Fibonacci Retracement
XAUUSD H4 – Gold Trading Plan for Next Week (Liquidity-Based Levels)
Gold is heading into a key decision week as price returns to a major reaction area. The market is currently best traded by waiting for liquidity reactions at the highlighted zones, rather than chasing moves in the middle of the range.
1) H4 Technical Context
Price has recovered and is now retesting a key pivot region around the 4.45xx area.
The chart shows clear supply zones overhead, while the 4445–4449 zone stands out as the highest-probability buy reaction area.
If price holds this buy zone, the preferred path is continuation higher toward the upper supply region near 4632–4637.
2) Key Levels to Watch
Main BUY zone: 4445 – 4449
Liquidity confluence area with strong probability of bullish reaction if structure remains intact.
Mid resistance: 4550 – 4560
A reaction zone where buyers may take partial profits and where price behaviour matters.
Target SELL zone (scalping): 4632 – 4637
Strong overhead supply. Ideal for short-term sell reactions if price rallies sharply and shows rejection.
Strong support: around 4408
If the main buy zone fails, this level becomes the next key area that defines whether the pullback deepens.
3) PRIORITY SCENARIO – Main Plan (Buy with Structure)
Next week’s primary strategy remains trend-following, but execution should be level-based.
Buy area: 4445–4449
Best confirmation: H4/H1 candles hold the zone and close back above it without a strong breakdown.
Upside expectations: push toward 4550–4560 first, then extend toward 4632–4637.
4) ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – If the Buy Zone Fails
If price breaks 4445–4449 cleanly and accepts below it:
A deeper correction can develop toward 4408 and potentially lower.
In that case, the plan is to wait for a clear reaction at support before looking for the next long setup.
5) SELL Scenario – Short-Term Only
Selling is not the primary strategy. It is only considered as a short-term scalp at premium supply.
Sell zone: 4632–4637
Only sell on clear rejection signals such as strong wicks, failed breakout, or a lower-timeframe structure shift.
6) Weekly Summary
Focus zone: 4445–4449 is the key decision area
Hold above it → prefer BUY toward 4550–4560 and 4632–4637
Lose it → watch 4408 for deeper correction reaction
Sell ideas are scalps only at the upper supply zone
Crude Oil at Make-or-Break ZoneCrude Oil – 4 Hour Timeframe Technical View.
Crude Oil is currently trading near a critical resistance zone, making the next move important from a directional perspective.
Resistance Zone: 5400 – 5500
Upside Scenario:
A decisive breakout above the resistance zone could trigger further upside momentum with potential targets at:
5650 → 5870 → 6100
Downside Scenario:
If the resistance zone holds and price shows rejection, a corrective move may be seen toward:
5260 → 5170
Major Support Zone: 5000 – 5050
Thank You !!
GOLD - Storm 4475 ahead of the news. NFP aheadFX:XAUUSD is stabilizing at 4475 in a state of consolidation. However, ahead lie US employment data and the Supreme Court's decision on Trump's trade powers...
Fundamentals:
60K new jobs are expected to be created in December, unemployment may fall to 4.5%, and wage growth to 3.6% y/y. As for the Supreme Court, it will decide whether Trump can impose tariffs without Congress' approval (IEEPA law).
The market also continues to expect 2-3 interest rate cuts in 2026. Geopolitical tensions are supporting demand for defensive assets.
Today, the market is waiting for NFP. Strong data will lower expectations of Fed easing, strengthen the dollar, and put pressure on gold (to $4300), but weak NFP data will reinforce bets on rate cuts and support gold (to $4550). The court's decision on tariffs will affect trade policy and the dollar.
Resistance levels: 4475, 4500, 4525
Support levels: 4460, 4442, 4427
A breakout and consolidation above 4475 could open the way to 4500, a breakout of which could trigger a rally to 4525-4550, but given the volatility of the news, the market may test the support zone before a possible rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
MFST: Flipping Roles between Support and Resistance➡ One of the most basic principles in technical analysis is that when price breaks above a well-defined resistance, that same level often flips its role and starts acting as support. This happens because what was once a selling zone becomes an area where buyers are now willing to step in.
MSFT presents a textbook example of this behavior.
➡ In late 2023, the stock delivered a strong breakout above resistance zone of 350. After the breakout, price rallied nearly 30% before pulling back to retest this same area. That retest also aligned closely with the 50% retracement of the entire rally from the October 2022 lows to the July 2024 highs, adding further technical significance to the zone.
➡ The successful hold of this former resistance led to an even stronger move. MSFT then went on to stage a sharp rally of nearly 60%, advancing from around 344 to 555.
➡ At present, the stock is once again in a corrective phase, moving back toward the 450 zone- a level that previously acted as resistance and now has the potential to function as support.
➡ If this zone manages to hold, the probability of another upside leg increases, and a move back toward 555 or even higher levels cannot be ruled out.
Share your thoughts in the comment section below.
Thanks for reading.
📣Disclaimer:
Everything shared in this idea is meant for education and general awareness only. It’s neither a financial advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Do your own research, manage your risk, and make sure you understand what you’re getting into.
BTC Side-waives for BUY BTC this move on side-waives ,its come a down side below FVG hit back to up-side at RED-Line target OR 2nd is current price goes up and re-test back to up side for a BUY Formation its a clear up side make, and normal volume is down-ward its price doesn't want move for sell side, its made a trip where i said price come down then Movie UP-side. now lets see
SOLANA - retest resistance of the trading range BINANCE:SOLUSDT has been rising since the session opened amid a weak market. The altcoin is showing bullish momentum in a predominantly bearish market, with a focus on the 145.0 zone.
Bitcoin is rebounding from resistance amid a global downtrend. There is currently no bullish potential (across the entire market), which is putting pressure on altcoins overall.
SOL, against the backdrop of a neutral market, is seeking to test the resistance zone of 144.7 - 146.0 - a key liquidity zone that plays an important role for MM in the current circumstances.
A short squeeze and the formation of a reversal pattern could shift the imbalance towards sellers, which in turn could lead to a decline.
Resistance levels: 143.4, 144.7, 146.0
Support levels: 134.3, 127.55
Solana is trading in a neutral trading range of 145.0 - 123.0. The main trend is bearish. The bullish run and retest of resistance can be perceived as a hunt for liquidity. We are interested in the above-mentioned resistance zone and confirmation in the form of a false breakout to enter the market.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD - Correction and retest of support on a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction from the resistance level of 4500 and reaching a local low of 4415. Against the backdrop of DXY growth, the correction may continue. The market is awaiting economic news...
Mixed US data: JOLTS job openings fell to 7.146 million. ADP employment rose by 41,000. The ISM services index rose to 54.4, which is higher than expected.
Expectations for two Fed rate cuts in 2026 remain (≈61 bps). The fundamental backdrop is mixed, with additional confirming data needed.
Geopolitics supports demand: the US has confirmed negotiations on the acquisition of Greenland. China has imposed a ban on the export of dual-use goods to Japan. The focus is shifting to Friday's US employment report (NFP).
The correction in gold appears to be temporary amid continuing expectations of Fed policy easing and geopolitical tensions. The NFP report will be the decisive factor in determining the direction — weak data could trigger a new round of growth.
Resistance levels: 4442, 4475, 4497
Support levels: 4427, 4400
As part of the correction, gold may test the support zone of 4425-4400. Overall, the trend is bullish, and the market correction may be temporary. A false breakdown and the bulls holding the price above key zones could trigger growth towards the flat resistance.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPJPY - Waiting for a Long Squeeze Before a Bullish RallyFX:GBPJPY is testing the key support area of 210.28 as part of a correction against the backdrop of an uptrend. What can we expect from the market?
The Japanese yen looks weak, forming a symmetrical triangle consolidation amid a global downtrend. A continued decline in the yen could trigger growth in the currency pair.
GBPJPY is consolidating between 210.28 and 211.59 amid a bullish trend. A manipulative decline is forming with the aim of hunting for liquidity. A long squeeze could trigger growth due to a shift in the imbalance towards the buyer.
Resistance levels: 210.7, 211.15
Support levels: 210.28, 210.05
There is a high probability of a false breakdown of the current trading range support. Focus on the 210.28 - 210.05 zone. After liquidity is captured, the upward movement may continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC/USDT 4H Chart📈 Trend
Main trend: up
Local trend: downward correction
The uptrend line (black) has still not been broken → this is crucial.
🟩 Support Zones
The most important levels you have well-marked:
91,120 – 91,400
Current price reaction
Local support + mid-range
Decisive in the short term
90,120
Very important zone
Overlaps with:
previous consolidation
potential retest of the trendline
Loss = deepening correction
88,843
Strong structural support
If price reaches here → high probability of bounce
87,235
Bulls' last line of defense
Break = structure changes to bearish
🔴 Resistance
91,400 – 91,500
Nearest resistance
Here we'll see if the uptrend has fuel
92,718
Very important level
Return above = bulls regain control
94 834
High / supply zone
Unlikely to be broken on the first try without an impulse.
📊 Stochastic RSI
Was heavily oversold.
Now bouncing from the lows → a short-term bounce signal.
Note: in an uptrend, the Stochastic RSI often gives false short signals.
➡️ Supports a corrective bounce scenario, not a dump.
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Defense 90-91k
Bounce → test 91.5k → 92.7k
Consolidation and decision
🔴 Negative scenario
Break 90 120
Down to 88.8k
Reaction there (or fake breakdown)
BABA – Weekly / Daily Structure | Wave (4) Update
Thesis
NYSE:BABA remains in a broader bullish reversal, with the current pullback continuing to resolve as an intermediate corrective phase.
Context
- Weekly and daily timeframes
- Multi-year base already completed
- Prior impulsive advance followed by a controlled retracement
What I see
- Pullback continues to respect the prior breakout structure
- Price is consolidating inside a descending corrective channel
- Rising longer-term moving-average support remains intact
- Structure remains consistent with an intermediate Wave (4) correction
What matters now
- The 50-day moving average is aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near the $159 area
- A break and hold above this confluence would signal completion of Wave (4)
- Failure to reclaim this level likely extends consolidation
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Current consolidation range within the Wave (4) retracement zone
- Risk remains defined against the recent higher low
Targets
- A confirmed flip of the $159 confluence opens the path toward the $230 area
- That level aligns with the next intermediate upside reference
Risk / Invalidation
- Loss of rising support would weaken the bullish reversal structure
GOLD - Retesting support at 4440 ahead of the news FX:XAUUSD is correcting from weekly highs of $4,500 amid a rising dollar and profit-taking ahead of key US labor market data
The market expects two Fed rate cuts in 2026. The ISM Manufacturing PMI in December (47.9) was lower than expected, reinforcing expectations of a dovish policy. In addition, geopolitical risks remain (Russia's actions off the coast of Venezuela, tensions between China and Japan), which continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
Today, ADP employment data, JOLTS job openings, and the ISM services index will be released. Weak indicators could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold.
The correction appears to be technical amid profit-taking. The uptrend remains intact as the dollar remains under pressure due to expectations of Fed policy easing. Any decline in gold can be seen as a buying opportunity.
Resistance levels: 4475, 4497, 4520
Support levels: 4442, 4430, 4402
Two key support zones relative to the current trading range: 4442 - 4430. A long squeeze and liquidity capture followed by price consolidation above key levels could shift the imbalance towards the buyer (bullish trend)...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD - Consolidation before resistance at 4470. Bullish trendFX:XAUUSD resumes growth and tests 4470, an important resistance level, amid a weakening dollar caused by expectations of further easing of Fed policy and continuing geopolitical uncertainty.
Expectations of a Fed rate cut intensified after the release of weak ISM Manufacturing PMI data.
Geopolitical risks have temporarily receded into the background, but remain a potential catalyst for a new wave of demand for safe-haven assets.
Attention is shifting to US labor market data (ADP report and JOLTS vacancies on Wednesday, NFP on Friday). Weak employment figures could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold.
Important nuances: China and Russia's reaction to US actions in Venezuela, as well as the open conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Further dynamics will depend on employment data and a possible escalation of the geopolitical situation. A break above $4470 will open the way to testing higher levels.
Resistance levels: 4470, 4488, 4519
Support levels: 4440, 4430, 4400
If the metal does not pull back from 4470 and continues to storm the resistance, then attempts to continue growth from 4470 can be considered. Otherwise, the market may test 4440-4430 before rising (long squeeze). Within the current cycle, gold has a chance to test its ATH.
Best regards, R. Linda!
DOGEUSDT - Consolidation after growth is a positive signBINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing resistance, but the coin is not going to reverse yet. Focus on the current consolidation at 0.145 - 0.1534. A long squeeze or a breakout of resistance could trigger growth.
Bitcoin has been growing throughout the week, forming a retest of resistance. If the growth continues, it could support a bullish run in altcoins.
After the rally, DOGE moved into consolidation at 0.145 - 0.1533. The market is showing positive dynamics. The altcoin may test the consolidation support before growing. However, a breakout of the 0.1533 resistance and a close above the level could trigger an early rise.
Resistance levels: 0.1534, 0.1648
Support levels: 0.145, 0.139
Regarding the current consolidation in the trading range format, I highlight two levels: 0.1534 and 0.145. If the overall positive background persists, a false breakdown of support at 0.145 or a breakout of resistance at 0.1534 with the price closing above the level could trigger further growth towards the local zone of interest at 0.165.
Best regards, R. Linda!
LTC/USDT 1D Chart 🔎 Market Structure
The market is in a downtrend (a series of lower highs and lower lows).
The price is moving within a descending channel (black lines).
The recent move is a rebound from the lower demand zones, but the trend has not yet been broken.
📉 Trend & Price Action
The main downtrend line has not been broken – the price has reached it and is reacting.
The current move looks like a pullback/upward correction, not a trend reversal.
No clear higher high → the structure remains bearish.
🟢 Key Levels
Resistance (sell zones)
86.84 USDT – local resistance (currently being tested)
95.83 USDT – strong structural resistance
103.54 USDT – previous downside base
110.66 USDT – very strong resistance (key to trend reversal)
Support (buy zones)
78.67 USDT – local support
72.25 USDT – strong demand zone
63.14 USDT – critical support (channel bottom)
📊 Indicators
Stochastic RSI
Currently in the overbought zone (>80)
Historically, on this chart, → often ends in a correction
Signal: watch out for shorts / profit-taking
CHOP Index
High → market was in consolidation
Recent CHOP breakout down → possible impulse but not yet confirmed by volume
🧠 Scenarios
🔴 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Rejection at 86–88 USDT
Return to around 78.67 → 72.25
Continuation of the downtrend
🟢 Alternative scenario (bullish, conditional)
Daily close above 95.83
Then a breakout of 103.54
Only 110.66 = a real trend change to up
🎯 Final conclusion
This is a correction in a downtrend, not a trend reversal.
Shorts are logical under resistance
Longs are only short-term/scalp
Swing longs only after a breakout of 103–110
SNDK - Bullish Scenario Since 04 Sept, Momentum Still Intact!SNDK - CURRENT PRICE : 228.47
🔥 Bullish Scenario Supported by Trend Structure & Fibonacci Reactions
SNDK began showing early signs of a bullish scenario when price respected a rising support line , indicating steady accumulation and higher lows forming. The major bullish confirmation occurred on 04 September , when price broke above the 55.55 level (look at red arrow), triggering strong momentum and leading to a rapid vertical rally. As with many fast-moving stocks, a healthy retracement followed, and SNDK pulled back precisely toward the Fibonacci 38.2% golden ratio, where the stock found support and began forming a new base. This behavior suggests the prior uptrend remains intact, and the uptrend may resume as long as the stock continues to hold above this retracement zone.
Some Elliott Wave practitioners may also interpret the current structure as a developing Wave 5, suggesting the potential for another upside leg if the trend continues to follow impulsive wave behavior.
Take note that I'm using logarithmic scale chart because the share price has already risen more than 300% since the 04 September breakout, making it more suitable for analyzing large percentage moves and trend structure.
ENTRY PRICE : 228.47
FIRST TARGET : 270.00
SECOND TARGET : 324.00 (Projected based on Fibonacci extension)
SUPPORT : 183.00 (The low of 21 Nov HAMMER candle)
XAUUSD H1 –Liquidity Reaction After Geopolitical SpikeXAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Reaction After Geopolitical Spike
Gold surged strongly at the start of the week as escalating geopolitical tensions boosted safe-haven demand, while expectations of further Fed rate cuts continued to support the broader bullish narrative. From a technical perspective, price is now reacting around key liquidity and Fibonacci zones rather than trending impulsively.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
On H1, gold experienced a sharp sell-off followed by a recovery, forming a V-shaped reaction that suggests aggressive liquidity clearing.
Price is currently trading below prior breakdown zones, indicating that supply remains active at higher levels.
The market structure favours sell-on-rallies in the short term, while deeper pullbacks may attract fresh buyers.
KEY LEVELS & MARKET BEHAVIOUR
Upper sell zones (supply & Fibonacci confluence):
4497 – 4500 (FVG sell zone, premium area)
4431 – 4435 (Fibonacci + former support turned resistance)
These zones represent areas where sellers previously stepped in aggressively, making them important reaction levels if price rebounds.
Lower buy-side liquidity:
4345 – 4350 (Value Low / buy-side liquidity zone)
This area aligns with trendline support and prior accumulation, making it a key level to monitor for a bullish reaction if price rotates lower.
EXPECTED PRICE FLOW
Short term: price may continue to consolidate and rotate between resistance and liquidity below, with choppy price action likely.
A rejection from the upper resistance zones could lead to another leg lower toward buy-side liquidity.
If buy-side liquidity is absorbed and defended, the market may attempt another recovery move.
FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
Gold’s strength is underpinned by two major factors:
Rising geopolitical risk, which increases demand for safe-haven assets.
Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, as markets continue to price in additional rate cuts, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
These fundamentals support gold on higher timeframes, even as short-term technical corrections play out.
BIG PICTURE VIEW
Medium-term bias remains constructive due to macro and geopolitical support.
Short-term price action is driven by liquidity and reaction zones rather than trend continuation.
Patience is key—allow price to interact with major levels before committing to the next directional move.
Let the market show its hand at liquidity.
Silver Retirement for a Bullish Direction Now this time is on high price level area we are wait for its price come down at minimum at 77.27916 then we get clear buy conformation for buy
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GOLD - The battle for 4400. Will the growth continue?FX:XAUUSD starts the week of 2026 with a rise of more than 1.5%, staying above $4,400 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in Latin America
Geopolitical crisis: US-Venezuela, Donald Trump threatened new military intervention if the interim government does not comply with Washington's demands.
Expanding risks: Trump hinted at Colombia and Mexico. The situation between Russia and Ukraine remains tense. Against this backdrop, investors are actively shifting funds into defensive instruments, including gold and the US dollar
Important US labor market data is expected this week, which could add to volatility. Venezuela has set up a commission to free Maduro, indicating a further escalation of the conflict.
Gold remains a priority for investors amid unprecedented geopolitical uncertainty. Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall uptrend is likely to continue, especially if the conflict in Latin America escalates
Resistance levels: 4440, 4470, 4519
Support levels: 4400, 4373
If the bulls keep gold above 4410-4400, then in the short and medium term, gold will be able to continue to grow despite the fact that the daily ATR has already been exhausted. Local and global trends are bullish...
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURJPY - Correction (hunting for liquidity) before growthFX:EURJPY is entering a correction amid an uptrend that has been ongoing since March last year. Zone of interest: 183.0
Amid the growth of the dollar, the euro is entering a correction, but the main trend of the index is bearish.
The key area of interest and liquidity for the currency pair is 183.43 - 183.15. A false breakout/long squeeze and holding the price above this level could trigger further growth. Locally, we have a correction against the backdrop of a global bullish trend
Resistance levels: 184.26, 184.82
Support levels: 183.43, 183.15
A pullback on a bullish trend is an additional opportunity to enter the market at a favorable price. Focus on support at 183.43 - 183.15 (additionally 183.0)
Best regards, R. Linda!






















