75 we see a significant market correction, where we are then presented with amazing buying opps when the RSI touches ~50 in confluence with the MMA34. This time is different tho, right?

$XHB Homebuilders ETF Moment of Truth at 50WMA THE REAL ESTATE MARKET IS SHOWING MAJOR CRACKS 🚨 Golden Arches spotted on the Homebuilders ETF 🍔🍟 AMEX:XHB has lost the .382 Fib, and currently testing the 200WMA which has historically acted as very strong support. Last time it broke we saw a 50% correction. So far it's 25% down, so has a ways to go. Could easily get back down to ~$60, or even a full retrace to ~$50. Expect the price of homes to crate if this happens.

US10Y Massive Weekly Close Breakout - 5% Next !?THE US10Y IS THE BEACON OF TRUTH IN FINANCIAL MARKETS. As predicted, the 10Y yield is back above 4.6% and have officially entered the danger zone. The US Guvament has to refinance ~$9.8T of debt this year with the biggest intra-year cliffs in February and August. I think we all remember what happened to CRYPTOCAP:BTC in February; don’t be surprised if we see the same in August. If yields stay elevated for the next couple of Weekly Closes outside of this massive 6-year bull pennant, then I very much expect the 10Y back at 5% within the next several months. Remember: Higher rates → more expensive mortgages, corporate loans, auto loans, etc. → less private borrowing and investment into the economy and risk assets.

SPY Structure Update (Daily Chart)The 10, 20, and 50 EMAs remain in healthy alignment and continue showing constructive upward curvature. The 200 EMA remains below price and is also steadily trending upward, keeping the broader structure constructive across multiple layers. RSI is currently holding around 68, showing continued participation while remaining in a strong momentum range. OBV has maintained an upward trend since March 31st and is currently consolidating near recent highs — something I continue watching closely for confirmation of sustained participation rather than deterioration. One area that stands out structurally is the move through the 694 value high zone. Once price reclaimed and pushed through that area, momentum expanded noticeably and structure accelerated higher from there. 👀 What I’m Watching RSI behavior for any loss of momentum or downward divergence OBV participation to see if accumulation continues supporting price structure Whether short-term EMA alignment remains intact during consolidation phases ⭐ Final Clarity Note ⭐ Current structure remains constructive with trend alignment, participation, and momentum still generally supporting higher price acceptance. As always, I’m not focused on prediction — I’m focused on observing whether structure, momentum, and participation continue confirming one another across layers.

by codymiller12727

BTC Structure Update (Daily Chart)The 10, 20, and 50 EMAs remain in constructive alignment and are continuing to trend upward while approaching the 200 EMA — a level the market is now actively testing. Historically, when shorter-term EMAs reclaim and cross above the 200 EMA, it can signal a major shift in longer-term structure, commonly referred to as a golden cross. RSI (14) is holding steady near 60 while continuing to show constructive upward curvature, indicating participation remains healthy without reaching extreme conditions. ROC is also holding steady around 0.51, reflecting stable momentum as price attempts to build continuation structure near a key long-term level. What I’m Watching: • Whether price can reclaim and hold above the 200 EMA • Whether the 10/20/50 EMA stack continues strengthening beneath price • Momentum confirmation through RSI and ROC if BTC begins establishing acceptance above this area ⭐ Final Clarity Note ⭐ The 200 EMA remains one of the most important long-term structure levels on the chart. When combined with healthy EMA alignment and stable momentum readings, this area can often become a key decision point between temporary relief movement and broader structural transition. Confirmation remains more important than prediction.

by codymiller12727

XRPUSD Structure Update — Daily Chart XRPUSD is beginning to show improving internal structure on the daily timeframe as momentum indicators continue to strengthen beneath the surface. Price is attempting to stabilize after an extended compression phase, while RSI continues holding firmly near 66 — signaling sustained participation and constructive momentum rather than immediate exhaustion. ROC is also turning higher, adding confirmation that momentum expansion may be starting to build alongside the recent price stabilization. The recent structure is notable because momentum strength is beginning to improve while price remains relatively compressed compared to prior expansion phases. This is the type of environment where participation and trend strength often become important to monitor closely. From a structure perspective, continuation of RSI strength alongside expanding ROC could indicate improving conditions if price can continue building acceptance above nearby resistance zones. For now, the focus remains on: • Momentum continuation • Whether price can maintain constructive positioning • Expansion in participation alongside structure improvement ⭐ Final Clarity Note ⭐ This is not a prediction — only an observation of developing structure, momentum behavior, and participation dynamics currently appearing on the daily timeframe. Confirmation always matters more than anticipation.

by codymiller12727

$BTC CME Gap Filled with Bearish Divergence TALK ABOUT PINPOINT LASER ACCURACY 🎯 As I mentioned yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes the Day at the top of the parallel channel which filled the CME Gap and is now being rejected. Note the Bearish Divergence with the RSI. Who's your daddy now? 🤑

SPY Structure Update — Daily EMA stack remains in strong alignment, with the 10/20/50/200 all trending upward and showing clear curvature. Structure continues to reflect constructive momentum across all key moving averages. Price is holding above the stack, reinforcing trend strength rather than extension failure at this stage. RSI is steady at 71, signaling sustained participation without immediate signs of exhaustion, but still within a zone where continuation vs. cooling becomes important to monitor. OBV has been trending higher since March 30th, confirming accumulation behind the move. Recent behavior shows it holding gains rather than rolling over, which supports underlying strength. What I’m watching: Whether price continues to hold above the 10/20 EMA cluster (short-term momentum control) RSI behavior near current levels (continuation vs. divergence) OBV for continued confirmation vs. flattening ⭐ Final Clarity Note ⭐: Structure remains constructive with aligned trend, participation, and volume. As long as price holds above the EMA stack, the current trend structure stays intact.

by codymiller12727

Observing Point Of Control The black line represents the Point of Control (POC) at 607.81 — the level where the highest volume has traded. Notice how price consistently gravitates back toward this area. This reflects a zone where the market previously found the most agreement, making it a key reference point within the structure. What stands out is that some of the strongest moves are developing directly from this level — not randomly, but from a zone of confirmed participation. At the same time: • RSI showed its strongest expansion from this area • OBV began trending higher from this level as well This alignment suggests the move is not just price-driven, but supported by momentum and participation building at the same location. ⭐ Final Clarity Note ⭐: High-volume levels like the POC act as decision zones within the market. When price, momentum, and participation all strengthen at the same level, it often leads to the most meaningful moves.

by codymiller12727

SPY Structure Update (Daily Chart)Price continues to respect short-term momentum structure as the trend rebuilds off the recent pullback. The 10 & 20 EMAs are maintaining upward curvature, showing sustained short-term momentum The 50 EMA has turned higher as well, though with a more gradual slope — indicating developing support rather than aggressive expansion The 200 EMA continues its steady upward trajectory, keeping the broader structure intact Since the March 30th pivot, both RSI and OBV have shown constructive behavior: RSI holding in the upper range → consistent participation OBV trending higher → confirming accumulation rather than divergence This combination suggests the move is being supported, not just price-driven. What I’m Watching: Whether price can hold above the rising 10/20 EMA cluster on any pullbacks If the 50 EMA begins to accelerate, aligning more closely with short-term momentum Continued confirmation from OBV (no divergence) and RSI holding above midline Any signs of compression vs expansion (ATR behavior) as price approaches local highs At this stage, structure remains constructive, but monitoring how price behaves near these levels will help determine whether this is continuation or early signs of exhaustion. ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️: This is a structure-based observation, not a prediction — focusing on alignment between trend, momentum, and participation.

by codymiller12727

KPROJ criticality The weekly chart for KPROJ highlights a critical juncture for the stock. Price is consolidating near the 84–85 support zone, which has acted as a major pivot in recent sessions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed above the 50 line, signaling a potential shift in momentum toward the bulls. - A potential double-bottom (W pattern) is forming, with confirmation only if price closes above the 90–92 neckline. - Major support sits at 82–84. Holding this level strengthens the bullish case, while a break below could expose the stock to 76–72 as a worst-case scenario. - Resistance trend line remains overhead. A decisive breakout above 90–92 would invalidate the bearish structure and open the path to higher targets. - Volume analysis shows declining sell pressure, suggesting the recent pullback may be corrective rather than a trend reversal. Targets Ahead: • First target: 95–101 (key resistance zone). • Volumetric target: 105. • Extended target: 115, achievable if momentum sustains after breaking the neckline. Conclusion: KPROJ is at a pivotal support level. The bias leans bullish as long as price holds above 82–84 and RSI remains above 50. Traders should watch closely for a weekly close above 90–92, which would confirm a breakout and set the stage for a move toward 105–115. Conversely, failure to hold support could trigger a deeper correction toward 72.

Bitcoin Structure Update | Daily Timeframe Bitcoin continues to show signs of developing structure beneath the surface, even as price remains below the longer-term trend. On the daily chart, the 10 and 20 EMAs remain positioned above the 50 EMA, indicating that short-term momentum is still intact and gradually building. This progression suggests early-stage structure attempting to push higher toward the 200 EMA, which remains the key macro barrier. Momentum & Participation: RSI (~65) is holding firm in bullish territory, reflecting steady participation rather than exhaustion ROC remains positive but has flattened, signaling a pause in momentum rather than a reversal This combination points to a market that is not overextended, but consolidating strength. Structural Takeaway: Short-term trend → constructive Intermediate trend → still developing Macro trend → not yet reclaimed (below 200 EMA) If structure continues to hold and momentum re-expands, this sets up a potential test of the 200 EMA, which will be the defining level for whether this shifts from recovery → trend continuation. ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️: This is a steady structure build, not a breakout yet. Momentum is holding, not accelerating — and that distinction matters.

by codymiller12727

What a clean breakout setup looks like On the 1-hour timeframe, BULL is showing a textbook transition from compression into expansion, supported by alignment across structure, momentum, and participation. Structure (EMA Alignment): Price is now trading above the 10 / 20 / 50 EMAs, all stacked above the 200 EMA This reflects short-term trend control with higher timeframe support building underneath Prior consolidation phase created a tight base → now resolving higher Momentum (RSI): RSI holding in the upper range (~80+) Indicates sustained momentum rather than a single spike No major bearish divergence present → momentum remains intact Participation (OBV): OBV continues trending higher Confirms buyers are actively supporting the move, not just price drifting upward Expansion (ATR): ATR is beginning to rise after a period of contraction Signals volatility expansion → trend continuation environment 🔍 What This Setup Represents This is a classic structure sequence: Compression → Breakout → Momentum Hold → Expansion When all four phases align: Structure leads Momentum confirms Participation validates Volatility expands That’s when moves tend to sustain rather than fade quickly ⚠️ Context Note At current levels, price is extended short-term, so this becomes more about: Monitoring pullback structure Watching if EMAs continue to act as support Observing whether momentum stays elevated or begins to fade ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️: This isn’t about predicting the next move — it’s about recognizing when market structure, momentum, and participation are all aligned. That alignment is what turns simple breakouts into sustained trends.

by codymiller12727

SPY Structure Update (Daily)10 and 20 EMAs have crossed above the 50 EMA and are now all trading above the 200 EMA, indicating strong short-term momentum within a confirmed bullish structure. RSI is holding strong at 73, showing continued participation with upward momentum, but now getting into elevated territory. OBV has been on a steady rise since late March, confirming accumulation and supporting the current move higher. Structure remains healthy, but price is now becoming extended above short-term EMAs, which increases the likelihood of either: short-term consolidation or a pullback into the 10/20 EMA range ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️: Strong trend and participation remain intact, but with price extended, the focus shifts from chasing to identifying the next setup within structure.

by codymiller12727

How To: Bearish Breakaway w/ Tools, Indicators & Strategy Hey everyone, thanks for joining! Below is the Quick Notes for the audio: What is a Bearish Breakaway? A Rare Reversal Candlestick Pattern that consists of 5 Candles, broken up into 3 parts: Pt 1) Large Bullish Candle Pt 2) 3 Small Bullish Candles Pt 3) Large Bearish Candle (Confirmation) What indicators can be used to Confirm? 1) Volume - Dwindles after the first Large Bullish Candle then Increases after the Large Bearish Candle 2) RSI - The reversal is part of a Bullish Divergence then drops below 50 after the pattern is formed 3) MACD - Crossover event with Signal above the MACD moving down towards 0 with Bearish bars developing on the Histogram Strategy needed to trade the pattern? Entry - On the Open of the candle after the 5th of Confirmation Candle SL - Above the High of the Pattern TP - Next areas of Support ( Conservative & Aggressive options )

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by Novi_Fibonacci

BTC Structure Update (daily)Bitcoin is starting to show signs of short-term strength as structure continues to improve. Price has now reclaimed the 10, 20, and 50 EMAs, with the 10/20 crossing back above the 50. This shift signals building momentum in the near term and a transition away from the prior downside pressure phase. However, zooming out, all key short-term EMAs are still positioned below the 200 EMA. That keeps the broader structure in a recovery phase rather than a fully confirmed long-term uptrend. Momentum indicators are aligning with this shift: • RSI is holding steady around 62 → strong participation without being overextended • ROC is stabilizing with a slight upward tilt → early signs of momentum rebuilding Overall, the market is showing constructive behavior. Strength is returning, but it hasn’t fully transitioned into a long-term bullish structure just yet. Summary : Short-term momentum is improving and structure is strengthening, but the 200 EMA remains the key level. Reclaiming that would signal a more complete shift in trend.

by codymiller12727