XAU/USD 02 October 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or
Fractal
BTC HTF IDEAThis is the zone where Institutions would like to DCA.
So we could see atleast see 2 months of chop here.
- First we take out buyside liquidity and trap longs.
- Then flush the longs out while institutions build their orders through downtrend and take out Sellside liquidity.
- Fill the Monthly FVG and then start the journey to new ATH by 2027.
1) Monthly MSS
2) Multiple weekly close above 50sma on weekly
These two hint that the bear market is over.
BTC update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Bitcoin - 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2
The reconstructed/denoised Bitcoin price has been tracking the subsequent real price movements reasonably well.
Until around September 28, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price. This suggested that Bitcoin was potentially overextended relative to the underlying reconstructed price and could move lower.
That scenario was confirmed on September 28, when the price dropped significantly.
After t
WTI Crude Oil | Testing a Nested Wave III Structure⏱️ Reading Time: About 2 Minutes
For this update, I am focusing only on the bullish scenario and allowing price action to show us whether this structure can continue to develop.
One possibility I am currently tracking is a sequence of three nested 1–2 structures across different degrees. If this interpretation is correct, the market may be building the early stages of a larger Wave III, with each lower-degree structure preparing the next impulsive advance.
The recent decline is important, but
XAU/USD 01 October 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or
ETH update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Ethereum — 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2
Ethereum is showing a pattern broadly similar to Bitcoin.
The reconstructed/denoised price has tracked the subsequent real price movements reasonably well. The relationship between the reconstructed and actual prices around the September 28 decline was particularly notable.
Before the decline, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price, indicating that the market price was potentially elevated re
ASTER: Volume Picks Up, Watching for a Break Above $0.78BINANCE:ASTERUSDT stays on my watchlist for now. Daily trading volume has picked up compared with the summer consolidation, but price remains inside the triangle. Higher volume alone does not confirm the breakout direction.
I would consider a long only after a confirmed break above $0.78–$0.782 : a daily close above the zone, ideally followed by a successful retest.
My take-profit area is around $0.90, ahead of the broader resistance zone near $0.91–$0.98. That offers roughly 15% upside fr
Bitcoin 4H | Bullish Structure & The Golden Possibility⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes
Hey everyone,
In this update, I’m focusing only on the bullish scenario for Bitcoin, looking at it from two different structural perspectives.
At first glance, the larger-degree structure suggests that a motive pattern is developing or approaching completion. If this interpretation is correct, then after the current advance, I would expect the market to develop at least a three-wave corrective structure.
That’s why I’ve mapped the potential correction in blue. I s
GME's W PatternIts an overlay. The big macro pattern is from before 2019 to 2008 (first peak). This Pattern is also similar to the 2024 and now. All come down to about now. As always I have no idea but this is provocative and keeps you all going!
Best Regards and NFA
HAVE FUN AND ALWAYS:
OPEN TO DISCUSS :)
Bitcoin 4H | Two Paths, One Structure⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes
Hey everyone,
In this 4H Bitcoin update, I’m looking at two main scenarios. Both are based on the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle, but each one suggests a different structural path for the market.
🔴 Scenario 1 | Bearish Case
In the bearish scenario, the assumption is that the recent bullish structure has been completed and the market is now developing a higher-degree corrective pattern.
The current structure could develop into an Expanded Flat,
XAU/USD 30 September 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or
Silver | Behind the Structure of Wave IV⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes
On the 4-hour timeframe, Silver remains at a point where the structure has not yet revealed its final path. The recent decline may still be part of a more complex correction, and in the bearish scenario, it could continue developing as a Double Zigzag.
🔵 Bullish Scenario
If Silver avoids a deeper decline from the current area and instead develops a valid motive structure, the picture changes. In that case, we could see at least three bullish waves at a larger degre
Gold | When the Structure Hasn’t Had the Final Word YetOn the 4-hour timeframe, the current structure can still support more than one path. If the recent decline has actually completed a corrective structure such as a triangle, the market now needs to reveal its next direction through Price Action followed by a valid motive structure.
In Scenario 1: Bullish Case, we would expect at least one recognizable bullish structure to develop after the correction is complete, allowing the market to extend higher. But even in this path, simply breaking a pric
XLM Price Analysis Sept 29, 2026: Support, Resistance FractalXLMUSDT 1D (Poloniex) Technical Analysis Report
As of 29 Sep 2026 — price ~0.2326 USDT
This is a structured read of the chart you shared plus current market context. It is not financial advice.
Market Snapshot
XLM has been in a broad multi-month range/accumulation structure since the mid-2025 spike, with the September 2026 rally breaking the recent down-channel/low-range. Price is up strongly on the month (+30% from early September levels near 0.17–0.18) after the May 2026 bounce and subse
Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern Seems like we just finished a Wyckoff accumulation patter.
Currently I'm at disbelief stage: I cannot believe that the bear market is over. My expectation is we would reach as low as 40 K USD.
Such is the psychology of the market: to make us confuse. That's the reason more than 95% of people loose their money here.
Currently I'm trying to become Bullish, but I still expect a major break down may happen. It is just too early to start a Bullish market now.
DISCLAIMER:
This is not financial a
XAU/USD 29 September 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or
Short term trade Idea for BITCOIN - SHORTSWe could see a range form here before the next massive leg up.
We will see a lot of search and destroy PA for the next 2 months while Institutions build their orders here.
Looking for Sweep of Buyside Liquidity and then Sellside Liquidity.
We should see an ugly wick to downside in Oct or Nov to flush out longs.
Iran | When the Value of Money Tells the Story⏱️ Reading Time: ~2 minutes
This is not just a chart about the dollar.
It is a long-term look at the changing value of the Iranian rial against the U.S. dollar.
When we step back and look at USD/IRR over several decades, the scale of this move becomes difficult to ignore.
But Elliott Wave asks a different question:
What is the structure behind the move?
On the chart, the area around 42,000 stands out as an important structural reference. The powerful move that followed raises a larger quest
Silver: The Bullish Case Rests on the Zigzag Family⏱️ Reading time: about 3 minutes
In the bullish case, the current structure could complete with a Simple Zigzag. One reason this scenario remains structurally valid from the perspective of the Elliott Wave Principle is the alternation between corrective waves. The Wave II at the higher degree was an Extended Flat, while the current correction may develop with a sharper and different personality. From a corrective-character perspective, this combination can therefore remain consistent with the pr
Episode 09 — When Elliott Began Drawing the Boundaries🎬 Mr. Nobody’s Chronicle
Season I — The History of Elliott Wave Principle
Episode 09 — When Elliott Began Drawing the Boundaries
⏱️ Reading time: ~3 minutes
“If this pattern truly exists, there must be a point where it can no longer continue.”
In the previous episode, we followed Ralph Nelson Elliott deeper into the world of structure.
He was no longer simply watching prices move up and down.
He wanted to understand something deeper.
How was a large movement built from smaller movements?
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