Economic Cycles

Bitcoin | Structure at a Major Decision Point ⏱️ Reading Time: ~2 minutes Bitcoin remains at a critical structural point, with two main scenarios still on the table. 🟦 Bullish Scenario The current structure could be an extension of Wave 5, or potentially the beginning of a larger-degree Wave 3. In the second interpretation, Wave 1 may already be complete and Bitcoin could be developing Wave 2 before another larger advance begins. 🟥 Bearish Scenario The alternative is that the current structure is part of a larger-degree three-wave dec

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Fibo backward Count (Weekly)Counting backwards from last week, we find these curious alignments with Fibo intervals. I'm not expecting a big reversal yet because bigger cycles come due more towards December and January 2027, but a short-term reaction or acceleration could be seen. October is also a Fibo projection from several Hs and ls on a monthly level (see my other idea).

Silver | Follow the Structure, Not the Prediction ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes In this analysis, my goal is not to predict that Silver must move higher or lower. The goal is to examine the structure the market is actually building. On the 2-hour timeframe, the previous advance toward 71.11 shows the characteristics of a motive structure, while the decline that followed may still be part of a higher-degree correction. At this stage, two main paths remain open. 🔵 Bullish Scenario: If the current area marks the completion of the correction and p

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

When the Waves Finally Speak The language of waves does not always speak to us immediately. Sometimes, we see only five and three waves — simple, clean, and seemingly easy to recognize. But the real challenge begins when the market starts changing its structure. This is where patience becomes part of the analysis. We may recognize a possible pattern, but we should not become attached to it. The market must preserve that structure for the interpretation to remain valid. If the structure changes, our interpretation must ch

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Gold may drop below 3800 by end of Oct. 5/Oct/26 XAUUSD. With weaker than expected jobs report will FED pause its rate hike by end of Oct? But based on latest price structure gold may break 3800 before FED rate decision.

GBPAUD idea We are waiting for our asset to reach our action zone, and based on the reaction, we’ll decide on our next moves.ALWAYS WAIT FOR A CONFIRMATION TO SEE IF THE PRICE VALIDATES THE ZONE.and you what is your vision of the GBPAUD its interests me! i wait you in the commentar

Aussie's Inflation Miss Sees EURAUD Bottom Out Price on OANDA:EURAUD could be looking to push higher after the formation of what looks to be a Double Bottom pattern, lets break it down! Price was unable to push down passed the 1.6080 area where we see two distinct Lows or valleys with price making a solid peak between the two around the 1.6220 area. Today, we got a strong bullish push confirming the pattern and delivering the beginning of a Breakout and with a Breakout, we should expect a Retest! This Retest will come once price makes i

by Novi_Fibonacci

BTCUSD M - Road to 2030 BTCUSD M, A dynamic forecast extending to 2030 that posits the mass adoption of Bitcoin, based on fractal models derived from its past history. Next Top around $350k

CVX CVX is at the line looking to break through to the other side. This resistance is visible from a daily perspective. Riding rewinding then rocking round again round that red dial round the bend return and reiterate let that needle roll....

Bitcoin: When We Can No Longer See the Shore ⏱️ Reading Time: ~4 minutes Sometimes, the best way to evaluate an analysis is not by looking toward the future, but by going back to the previous analysis and asking what the market actually did afterward. In this study, I have updated my previous Bitcoin analysis. The vertical red line is an important boundary in this review. Everything to the left of the line is what we had available to us at the time of the original analysis. Everything to the right is the path that was still in the fut

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Episode 10 — When a Wave Grew Within Itself 🎬 Mr. Nobody’s Chronicle Season I — The History of Elliott Wave Principle Episode 10 — When a Wave Grew Within Itself ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes “Sometimes, a wave grows so large that we can no longer see it as just a simple wave.” In the previous episode, we followed Ralph Nelson Elliott as he began drawing boundaries around the structures he was discovering. He was no longer simply watching the market move. He was trying to understand how those movements were built... And what happened w

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

7 Years Later, I Don’t Predict Ethereum — I Read Its Structure In previous ETH updates, we kept following one simple question: Is the larger corrective structure still developing, or is the market already beginning a new impulsive move one degree higher? What we can see today on the Daily chart is interesting because part of the structure we discussed in previous analyses has now become clearer through price development. The move from the area around 1,500 can still be examined as a developing impulsive structure, with 1–2 and 3–4–5 sequences appearing

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin HODL Now that we crossed over SMA365 on the 1 day chart, this current bull market high price target is $250,000. SMA365 will never be crossed under for the next 3 years. Price action history 2018 – 2021 Cycle low to high $3,200 (Dec 2018) $69,000 (Nov 2021) ~2,056% 2017 – 2021 Cycle high to high $19,800 (Dec 2017) $69,000 (Nov 2021) ~248% 2022 – 2025 Cycle low to high $15,476 (Nov 2022) $126,296 (Oct 2025) ~716% 2021 – 2025 Cycle high to high $69,000 (Nov 2021) $126,296 (Oct 2025) ~83%

Bitcoin Rainbow Map: The Road $236k-$250K ?Bitcoin Rainbow Map: The Road to $236K–$250K? 🌈📈 Bitcoin is at a critical point. 🌈 The weekly chart shows BTC moving within a long-term Rainbow Channel, with several key levels now coming into focus. 🔹 Current price: around $84.6K 🔹 Cycle low: around $58.5K 🔹 Key resistance: around $84K–$85K 🔹 Previous cycle high: around $126K 🔹 Next cycle high target zone: around $236K–$250K The bigger picture still depends on how Bitcoin reacts around these key levels and whether BTC can continue its move w

Watch Gasoline Intraday Imminent reversal, gap, or acceleration expected at the dashed vertical line. Best used with support and resistance.

18-Year Cycle — Visual Model This is an easy-to-read visual version of my 18-Year Cycle model. If you’re a visual person like me, this unfinished version makes the cycle much easier to see. The green arrows represent the stronger/good periods of the cycle, while the red arrows represent the higher-risk periods where major market stress and crashes have historically occurred. Based on the way this model is lining up, it’s pointing toward another major risk window ahead. One possibility I’m watching is whether the current A

by MarketWarfare

ETH update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Ethereum — 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2 Ethereum is showing a pattern broadly similar to Bitcoin. The reconstructed/denoised price has tracked the subsequent real price movements reasonably well. The relationship between the reconstructed and actual prices around the September 28 decline was particularly notable. Before the decline, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price, indicating that the market price was potentially elevated re

by MarketSpectr

BTC update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Bitcoin - 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2 The reconstructed/denoised Bitcoin price has been tracking the subsequent real price movements reasonably well. Until around September 28, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price. This suggested that Bitcoin was potentially overextended relative to the underlying reconstructed price and could move lower. That scenario was confirmed on September 28, when the price dropped significantly. After t

by MarketSpectr

EURCAD 4H – Bearish Rejection Setup Hello Trading Fam! 👋 Price remains within an overall bearish structure and is testing a key area of resistance. I’m looking for rejection from this area and continuation lower. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️

by TradeAnalyst_Aanko

U.S. Election Cycle & Bitcoin Solid blue lines mark presidential election windows. Dashed blue lines mark midterm windows. Bitcoin has repeatedly seen important price shifts around these periods. The goal is not to imply elections cause the moves, but to track whether the midterm timing window continues to align with major BTC cycle transitions.

by MarketWarfare

BTC HTF IDEA This is the zone where Institutions would like to DCA. So we could see atleast see 2 months of chop here. - First we take out buyside liquidity and trap longs. - Then flush the longs out while institutions build their orders through downtrend and take out Sellside liquidity. - Fill the Monthly FVG and then start the journey to new ATH by 2027. 1) Monthly MSS 2) Multiple weekly close above 50sma on weekly These two hint that the bear market is over.

ZEC — Bears Take Control We formed a double top right around the 2.0–2.1 Fib extension target, followed by a break of the bullish trend on the 1H timeframe. Since then, the bears have started taking control. RESISTANCE ZONE: The current key resistance is the $1500 psychological level, where price has already rejected twice. The anchored VWAP resistance is also sitting right around $1500, giving us another layer of confluence. The 0.382 Fib at $1486 was the ideal short entry and lined up nicely with the resista

WTI Crude Oil | Testing a Nested Wave III Structure ⏱️ Reading Time: About 2 Minutes For this update, I am focusing only on the bullish scenario and allowing price action to show us whether this structure can continue to develop. One possibility I am currently tracking is a sequence of three nested 1–2 structures across different degrees. If this interpretation is correct, the market may be building the early stages of a larger Wave III, with each lower-degree structure preparing the next impulsive advance. The recent decline is important, but

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

This is the final target for Bitcoin.The ultimate target for Bitcoin on the 6-month timeframe is 1,600,000. Our setup is the "MeasuredGap," which is one of Al Brooks's setups.