Bitcoin Momentum Update #6: Momentum AcceleratesBitcoin Momentum Update #6: Momentum Accelerates
Bitcoin Daily Time Series Momentum has strengthened significantly and is now around 1.11 , moving decisively above the neutral level of 1.0 .
This is an important change from the previous update, when momentum was only slightly above neutral.
What has changed?
After recovering from the lower reference zone near 0.8 , momentum spent several weeks consolidating around 1.0. The latest move shows a clear acceleration in positive daily moment
Economic Cycles
This is only the beginningThe rally is nowhere close to over until ethereum passes AMD in market cap. The ai bubble will have one leg up left and when it begins to fall. ETH will peak above market cap of it and the top will be sometime around then. This is not a guess, I have never been so confident About any financial prediction ever. It just will happen. Check my last idea I’ve been calling this
There is something no way these mega caps related to ai are gonna stay with a higher market cap then god damn ETHEREUM. Get
us10y drops down to 1%
the TVC:US10Y distribution is getting interesting
the us10y has basically spent the last few years building out what looks like a pretty massive wyckoff distribution. to me, it looks closest to distribution schematic #2 , just with a slight modification in phase b. after the buying climax around 5%, yields got smacked down into the automatic reaction, bounced around the range for awhile, then tried to push back toward the highs. but it never actually got there. instead of giving us a clea
BTCUSDT Macro Cycle: $126K Top & Oct Bottom ProjectionA time and price projection of historical bear market cycles on the Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 1W chart.
Time Cycle: The first two historical macro correction phases lasted exactly 52 bars (364 days). The projected 53-bar (371 days) phase from the peak of the third cycle points to a "Potential Deep Zone in Second week of October", indicated by the green vertical line on the chart.
Volatility Contraction (Price): There is a mathematical contraction in the price decline ratios (-84.05% > -77.71%). As the
SOLANA Elliott Wave Analysis: Impulse or Deeper Correction?SOLANA Daily Analysis | Nested 1–2 Structure or a Deeper Correction?
From an aggressive perspective, Solana’s current structure may be developing within a nested 1–2, followed by another 1–2 setup. Under this scenario, after completing Wave (II), the market may have formed two early impulsive phases, potentially preparing the larger structure for the next bullish expansion.
At the moment, a simple Zigzag appears to have developed. Therefore, simply seeing an upward move is not enough to confir
## DAX 40 | Aggressive vs. Conservative Elliott Wave Scenarios### Aggressive Scenario
From the initial advance beginning on **Friday, March 20, 2020**, with the DAX 40 starting from approximately **7,962.6 EUR**, the market has developed a structure that continues to display the characteristics of an impulsive pattern.
In the aggressive scenario, **Wave IV may already have completed as a Flat correction**. If this interpretation remains valid, the market could now be developing a nested **1–2 structure**, suggesting that the next phase of the bullish imp
# AUD/USD | Completing the PuzzleA multi-timeframe review of AUD/USD suggests that, following a five-wave decline, the market has been developing a larger corrective structure. On the daily chart, the current structure may be forming a potential **5-3-5 Zigzag**, while the 4-hour chart is now showing the emergence of an impulsive pattern.
At this stage, it is still too early to determine the final path of the market. Therefore, two scenarios remain under observation.
### Conservative Scenario
The primary focus of the conserv
Episode 03 — The Discovery of Market Rhythm🎬 Mr. Nobody’s Chronicle
Season I — The History of Elliott Wave Principle
Episode 03 — The Discovery of Market Rhythm
“Sometimes, the greatest discoveries begin with a simple question...”
Amid the noise of the markets, where millions of human decisions appear every day through price, one man decided to look more closely at something others simply passed by.
Ralph Nelson Elliott wasn’t just watching prices move up and down.
He was asking a deeper question:
Were these movements really random?
LINK Analyses-18, [July 29, 2026]Welcome to my page! I share daily technical analyses of Chainlink and other charts here.
BINANCE:LINKUSDT
💡Market Analysis:
The long-term trendline has recently broken, signaling a potential setup for a major initial bullish rally. However, price may first experience a pullback to the lower boundary of the current trading range before starting its upward expansion.
Key Support & Resistance:
Key Resistance: 9.300 - 11.500
Key Support Area: 7.000 - 7.500
🎯 Trade Entry & Exit Plan:
AAPL 4H — Nested Structure or Final Diagonal?🍎 AAPL 4H — Nested Structure or Final Diagonal?
In this update, the main focus is on the current price structure and what the market needs to show to confirm the wave count.
The aggressive scenario is currently focused on a nested structure across two degrees:
1-2 / 1-2
In this interpretation, the current decline could be a three-wave corrective structure. If this decline completes in three waves and price then begins to advance again, that behavior could provide important confirmation of th
NASDAQ: The Wave Structure Is TalkingOn the larger degree, NASDAQ is still developing within a large impulsive structure, and what matters most right now is the Third Wave still unfolding. It has not yet reached a point where we can reasonably declare it complete simply based on wave proportions.
The daily chart tells a similar story on a lower degree. After Wave II, the market has continued developing impulsive structures, and more recently we can see several nested 1–2 structures. If this count remains valid, these nested struct
MONTHLY RESET HAS REACHED THE HISTORICAL BOTTOM ZONE
This chart is important because two different long term signals are arriving at the same place at the same time. Bitcoin has moved back toward the lower band of its logarithmic Bollinger structure, while monthly RSI has fallen into the same region that appeared around previous major cycle bottoms. The combination tells us much more than the recent decline alone.
The logarithmic bands have worked as a long term expansion and reset framework throughout Bitcoin’s history. During strong phases, pr
AAPL: The Final Wave III?🍎 Apple — The Final Push of Wave III or the Start of a Larger Advance?
In this update, I have reexamined Apple’s long-term structure from the beginning.
At present, we are within the largest-degree Wave III, with the main focus on the final portion of this wave.
In the aggressive scenario, the current price action may be developing as a Leading Diagonal, or even as a nested 1-2 structure across two degrees, potentially setting the stage for the continuation and completion of the larger Wave I
S&P 500 | Wave V Has Reached Equality — What Comes Next?What if the final wave of this major S&P 500 impulse is not finished yet?
Our current analysis keeps the 2020 low under observation as Wave (II) or Wave (IV), while the larger structure continues to be tested against the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle.
One of the most interesting developments is that Wave V has now reached a significant equality relationship with the previous motive waves, Waves I and III. Combined with Fibonacci relationships, internal subdivisions, and pr
RBOB Gasoline | Wave II… or Something More?In this count, the initial motive structure is interpreted as a Classic Impulse, with Wave 5 completing as an Ending Diagonal after the sharp acceleration of Wave 4, ultimately reaching the peak at the beginning of 2026. From there, the market entered a corrective decline, and price is now approaching a critical structural area.
To complete a full eight-wave cycle, the internal structure of the correction becomes particularly important. In the current count, Wave A developed as an impulse, foll
THE EASY PART MAY BE OVER
Gold has already completed a very strong repricing phase. The move from the 2024 base into the 2026 peak pushed price above 5,000 dollars and created the type of acceleration that usually cannot continue at the same speed forever. What matters now is not whether gold remains structurally strong over the long term. The more important question is whether the market has entered a longer reset after that expansion.
The first warning is the loss of momentum after the peak. Gold failed to maintain
Bitcoin — Wave (IV): Simple Zigzag or Complex Correction?In the aggressive scenario, the current structure can be interpreted as Wave (IV) of a larger degree. Based on the current wave count, Wave (IV) is developing as a Simple Zigzag with a 5-3-5 structure, and we are currently in the green Wave (2). The peak of Wave B represents the invalidation level for this count.
If the current structure completes as a Simple Zigzag, lower price levels, including the $30K–$40K region, may become relevant. However, the structure itself must determine the outcome
AUD/USD Daily | Inside the Wave StructureOn the daily chart, our primary focus is the structure developing from the starting date and price marked on the chart.
At this stage, the simplest interpretation is the development of a 5-3-5 Zigzag. However, as price continues to evolve, the structure could still develop into a Sideways Correction or a more complex corrective pattern.
For now, the objective is not to determine the entire structure in advance. Instead, we are focusing on how each wave develops internally.
🟢 Wave A
Wave A ca
Bitcoin Momentum Update #5: Holding Above NeutralBitcoin Daily Time Series Momentum is currently around 1.01 and continues to hold slightly above the neutral level of 1.0 .
This follows a significant recovery from the lower reference zone near 0.8 . More importantly, momentum has now spent several days around the neutral level without a significant reversal lower.
What has changed?
The recovery that began in June has developed into a clear sequence of improving momentum. The indicator has moved from approximately 0.8 back above 1.0.























